CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)*OP upd 28/03*

An Ciarraioch

8 and a third % daily increase.

Professor Moriarty

WhiteMemento9 wrote: »

You have to really fear for what is going on in India. They have such dense population centres and now people are trying to flea to rural home towns. It is all a recipe for an absolute catastrophe

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6439aOtzEWs

Depressing. All those people spreading out across the country.

murpho999

wakka12 wrote: »

Just 200 new cases, that is amazing. The measures have clearly been highly effective, and worked very quickly.

RIP to the 10 who died.

People will just say that we're not testing.

The death numbers , whilst tragic are also lower and we're no where near the forecasted 15,000 at the end of the month.

Hopefully this keeps going over next few weeks.

SleetAndSnow

Could this drop be due to the new testing criteria?

branie2

May the ten people who died rest in peace

redarmy

10 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 in Ireland have died, 8 male and 2 female

Gooey Looey

wakka12 wrote: »

Just 200 new cases, that is amazing. The measures have clearly been highly effective, and worked very quickly.
It seems Ireland has certainly managed to avoid the exponential growth experienced in mainland Europe.

RIP to the 10 who died.

200 only tells you the ability to process tests. There is a big backlog

RurtBeynolds

Atlantic Dawn wrote: »

200 is good news.

Could be 400 tomorrow, far too early to tell.

careless sherpa

harr wrote: »

Happy if it’s just 200 new cases but it seems artificially low at this point .. the number of deaths seems high in comparison to number of cases

I know a lot if people down with the flu at the moment and none tested. I imagine the the 200 new cases is only a fraction of what is out there

JP Liz V1

10 deaths today (RIP) that is bad

They fact we are short test kits and now many are waiting on tests and results is disappointing plus also talk of some lost tests

In other news Dr. Ciara is back out walking since yesterday

Jim_Hodge

cameramonkey wrote: »

We seem to be doing about 700 test a day average from the time the outbreak arrived in Ireland.

HSE said we are doing 5000 tests a day.

An Ciarraioch

6 of the deaths were in the East, 3 in the NW and one in the South. Median age of deceased was 77, 8 male and 2 female.

jobeenfitz

Fakediamond wrote: »

https://youtu.be/gAk7aX5hksU

An absolute must watch from start to finish...

Well worth the Watch.

murpho999

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Could this drop be due to the new testing criteria?

Gooey Looey wrote: »

200 only tells you the ability to process tests. There is a big backlog

No as they are still testing thousands each day and getting results.

I think the numbers are positive.

kilkenny31

jesus_thats_gre wrote: »

Is it still not a reasonable sample of how prevalent the virus is in the community?

And still a whole lot better than having considerably less testing in terms of getting a feel for just how much trouble we are in.

That had been my theory. If the number of confirmed cases goes down then its safe to take that as representative. Similar to an opinion poll. Theres a good chance that our peak of confirmed new cases has been met.

Seamai

harr wrote: »

Happy if it’s just 200 new cases but it seems artificially low at this point .. the number of deaths seems high in comparison to number of cases

It's to be welcomed, I'd like to think that maybe steps taken 2 and a half weeks ago might be starting to have a positive effect, I know some of the doom merchants here will say otherwise, only time will tell.

wakka12

An Ciarraioch wrote: »

6 of the deaths were in the East, 3 in the NW and one in the South. Median age of deceased was 77, 8 male and 2 female.

So it seems like they were probably all nursing home deaths again

FVP3

murpho999 wrote: »

When crisis occur it doesn't always have to be someone's fault.

..

I feel much safer in Ireland, and think Irish people are doing their part then I would in most other countries.

I'd take the critics of the government more seriously if they had demanded a full lock down on Feb 29th. Which they mostly didn't of course. Nobody did. In fact quite a few who were cynics at the start were castigating the government later.

tscul32

Family member tested last Monday, no results yet! These 200 could be from last week.

cameramonkey

Martina1991 wrote: »

You keep saying 700 but then say we dont know how many are being tested so where are you getting that number from?

