Galway COVID-19, local news and discussion

testtech05 · 13-01-2021 11:07am

WallyGUFC wrote: »

I've seen it mentioned a few times before that its approx. 80% no symptoms, 15% mild symptoms and 5% with more serious symptoms, many of these needing hospitalisation. I'd be fairly sure the actual number of people who've had it without knowing is multiples of the national case numbers reported.

There is a fella on Twitter tracking the positive swabs vs positive cases daily and other info regarding numbers of beds available, @RiochtConor2. There was a large backlog which was mostly cleared but was not fully cleared on January 7th when they said it was. Even yesterday for example, positive cases = 3086, positive swabs = 2456.

Hadn't heard that before, very interesting. Thanks for the info

13-01-2021 3:49pm

WallyGUFC wrote: »

I've seen it mentioned a few times before that its approx. 80% no symptoms, 15% mild symptoms and 5% with more serious symptoms, many of these needing hospitalisation. I'd be fairly sure the actual number of people who've had it without knowing is multiples of the national case numbers reported.

That is not accurate. This is the HSE, quoting in turn from WHO:

"For COVID-19, data to date suggest that 80% of infections are mild or asymptomatic, 15% are severe infection requiring oxygen and 5% are critical infections requiring ventilation. These fractions of severe and critical infection would be higher than those observed for influenza infection."

https://hselibrary.ie/what-is-the-rate-of-asymptomatic-carriage-of-covid-19-amongst-both-older-people-65-and-the-general-population/

WallyGUFC · 13-01-2021 5:04pm

1641 wrote: »

That is not accurate. This is the HSE, quoting in turn from WHO:

"For COVID-19, data to date suggest that 80% of infections are mild or asymptomatic, 15% are severe infection requiring oxygen and 5% are critical infections requiring ventilation. These fractions of severe and critical infection would be higher than those observed for influenza infection."

https://hselibrary.ie/what-is-the-rate-of-asymptomatic-carriage-of-covid-19-amongst-both-older-people-65-and-the-general-population/

The link below would also back up your point, seems like it was initially thought Asymptomatic cases were as high as 80% but that it has been reduced.
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4851

_Whimsical_ · 13-01-2021 5:16pm

Storm 10 wrote: »

Apparently these cases are a backlog going back as Galway had low numbers for the last week or so while the rest of the Country was high hopefully the figure will be lower tomorrow

We didn't have "low numbers" really. Numbers for the last 7 days or so have been in the region of 200, with somedays having up to 280. A few days of 200ish with everyone involved having just 2 or 3 contacts becomes 600 very easily.

We wouldn't be shocked to see a run of 2 or 3 cases for a few days suddenly jump to 6. Sadly the same principle applies, that could be just what's happening here.

zell12 · 13-01-2021 5:38pm

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

We didn't have "low numbers" really. Numbers for the last 7 days or so have been in the region of 200, with somedays having up to 280. A few days of 200ish with everyone involved having just 2 or 3 contacts becomes 600 very easily.
We wouldn't be shocked to see a run of 2 or 3 cases for a few days suddenly jump to 6. Sadly the same principle applies, that could be just what's happening here.

We kinda did. 3rd most populous county had disproportional low numbers, also compared to near counties Mayo and Clare.

_Whimsical_ · 13-01-2021 7:51pm

zell12 wrote: »

We kinda did. 3rd most populous county had disproportional low numbers, also compared to near counties Mayo and Clare.

Proportionally yes but it wouldn't really speak to the possibility of a bump in figures.

200 today though thank god!

13-01-2021 8:05pm

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

200 today though thank god!

Remember in March 2020 when there was frantic rumours of one possible case in a school in Craighwell... amazing how the thresholds for good and bad shift over time! :P

13-01-2021 8:16pm

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

200 today though thank god!

When things are so bad that the figure of 200 looks great

saabsaab · 13-01-2021 8:59pm

Maybe the large figure was as a result mass testing of an affected area or institution?

what_traffic · 13-01-2021 10:06pm

saabsaab wrote: »

Maybe the large figure was as a result mass testing of an affected area or institution?

Might be right, can only think of one institution in Galway that would give ya that kind of figure though.

Mrs OBumble · 13-01-2021 10:14pm

what_traffic wrote: »

Might be right, can only think of one institution in Galway that would give ya that kind of figure though.

UHG
NUIG
GMIT
Medtronic
Boston
...

JCX BXC · 14-01-2021 1:37pm

Mrs OBumble wrote: »

UHG
NUIG
GMIT
Medtronic
Boston
...

