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Madeleine McCann

19294969798

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 6,412 ✭✭✭Jequ0n


    But he’s right. What’s the point spending exorbitant amounts of money on what is now a cold case that has little chance of being solved. Enough money was pumped into this while other (more recent) cases are being sidelined.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    But more evidence available for that than the abduction theory (where the mission impossible theme could also be played). The cadaver dog evidence didn't necessarily have to point the finger towards the McCann's, their reaction to it raised a lot of suspicions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    That would be one component. A larger one would be planning how to behave on the night in order to make things look convincing. And that would have been only one of the tasks necessary to cover up an accidental killing and pass it off as an abduction. Quite an evening's itinerary, given the timeline.

    It was a possibility that was investigated by police at the time, but it lead to the conclusion that there was nothing to link the McCanns to Madeleine's disappearance, and it would appear that the only standing/credible/still being worked off of theory at this time is that Madeleine was taken by a 3rd party.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I refer you to my response to lbunnae in that the evidence against the McCanns was investigated but the police didn't appear to think that it had enough weight. This leaves the abduction one as the only really serious theory left standing (i.e. not just what people are saying, but what law enforcement are actually working off of).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Not having enough weight to charge doesn't tell us anything really about their guilt or otherwise. There's not enough evidence of an abduction and you think that's true. The cadavar dog evidence is the strongest we have. The dogs didn't indicate anything in other searches, only in the McCann apartment, their rented car, Madeleine's toy and Kate's clothes. The McCann's panicked when they heard about the findings. Their lawyers instantly tried to discredit it. The McCann's got a flight out of Portugal soon after. It's a major shame that this evidence wasn't looked into more deeply. Follow up tests and searches etc. It might have given us a clearer idea if someone harmed Madeleine in the apartment, an intruder or possibly from dying accidentally.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 315 ✭✭Stevie2001


    Being a GP doesn't mean your responsible.

    What they did was insanity

    2 year olds are well able to walk and they climb on everything, they could have easily got up and walked around the apartment that night and got badly hurt and a nearly 4 year old isn't a lot better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It does tell us something in the legal sense. It won't stop people from talking, but that's a hard thing to do at the best of times.

    If the police investigate the body of evidence and find that it doesn't have enough weight to charge, never mind convict, then the McCanns are certainly not guilty, legally. The court of public opinion may have a different finding, but that 'court' isn't subject to the same standards and is prone to capriciousness. If the police didn't follow up on possible leads or possible evidence, they didn't follow up on them, and if it's no longer possible to follow up on it, then it'll leave a question mark, but because in the common law system a defendant is considered innocent until proven guilty, this question mark doesn't move the dial. It gives the public something to talk about, though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    But didn't they drug them to stop that? Great parenting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    You could make the exact same post about the German peado. There's not enough weight to arrest him either but some people are convinced it was an abduction. I suppose it was always directed that way from the moment Kate said they took her. Like the McCann's, you think the cadavar dog evidence is best ignored. Well it certainly can't be explained anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,940 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    'They took her' A cult of Pedos all on holiday to meet up with other Pedos.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't recall saying that the cadaver dog thing is 'best ignored', but if the police don't follow up on it, there's nothing you can do with it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    We're not in the police force or investigating this case. We're on an internet forum discussing it. But maybe you'd prefer not to comment on the cadaver dogs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    This whole chain of discussion was started by me listing out arguments I think would be used to defeat a hypothetical negligence case brought against the McCanns, the accusation of criminal negligence once again asserted by another poster. One supporting point about the presence of an abductor was challenged and I cited this as the prevailing theory, i.e. the one authorities have been working off of since official suspicion of the McCanns was dropped. You posited that the theory of the McCanns' direct involvement has more evidence to back it up than the theory of an abductor. I say - not in a legal sense it doesn't as this avenue of investigation was dropped and not followed up on, either due to it being not actually having sufficient weight, or it could be fecklessness on the part of the police. Either way, the result is that the Portuguese police released a statement saying they have found no evidence to link the McCann parents to Madeleine's disappearance. Authorities presumably have the right to take this avenue of investigation up once again if possible and if they think there's something there, but until that point, it remains what you say which is talking about it on the Internet. Until the hypothetical point where that line of investigation is reopened and something more found, an abductor remains the prevailing theory of police investigation.

    In the capacity of talking about it on the Internet, I do think it's an interesting point, but the handler, Martin Grimes, states that the dogs barking isn't evidence in and of itself, and is only an indication to study something further with forensics and so on. It's up to authorities to do just that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    You didn't need to post all that, it's ok to say you don't really want to discuss the cadavar dog evidence. Just like the McCann's.