The last numbers that were released were as of 23 March, 17,992 tests had been carried out. That was 23 rd March, so approx 700 a day since start of outbreak. Maybe the HSE could publish their testing and processing figures.
If you have more recent numbers I would be happy to correct my self.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_Republic_of_Ireland#Testing

Kerry25x

Gooey Looey wrote: »

200 only tells you the ability to process tests. There is a big backlog

Same as most countries. 200 is very positive.

Doctor Jimbob

From a quick look it seems to me like we have less deaths than Italy had after a similar number of cases. We're also showing quite a slow increase in cases compared to other countries. Any death is one too many of course, and it's early days, but the signs are promising.

marilynrr

Any updated figures from ICU?

An Ciarraioch

cameramonkey wrote: »

The last numbers that were released were about .As of 23 March, 17,992 tests had been carried out. That was 23 rd March, so approx 700 a since start of outbreak. Maybe the HSE could publish their testing and processing figures.
If you have more recent numbers I would be happy to correct my self.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_Republic_of_Ireland#Testing

Fergal Bowers tweeted this morning that over the last week, 5,000 tests were done per day.

FVP3

Gooey Looey wrote: »

200 only tells you the ability to process tests. There is a big backlog

RurtBeynolds wrote: »

Could be 400 tomorrow, far too early to tell.

Why always assume the worst. Since testing picked up in the last few weeks is that the only reason for the recent increases? I think what we have done so far will clearly have an effect on this

cosanostra

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

HSE said we are doing 5000 tests a day.

Doing or have the capacity to do? I think i seen somewhere that cork ran out of test kits today, its also taking an awful long time to get results back

ZX7R

RurtBeynolds wrote: »

Could be 400 tomorrow, far too early to tell.

It's two weeks since schools and colleges closed technically numbers Wise we should be starting to see a slight drop in invection numbers

bennyl10

Gooey Looey wrote: »

200 only tells you the ability to process tests. There is a big backlog

So these are from when we’re testing far more people then?
Everywhere has a backlog.

200 today is promising and stays in line with out curve looking good.

If theyre expecting a peak in 2 ish weeks 200 a day is what we want to see

wakka12

Cases now at 700k, about 30 hours after reaching 600k

May be over a million by the time April rolls around

cameramonkey

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

HSE said we are doing 5000 tests a day.

Doing 5000 but processing how many? Can you give me a link to the overall number of tests carried out.

rossie1977

India was always going to be an issue if it took hold. Couple that with a horrible government and its recipe for disaster.

The absolute poverty in places Delhi, Agra and Mumbai is unimaginable unless you witness it in person. I saw kids as young as 5-6 naked and completely filthy from head to head running around train stations.

Townships in South Africa are going to be extremely hard hit from this. ANC are another government that won't be able to cope with a major outbreak.

An Ciarraioch

marilynrr wrote: »

Any updated figures from ICU?

77 on Friday, 88 today.

Ten of Swords

8% increase in cases vs yesterday

10 deaths

CIARAN_BOYLE

cameramonkey wrote: »

The last numbers that were released were about .As of 23 March, 17,992 tests had been carried out. That was 23 rd March, so approx 700 a since start of outbreak. Maybe the HSE could publish their testing and processing figures.
If you have more recent numbers I would be happy to correct my self.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_Republic_of_Ireland#Testing

On that day they said they were doing 2,000 a day so they had gone from very few to testing a large amount.

This mornings news conference said they were testing 5,000 a day.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0329/1127082-coronavirus-tracker/

Martina1991

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Could this drop be due to the new testing criteria?

The new criteria is designed to test those most likely to have the virus i.e. those with more severe symptoms and those in at risk groups.

The numbers released these days are cases detected since restrictive social distancing was introduced and the schools closed. It is an early sign that these measures are working.

growleaves

Joint task force between Israel and the Palestinians too. Daily meetings.

Says they prefer to work together than take Europe's lead. Ouch, harsh

In a reversal of the norm, journalists from Gaza will write articles with the title, "Europe: The world's largest open-air prison".

