Covid-XIX Part VI - 90 cases ROI (1 death) 29 in NI (as of 13 March) *Read OP*

DrumSteve

Fiftyfilthy wrote: »

Nothing to really add, other than I’m not ashamed to say I’m very worried.

Reading the last week or so about the scenarios in the Italian hospitals are truly frightening and I expect the same /worse for here

I’m not buying into the elderly only nonsense

We can only go by the stats, which support this predominantly targets older people.

That's not to say younger people won't be affected. Just to a lesser extent.

gmisk

Phibsboro wrote: »

Assuming they haven't left already I don't think anyone will be going.

I thought they were already gone?
Madness not to cancel these jaunts but hey

Poor_old_gill

People are cancelling holidays to the Canaries?
Why so?

Cilldara_2000

Bob24 wrote: »

Sorry if it has been posted already, but this (admitidly simplistic) chart summarises pretty well why containment is necessary in order not to overwhelm healthcare systems.

The peak of the yellow part is roughly three times higher than the flattened curve. If our yellow part is the worst case 1.9 to ~3m that is being talked about, we are equally fcuked if it's only one third of that. Even rounding down, the amount of people that would require treatment from 500,000 cases would need to be spread over many years for our health service (and I suspect every country's) to be able to deal with it.

Cilldara_2000

Cilldara_2000 wrote: »

He has no constitutional role in any decision making. Best he can do is stay at home and maybe issue some sort of recorded cheer leader type message.

He'll have to sign the emergency laws into law

odyssey06

mickey15ie wrote: »

DUe to travel to new york on Friday morning between minds about what to do. Aer Lingus not offering assistance with movement of flights without charging

Watch Trumps speech live then decide.

gmisk

The chan chan man wrote: »

Seriously...what is everyone so worried about?!

Maybe look at Italy?
Do we want to be in the same position in a couple of weeks?

Ipso

Clarence Boddiker wrote: »

Just a few short weeks ago the mainstream media were telling us there was nothing to worry about and the risk of it spreading in Ireland was low...

And non mainstream will lead you down tinfoil lined rabbit holes.

Assetbacked

Phibsboro wrote: »

I don't know if you saw my earlier post, but 9 new cases from 34 is a 27% increase, which implies the cases will more than double ever 3 days. Just to do the math for you a little:

13/03/20 53
14/03/20 68
15/03/20 87
16/03/20 110
17/03/20 140
18/03/20 179
19/03/20 227
20/03/20 289
21/03/20 368
22/03/20 468
23/03/20 596
24/03/20 759
25/03/20 966
26/03/20 1,229
27/03/20 1,564
28/03/20 1,991
29/03/20 2,534
30/03/20 3,225
31/03/20 4,104
01/04/20 5,223
02/04/20 6,648
03/04/20 8,461
04/04/20 10,769
05/04/20 13,706
06/04/20 17,443
07/04/20 22,201
08/04/20 28,256
09/04/20 35,962
10/04/20 45,769
11/04/20 58,252
12/04/20 74,139
13/04/20 94,358
14/04/20 120,092
15/04/20 152,845
16/04/20 194,530
17/04/20 247,584
18/04/20 315,106
19/04/20 401,045
20/04/20 510,420

That is where Italy are headed, hence the complete shutdown they are facing. We need to slow down the doubling rate and get as many people infected within the capacity of our hospitals as possible.

This maths implies we can test enough people to achieve those numbers of infection. As such, it is interesting but not very practical.

ACitizenErased

mickey15ie wrote: »

DUe to travel to new york on Friday morning between minds about what to do. Aer Lingus not offering assistance with movement of flights without charging

Have to say, Aer Lingus have been fairly poor in their handling of this whole thing. I'd say they're bricking it.

screamer

So Washington just declared a state of emergency, Leo must have landed. Ah sure a good old shniff of a bouwl a shamrock and he’ll be immune to the old coronavirus ☘️

Funsterdelux

Quote: Blueshoe
Today I was in Limerick and Tipperary with work. Handling foodstuffs. Tomorrow I will be in Kildare and Westmeath. Again handling foodstuffs.

Funsterdelux wrote: »

I asked my fishman today was he going to be using card payments, he said that he hadnt good enough signal in some the towns he goes to. But he did say he had a sponge wuth disinfectant ehen handling cash. He'd have to have good hygiene in general anyway.

The lad your quoting has had about five different jobs according to their posts since joining the site, the last time they were a non Irish Facebook employee, I'd believe nothing they post, but that goes for a few posters on here also.

ILoveYourVibes

France has around 2k cases.

Germany has 1.5k cases.

Italy has over 10k cases and a 4% fatality rate.

It doesn't take a genius to work out something is wrong with the way Italy is handling it.

There is something unique about the situation in Italy.