    Their reaction to try to pour doubt on the findings rather than investigate how it came about really paints them in a bad light.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    You know as well as I do that I just gave my thoughts on the cadaver dogs in the second paragraph. You can engage with that as you wish.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    You're ignoring any discussion on the McCann's reaction to the findings, how alerts were only found in the McCann's apartment, rented car, Madeleine's toy and Kate's clothes, you're even ignoring the majority of the article you posted which shows a highly competent trainer with highly trained dogs performing their assigned task in a professional way. As has been said, the dogs don't lie. It's a pity that the McCann's decided to try to discredit them, a clearer picture could have been found.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    They're all tantalising points - where the alerts were raised and the McCanns' reaction and the accuracy of the dogs, but the question remains that if it all combines to make a compelling case, then the Portuguese police don't come out with a subsequent statement that says there's no evidence to link the McCann parents to Madeleine's disappearance and an attempt by the McCanns to discredit would be easily rebuffed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Maybe Madeleine had an accident in the apartment to cause the scent. There's talk that the McCann's were giving their children sedatives, maybe something went wrong with that. It could have been an attempted robbery and the robber panicked because Madeleine was awake. It was strange though that a scent was found in the wardrobe and there's some dispute over a blue rucksack Gerry might have had.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,150 ✭✭✭Immortal Starlight


    What I’ve always found odd is the washing of the cuddle cat. Surely that’s the last thing you would do. I can’t remember if I read that they washed the curtains in the apartment too but I could be mistaken about that as it seems very odd.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I find it hard to believe that the parents could gain the composure needed to cover up an accidental death and play it cool until the point where they would 'discover' Madeleine had been taken, considering it would have been a matter of not more than six hours that they had to do it. If they were in any way normal, their heads would be completely gone upon that discovery, if it happened.

    According to this article, tests were performed on the two remaining children's hair samples show no evidence of having been given sedatives, which would undermine the claim that they were given to Madeleine.

    It wouldn't make much sense for an opportunistic burglar to make off with Madeleine because she had discovered them in the apartment. They'd be as well to flee and be reasonably certain that the darkness of the room and Madeleine being little more than a toddler means that the police probably wouldn't be getting a whole lot of reliable testimony from her.

    A huge problem with the dogs alerting is that it can be argued that what they were smelling came from previous users of the apartment or the rental car or that Kate had small amounts of cadaver smell on some of her clothes, picked up in her work as a medical professional, which she unwittingly transferred when handling Madeleine's personal items. I say 'problem' - what I mean by that is that trying to use this as evidence in isolation leaves it wide open to being discredited in the ways I outline. It has to be married with hard forensic evidence linking it specifically to Madeleine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,289 ✭✭✭Deeec


    But when were the other 2 children tested for sedatives - probably 2/3 days or more after Madeleine vanished therefore of course there was no evidence of sedatives in their system. This cannot be taken as proof that the McCanns did not give their children medication on that night.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I can't find a specific date for when the other kids were tested, but the story about the tests comes up in October 2007. Given that the McCanns didn't become suspects until June, a month out from the disappearance, I think it unlikely that the other children would have been tested on the sedative theory before then. Any point from about one week on up to maybe a year is effective for hair testing, or so I've read.



  • Registered Users Posts: 557 ✭✭✭juno10353


    Can you post where the twins were tested for sedation? I was of the opinion that this was never done, and that they had haircuts later which would have made it too late, if ever suggested.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    A child vanishing is really not that common so anything to do with this case is hard to believe. Something extraordinary happened. We don't know all the timelines for sure because some stories changed and some of the tapas crew were definitely trying to cover up for their bad parenting. People do crazy things in stressful situations.

    Like I said before, the cadaver evidence could have linked to an abductor, it didn't automatically mean it was the McCann's. That's why changing their flights to get out of Portugal as quick as possible and getting their lawyers on the case instantly was very suspicious behaviour. As well as washing the toy as pointed out above.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,289 ✭✭✭Deeec


    Ok I looked it up there and providers are saying accurate if taken within 90 days ( 3 months basically)- this depends on hair growth though. Only old hair will show evidence of sedatives ( so the ends of the hair really). Newly grown hair wont show a trace. A clean test in October wouldnt be reliable as evidence.

    Its possible the test was done at a much earlier date though ( within the 90 day period) and if the kids hair wasnt cut than could be accurate. The date of testing and if kids hair was cut is whats important.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    The washing of the cuddle cat was recorded in Kate's diary as happening 70 days or so on from the disappearance, because it had gotten quite dirty and 'no longer smelled like Madeleine'. There's no basis for the claim that it was washed five days after. That was another tabloid wonder. It did, however, lead to accusations that she was washing it before the sniffer dogs got there, but you can read all that below.

