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Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

Beasty · 2020-04-10 21:56:57

Can everyone pay attention to the mod warnings set out below. In particular please remain civil to each other Thread I Thread II Thread III Thread IV Thread V Thread VI Thread VII Thread VIII Thread IX Thread X Thread XI Thread XII Thread XIII Thread XIV Mod warnings – I have condensed these given the size the OP has…

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#8462 18-04-2020 7:32pm
Michael Dwyer

Closed Accounts Posts: 78 ✭✭

Join Date: April 2020

Posts: 78

Danzy wrote: »

Ahh lad come on, the poor Aul us routine is well over done.

If the original Michael Dwyer thought like you, he would have stayed in Bed.

You didn't really get the post if you thought it was poor us..

Michael Dwyer would see BS for what it was. His ilk dealt in realities. Not fluffy media conferences.

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#8463 18-04-2020 7:32pm
joe_99

Closed Accounts Posts: 763 ✭✭✭

Join Date: July 2013

Posts: 752

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

You just need reassurance and someone to put your dodi back in when it drops. Mammy tell me I'm good. I lack confidence. Post colonial inferiority complex.

Tell me we top the Eurovision song contest winners list again mammy! I'm soft!

Diiddums indeed.

You seem intent on having a fight tonight. I recommend others to ignore you. I will be.

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#8464 18-04-2020 7:33pm
[Deleted User]
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Posts: 0

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

No there's always some excuse. We're doing more tests. We're strategically testing. We include nursing homes. Others tell lies but we're squeaky clean. It would remind you of the time our athletes never doped..then along came Michelle Smith, Cian O'Connor's horse etc.

The death rates and infection rates are high for an island nation. We have people coming on here delighted with the curve flattening. They proclaim it as if all was well. An average death rate of 30-40 people a day for the next 3 weeks may be a flattened curve but it's still very poor performance in curtailing Covid.

630 new cases is the second highest 'fresh' total recorded after 657 one day last week.

Tony Holohan etc are lovely mild mannered civil servants who engage in platitudes and niceties so that the masses remain relatively calm. They state we're below R1, their beloved models say so. That can only be a guess given percentages tested and guess work at how contagious Covid is.

These are the people who told us for a fortnight in late February and early March that we were low risk, when the dogs on the street could see otherwise. And we're supposed to trust their judgement and the veracity of their pronouncements now?

Those on here who say 'oh Tony said this, Tony said that'. Tony said we were low risk too.

I will ask anyone the same question to bring to the level of the individual. Are you hearing of more or less people either ill, awaiting test or await results than this time two weeks ago? For me, and people I talk too it’s far far less. If this is the case in a week or so we will see the results. Today’s numbers are not today’s reality but the new infections of probably 2 to 3 weeks ago

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#8465 18-04-2020 7:35pm
[Deleted User]
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no.8 wrote: »

Sadly noted in the figures that the age range of those who've passed away in Ireland due to complications caused BYU COVID-19 has now gone from 25-105 (yesterday) to 23-105 in today's figures. Desperately sad, terribly young. RIP to all souls

Loads of posts yesterday about a 23 year old

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#8466 18-04-2020 7:35pm
UrbanFret

Registered Users Posts: 2,055 ✭✭✭

Join Date: August 2012

Posts: 1957

SCOOP 64 wrote: »

41 dead in the last 10 days would they be that way out?

No the total number of deaths are correct. It just means the 44 confirmed today didn't all die in the last 24 hours. If you get my meaning.

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#8467 18-04-2020 7:35pm
bekker

Registered Users Posts: 912 ✭✭✭

Join Date: June 2009

Posts: 910

Included 1 death later rescinded by HSE (Mar. AKAIR) but not geographically located, so left in.

HSE 15th Apr - 1 death that was reported earlier has now been discounted, again not geographically located, so left in.

So total now 2 greater than HSE total of 571 - 18th Apr.

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#8468 18-04-2020 7:35pm
nacho libre

Registered Users Posts: 16,746 ✭✭✭✭

Join Date: August 2006

Posts: 16533

If we have plateaued(?), could we expect to see the number of new cases fall markedly by the end of next week?

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#8469 18-04-2020 7:36pm
Michael Dwyer

Closed Accounts Posts: 78 ✭✭

Join Date: April 2020

Posts: 78

joe_99 wrote: »

You seem intent on having a fight tonight. I recommend others to ignore you. I will be.

What's wrong Joe? Are you not able to stand up for yourself? What a pathetic comment. Joe if you're going to ignore don't reply in the first place...

Every statement that's brought forward showing we're not doing aswell as the PR bluster has a caveat, doesn't it.

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#8470 18-04-2020 7:37pm
tobefrank321

Registered Users Posts: 4,504 ✭✭✭

Join Date: March 2020

Posts: 4483

Something mystifies me.

Our ICU admissions have levelled off and are well below the maximum threshold. This has been lauded as good news.

Yet many of the deaths had no underlying conditions. Yesterday, 19 had no underlying conditions.

Are they not going to ICU?

Age might be the issue but a large numberly of elderly people have recovered from this internationally. There's been reports of people in their 80s, 90s and over 100 recovering in hospital.

