Boards Werewolf: BCU

Eva WW

Holly WW wrote: »

As a matter of interest why are you ruling out Emily and Lucy from that list?

Me also? Obviously I know I'm good but I'm curious why you narrow it down to those few (which incidentally I happen to agree in the case of Isla anyways)

I've got a strong town read on you Holly, I think Emily and Lucy are slightly too agressive in the posts to be wolves. I could be totally wrong. But Isla has been on my radar since the start and with Nigel, he's been flip flopping all over the place with his voting and I keep thinking back to Barbara and the wolves voting in the last 15 minutes, which i think Nigel has done consistently. Plus he kept bringing up the whole 'I'm a NRV and therefore I will be inconsistent'.

Senan I'm not sure on but I think it's more likely than the other 3.

Eva WW

Holly WW wrote: »

Actually absolute BEST case scenario is the following

Vernon wolf was bussed heavily by Katie as they knew one was goosed.

SK decided to wipe out Katie as she would look pretty darn good off that lynch

We now are just looking for the SK.

I don't know if I believe that's the case but it's not impossible.

Is it possible for the final wolf to have killed and be killed? I don't think so, I definitely think we're still looking for a minimum of two baddies.

Eva WW

If Jesus is still in the building and took my advice to follow Abigail, now would be a fantastic time to reveal yourself.

Holly WW

Eva WW wrote:

Is it possible for the final wolf to have killed and be killed? I don't think so, I definitely think we're still looking for a minimum of two baddies.

I don't know the mechanics for this one obviously but it is definitely possible based on previous games, they would be simultaneous actions

Lucy WW

Holly WW wrote: »

Actually absolute BEST case scenario is the following

Vernon wolf was bussed heavily by Katie as they knew one was goosed.

SK decided to wipe out Katie as she would look pretty darn good off that lynch

We now are just looking for the SK.

I don't know if I believe that's the case but it's not impossible.

Is that not essentially the same thing though i.e. one baddie left?

If Katie bussed Vernon, it's an unbelievable bussing, her posts were absolutely pivotal in him getting lynched. Unlikely imo

Holly WW

Lucy WW wrote:

If Katie bussed Vernon, it's an unbelievable bussing, her posts were absolutely pivotal in him getting lynched. Unlikely imo

Agreed. I want to believe Vern was a baddie Soo badly

Wolves killing the priest to make sure that info doesn't get out makes sense

Eva WW

Holly WW wrote: »

I don't know the mechanics for this one obviously but it is definitely possible based on previous games, they would be simultaneous actions

oh, that's interesting, didn't realise that. So it is possible then that Vernon and Katie were both wolves?

Eva WW

Senan WW wrote: »

I'm going to be optimistic and say Vernon was a wolf, and the remaining wolf didn't want this information out there and killed Abigail.

I like that theory a lot.

Senan WW

Eva WW wrote: »

oh, that's interesting, didn't realise that. So it is possible then that Vernon and Katie were both wolves?

I would expect it to be possible (in more probably most likely) that baddies would get a kill off with their dying breath.

Eva WW

Senan WW wrote: »

I would expect it to be possible (in more probably most likely) that baddies would get a kill off with their dying breath.

But as Lucy points out it's unlikely that Katie would bus Vernon so heavily. So we are likely to be still looking for two baddies, one from each team.

What I don't understand is why there was no second kill on one of the nights if neither Vernon nor Katie were the SK? why would they not send in a kill order

Isla WW

Players
Emily
Eva
Holly
Isla
Lucy
Nigel
Senan

7 players.

Worst case

4 2 1

lynch a vilager, 3 2 1
sk munch villager and wolves munch SK. game over.

This could be our last lynch, we have to lynch correctly.

What info ca be gathered from the lynch and munch.

Vernon was not SK (SK got a kill)
Katie was not SK (abigail was iced)

Eva WW

7 players left.

Ideally we lynch Isla today, she's the last member of one wolf team, we lose one villager tomorrow to the other wolf team, leaving us with 4 villagers vs 1 wolf tomorrow.
If we lynch Isla and she's not a wolf team person, we lose a villager tonight and two tomorrow, leaving us with 2 villagers v 2 wolves.

I am confident Isla is a wolf but I've been confirmed right one night, confirmed wrong another night and unknown for last night. I'd like us all to vote for the same person tonight, so we're sure. We can't afford to lyncha villager today.

Eva WW

Isla who do you think are the three remaining baddies

Isla WW

Eva WW wrote: »

uh oh

Eva WW wrote: »

7 players left.

Ideally we lynch Isla today, she's the last member of one wolf team, we lose one villager tomorrow to the other wolf team, leaving us with 4 villagers vs 1 wolf tomorrow.
If we lynch Isla and she's not a wolf team person, we lose a villager tonight and two tomorrow, leaving us with 2 villagers v 2 wolves.

I am confident Isla is a wolf but I've been confirmed right one night, confirmed wrong another night and unknown for last night. I'd like us all to vote for the same person tonight, so we're sure. We can't afford to lyncha villager today.