    People do crazy things in stressful situations, that can happen, yes. However, that statement by itself is nothing to predicate a serious accusation upon. You need hard evidence, primarily.

    You talk about the suspiciousness of the McCanns getting out of Portugal, but the thing is that they weren't flying to a jurisdiction where investigation of them could not happen - British and Portuguese police were cooperating on the case - so the argument that it's fishy in that way doesn't hold much water.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If the hair hadn't been cut since May, traces of a particular drug could be found, according to this archived Times article. I read a reddit post which claims the test happened in September, but they didn't provide a link to back that up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Again, it could have been used for evidence against an abductor. That the McCann's didn't even think about that is very strange. Washing it removed any chance of testing it further.

    There's no real evidence for anything so that's kind of a pointless statement. Literally the cadaver dog findings is all they got. The German peado angle seems like a wild goose chase. It was fishy because they panicked. Changing flights, getting their lawyers involved, not even thinking that it could lead to catching an abductor. That's extremely fishy.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 557 ✭✭✭juno10353


    I can find no links to Portuguese police ever testing the twins. Can not find in PJ files. Can someone here please post link.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Thing is that if it were the McCann parents directly involved in Madeleine's disappearance, then the only relevant DNA you find on the cuddle cat is that of Madeleine and Kate and Gerry. In the case of an abductor (the leading theory), it would definitely be an oversight not to test the toy, sitting among the numerous oversights which appear to have happened in the opening phase of the investigation, which I understand is also the most crucial time. It's not just the cuddle cat which police should test, but literally every single surface in apartment 5A with which an abductor could have come in contact with.

    As for the McCanns returning to the UK, it didn't get them out of anything, and they could still be made return to Portugal for further questioning, so how it's suspicious of their potential wish to evade anything, I'm not sure. If they'd gone to a 3rd country that had no extradition treaty or possibility of further investigation, it would be a much more compelling bit of suspicion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 557 ✭✭✭juno10353


    whowould have left this marker. Unlikely to be an abductor.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    There was never any suggestion the dogs use was for anything other than to find evidence the McCanns killed Madeleine. Since they knew they hadn't, they rightfully objected to the waste of time and the continual effort to proritise the theory that they were the culprits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Because the dogs appearing to react to something is not evidence and provides no proof of anything. When forensic specialists looked for evidence the dogs suggested was there they found absolutely nothing - same as when they were later used on the island of Jersey at Haut de la Garenne, former childrens home, where those same dogs BS lead to a waste of £20 million.

    Drug detection dogs are used by police forces worldwide too. Their false positive rate is so bad they shouldn't be used at all. 60-80% false positive rate, and yet people think that doggies are infalible and always right.

    Same dogs said 'Shannon Mathews is dead, lock them up, no further proof needed, we never fail... who's that imposter? That's not the real Shannon, arrest the brat, we already told you she was dead - lock them up, case closed.'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    You're completely missing the point. It's not the destination of the flight or even the flight at all. It's the absolute panic the McCann's went into after hearing about the findings. Instead of thinking this might be a great lead to find out what happened and pushed for more testing, offering up the toy and other items etc they did a runner and went on the defensive with their expensive lawyers. It really wasn't a good look.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    The dogs didn't know who the McCann's were. They weren't pointing the finger at anyone. How did the McCann's reach the conclusion that an intruder didn't kill Madeleine in the apartment? Why was their first reaction to rebook an earlier flight out of Portugal and try to discredit the findings?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I'm sure that if I dug around I could definitely find some headlines from around the time of the McCanns flying back to the UK that would go something like, "Kate and Gerry Flee the Algarve" etc., so, no, it almost certainly wasn't a good look in the eyes of the public who were getting so much of their information, such as it was, from the tabloids. However, there's public opinion and then there's serious police business. If the police have reason to find that type of behaviour suspicious and use it as a basis to put further scrutiny on the McCanns, they could have done that, and the inquiry as to whether the McCanns were involved was conducted, but it was followed by an announcement that the police could find no link between the McCanns and Madeleine's disappearance. Why? Because the McCanns wouldn't play ball? To be honest, if you're conducting a criminal investigation, you have to be prepared for the idea that suspects/persons of interest will not cooperate, for whatever reason they may have, and be able to work around that using the powers bestowed upon police authorities like arrest, interrogate, raid & requisition and so on.