NUIG and GMIT wouldn't have 600+ people to test at the moment, come on.

what_traffic · 14-01-2021 5:29pm

Mrs OBumble wrote: »

UHG
NUIG
GMIT
Medtronic
Boston
...

UHG - alot of sections of it are very old, feel sorry for staff working in such an old hospital at the best of times, during a pandemic..... :eek:

zell12 · 14-01-2021 7:50pm

3955 cases nationally
217 cases in Galway
https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1349784804242415616?s=20

Mrs OBumble · 14-01-2021 9:00pm

JCX BXC wrote: »

NUIG and GMIT wouldn't have 600+ people to test at the moment, come on.

I haven't been on either campus for ages. Understand that labs were still happening until Christmas though.

jammiedodgers · 14-01-2021 11:57pm

The 600 figure earlier this week was part of a backlog

https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1349812557800943626

15-01-2021 10:51am

jammiedodgers wrote: »

The 600 figure earlier this week was part of a backlog

Would be nice if backlogs were applied to their original test date so we can see a more accurate trend in cases.

Bobeagleburger · 15-01-2021 10:54am

Was obvious enough it was backlog tbf.

200 or so a day in Galway seems the case number.

Hopefully they can sort the mess out in the hospital soon.

jammiedodgers · 15-01-2021 1:56pm

Deleted User wrote: »

Would be nice if backlogs were applied to their original test date so we can see a more accurate trend in cases.

I think the yellow line on this graph is what you're looking for?

From the CSO

15-01-2021 2:06pm

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Would be nice if backlogs were applied to their original test date so we can see a more accurate trend in cases.

I believe they did that originally but it was confusing af

15-01-2021 3:15pm

jammiedodgers wrote: »

I think the yellow line on this graph is what you're looking for?

From the CSO

Nice, thanks.

amandstu · 15-01-2021 5:01pm

Deleted User wrote: »

Nice, thanks.

So the daily cases (with the backlogs taken into account) have been falling?

I thought the R number was over 1?

Shouldn't daily numbers have been increasing all the while until such time as the R number dips beneath 1?

Have I misunderstood the yellow line in the graph?

kippy · 15-01-2021 5:14pm

amandstu wrote: »

So the daily cases (with the backlogs taken into account) have been falling?

I thought the R number was over 1?

Shouldn't daily numbers have been increasing all the while until such time as the R number dips beneath 1?

Have I misunderstood the yellow line in the graph?

It's not quite that straight forward unfortunately.
The case dedected case numbers are going down on a daily basis.

I'd suggest that the calculations on the R number are difficult at present as close contacts are not being tested, but one would assume the R number is dropping.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52473523

_Whimsical_ · 15-01-2021 5:25pm

ICU in Galway's hospitals has hit capacity now.

https://www.galwaydaily.com/news/covid-19/covid-19-intensive-care-units-at-capacity-in-galway-as-141-hospitalised/?fbclid=IwAR3MieeQw4sImMlsACi7fzYTmdc0PreanCHt771PfZ4qVJ2uwCahk6KDD4M

Scary as it's most likely next week that we will feel the surge, it's usually 10-14 days after infection that people require ICU care, and it's then our 200 a day numbers really bite.

gordongekko · 15-01-2021 6:13pm

amandstu wrote: »

So the daily cases (with the backlogs taken into account) have been falling?

I thought the R number was over 1?

Shouldn't daily numbers have been increasing all the while until such time as the R number dips beneath 1?

Have I misunderstood the yellow line in the graph?

They are not testing close contacts at the moment

zell12 · 15-01-2021 8:05pm

3498 nationally
187 in Galway
https://twitter.com/gavreilly

thecretinhop · 15-01-2021 8:05pm

https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/half-those-who-arrived-ireland-23325388

I need to lie down after reading that.

160000 came to ireland over Xmas..

serfboard · 15-01-2021 9:47pm

jammiedodgers wrote: »

I think the yellow line on this graph is what you're looking for?

Good God - that yellow line shows 9 days with over 5,000 cases each - or 45,000 in total.

Frightening stuff.

15-01-2021 10:26pm

jammiedodgers wrote: »

I think the yellow line on this graph is what you're looking for?

Can this be pulled for Galway only?

saabsaab · 15-01-2021 10:55pm

thecretinhop wrote: »

https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/half-those-who-arrived-ireland-23325388

I need to lie down after reading that.

160000 came to ireland over Xmas..

No further explanation is needed for surge.

Galway COVID-19, local news and discussion

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