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#8471 18-04-2020 7:37pm
GM228

Registered Users Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭

Join Date: September 2014

Posts: 8801

Ireland Coronavirus Statistics - Day 50 – Saturday 18/04/2020
All data is cumulative

Day
|
Date
|
Cases
|
New Cases
|
Total Cases
|
Case Increase
|
Reporting Increase
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
Deaths daily increase
|
CFR
|
New Hosp
|
Total Hosp
|
Hosp %
|
Hosp daily increase
|
New ICU
|
Total ICU
|
ICU %
|
ICU daily increase
|
Recovered**
|
Recovery %
|
Population
| Active Cases***

1
|
29/02/2020
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

2
|
01/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

3
|
02/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

4
|
03/03/2020
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 2

5
|
04/03/2020
|
2
|
4
|
6
|
200%
|
300%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 6

6
|
05/03/2020
|
6
|
7
|
13
|
117%
|
75%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 13

7
|
06/03/2020
|
13
|
5
|
18
|
38%
|
-29%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 18

8
|
07/03/2020
|
18
|
1
|
19
|
6%
|
-80%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 19

9
|
08/03/2020
|
19
|
2
|
21
|
11%
|
100%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 21

10
|
09/03/2020
|
21
|
3
|
24
|
14%
|
50%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 24

11
|
10/03/2020
|
24
|
10
|
34
|
42%
|
233%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 34

12
|
11/03/2020
|
34
|
9
|
43
|
26%
|
-10%
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
2.3%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 42

13
|
12/03/2020
|
43
|
27
|
70
|
63%
|
200%
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
1.4%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 69

14
|
13/03/2020
|
70
|
20
|
90
|
29%
|
-26%
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
1.1%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.002%
| 89

15
|
14/03/2020
|
90
|
39
|
129
|
43%
|
95%
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
1.6%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.003%
| 127

16
|
15/03/2020
|
129
|
40
|
169
|
31%
|
3%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
1.2%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.003%
| 167

17
|
16/03/2020
|
169
|
54
|
223
|
32%
|
35%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
0.9%
|
84
|
84
|
38%
|
N/A
|
84
|
6
|
3%
|
N/A
|
5
|
2%
|
0.005%
| 216

18
|
17/03/2020
|
223
|
69
|
292
|
31%
|
28%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
0.7%
|
24
|
108
|
37%
|
29%
|
1
|
7
|
2%
|
17%
|
5
|
2%
|
0.006%
| 285

19
|
18/03/2020
|
292
|
74
|
366
|
25%
|
7%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
0.5%
|
32
|
140
|
38%
|
30%
|
5
|
12
|
3%
|
71%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.007%
| 359

20
|
19/03/2020
|
366
|
191
|
557
|
52%
|
158%
|
1
|
3
|
50%
|
0.5%
|
33
|
173
|
31%
|
24%
|
1
|
13
|
2%
|
8%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.011%
| 549

21
|
20/03/2020
|
557
|
126
|
683
|
23%
|
-34%
|
0
|
3
|
0%
|
0.4%
|
38
|
211
|
31%
|
22%
|
4
|
17
|
2%
|
31%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.014%
| 675

22
|
21/03/2020
|
683
|
102
|
785
|
15%
|
-19%
|
0
|
3
|
33%
|
0.4%
|
28
|
239
|
30%
|
13%
|
8
|
25
|
3%
|
47%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.016%
| 777

23
|
22/03/2020
|
785
|
121
|
906
|
15%
|
19%
|
1
|
4
|
33%
|
0.4%
|
38
|
277
|
31%
|
16%
|
11
|
36
|
4%
|
44%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.018%
| 897

24
|
23/03/2020
|
906
|
219
|
1125
|
24%
|
81%
|
2
|
6
|
50%
|
0.5%
|
28
|
305
|
27%
|
10%
|
3
|
39
|
3%
|
8%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.023%
| 1114

25
|
24/03/2020
|
1125
|
204
|
1329
|
18%
|
-7%
|
1
|
7
|
17%
|
0.5%
|
35
|
340
|
26%
|
11%
|
8
|
47
|
4%
|
21%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.027%
| 1317

26
|
25/03/2020
|
1329
|
235
|
1564
|
18%
|
15%
|
2
|
9
|
29%
|
0.6%
|
79
|
419
|
27%
|
23%
|
12
|
59
|
4%
|
26%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.032%
| 1550

27
|
26/03/2020
|
1564
|
255
|
1819
|
16%
|
9%
|
10
|
19
|
111%
|
1%
|
70
|
489
|
27%
|
17%
|
8
|
67
|
4%
|
14%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.037%
| 1795

28
|
27/03/2020
|
1819
|
302
|
2121
|
17%
|
18%
|
3
|
22
|
16%
|
1%
|
75
|
564
|
27%
|
15%
|
10
|
77
|
4%
|
15%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.043%
| 2094

29
|
28/03/2020
|
2121
|
294
|
2415
|
14%
|
-3%
|
14
|
36
|
64%
|
1.5%
|
81
|
645
|
27%
|
14%
|
7
|
84
|
3%
|
9%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.049%
| 2374

30
|
29/03/2020
|
2415
|
200
|
2615
|
8%
|
-32%
|
10
|
46
|
28%
|
1.8%
|
58
|
703
|
27%
|
9%
|
29
|
113
|
4%
|
35%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.053%
| 2564