    Lawyering up when being questioned/investigated for a possible crime isn't exactly uncommon. I would go so far as to say it's highly advisable and should be done by anyone in that position with the means to do so. It has happened before the McCann case and after it that there have been high profile crimes with a strong public pressure to find the perpetrator and convict, and there have been many a person wrongly convicted, so there's good reason to conclude why even an innocent person would fly out and lawyer up in that situation.

    Still, after all that, it is the prerogative of an individual to find the McCanns behaviour after being named arguidos suspicious, but it's just - a suspicion. From a cold legal standpoint, these suspicions need to be developed into a hard case, which never happened and the McCanns were dropped as persons of interest.



  • Registered Users Posts: 315 ✭✭Stevie2001


    Possibly

    That's her profession isn't it? Sedating people, a qualified anaesthetist



  • Registered Users Posts: 315 ✭✭Stevie2001




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    2, now adults. Never did either of them get out of bed and start climbing on things, let alone fall of them and injure themselves. Once they were asleep of an evening, that was it, unless they were ill with something.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Again, we're not investigating this case. We're only making judgements on what we know and I don't think any can dispute that the McCann's behaviour was very suspicious. It just didn't seem like the actions of people who knew they were innocent. In fact, if they were guilty, trying to discredit the cadavar dogs is exactly what you'd expect them to do instead of trying to help the investigation. We'll never know for sure but these actions as well as washing the toy, not cooperating fully when questioned, changing stories and timelines etc may have led to the culprit(s) getting away with this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,242 ✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    The actions of the PJ were very unprofessional and the McCanns felt they were trying to pin the abduction or worse on them.

    If you thought the local police were trying to pin a crime on you, you'd want to get home where there are English speaking cops ASAP.



  • Registered Users Posts: 315 ✭✭Stevie2001


    You were very lucky then

    My 20 month old is not so predictable, 6 year old yes would be good to sleep now, not so much before



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    The cadaver dogs were brought over by British law enforcement. As has been pointed out, returning to England wouldn't have saved them. It was just complete panic and not what you'd expect innocent people to do for sure.

    Let's not forget that the dogs didn't just check the McCann's property or where they stayed. Other apartments, cars, items and so on were checked and the the dogs gave 0 alerts. They gave 13 alerts in relation to the McCann's.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    You don't need to own a car to know if someone was knocked down on the road. Talk about a totally daft question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,242 ✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    Well I cant entirely explain the actions of the cadever dogs. Although having gone on holiday to that region as a kid many many times, I can't tell you how many skinned knees, and cut feet i got. Could the blood dog have picked up blood from another former guest of the apartment? Also, deaths in hotels and resorts is quite a common occurence. The other dog could have picked up the scent of death from an entirely different body.

    I saw their handler interviewed in one of the documentaries. He said the thing with snifer dogs is you can't put them in the dock and get a full statement from them. Even one woof for yes, two woofs for no doesn't work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,238 ✭✭✭✭briany


    According to the Wikipedia article, the McCanns were both advised by their lawyer not to answer the questions posed to them when interviewed by Portuguese police and were also given legal advice to return to the UK once the arguido status had been declared. It wasn't a simple case of the McCanns panicking, clamming up and jetting out, and Gerry did answer questions in the interview while Kate declined almost all of them, in accordance with the advice given.

    According to Kate, it was proposed to her by the Portuguese police that if she were prepared to admit that Madeleine had died accidentally in the apartment and she had tried to cover it up, she would only receive a two-year sentence, while Gerry would go free. If that's true, I can as easily say that her decision not to answer questions wasn't that suspicious at all, if she thinks she's innocent, because she's not going to say another word to a police force who were strongly leaning toward the possibility that it was Gerry and/or Kate at fault and give them any more potential ammunition.

    In the same sense, if they were innocent, and the cadaver dogs raised an alert, I could very well see them questioning this. Guilty or innocent, you're likely going to question any piece of evidence or suspicion raised in a case against you.

    People are free to suspect the McCanns as much as they want, but what do you do with that, if it's not carried forward into a serious investigation? Give them nasty stares in Tesco? Send them poison pen letters?

    It remains that since 2011 and Operation Grange, the theory of pre-planned abduction by a stranger is the one authorities have been working off of to solve the case and the theory of Kate and Gerry's involvement was dropped, despite Portuguese police's preliminary conclusions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,149 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Just strange they never alerted anywhere else and the McCann's reaction to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,242 ✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    When I was training is PC Repair, many many years ago, it was drummed into us not to make the mistake of assuming a particular cause and then wasting time looking for evidence that supports your theory. Instead, have a checklist of things to check. Check everything and then see where your findings point.

    I think maybe the PJ did the former. Even to the point of trying to make a plea bargain with kate. As you said, since Operation Grange was setup no such suggestion has been made.



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