Feb 29th - Snowfall/Wintry Conditions

esposito

Gonzo wrote: »

looks like it may turn back to rain on it's back edge. Lying snow may still be restricted to high ground above 250 meters. I'm being very cautious with this one. I think the best thing to do with a westerly is prepare for disappointment and the rare time you get more than you bargained for, is a time for brief celebration!.

Yep. You just can’t trust Atlantic sourced cold for producing snow. Midlands and north id imagine would be the best spots for snow to low levels. Saturday night/Sunday morning probably the best time for low level snow in places

Kermit.de.frog

Risk of snow during Saturday getting notably higher with each run. Hope it continues.

BlueSkyDay

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Where is the snow going to fall on Saturday?

That's the question...could be fairly disruptive where it happens combined with the wind as well.

All blown to the south east hopfully

nacho libre

I will be in Meath this weekend, so if there is snow on Saturday, it better snow there this weekend! I will be pissed if it turns out a lot of snow falls at home and I miss out on it!

Gonzo

nacho libre wrote: »

I will be in Meath this weekend, so if there is snow on Saturday, it better snow there this weekend! I will be pissed if it turns out a lot of snow falls at home and I miss out on it!

Meath is up there with Dublin and Waterford for having barely any snow since March 2018, i'd be amazed if we get anything that sticks on Saturday. We've had enough for a few fast melting slush balls but that'ts about it. Hopefully we get a bit of luck on Saturday.

Meteorite58

Donegal Storm

nacho libre wrote: »

I will be in Meath this weekend, so if there is snow on Saturday, it better snow there this weekend! I will be pissed if it turns out a lot of snow falls at home and I miss out on it!

Snow accumulation charts don't show anything of note really, a brief 1-2cm that quickly melts. Have to say I've had my fill of snow for this winter now anyway so would gladly do without another slushy dusting, you're welcome to keep it further south!

Kutebride

nacho libre wrote: »

I will be in Meath this weekend, so if there is snow on Saturday, it better snow there this weekend! I will be pissed if it turns out a lot of snow falls at home and I miss out on it!

...and I'm leaving Meath for the weekend, bound for the West .....well I hope I am

Kermit.de.frog

Looks like we are in there for snow on Saturday on the GFS anyway. Except the far south

Gaoth Laidir

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Looks like we are in there for snow on Saturday on the GFS anyway. Except the far south

Key part highlighted...

Pangea

Just my opinion but this thread is 56 pages long, I would prefer a new thread instead of old one's being renamed.

ZX7R

Why post about Saturdays snow in this thread at all if it's connected to the Storm

Kermit.de.frog

ZX7R wrote: »

Why post about Saturdays snow in this thread at all if it's connected to the Storm

You'd want to stay away from those wind fanatic types :cool:

ZX7R

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

You'd want to stay away from those wind fanatic types :cool:

Ha
Sure it might blow the virus away

Kermit.de.frog

ICON probably the most favored for Dubs this evening. Here is HIRLAM model.

Marginal. Probably snow early afternoon anyway for many but might turn back to rain later in the afternoon. Remains to be seen.

DOCARCH

Mod Note: I have edited/simplified the thread title.

Happy to keep this thread going, separate to the wind thread, for snow (risk) tomorrow.

Gonzo

overall the snow risk is downgraded since yesterday evenings runs, it will be a sloppy mixture at best for most of us with very few of us seeing any sort of lying snow. Far too much rain around and milder sectors before and after the snow if it does fall.

I'd be happy to wipe the winter slate clean and start again fresh mid November! I think most of us just want a pattern change more than anything, some dryer conditions and a feeling of Spring. Winter is basically over now and this is yet another winter I will not miss in the slightest!

Kermit.de.frog

ok grumpy :pac:

Gonzo

the lying snow is an upgrade tho but looks to be 1 to 3 hours at most with much of it melted by tomorrow evening away from high ground.





as for the snowfall itself looks about 90 minutes to 2 hours before it reverts back to rain.

Meteorite58

Thinking the ECM showing moderate to heavy frontal snow ( probably quite wet heavy type ) tomorrow, would think could even be blizzard like for a time and treacherous driving conditions from East Connacht to the Midlands, may even reach close enough to the East. Probably start as rain to sleet to snow, possibly heavy for a time and back to sleet and rain. Might be a slushy mess very quickly or might settle on higher ground for a time.

Time frame crossing the country around 10.00 to 15.00 or so.

Temperatures will drop very low during the frontal passage, probably be seeing temporary readings of 1 to 2C and rising 4 to 6 C soon after.

Very cold air mass spreading over Ireland tonight. Low Pressure aiding snowfall to reach the ground even in not so ideal temperatures. Wet bulb initially good. Freezing level good initially.

Meteorite58

Oscar Bravo

Knock airport TAF ties in with above, forecasting Snow between 9am-11am

hawkwing

I don't think Gerry even mentioned possible sleet for the mountains once,nothing but rain.One time 5-6 yrs ago there was an obvious real borderline snow event and high ground in Wicklow etc got plastered and Gerry was the same.Time will tell

JCX BXC

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Knock airport TAF ties in with above, forecasting Snow between 9am-11am

The TAF's are certainly interesting,

Knock has, as well as what you mentioned, temporary snow showers between 3am and 9am.

Shannon and Cork's forecast includes a PROB30 of temporary light snow showers between 4am and 6am

Oscar Bravo

Colder air following on behind the front . Newport down to 6 degrees @ 10pm. It was 9 degrees at 8pm.

Gaoth Laidir

Windsat-measured winds at 18:28 this evening, showing the centre at 53N 20W, a fraction further east than the centre analysed by the UKMO 30 minutes earlier. These winds tend to be underestimated at high speeds, so in reality add a few knots to the vectors shown.

Kermit.de.frog

Larbre34

What?

Kermit.de.frog

Showers in to the west turning wintry soon. Falls of snow to lower levels later in the night.

I'm hitting the leaba so leaving the radar image there which will update every 15 minutes if anyone wants a gander.

Larbre34

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Showers in to the west turning wintry soon. Falls of snow to lower levels later in the night.

Nothing in the temperature profile suggests low level snow really anywhere.