31
|
30/03/2020
|
2615
|
295
|
2910
|
11%
|
48%
|
8
|
54
|
17%
|
1.9%
|
131
|
834
|
29%
|
19%
|
13
|
126
|
4%
|
12%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.059%
| 2851

32
|
31/03/2020
|
2910
|
325
|
3235
|
11%
|
10%
|
17
|
71
|
31%
|
2.2%
|
98
|
932
|
29%
|
12%
|
8
|
134
|
4%
|
6%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.066%
| 3139

33
|
01/04/2020
|
3235
|
212
|
3447
|
7%
|
-35%
|
14
|
85
|
20%
|
2.5%
|
107
|
1039
|
30%
|
11%
|
14
|
148
|
4%
|
10%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.070%
| 3337

34
|
02/04/2020
|
3447
|
402
|
3849
|
12%
|
90%
|
13
|
98
|
15%
|
2.5%
|
79
|
1118
|
29%
|
8%
|
10
|
158
|
4%
|
7%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.078%
| 3726

35
|
03/04/2020
|
3849
|
424
|
4273
|
11%
|
5%
|
22
|
120
|
22%
|
2.8%
|
85
|
1203
|
28%
|
8%
|
7
|
165
|
4%
|
4%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.087%
| 4128

36
|
04/04/2020
|
4273
|
331
|
4604
|
8%
|
-22%
|
17
|
137
|
14%
|
3.0%
|
62
|
1265
|
27%
|
5%
|
4
|
169
|
4%
|
2%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.094%
| 4442

37
|
05/04/2020
|
4604
|
390
|
4994
|
8%
|
18%
|
21
|
158
|
15%
|
3.2%
|
80
|
1345
|
27%
|
6%
|
25
|
194
|
4%
|
15%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.101%
| 4811

38
|
06/04/2020
|
4994
|
370
|
5364
|
7%
|
-5%
|
16
|
174
|
10%
|
3.2%
|
127
|
1472
|
27%
|
9%
|
30
|
224
|
4%
|
15%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.109%
| 5165

39
|
07/04/2020
|
5364
|
345
|
5709
|
6%
|
-7%
|
36
|
210
|
21%
|
3.7%
|
49
|
1521
|
27%
|
3%
|
6
|
230
|
4%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.116%
| 5474

40
|
08/04/2020
|
5709
|
365
|
6074
|
6%
|
6%
|
25
|
235
|
12%
|
3.9%
|
110
|
1631
|
27%
|
7%
|
14
|
244
|
4%
|
6%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.123%
| 5814

41
|
09/04/2020
|
6074
|
500
|
6574
|
8%
|
37%
|
28
|
263
|
12%
|
4.0%
|
87
|
1718
|
26%
|
5%
|
9
|
253
|
4%
|
4%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.134%
| 6286

42 * ~
|
10/04/2020
|
6574
|
1515
|
8089
|
23%
|
203%
|
25
|
287
|
9%
|
4.0%
|
59
|
1777
|
22%
|
3%
|
8
|
261
|
3%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.164%
| 7777

43*
|
11/04/2020
|
8089
|
839
|
8928
|
10%
|
-45%
|
33
|
320
|
11%
|
3.6%
|
72
|
1849
|
21%
|
4%
|
7
|
268
|
3%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.181%
| 8583

44*
|
12/04/2020
|
8928
|
727
|
9655
|
8%
|
-13%
|
14
|
334
|
4%
|
3.5%
|
54
|
1903
|
20%
|
3%
|
7
|
275
|
3%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.196%
| 9296

45*
|
13/04/2020
|
9655
|
992
|
10647
|
10%
|
36%
|
31
|
365
|
9%
|
3.4%
|
65
|
1968
|
18%
|
3%
|
5
|
280
|
3%
|
2%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.216%
| 10257

46*
|
14/04/2020
|
10647
|
832
|
11479
|
8%
|
-16%
|
41
|
406
|
11%
|
3.5%
|
58
|
2026
|
18%
|
3%
|
4
|
284
|
2%
|
1%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.233%
| 11048

47*
|
15/04/2020
|
11479
|
1068
|
12547
|
9%
|
28%
|
38
|
444
|
9%
|
3.5%
|
56
|
2082
|
17%
|
3%
|
10
|
294
|
2%
|
4%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.255%
| 12026

48 * ~
|
16/04/2020
|
12547
|
724
|
13271
|
6%
|
-32%
|
43
|
486
|
9%
|
3.7%
|
86
|
2168
|
16%
|
4%
|
2
|
296
|
2%
|
1%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.270%
| 12708

49*
|
17/04/2020
|
13271
|
709
|
13980
|
5%
|
-2%
|
44
|
530
|
9%
|
3.8%
|
0
|
2168
|
16%
|
0%
|
0
|
296
|
2%
|
0%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.284%
| 13373

50*
|
18/04/2020
|
13980
|
778
|
14758
|
6%
|
10%
|
41
|
571
|
8%
|
3.9%
|
0
|
2168
|
15%
|
0%
|
0
|
296
|
2%
|
0%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.300%
| 14110

CFR = Case fatality rate
NR = Not reported

Source: Department of Health, the Health Protection Surveillance Centre and the HSE.