Coyote

I do think that the new testing criteria could cause a downward blip, happy if it's not but just be careful to not get too happy

r93kaey5p2izun

Several of the test centres closed without notice today because they ran out of kits. This will impact reported new cases in a few days. We cannot look at new case numbers as indicative of anything when testing is chopping and changing criteria, or suddenly put on hold. If testing criteria and capacity isn't consistent, then patterns in the cases reported are not meaningful.

thecomedian

cosanostra wrote: »

Doing or have the capacity to do? I think i seen somewhere that cork ran out of test kits today, its also taking an awful long time to get results back

There doing 5000 a day.
200 is good, we’re seeing results of school closures and distancing.

SleetAndSnow

murpho999 wrote: »

No as they are still testing thousands each day and getting results.

I think the numbers are positive.

If so then that's brilliant news!

Sober Crappy Chemis

Why can't some people accept any promising news, and instead have to get all disappointed and frantic by putting so much negative spin and speculation on any positivity.

It is getting very fcucking tiring on this thread.

thecomedian

Dana Mealy Tyrant wrote: »

Several of the test centres closed without notice today because they ran out of kits. This will impact reported new cases in a few days. We cannot look at new case numbers as indicative of anything when testing is chopping and changing criteria, or suddenly put on hold. If testing criteria and capacity isn't consistent, then patterns in the cases reported are not meaningful.

Probably next weeks results and be that time the number of deaths will be more important.

marilynrr

ZX7R wrote: »

It's two weeks since schools and colleges closed technically numbers Wise we should be starting to see a slight drop in invection numbers

Not necessarily just yet. Some of those numbers could be from people who spread it to other people in their households.

eddie73

Doctor Jimbob wrote: »

From a quick look it seems to me like we have less deaths than Italy had after a similar number of cases. We're also showing quite a slow increase in cases compared to other countries. Any death is one too many of course, and it's early days, but the signs are promising.

The increase over the past few days has been very good in the exponential scheme of things.

We differ from Italy in that their elderly tend to live with their families rather than alone. The virus therefore spread a lot more easily between generations over there. Most of their victims are in the elderly age bracket.

We also differ from them in that we are tend to live in one off housing out of the major cities. Their population is a lot more urban.

Plus we have had a head start in terms of putting measures in place to slow the spread of the virus. they didn't have that chance.

But having said all of this, we are in a much better situation than we could have hoped for. Lets keep it up. there is nothing in the bank yet.

Roger_007

I’ve been watching Governor Cuomo of New York every day for the past few days doing his daily update. The man is just brilliant. He tells it like it is, he doesn’t sugarcoat anything but he does it in such a way that boosts morale and treats the people as adults. You would wish that he was the president instead of the buffoon that’s in the White House now.
I think Cuomo’s update talks will be used as textbook examples in future to educate leaders on how to show leadership in a crisis.

bennyl10

Ten of Swords wrote: »

8% increase in cases vs yesterday

10 deaths

The percentage is very promising though

Marsden35

growleaves wrote: »

In a reversal of the norm, journalists from Gaza will write articles with the title, "Europe: The world's largest open-air prison".

It would be quite the troll move by Israel to offer to lift the blockade just now. It's the last thing Gazans want right now.

threeball

The Belarusian president has left all sporting events open and is recommending that people drink vodka and wash their hands in it to combat the virus but not at work.

bekker

bob mcbob wrote: »

The Chinese government announced that the lockdown on Hubei province was lifted. The attached video (from yesterday) showed what happened when some people in Hubei tried to cross the bridge to the next province

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43Hot5n2Evg

No relevance to the quote, track back posts.

Refers to incident reported in South China Morning Post a few days ago, migrant workers trying to return to neighbouring province. Remember same sort of scenes in Hong Kong about people crossing from the adjoining area.

Doesn't prove Hubei isn't reopening, doesn't mean quarantine hasn't been lifted.

Does prove that people in Jiangxi don't want migrant workers returning, maybe because of fears of viral infection, maybe because huge job losses, and they want those remaining for home boys.

Only have v.sketchy acquaintance with Chinese history, but maybe a bit of Cork/Limerick at work also.

Same images can be used by CPC, as need for strict central control to avoid falling into 'warlordism.

It's all in the spin.

Gooey Looey

murpho999 wrote: »

No as they are still testing thousands each day and getting results.

I think the numbers are positive.

They are taking samples from thousands, how many do the process per day? People wait days for results so this figure is where we were at days ago