Jim_Hodge

kevthegaff wrote: »

If u get the virus can u work away or is it debilitating I'm a farmer so I would have no contact with other people if needs be(I could sleep away from my family)

25 year old guy on the radio this morning, who has now recovered, was in bed for four days with a high fever. He said with was debilitating.

jarvis

They’re keeping Mickey D in a glass jar with a few air holes bet into the top with a fork. Like when you used to catch bees.
I picture him bored waking around his mahoosive gaff like Megamind when Metro Man was gone from the scene.

Professor Moriarty

jokeshop wrote: »

Here i'll post the entirety of that threads content:

Practice basic hygiene.
Most people (90%+) will be mildly ill/won't even realise they have it.
If you feel sick then don't go to work/school and ring the helpline or whatever.
If your immune system is ****e or you are old ,then, best of luck! Another bullet to dodge!

Not that you care but:

6% become critically ill - lung failure, septic shock, organ failure and risk of death.
14% develop severe symptoms - difficulty breathing and shortness of breath.
80% develop mild symptoms - fever and cough and some may have pneumonia.

Kermit.de.frog

Look at the trajectory for the United States...

sterz

Fiftyfilthy wrote: »

Nothing to really add, other than I’m not ashamed to say I’m very worried.

Reading the last week or so about the scenarios in the Italian hospitals are truly frightening and I expect the same /worse for here

I’m not buying into the elderly only nonsense

Is that not the trend across all affected countries though? As in, it's affecting the elderly the most?

Spanish Eyes

Fiftyfilthy wrote: »

Nothing to really add, other than I’m not ashamed to say I’m very worried.

Good on you, and why the heck would you not be worried, everyone is, even if they don't/won't admit it.

There is too much bravado around, and slagging off of those who are observing the best practice rules. Typical Irish.

blackcard

whisky_galore wrote: »

Leo should stay at home instead of photo ops with a stupid bowl of shamrock and an orange faced baboon. Send Mickey D if someone must go.

I think if Trump offers to shake Leo's hand, Leo should turn down the offer, it would be giving a good message to 2 countries

whisky_galore

Phibsboro wrote: »

Assuming they haven't left already I don't think anyone will be going.

Good if that's the case. Ridiculous dated display of paddywhackery, along with annual pleading for the illegal Irish.

banie01

screamer wrote: »

So Washington just declared a state of emergency, Leo must have landed. Ah sure a good old shniff of a bouwl a shamrock and he’ll be immune to the old coronavirus ☘️

Washington State =/= Washington D.C

There's @ 3000 miles in the difference.

Just learned that D.C has also declared a state of emergency.
Carry on Screamer
Carry on

Andrew00

I have a family member with Crohns Disease/Colitis.

Should we be concerned can someone please answer

billybonkers

Is there a reason why we are so behind on shutting schools etc Denmark have just done it too

screamer

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Look at the trajectory for the United States...

All the way baby all the way, says the don

I posted yesterday about some us colleagues of mine who believe it’s all bull, all hype and less than seasonal flu..... they don’t realise it yet, but they’re fooked, awful stuff, and zero point trying to argue with them either.

Cartel Mike

Poor_old_gill wrote: »

People are cancelling holidays to the Canaries?
Why so?

Airports, Gatherings of large groups of people, Hotels that host large gatherings of people from all countries worldwide ...alot from badly effected countries. Do i need to go on?

gmisk

Poor_old_gill wrote: »

People are cancelling holidays to the Canaries?
Why so?

My folks literally just coming back from canaries today, I wouldn't be cancelling if I had a holiday booked, a lot worse places to be not sure if they any cases?

Kermit.de.frog

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Look at the trajectory for the United States...

Not to politize this,but surely this will drive people to that ould lad that wants to bring in free healthcare over there

amadangomor

kevthegaff wrote: »

If u get the virus can u work away or is it debilitating I'm a farmer so I would have no contact with other people if needs be(I could sleep away from my family)

Varies hugely. Ranges from people being more or less symptom free to other
people needing ICU treatment very quickly. Most people will experience fever and a dry cough and the rest of the symptoms can vary - some will have a wet cough, some runny nose. Very dangerous for people with a whole host of underlying conditions.

I'm just some randomer from the internet and I don't stand by this so please look this up for reputable sources.

Bob24

Cilldara_2000 wrote: »

The peak of the yellow part is roughly three times higher than the flattened curve. If our yellow part is the worst case 1.9 to ~3m that is being talked about, we are equally fcuked if it's only one third of that. Even rounding down, the amount of people that would require treatment from 500,000 cases would need to be spread over many years for our health service (and I suspect every country's) to be able to deal with it.

To be clear, this is a very generic chart to explain the concept of containment mesures - it is not meant to represent exactly what happens with Covid-19 (and of course the difference between the two curves will depend on how severe containment measures are - in Wuhan they actually contain so much that they suppressed he epidemic but that was a the cost of strictly locking down everyone at home).