NOTES: -
* Daily increase numbers on these dates represent both new cases and older cases reported from Germany which results in skewed daily % increases and average case reporting % changes, numbers are broken down as:-
Day|Date|New Irish Cases|German Cases
42|10/04/20|480|1035
43|11/04/20|553|286
44|12/04/20|430|297
45|13/04/20| 527|465
46|14/04/20|548|284
47|15/04/20|657|411
48|16/04/20|629|95
49|17/04/20|597|112
50|18/04/20|630|148

~ Denotification of deaths:-
10/04/20 – 1
16/04/20 – 1

** "Recovered" rates are not reported by the Department of Health in the above link, these figures are taken from the Worldmeters and Johns Hopkins websites which use data supplied by the DoT to the ECDC under the WHO Guidelines for reporting.

Recovered statistics are only be published as "recovered" following two successful tests of being clear of the virus under the WHO reporting guidelines, as a result it is likely the recovered data is skewed. Updated on 15/04/20 - The WHO reporting criteria has been changed recently to eliminate the 2 test requirement before reporting as recovered, now an outcome report is sent within one month of initial notification or when an outcome is known, the available health outcomes are either “recovered/healthy”, “not recovered", “death", “unknown" or “other", weather this helps create more accurate recovery numbers or skews them further is yet to be seen.

*** Due to the above issue with reporting of recovered cases the number of active cases is also likely skewed.

Case increase averages:-

Day
| Date | ▲Day 1 | ▲10 Days | ▲7 days | ▲3 Days | ■ Day 1 | ■ 10 Days | ■ 7 Days | ■ 3 days

1
| 29/02/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | N/A | N/A | N/A

2
| 01/03/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | N/A | N/A | N/A

3
| 02/03/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | 0% | 0% | N/A | N/A | 0%

4
| 03/03/2020 | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | 33% | 0% | N/A | N/A | 0%

5
| 04/03/2020 | 60.0% | N/A | N/A | 100% | 60% | N/A | N/A | 100%

6
| 05/03/2020 | 69.4% | N/A | N/A | 139% | 63% | N/A | N/A | 125%

7
| 06/03/2020 | 65.0% | N/A | 65% | 118% | 49% | N/A | 49% | 115%

8
| 07/03/2020 | 57.6% | N/A | 66% | 54% | 33% | N/A | 38% | -11%

9
| 08/03/2020 | 52.4% | N/A | 67% | 18% | 41% | N/A | 52% | -3%

10
| 09/03/2020 | 49% | 49% | 69% | 10% | 42% | 42% | 59% | 23%

11
| 10/03/2020 | 48% | 53% | 61% | 22% | 59% | 65% | 93% | 128%

12
| 11/03/2020 | 46% | 55% | 36% | 27% | 53% | 64% | 49% | 91%

13
| 12/03/2020 | 47% | 62% | 29% | 44% | 65% | 84% | 66% | 141%

14
| 13/03/2020 | 46% | 54% | 27% | 39% | 58% | 81% | 67% | 55%

15
| 14/03/2020 | 46% | 39% | 33% | 45% | 61% | 61% | 92% | 90%

16
| 15/03/2020 | 45% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 57% | 54% | 78% | 24%

17
| 16/03/2020 | 44% | 30% | 38% | 35% | 56% | 60% | 76% | 44%

18
| 17/03/2020 | 43% | 32% | 36% | 31% | 54% | 71% | 46% | 22%

19
| 18/03/2020 | 43% | 34% | 36% | 29% | 52% | 61% | 49% | 23%

20
| 19/03/2020 | 43% | 37% | 35% | 36% | 57% | 72% | 43% | 64%

21
| 20/03/2020 | 42% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 53% | 46% | 42% | 44%

22
| 21/03/2020 | 41% | 34% | 30% | 30% | 49% | 45% | 25% | 35%

23
| 22/03/2020 | 40% | 30% | 28% | 18% | 48% | 27% | 28% | -11%

24
| 23/03/2020 | 39% | 29% | 27% | 18% | 49% | 37% | 34% | 27%

25
| 24/03/2020 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 19% | 47% | 27% | 29% | 31%

26
| 25/03/2020 | 37% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 46% | 28% | 30% | 30%

27
| 26/03/2020 | 37% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 6%

28
| 27/03/2020 | 36% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 44% | 25% | 17% | 14%

29
| 28/03/2020 | 35% | 21% | 17% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 19% | 8%

30
| 29/03/2020 | 34% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 40% | 5% | 12% | -5%

31
| 30/03/2020 | 34% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 40% | 13% | 7% | 4%

32
| 31/03/2020 | 33% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 39% | 16% | 9% | 9%

33
| 01/04/2020 | 32% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 8%

34
| 02/04/2020 | 31% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 38% | 11% | 14% | 22%

35
| 03/04/2020 | 31% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 37% | 13% | 12% | 20%

36
| 04/04/2020 | 30% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 36% | 9% | 9% | 24%

37
| 05/04/2020 | 30% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 35% | 10% | 16% | 0%

38
| 06/04/2020 | 29% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 34% | 7% | 9% | -3%

39
| 07/04/2020 | 28% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 7% | 6% | 2%

