GE Exit Poll 10 pm

is_that_so

signostic wrote: »

My seat prediction - FF 47, FG 43, SF 28, Ind 17, GP 6, Lab 4.

Greens may get more and Labour too and that's a good election for FG on 43.

gmisk

50-64...SF largest 22.8....
So it's not just "that generation" voting for SF in big numbers

The Rape of Lucretia

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

How did their members treat Lord Mountbatten ? Harshly ?

Yes. Every Sinn Fein voter contributed this mess. Live in the past, TROL.

signostic

Tr1ckieD1ckie wrote: »

You do know there are 159 seats to be filled, right?

Yep ..remainder to the rest I also predict that the CC will keep his seat!

KaneToad

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

Is every constituency polling station used for the exit poll? Huge logistical exercise if so, therefore I doubt it. I've never been asked on exiting ever.

Anyway, I suppose everyone is waiting to see if SF have most first prefs and who comes next. It's an indicator alright, but nothing like yes/no or FPTP in Britain recently.

We are so election/result mad in this country it is just something to start off with and it will do for now.

No. They take a representative sample.

McMurphy

the_syco wrote: »

FF & FG won't go in together, as they'd lose to SF next time round. They'll probably form a government with a few of the smaller parties.

Which will last a couple of wet weekends and then back to the polls again.

I repeat, Sinn Fein are in a win win situation with tonight's exit polls.

ismat

signostic wrote: »

My seat prediction - FF 47, FG 43, SF 28, Ind 17, GP 6, Lab 4.

What about the other 15 seats ?

flexcon

ThewhiteJesus wrote: »

I do, once an adult reaches 30 ish they realise there is no substance to Sinn Fein, just bs

Ah gotcha. Well you’re going to be useless in educating those fellow citizens with that sort of attitude.

Such a waste since you probably have a lot of good info to share.

gmisk

ismat wrote: »

What about the other 15 seats ?

PBP, SD some of them surely...

namloc1980

Cheerful Spring2 wrote: »

I wonder what the vote tally is for Sinn Fein when there only 42 candidates? Neck and necks suggests Sinn Fein vote tally around the country is higher than FG and FF

There'll be a lot of SF candidates elected early tomorrow which will be big media exposure for them.

James Brown

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

Its the same syndrom. Similar to Brexit also. People not seeing beyond being frustrated or just simplistically tired with the sensible options, and so just voting for 'other/new' without having a clue what that is. Working our well in the Brexit shytshow for UK voters who indulged in the same x-factor type voting.

Sounds like you've a problem with democracy...when it's not going your way.
That's pretty much Trump.

dxhound2005

FG got only 31 seats in 2002 with 22.5%. Their percentages since have been 27.3 2007, 36.1 in the 2011 FF wipeout, and 25.5 last time. They are the most consistent performers.

Darc19

signostic wrote: »

My seat prediction - FF 47, FG 43, SF 28, Ind 17, GP 6, Lab 4.

And the other 15 seats?

Green will be 10, lab might get 6

Just impossible to call. Even Paddy power don't know what to make of it.

gmisk

65+ percentages pretty mad too.
30.2 FF 29.7 SF

Richard Hillman

Essentially we need another Election. Sinn Fein need to work out where they can maximise their vote transition into seats, and FG/FF need new leaders. Varadkar is toxic and Martin is the worst opposition leader in the history of democracy.

The left parties need to prove that they can govern together by pulling candidates from constituencies where they have no chance of winning.

Will any of that happen? Probably not.

STB.

gmisk wrote: »

How so?
I would think people in that age group on more shaky grounds when it comes to education and housing especially.

What country do you think allows people between 18 and 24 to aspire to have the ability to buy a house ?


What I was pointing out was that students don't have to worry about going to work everyday in order to allow others sit on their couch at leisure all day who have no intention of going out and doing a days graft.

pimpmyhat

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

How did their members treat Lord Mountbatten ? Harshly ?

We can't live in the past forever.
We need to move forward.
There was wrong on both sides

I see sheep

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

How did their members treat Lord Mountbatten ? Harshly ?

Lord Mountbatten a pillar of decency :pac:

Snow Garden

All the counts will be fascinating. I cant wait. SF transfers will make a big difference. I think SDs might do well too.

Kermit.de.frog

Will we see a threesome between Varadkar, Martin and McDonald?

Grand coalition?

jos28

Deleted User wrote: »

Throw in a few extra teabags and on a few extra sandwiches for me.

Can't wait.

I might even bake a cake if I'm up early enough

gmisk

STB. wrote: »

What country do you think allows people between 18 and 24 to aspire to have the ability to buy a house ?


What I was pointing out was that students don't have to worry about going to work everyday in order to allow others sit on their couch at leisure all day and who have no intention of ever doing otherwise.

I don't think a huge amount of people that age are buying houses.....the problem is their rents are so sky high they can't see a future where they will be able to realistically buy a house later in life

um7y1h83ge06nx

Things could get very unsettled politically for a while, no party will have a strong majority.

I would be worried what will happen the economy and jobs. At least I work in IT so I have opportunities elsewhere.

Hurrache

gmisk wrote: »

If you think a "box pop" is true indication of an entire age groups knowledge levels when it comes to politics more fool you

This is the peak of your debating skills, an obvious auto correct that was fixed so fast that your quote doesn't even have it, making you seem a bit unhinged.

thequarefellow

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

Its the same syndrom. Similar to Brexit also. People not seeing beyond being frustrated or just simplistically tired with the sensible options, and so just voting for 'other/new' without having a clue what that is. Working out well in the Brexit shytshow for UK voters who indulged in the same x-factor type voting.

That's the problem right there. FFG and people like yourself underestimate the level of frustration among the squeezed middle out there.

signostic

ismat wrote: »

What about the other 15 seats ?

Aontu, People before profit, Social Dems, Indo for Change,

meeeeh

Matt Barrett wrote: »

No. His policies match FG's more than SF's.

They are both telling people what they want to hear. It doesn't matter what policies match. You can have left or right populism but it's still populism.

odyssey06

Breakerz wrote: »

Their actual policy is to build 50,000 affordable homes at a cost of €6.5M. The rest they say has already been provided for in the NDP, which is a bit of a cop out. Which is 50,000 social houses.

50,000 & €6.5 million... one of those figures must be a typo???

My name is URL

The Rape of Lucretia wrote: »

How did their members treat Lord Mountbatten ? Harshly ?

They treated a lot of fish to a succulent meal

Hamsterchops

pimpmyhat wrote: »

Delighted for sinn Fein they were so harshly treated in this campaign.

Harshly treated you say!

This is the problem, the youth have no memory (of what went before) when Sinn Fein couldn't give a sh1t as to who got shot, tortured, kneecapped, or blown to pieces by their 'alter ego' :mad:

I'm over 55.