CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) *Read OP*

threeball

is_that_so wrote: »

Leo says no, they are going to hammer home social distancing. Suggested in the conference that quarantine doesn't work.

That's because they need people to get it, but slowly

dodzy

is_that_so wrote: »

RTE News Now

????

Tony EH

freshpopcorn wrote: »

Spar/Texaco Fermoy!

That's practically useless.

Boggles

SteelyDanJalapeno wrote: »

Source?

About 20 companies I had to deal with today.

All going for a Friday lockdown and shutting up shop.

hotmail.com

threeball wrote: »

Clashing with French and American announcements so pushed back I'd imagine.

How would foreign speeches come into the decision of a timing of a press conference here.

SleetAndSnow

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Holohan needs to get from one press conference to the other presumably.

Hopefully anyway, just presumed they would have had that already pre-planned when they made the timing.

Most likely explains why its later then 6pm today aswell.

circadian

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Pushed to 9pm? This can't be a good sign surely

Quick changing situation, lots of meetings today so compiling everything they got together. Leo said expect about 30% day on day increases. That suggests about 52 today.

I'd say it's pushed back as all relevant bodies relay the information for the day.

BorneTobyWilde

Achasanai wrote: »

I wonder if maybe he's talking to medical experts?

Talking like we're Italy 2.0, which is silly considering we have shut down pretty darn fast compared to them.

Timberrrrrrrr

Tony EH wrote: »

That's practically useless.

Beats someone coughing or sneezing on you.

Exclamation Marc

dodzy wrote: »

????

It's a channel.

Jim_Hodge

dark crystal wrote: »

I think the schools will definitely stay closed until after Easter anyway.

I suspect schools could be until September. It's to 29th March for everything so as to ease people in to the idea, establish routines etc

fullstop

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

No one knows, but why pull numbers out of his arse.

WTF are you even talking about? Do you think he just made up the figure? Or perhaps someone modelled it and told him what the model said? You seem to know the deal anyway.

Volthar

Tony EH wrote: »

That's practically useless.

Even if it is like a placebo, it does help morale and mental health.
Kudos to all cashiers here in Ireland. Must be a nerve-wrecking job these days.

Monkeynut

dan786 wrote: »

Its because Holohan just finished the sub committee briefing few mins ago.

I was thinking the same thing.

Like please give us an hour. I need some a small break and some dinner.
Who knows how long he's been up since.

Strazdas

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Where the hell did Varadkar get the 15,000 mark from?

30% growth day on day for 14 days (the 30 being a rough ball park number.....could be 34% or whatever)

yermandan

dodzy wrote: »

????

https://www.rte.ie/player/onnow/66546216065

Sky channel 521

Hurrache

Boggles wrote: »

About 20 companies I had to deal with today.

All going for a Friday lockdown and shutting up shop.

But this is all based in rumour, hearsay or expectation. Ireland is a small country, ****ty rumours spread fast, but equally many of us work with many companies and state bodies around the country, enough so that no secrets are kept. The government don't even know at this point what's going to happen Friday, nevermind 20 random companies.

billybonkers

Is it on rte news now?

Get Real

Sorry if posted already. But sweet Jesus...

Brits in Benidorm, they know best eh? Freedom, Independence and what have you...

https://twitter.com/RTUKnews/status/1239584711346769920?s=19

murpho999

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Where the hell did Varadkar get the 15,000 mark from?

He based it on 30% increase per day. It's going to happen.

Blueshoe

VinLieger wrote: »

The EUs ban is to stop it spreading further inside and outaide the EU, complwtely different to his idiotic plan which was weeks too late from being effective

Ah go away out of that. Comical.

Inquitus

Dow looks like closing close to the same level as on Trump's inauguration day!

The Dow closed at 19,827.25 on Trump's Inauguration Day, currently sits at 20,123 barely 300 points above that level.

Volthar

Strazdas wrote: »

30% growth day on day for 14 days (the 30 being a rough ball park number.....could be 34% or whatever)

Sounds like someone just typed in a formula in Excel and dragged it down. Using such "analysis" we are going to get 10 million infected in Ireland by mid-April. Wait, there are only 5 million here.

is_that_so

threeball wrote: »

That's because they need people to get it, but slowly

Indeed, the flattening of the curve.

Talisman

1st dalkey dalkey wrote: »

Googled this 'herd immunity' thing and got this;

""To achieve herd immunity for measles at least 90-95% of the population need to be vaccinated. A disease like polio is less contagious, and 80-85% of the population would need to be vaccinated for herd immunity to work"

Where is the UK getting its '60%' figure from?

Based on the above 60% would suggest that Covid is not very contagious at all, yet we see Italy and Spain with huge contagion.

It's based upon an equation.

1 - (1 / R)

R is the infection rate so if an infected individual is likely to infect 20 people then the equation becomes 1 - (1 / 20) -> 19/20 or 95%.

Given that the virus is new there is limited data and the value of R is open to interpretation. If R is low (2~3) then you can get the figure that the UK is using.