40
| 08/04/2020 | 28% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 32% | 11% | 12% | -2%

41
| 09/04/2020 | 27% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 32% | 10% | 5% | 12%

42
| 10/04/2020 | 27% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 37% | 29% | 33% | 82%

43
| 11/04/2020 | 27% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 35% | 28% | 30% | 65%

44
| 12/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 34% | 18% | 25% | 48%

45
| 13/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 34% | 21% | 31% | -7%

46
| 14/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 33% | 21% | 30% | 2%

47
| 15/04/2020 | 25% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 33% | 16%

48
| 16/04/2020 | 25% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 31% | 20% | 23% | -7%

49
| 17/04/2020 | 25% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 30% | 20% | -6% | -2%

50
| 18/04/2020 | 24% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 30% | 21% | 2% | -8%

▲ = Daily case increase averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1
■ = Daily case reporting change averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1

Northern Ireland Statistics:-

Day
|
Date
|
Cases
|
New Cases
|
Total Cases
|
Case Increase
|
Reporting Increase
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
% Increase
|
CFR
| Population %

1
|
29/02/2020
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

2
|
01/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

3
|
02/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

4
|
03/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

5
|
04/03/2020
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
200%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

6
|
05/03/2020
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

7
|
06/03/2020
|
3
|
1
|
4
|
33%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

8
|
07/03/2020
|
4
|
3
|
7
|
75%
|
200%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

9
|
08/03/2020
|
7
|
5
|
12
|
71%
|
67%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

10
|
09/03/2020
|
12
|
0
|
12
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

11
|
10/03/2020
|
12
|
4
|
16
|
33%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

12
|
11/03/2020
|
16
|
2
|
18
|
13%
|
-50%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

13
|
12/03/2020
|
18
|
2
|
20
|
11%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

14
|
13/03/2020
|
20
|
9
|
29
|
45%
|
350%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

15
|
14/03/2020
|
29
|
5
|
34
|
17%
|
-44%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

16
|
15/03/2020
|
34
|
11
|
45
|
32%
|
120%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

17
|
16/03/2020
|
45
|
7
|
52
|
16%
|
-36%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.003%

18
|
17/03/2020
|
52
|
10
|
62
|
19%
|
43%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.003%

19
|
18/03/2020
|
62
|
6
|
68
|
10%
|
-40%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.004%

20
|
19/03/2020
|
68
|
9
|
77
|
13%
|
50%
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
1.3%
| 0.004%

21
|
20/03/2020
|
77
|
9
|
86
|
12%
|
0%
|
0
|
1
|
100%
|
1.2%
| 0.005%

22
|
21/03/2020
|
86
|
22
|
108
|
26%
|
144%
|
0
|
1
|
100%
|
0.9%
| 0.006%

23
|
22/03/2020
|
108
|
20
|
128
|
19%
|
-9%
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
1.6%
| 0.007%

