GE Exit Poll 10 pm

Mantis Toboggan

ILoveYourVibes wrote: »

They are not uneducated.


They are just from a generation that didn't grow up seeing the troubles in real time.


They don't know THAT history.

Sinn Fein helped to bring about the cease fire and were involved in the good Friday agreement!

Cheerful Spring2

C__MC wrote: »

Yes they will but it could have been alot worse
They where polling terribly in opinion polls

Losing half their seats potentially is not a good performance. Transfers may hurt them over the next two days?

Sir Oxman

Dub Central 40% boxes

SF (Mary Lou) 36%
Green 13%
FG (Paschal) 11%

Loafing Oaf

Has anyone got a reliable prediction of seat distribution?

Paddy Power is predicting FF 49, FG 38, SF 35. I'm expecting FF to be the largest party but I'd be surprised if they had that many...

ILoveYourVibes

pjohnson wrote: »

Wow 13 years ago amazing. How many young people can buy/rent a house in 2020?

Why would a group of people who lined their pockets with organized crime do anything to help them?

They haven't in the north. Their economy is worse than ours.

But sure if SF want to flaunt their past etc ....let them ..sure the young people don't care .

C__MC

You can see Miriam o callaghan and how gutted she is

6

6 wrote: »

I don't think so either. They know it'd hurt them both next time out

if the analysis is in what would hurt you next time out.....youd never enter govt, which time and again is a proven voteloser!

ff taking on sf but giving them health and housing would be cute

fg be happy enough to sit one out for the long run

sf after power drop back into the mid teens of first pref at the next election, maybe get a bit more transfer friendly after though.

its another transition election, fg are at a low ebb and frankly rightly deserve to be out from dropping so many balls. complacent.

ff still wearing the sackcloth, if (as looks likely) they get in, they better stay whiter than white. and they wont, its not in them.

next election will be another mess, in short, and the one after. not much point claiming any big victories on this one.

lemmno

pjohnson wrote: »

Lol they know the "troubles". But care about the present and the future.

But the SF campaign/manifesto was full of holes, a lot of it didn’t add up. I have nothing against the party or it’s leader and was open to giving them the vote but after seeing the debates and doing the research, I didn’t feel like they really knew what they were doing to be honest. Especially from an economics viewpoint. I’m wondering how anyone who followed it could have thought otherwise. What is it that they’ve promised that has gotten them the support? Or are people voting in a ‘the lesser of the 3 evils’ kind of way? An interesting few days ahead anyway!

Sir Oxman

ILoveYourVibes wrote: »

Yeah. I don't reckon SF will get many second preference votes. Sf voters will probably give a lot of second preferences to other leftest parties though.

they probably won't need them in very many constituencies

ricero

Joan Burton seems to be on course to lose her seat.

Delighted.

Hurrache

Maewyn Succat wrote: »

I think some people are under the impression that each party having roughly the same first preference votes amounts to each party getting 22% of the seats so 35 seats for SF, 35 for FF and 35 for FG.

Based in twitter, and to an extent here, it's more than some with them saying SF are in power and more bizarrely that RTE are panicking. Must be their dodgy TVs.

Shanotheslayer

ThewhiteJesus wrote: »

You are missing the point it’s not about the troubles, it’s about ability, I would bet less than 5% of Sinn Fein voters have read their plans for government, it’s a moronic populist vote.

I voted for SF as a Fck You voted to FF & FG.

C__MC

Sad demise of the labour party
Founded by a great man but their in steep decline

STB.

Pat Rabitte of the Labour Party on the television wondering why they are no longer relevant.


Jesus Christ these guys are well insulated from both society and reality.

ILoveYourVibes

Sir Oxman wrote: »

they probably won't need them in very many constituencies

We know that.:rolleyes:

Wanderer78

C__MC wrote:

Sad demise of the labour party Founded by a great man but their in steep decline

Abandoned their base, shur no wonder

is_that_so

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Has anyone got a reliable prediction of seat distribution?

Paddy Power is predicting FF 49, FG 38, SF 35. I'm expecting FF to be the largest party but I'd be surprised if they had that many...

I'd go with a No, not until we see first counts and even then the destination of SF transfers could change it all around.

ILoveYourVibes

STB. wrote: »

Pat Rabitte of the Labour Party wondering why they are no longer on the television.


Jesus Christ these guys are well insulated from society.

Unbelievable right?

Sir Oxman

ILoveYourVibes wrote: »

We know that.:rolleyes:

Is there something wrong with your face there?

ILoveYourVibes

Sir Oxman wrote: »

Is there something wrong with your face there?

Why are you stating the bloody obvious?

ThewhiteJesus

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

I voted for SF as a Fck You voted to FF & FG.

Lots of people have, but it’s shooting yourself in the foot if these people get power, they don’t have the ability.

Sir Oxman

ILoveYourVibes wrote: »

Why are you stating the bloody obvious?

Oh go away.
Read your own stupid post.

Loafing Oaf

is_that_so wrote: »

I'd go with a No, not until we see first counts and even then the destination of SF transfers could change it all around.

But could it not at least be said with some confidence that SF transfers will keep FF ahead of FG? I don't see where FG would get a stock of transfers to outweigh that

dxhound2005

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Has anyone got a reliable prediction of seat distribution?

Paddy Power is predicting FF 49, FG 38, SF 35. I'm expecting FF to be the largest party but I'd be surprised if they had that many...

On that basis FG/FF down 7, SF up 12. Hardly the seismic change that some people think.

NIMAN

Sir Oxman wrote: »

Dub Central 40% boxes

SF (Mary Lou) 36%
Green 13%
FG (Paschal) 11%

When the FG finance minister is polling behind the Greens, you know you're on the slide.

Hurrache

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

I voted for SF as a Fck You voted to FF & FG.

It is a stupid way to vote though. Vote for someone whose policies you may agree with, rather than someone just because you think it gives 2 fingers to another party.

And if many voted this way, it's not good for SF as it's just a transient protest vote.

ILoveYourVibes

is_that_so wrote: »

I'd go with a No, not until we see first counts and even then the destination of SF transfers could change it all around.

In a way no. Very few sinners votes will go FG's way ...maybe a few older sf voters might go FF.

But mostly they will go soc dems PBP etc. It will still be a weird rainbow coalition.


But sf have to learn its not just about having ardent supporters in our voting system. Its about having people not inclined to vote for you just being meh about you rather than fearing you.

Cody montana

ThewhiteJesus wrote: »

Lots of people have, but it’s shooting yourself in the foot if these people get power, they don’t have the ability.

How do you know they don’t?

is_that_so

STB. wrote: »

Pat Rabitte of the Labour Party on the television wondering why they are no longer relevant.


Jesus Christ these guys are well insulated from both society and reality.

Not watching, but his comments aside I imagine he's there for his insights on the vote.

ILoveYourVibes

Hurrache wrote: »

It is a stupid way to vote though. Vote for someone who's policies you may agree with, rather than someone just because you think it gives 2 fingers to another party.

They probably do agree with their policies. Well vaguely.