ACitizenErased

murpho999 wrote: »

He based it on 30% increase per day. It's going to happen.

That's 3000 people per million. Italy has 462 cases per million.

Achasanai

Strazdas wrote: »

It depends what you mean by 'lockdown'. The Taoiseach says he wants people to be able to leave their houses, so it looks like Italy / Spain / France type lockdown is not coming.

Fingers crossed. On a personal level, getting out for a walk (whilst maintaining proper social distancing) is a really important way of breaking the feeling of cabin fever (when it does start biting).

threeball

hotmail.com wrote: »

How would foreign speeches come into the decision of a timing of a press conference here.

Because people watch them on sky or whatever, ours then goes under the radar

ShamoBuc

With the greater level of hygiene etc, does anyone know if the number of deaths in Ireland caused by the flu has actually decrased in the past month? Or do you think next month will show a decrease or are we far enough out of the flu season not to see any noticeable difference.

cnocbui

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

I wonder is his only treatment isolation

Judging by the video, it might be a bit early to go sticking him on a ventilator.

spookwoman

https://twitter.com/ShaneBeattyNews/status/1239641471185289221?s=20

Hurrache

billybonkers wrote: »

Is it on rte news now?

No, at 9

xtal191

https://twitter.com/JOEdotie/status/1239642113173786624

dodzy

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

It's a channel.

Don’t be such a tool. It was not on at time of posting.

Atlantic Dawn

Trump just gave himself a modest 10 out of 10 for managing the crisis.

Tomrota

spookwoman wrote: »

https://twitter.com/ShaneBeattyNews/status/1239641471185289221?s=20

Why like? Are they announcing something big?

shesty

Volthar wrote: »

Sounds like someone just typed in a formula in Excel and dragged it down. Using such "analysis" we are going to get 10 million infected in Ireland by mid-April. Wait, there are only 5 million here.

So it might be nice to assume that is a worse case scenario figure...

Jenna James

Get Real wrote: »

Sorry if posted already. But sweet Jesus...

Brits in Benidorm, they know best eh? Freedom, Independence and what have you...

https://twitter.com/RTUKnews/status/1239584711346769920?s=19

Incredible...

hotmail.com

threeball wrote: »

Because people watch them on sky or whatever, ours then goes under the radar

But our broadcaster wouldn't show foreign speeches over our own and Sky News don't show our press conferences.

extra gravy

hotmail.com wrote: »

It's the reality. Some live alone and some don't like their wives.

I bet plenty of their wives don't like them either.

BorneTobyWilde

Person asked Trump

'' on a scale to 1-10 how would you rate your response to this virus''

Trump

'' 10''

spookwoman

Tomrota wrote: »

Why like? Are they announcing something big?

Haven't a clue why

hotmail.com

extra gravy wrote: »

I bet plenty of their wives don't like them either.

Yes it's the wives I feel sorry for.

ACitizenErased

shesty wrote: »

So it might be nice to assume that is a worse case scenario figure...

It's a ridiculous figure. Suggesting 3000 cases for every million. Italy has 462 per million.

Tony EH

Timberrrrrrrr wrote: »

Beats someone coughing or sneezing on you.

It might do something to stop a direct cough or sneeze, but it won't stop human breath, which will get over, under and around something like that with ease.

auspicious

lbj666 wrote: »

I means that those that die are dieing faster than those that are due to recover are making a full recovery. Italy critical health service is so over capacity that it's in a triage situation where those with the least chance of making it are being left to die.

Italian doctors having to make tough calls with only so many ventilators to go around.
The strategy is to help the least sick
recover as quickly as possible. If the really sick are given the ventilators first then the hospitals will collapse under the pressure.
This is why the U.K. want all OAPs to self isolate for 4 months.

antodeco

Volthar wrote: »

Sounds like someone just typed in a formula in Excel and dragged it down. Using such "analysis" we are going to get 10 million infected in Ireland by mid-April. Wait, there are only 5 million here.

That's not how viruses work. They don't infect 10 million people when there's only 5 million.

It's like saying if it take €10 out of my account, that only has €100 in it, for 30 days, I'll eventually have €300

Strazdas

Volthar wrote: »

Sounds like someone just typed in a formula in Excel and dragged it down. Using such "analysis" we are going to get 10 million infected in Ireland by mid-April. Wait, there are only 5 million here.

No, he's only prepared to talk about the next fortnight.

He said the figure could 'theoretically' go to 100k or 1m but he's not in a position to predict that.

Thingymebob

Get Real wrote: »

Sorry if posted already. But sweet Jesus...

Brits in Benidorm, they know best eh? Freedom, Independence and what have you...

https://twitter.com/RTUKnews/status/1239584711346769920?s=19

He looks like he’s the long lost member of that minority family that wrecked havoc in New Zealand then got deported

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6592731/Go-Ireland-Gypsy-dad-denies-trashing-beach-putting-ants-familys-meals.html

Drumpot

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Person asked Trump

'' on a scale to 1-10 how would you rate your response to this virus''

Trump

'' 10''

I was expecting him to say 100 out of 10, he’s losing his touch