24
|
23/03/2020
|
128
|
20
|
148
|
16%
|
0%
|
1
|
3
|
50%
|
2.0%
| 0.008%

25
|
24/03/2020
|
148
|
24
|
172
|
16%
|
20%
|
2
|
5
|
67%
|
2.9%
| 0.009%

26
|
25/03/2020
|
172
|
37
|
209
|
22%
|
54%
|
2
|
7
|
40%
|
3.3%
| 0.011%

27
|
26/03/2020
|
209
|
32
|
241
|
15%
|
-14%
|
3
|
10
|
43%
|
4.1%
| 0.013%

28
|
27/03/2020
|
241
|
34
|
275
|
14%
|
6%
|
3
|
13
|
30%
|
4.7%
| 0.014%

29
|
28/03/2020
|
275
|
49
|
324
|
18%
|
44%
|
2
|
15
|
15%
|
4.6%
| 0.017%

30
|
29/03/2020
|
324
|
86
|
410
|
27%
|
76%
|
6
|
21
|
40%
|
5.1%
| 0.021%

31
|
30/03/2020
|
410
|
123
|
533
|
30%
|
43%
|
1
|
22
|
5%
|
4.1%
| 0.028%

32
|
31/03/2020
|
533
|
53
|
586
|
10%
|
-57%
|
6
|
28
|
27%
|
4.8%
| 0.031%

33
|
01/04/2020
|
586
|
103
|
689
|
18%
|
94%
|
2
|
30
|
7%
|
4.4%
| 0.036%

34
|
02/04/2020
|
689
|
85
|
774
|
12%
|
-17%
|
6
|
36
|
20%
|
4.7%
| 0.041%

35
|
03/04/2020
|
774
|
130
|
904
|
17%
|
53%
|
12
|
48
|
33%
|
5.3%
| 0.047%

36
|
04/04/2020
|
904
|
94
|
998
|
10%
|
-28%
|
8
|
56
|
17%
|
5.6%
| 0.052%

37
|
05/04/2020
|
998
|
91
|
1089
|
9%
|
-3%
|
7
|
63
|
13%
|
5.8%
| 0.057%

38
|
06/04/2020
|
1089
|
69
|
1158
|
6%
|
-24%
|
7
|
70
|
11%
|
6.0%
| 0.061%

39
|
07/04/2020
|
1158
|
97
|
1255
|
8%
|
41%
|
3
|
73
|
4%
|
5.8%
| 0.066%

40
|
08/04/2020
|
1255
|
84
|
1339
|
7%
|
-13%
|
5
|
78
|
7%
|
5.8%
| 0.070%

41
|
09/04/2020
|
1339
|
138
|
1477
|
10%
|
64%
|
4
|
82
|
5%
|
5.6%
| 0.077%

42
|
10/04/2020
|
1477
|
112
|
1589
|
8%
|
-19%
|
10
|
92
|
12%
|
5.8%
| 0.083%

43
|
11/04/2020
|
1589
|
128
|
1717
|
8%
|
14%
|
15
|
107
|
16%
|
6.2%
| 0.090%

44
|
12/04/2020
|
1717
|
89
|
1806
|
5%
|
-30%
|
11
|
118
|
10%
|
6.5%
| 0.095%

45
|
13/04/2020
|
1806
|
76
|
1882
|
4%
|
-15%
|
6
|
124
|
5%
|
6.6%
| 0.098%

46
|
14/04/2020
|
1882
|
85
|
1967
|
5%
|
12%
|
10
|
134
|
8%
|
6.8%
| 0.103%

47
|
15/04/2020
|
1967
|
121
|
2088
|
6%
|
42%
|
6
|
140
|
4%
|
6.7%
| 0.109%

48
|
16/04/2020
|
2088
|
113
|
2201
|
5%
|
-7%
|
18
|
158
|
13%
|
7.2%
| 0.115%

49
|
17/04/2020
|
2201
|
137
|
2338
|
6%
|
21%
|
18
|
176
|
11%
|
7.5%
| 0.122%

50
|
18/04/2020
|
2338
|
148
|
2486
|
6%
|
8%
|
17
|
193
|
10%
|
7.8%
| 0.130%

CFR = Case fatality rate

Source: The Public Health Agency for Northern Ireland.

Island of Ireland Statistics:-

Day
|
Date
|

Total cases on the Island of Ireland

| Island of Ireland Population %

1
|
29/02/2020
|
2
| 0.000%

2
|
01/03/2020
|
2
| 0.000%

3
|
02/03/2020
|
2
| 0.000%

4
|
03/03/2020
|
3
| 0.000%

5
|
04/03/2020
|
9
| 0.000%

6
|
05/03/2020
|
16
| 0.000%

7
|
06/03/2020
|
22
| 0.000%

8
|
07/03/2020
|
26
| 0.000%

9
|
08/03/2020
|
33
| 0.000%

10
|
09/03/2020
|
36
| 0.001%

11
|
10/03/2020
|
50
| 0.001%

12
|
11/03/2020
|
61
| 0.001%

13
|
12/03/2020
|
90
| 0.001%

14
|
13/03/2020
|
119
| 0.002%

15
|
14/03/2020
|
163
| 0.002%

16
|
15/03/2020
|
214
| 0.003%

17
|
16/03/2020
|
275
| 0.004%

18
|
17/03/2020
|
354
| 0.005%

19
|
18/03/2020
|
434
| 0.006%

20
|
19/03/2020
|
634
| 0.009%

21
|
20/03/2020
|
769
| 0.011%

22
|
21/03/2020
|
893
| 0.013%

23
|
22/03/2020
|
1034
| 0.015%

24
|
23/03/2020
|
1273
| 0.019%

25
|
24/03/2020
|
1501
| 0.022%

26
|
25/03/2020
|
1773
| 0.026%

27
|
26/03/2020
|
2060
| 0.030%

28
|
27/03/2020
|
2396
| 0.035%

29
|
28/03/2020
|
2739
| 0.040%

30
|
29/03/2020
|
3025
| 0.044%

31
|
30/03/2020
|
3443
| 0.050%

32
|
31/03/2020
|
3821
| 0.056%

33
|
01/04/2020
|
4136
| 0.061%

34
|
02/04/2020
|
4623
| 0.068%

35
|
03/04/2020
|
5177
| 0.076%

36
|
04/04/2020
|
5602
| 0.082%

37
|
05/04/2020
|
6083
| 0.089%

38
|
06/04/2020
|
6522
| 0.095%

39
|
07/04/2020
|
6964
| 0.102%

40
|
08/04/2020
|
7413
| 0.108%

41
|
09/04/2020
|
8051
| 0.118%

42
|
10/04/2020
|
9678
| 0.142%

43
|
11/04/2020
|
10645
| 0.156%

44
|
12/04/2020
|
11461
| 0.168%

45
|
13/04/2020
|
12529
| 0.183%

46
|
14/04/2020
|
13446
| 0.197%

47
|
15/04/2020
|
14635
| 0.214%

48
|
16/04/2020
|
15472
| 0.226%

49
|
17/04/2020
|
16318
| 0.239%

50
|
18/04/2020
|
17244
| 0.252%

World Statistics:-

New Cases since 00.01
|
Total Cases
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
Recoveries
|
Active Caes
|
Fatality rate
|
Recovery rate
| World Population %
63,187
|
2,312,050
|
4,739
|
158,884
|
591,107
|
1,562,059
|
6.9%
|
25.57%
| 0.030%

Source: Worldmeters, based on reported numbers @ 19.30.

