Limerick City General Election

kilburn

Ffs Frankie Daly what's wrong with people what has he done for limerick apart from having the deputy mayoral chain robbed from his car he didn't even consider it worth bringing into his house.

s7ryf3925pivug

count 4 done, which distributed Ryan's preferences. same trends. jenny Blake's votes being divided up now.

mdmix

kilburn wrote: »

Ffs Frankie Daly what's wrong with people what has he done for limerick apart from having the deputy mayoral chain robbed from his car he didn't even consider it worth bringing into his house.

He represents the north side, and he is a waste of space imo, but no improvements in Moyross/ballynanty/killillee in the last 10 years. Regeneration has been a disaster and people feel it was solely done to benefit developers and not the people of the area (they’re not wrong). Rents have gone crazy as with the rest of Ireland. 3 bed houses in killille/ballinanty that were 400-500 pm 10 years ago now going for 800-950 pm. Unaffordable for families even if you have hap.

He had a very strong support team and were offering lifts to polling stations. Very much a willy O’Dea type politician who will only be able to tell you which type of form you need to get for what you need. Good people skills but lacks the intelligence to get anything done.

Burning Eclipse

Leddin did really well from Blake's transfers, as anticipated by many.

Eire-Dearg

Is Leddin on?

keane2097

Eire-Dearg wrote: »

Is Leddin on?

According to the Leader updates the Greens are hoping that Maria Byrne's transfers are more likely to fall Leddin's way than Daly's. I guess Collins' are more likely to fall for Daly based on the O'Dea surplus.

Jan O'Sullivan's are probably hard to predict as both candidates have some level of Labour 'gene pool' association.

I suppose there's also an outside chance of one of the above being leapfrogged.

kilburn

mdmix wrote:

He had a very strong support team and were offering lifts to polling stations. Very much a willy O’Dea type politician who will only be able to tell you which type of form you need to get for what you need. Good people skills but lacks the intelligence to get anything done.

Really disagree on the people skills I have list of unanswered emails to him asking for support for a disabled child but no replies.

Cookiemunster

Following the transfer of James Collins's votes of 3,150


Maria Byrne (FG) - 3,266 + 405 = 3,671

Frankie Daly (Ind) - 5,017 + 387 = 5,404

Brian Leddin (GP) - 4,833 + 567 = 5,400

Kieran O'Donnell (FG) - 6,966 + 683 = 7,649

Jan O'Sullivan (Labour) - 3,626 + 501 = 4,127


Maria Byrne eliminated, her votes of 3,671 are now being distributed.

Daly still slightly ahead of Leddin. I'd assume most of Maria Byrnes surplus will go to O'Donnell and O'Sullivan.

Eire-Dearg

Wow, that's extremely tight.

osarusan

Byrne's votes will help O'Donnell, so it's between Daly and Leddin for the last seat...where are O'Sullivan's votes more likely to go?

I'd expect them to go more to Leddin, but will be close.


I'd much prefer Leddin than Daly in the Dail tbh.

geotrig

I wouldn't right o'sullivan off just yet ! id perfer to see her get in than the other 2 ,leave daly and leddin prove their worth in the council 1st !

Cookiemunster

geotrig wrote: »

I wouldn't right o'sullivan off just yet ! id perfer to see her get in than the other 2 ,leave daly and leddin prove their worth in the council 1st !

I don't see it. She's 1300 behind Leddin and Daly. She needs half of Byrnes transfers (and O'Donnells more likely to get that) while they other two get practically nothing.

Cookiemunster

osarusan wrote: »

Byrne's votes will help O'Donnell, so it's between Daly and Leddin for the last seat...where are O'Sullivan's votes more likely to go?

I'd expect them to go more to Leddin, but will be close.


I'd much prefer Leddin than Daly in the Dail tbh.

I think that if it's tight for the last seat that O'Deas surplus of 200+ can still come in to play. That would more likely help Daly.

geotrig

yeah don't see it either really ,but jesus the other 2

osarusan

geotrig wrote: »

I wouldn't right o'sullivan off just yet ! id perfer to see her get in than the other 2 ,leave daly and leddin prove their worth in the council 1st !

She has had some comebacks in the past, but I can't see it this time.



What she needs from Byrne is just very unlikely to happen.


If that did happen though, she is right back in it, as she'd transfer well from whoever she overtakes.

damowill

osarusan wrote: »

She has had some comebacks in the past, but I can't see it this time.



What she needs from Byrne is just very unlikely to happen.


If that did happen though, she is right back in it, as she'd transfer well from whoever she overtakes.

that would be some huodini act!!!

keane2097

Cookiemunster wrote: »

I think that if it's tight for the last seat that O'Deas surplus of 200+ can still come in to play. That would more likely help Daly.

They were distributed already. They broke for Daly but there was only ~200.

Limerick City after count six
Following the transfer of Willie O'Dea's surplus of 234



Maria Byrne (FG) - 3,253 + 13 = 3,266

James Collins (FF) - 3,107 + 43 = 3,150

Frankie Daly (Ind) - 4,940 + 77 = 5,017

Brian Leddin (Green) - 4,810 + 23 = 4,833

Kieran O'Donnell (FG) - 6,951 + 15 = 6,966

Jan O'Sullivan (Lab) - 3,601 + 25 = 3,626



James Collins (FF) has been eliminated, and his 3,150 votes will be transferred at 10am this Monday morning.

un5byh7sqpd2x0

Cookiemunster wrote: »

Between 2011 and 2016 they went from 36.1% and 76 seats to 25.% and 50 seats. That was a backlash.
This time they've dropped to 2.5% and will lose 5-6 seats. That's not a backlash.

And remember, that those are exit polls, not an actual count.

Would you like to reconsider your views? This is officially the 3rd worst result in FG history (after 1944, 1948)

Cookiemunster

After Count 8

Frankie Daly + 281 votes (5,685)

Brian Leddin + 456 votes (5,856)

Kieran O'Donnell + 2,105 votes (9,754) ELECTED

Jan O'Sullivan +540 votes (4,667) ELIMINATED

Leddin is now in the lead. It's all down to O'Sullivans transfers now.

mdmix

Cookiemunster wrote: »

Leddin is now in the lead. It's all down to O'Sullivans transfers now.

Hopefully some are long term labour voters who saw Franky as the man who left the party..

sioda

Looks like Frankie has conceded last seat goes to Brian

naughtysmurf

kilburn wrote: »

Really disagree on the people skills I have list of unanswered emails to him asking for support for a disabled child but no replies.

Hold tight, I got a reply from him two years after I emailed him,

Cookiemunster

Leddin takes the last seat.

Mc Love

A small bit of sanity prevails

jonski

It will be handy to have a Green Party member in the city, next winter when I can't afford to heat my house I can call into him to warm up .

keane2097

Gulags for all!

Mc Love

jonski wrote: »

It will be handy to have a Green Party member in the city, next winter when I can't afford to heat my house I can call into him to warm up .

Your house will be properly insulated, you'll be grand!

Cetyl Palmitate

Great news. Well done Brian Leddin

jonski

Mc Love wrote: »

Your house will be properly insulated, you'll be grand!

Are you offering to pay for that ? or is it their plan to plant money trees ?

mitresize5

you can always move into one of the 100,000 new energy efficient houses SF are going to build in the next 5 years