Animals:-

Animal Type
|
Confirmed
| Suspected
Cat
|
0
| 1
Dog
|
2
| 0
Lion
|
0
| 3
Tiger
|
1
| 3
TOTALS
|
3
| 7
Source: World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE).

Days 1-20 – Saturday 29/02/20-Thursday 19/03/20 Stats
Day 21 - Friday 20/03/20 Stats
Day 22 - Saturday 21/03/20 Stats
Day 23 - Sunday 22/03/20 Stats
Day 24 - Monday 23/03/20 Stats
Day 25 - Tuesday 24/03/20 Stats
Day 26 - Wednesday 25/03/20 Stats
Day 27 - Thursday 26/03/20 Stats
Day 28 - Friday 27/03/20 Stats
Day 29 - Saturda

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#8472 18-04-2020 7:39pm
no.8

Registered Users Posts: 778 ✭✭✭

Join Date: December 2008

Posts: 776

Deleted User wrote:

Loads of posts yesterday about a 23 year old

Ok thanks. They were reported as 25-105 yesterday i believe (could be wrong). Anyway its true and thats the worst part of it

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#8473 18-04-2020 7:42pm
nacho libre

Registered Users Posts: 16,746 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 16533

tobefrank321 wrote: »

Something mystifies me.

Our ICU admissions have levelled off and are well below the maximum threshold. This has been lauded as good news.

Yet many of the deaths had no underlying conditions. Yesterday, 19 had no underlying conditions.

.

Perhaps an unknown underlying condition. I suspect in a lot of these cases the deceased actually had a problem that they were unaware of.

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#8474 18-04-2020 7:43pm
Michael Dwyer

Closed Accounts Posts: 78 ✭✭

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Posts: 78

nacho libre wrote: »

If we have plateaued(?), could we expect to see the number of new cases fall markedly by the end of next week?

We were told, with great authority, from the excellent team of boards epidemiologists, 10 days ago that the 440 fresh cases was the peak. That was a figure from 2 weeks ago.

When it hit 657 this week, oh we're doing more testing. Look at worldmeter, our testing now is average. Put you notice the goal posts are always shifting.

The best examples are Spain and Italy. Slow down from peak is really, really slow. Deaths remain at 60% of what they were at peak. That suggests late May we'll unfortunately still have around 25 deaths a day.

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#8475 18-04-2020 7:43pm
tobefrank321

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Posts: 4483

nacho libre wrote: »

If we have plateaued(?), could we expect to see the number of new cases fall markedly by the end of next week?

Community cases are down allegedly, but based on evidence community testing is patchy and the priority is now healthcare related situations such as nursing homes.

If community cases were down you'd expect all cases to be down. Family transmission and healthcare transmission now appears to be a big problem.

We have plateaued but at a very high number of new cases. Hopefully we will see declines next week, but given the testing shambles already its hard not to be sceptical.

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#8476 18-04-2020 7:43pm
[Deleted User]
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Blueshoe wrote: »

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/04/17/pompeo-u-s-asking-china-for-access-to-wuhan-lab-to-determine-coronavirus-origins/

Pompeo requests access to Wuhan bio lab

Ah breitbart the source for so many slack jaw yokels as a American colleague described it.

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#8477 18-04-2020 7:45pm
Quantum Erasure

Registered Users Posts: 8,439 ✭✭✭

Join Date: August 2019

Posts: 8376

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

No. 1 nation for clapping ourselves on the back also.

thought the Brits had that one

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#8478 18-04-2020 7:46pm
Obvious Desperate Breakfasts

Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭

Join Date: August 2018

Posts: 8418

Nonoperational wrote: »

Checked out of here for a while, refreshing not to be reading constant negativity and people getting visibly excited posting 'bad' news.

Regarding the WHO comments, they have been widely misreported by the Irish and UK media.

That's science journalism for you. The headlines are almost always misleading, on any topic. Either the journalist doesn't understand what they are writing about or they are intentionally going sensational. Either way, it's very annoying. :mad:

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#8479 18-04-2020 7:48pm
Downlinz

Registered Users Posts: 1,520 ✭✭✭

Join Date: February 2011

Posts: 1447

Blueshoe wrote: »

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/04/17/pompeo-u-s-asking-china-for-access-to-wuhan-lab-to-determine-coronavirus-origins/

Pompeo requests access to Wuhan bio lab

The far right outlets in the US are going full blown on the China blame angle for the past week to protect Trump from blame. Disappointingly but surprisingly it actually seems to be working in the red states, the rednecks are calling for war over this :eek:

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#8480 18-04-2020 7:49pm
Danzy

Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭

Join Date: September 2016

Posts: 13763

tobefrank321 wrote: »

Something mystifies me.

Our ICU admissions have levelled off and are well below the maximum threshold. This has been lauded as good news.

Yet many of the deaths had no underlying conditions. Yesterday, 19 had no underlying conditions.

Are they not going to ICU?

Age might be the issue but a large numberly of elderly people have recovered from this internationally. There's been reports of people in their 80s, 90s and over 100 recovering in hospital.

Many very frail and elderly people die within hours of contracting it, hardly showing symptoms.

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#8481 18-04-2020 7:50pm
nacho libre

Registered Users Posts: 16,746 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 16533

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

We were told, with great authority, from the excellent team of boards epidemiologists, 10 days ago that the 440 fresh cases was the peak. That was a figure from 2 weeks ago.

When it hit 657 this week, oh we're doing more testing. Look at worldmeter, our testing now is average. Put you notice the goal posts are always shifting.

.

But isn't there a lag between the death rate falling and the decline in new cases? So we could have 100 cases but the death rate will still be slow to fall as you say.

How many of the current cases are down to the cock up in the Nursing homes? If we take them out of the equation, how many of these cases are community transmissions?

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#8482 18-04-2020 7:56pm
Stheno

Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,687 Mod ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 49073

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

Same here.

Any idea's where they can be bought at a reasonable price?

My local Supervalu has a fairly constant supply so perhaps check yours?

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#8483 18-04-2020 7:59pm
[Deleted User]
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nacho libre wrote: »

Perhaps an unknown underlying condition. I suspect in a lot of these cases the deceased actually had a problem that they were unaware of.

Easy to be unaware of any condition until it's nearly to late, my wife's uncle was putting the fact that he was getting leg cramps down to getting older as he cycled into work every day.

When he did eventually go to the doctor about it he was eventually diagnosed with heart issues and is on tablets due to increased risk of heart attack. He's a non smoker, healthy eater and had a job as a gardener with the council before he was diagnosed.

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#8484 18-04-2020 8:00pm
Michael Dwyer

Closed Accounts Posts: 78 ✭✭

Join Date: April 2020

Posts: 78

nacho libre wrote: »

But isn't there a lag between the death rate falling and the decline in new cases? So we could have 100 cases but the death rate will still be slow to fall as you say.

How many of the current cases are down to the cock up in the Nursing homes? If we take them out of the equation, how many of these cases are community transmissions?

I don't have the stats. It's a lot in nursing homes. But then one day last week with 40 odd deaths had only 9 in nursing homes.

I'm irked at 'In Tony we trust' brigade. We were told we were low risk initially to prevent panic, mass buying etc. The truth is the first casualty of war. We are being told a lot of what we are at present to make us feel good about the effects of lockdown.

It's a bit like a workplace when jobs are threatened, senior management rarely let the ordinary folk know the full story to keep things on an even keel. Information is carefully released on a staggered, well timed manner to make decisions more palatable.

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#8485 18-04-2020 8:02pm
growleaves

Registered Users Posts: 7,857 ✭✭✭

Join Date: February 2020

Posts: 7725

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

We were told, with great authority, from the excellent team of boards epidemiologists, 10 days ago that the 440 fresh cases was the peak. That was a figure from 2 weeks ago.

When it hit 657 this week, oh we're doing more testing. Look at worldmeter, our testing now is average. Put you notice the goal posts are always shifting

Folk epidemiology as a field is in its infancy but I have a good feeling about it. Look at all the great work our folk historians have done.

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#8486 18-04-2020 8:05pm
BanditLuke

Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭

Join Date: February 2020

Posts: 2552

brickster69 wrote: »

Ireland #9 in the world for deaths / million

#1 for a country with a population between 1 & 5 million

RIP

Shocking inditment that.

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#8487 18-04-2020 8:08pm
Professor Moriarty

Registered Users Posts: 14,371 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 14366

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

I don't have the stats. It's a lot in nursing homes. But then one day last week with 40 odd deaths had only 9 in nursing homes.

I'm irked at 'In Tony we trust' brigade. We were told we were low risk initially to prevent panic, mass buying etc. The truth is the first casualty of war. We are being told a lot of what we are at present to make us feel good about the effects of lockdown.

It's a bit like a workplace when jobs are threatened, senior management rarely let the ordinary folk know the full story to keep things on an even keel. Information is carefully released on a staggered, well timed manner to make decisions more palatable.

Well, yeah. If, in February, the HSE told you everything they knew back then, you would have shat yourself.

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#8488 18-04-2020 8:11pm
lawred2

Registered Users Posts: 24,360 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 24001

Iamabeliever wrote: »

More Draconian? Don't make me laugh. I never seen the streets so busy! Unfortunately, I hate to say it, Ireland are sleepwalking into a nightmare

Hysterical nonsense without any supporting evidence.

Never seen the streets so busy!

My eyes couldn't roll much harder

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#8489 18-04-2020 8:11pm
tobefrank321

Registered Users Posts: 4,504 ✭✭✭

Join Date: March 2020

Posts: 4483

Professor Moriarty wrote: »

Well, yeah. If, in February, the HSE told you everything they knew back then, you would have shat yourself.

Yes like we sh*t ourselves all the time. No wonder there was a run on toilet paper, needed it handy for the HSE briefings.

We'd prefer the unvarnished truth to some nifty PR.

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#8490 18-04-2020 8:15pm
Iamabeliever

Registered Users Posts: 464 ✭✭

Join Date: April 2020

Posts: 464

NDWC wrote: »

Anything to back up that claim?

Haha well I did say, 'I never seen'. And as I live on the doorstep of Lidl, I will still stand by my (slight-overexggerated ) point

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#8491 18-04-2020 8:15pm
tobefrank321

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I suspect the nursing home situation is going to get far worse before it gets better.

Deaths are the ultimate metric of how we are doing.

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This discussion has been closed.