Ideally, we don't lynch isla today!
We should treat today like lylo. If we lynch wrong, we could lose.

I am not a wolf.

As to the bolded above, we may not be able to afford to lynch a villager tonight!

Senan WW

Eva WW wrote: »

But as Lucy points out it's unlikely that Katie would bus Vernon so heavily. So we are likely to be still looking for two baddies, one from each team.

What I don't understand is why there was no second kill on one of the nights if neither Vernon nor Katie were the SK? why would they not send in a kill order

That is true, I don't think Vernon and Katie were teammates.

I don't know about the no second kills, maybe they didn't put in a kill order because they didn't read the rules right and thought they were competing but didn't actually compete. I really don't know. I thought you were on to something yesterday with your reasoning.

Eva WW

Isla WW wrote: »

10 players left.

With 2 kills per night, worst case scenario leaves us with.
lynch 9 ( 6 2 1 )
munch (4 2 1 )
Lynch ( 3 2 1 )
munch ( 2 2 ) game over.

That's worst case scenario, which means we have one more lynch before lylo, but, we get more lynches if we kill off a team at the lynch
Lynch (7 2 )
munch (6 2)
lynch ( 5 2)
munch (4 2)
lynch (3 2)
munch to game over.

If we kill of a team in the lynch, we gain an extra lynch.

Isla WW wrote: »

Colours using Abi's claim data.

Day 1 Lynch vote

Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry, Nigel
Fiona: Eva, Lucy
Eva: Senan, Isla
Vernon: Fiona
Frank: Emily
Barbara: Jake
Nigel: Steve
Emily: Abigail

Didn't vote: Frank, Vernon, Katie



Day 2 Lynch Vote

Frank: Emily, Isla, Lucy, Vernon, Eva, Nigel, Katie
Senan: Abigail, Frank
Vernon: Holly
Isla: Senan
Nigel: Steve
Barbara: Barbara

Isla WW wrote: »

Day 1 Lynch.


11:09
Frank: Barbara

18:21
Frank: Barbara
Jake: Holly

18:27
Frank: Barbara, Emily
Jake: Holly


18:51
Frank: Barbara, Emily
Jake: Holly
Vernon: Lucy

18:53
Frank: Emily
Jake: Holly
Vernon: Lucy
Barbara: Barbara

19:22
Vernon: Lucy, Fiona
Frank: Emily
Jake: Holly
Barbara: Barbara


19:34
Vernon: Lucy, Fiona
Barbara: Barbara, Jake
Frank: Emily
Jake: Holly


19:40
Vernon: Lucy, Fiona
Jake: Holly, Barbara
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily



19:59
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry
Vernon: Lucy, Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily

20:08
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry
Vernon: Lucy, Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve

20:15
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry
Vernon: Lucy, Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve
Eva: Senan

20:22
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry
Vernon: Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve
Eva: Senan
Fiona: Lucy

20:46
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry
Vernon: Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve
Eva: Senan
Fiona: Lucy
Emily: Abigail

20:46
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry
Fiona: Lucy, Eva
Vernon: Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve
Eva: Senan
Emily: Abigail

20:53
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry, Nigel
Fiona: Lucy, Eva
Vernon: Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve
Eva: Senan
Emily: Abigail

20:54
Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry, Nigel
Fiona: Lucy, Eva
Eva: Senan, Isla
Vernon: Fiona
Barbara: Jake
Frank: Emily
Nigel: Steve
Emily: Abigail

Isla WW wrote: »

structural difference?

Isla WW wrote: »

How would copy and pasting from a back room make them skinny?

Isla WW wrote: »

going to have a look at xxx posts:
found this
and that
and this here
END

That's the format.
I was writing the post at same time as going thru jake and fionas posts looking for things that stood out to me.

Isla WW wrote: »

What do you want to know?

Isla WW wrote: »

You were correct at the time, I had 6 posts, but since then I have added two more posts, so now its 8.

Isla WW wrote: »

or 10, I don't go around counting my posts normally.

Isla WW wrote: »

MCU had one big wolf team, separated.
The Witcher WW had 2 wolf teams.
the stand had The Serial Killer.

Isla WW wrote: »

I'm not fixating on any point. That's the gif they used for trashcan man, and while i was there i pulled the pic along with me.

Isla WW wrote: »

Colours using Abi's claim data.

Day 1 Lynch vote

Jake: Holly, Barbara, Derry, Nigel
Fiona: Eva, Lucy
Eva: Senan, Isla
Vernon: Fiona
Frank: Emily
Barbara: Jake
Nigel: Steve
Emily: Abigail

Didn't vote: Frank, Vernon, Katie



Day 2 Lynch Vote

Frank: Emily, Isla, Lucy, Vernon, Eva, Nigel, Katie
Senan: Abigail, Frank
Vernon: Holly
Isla: Senan
Nigel: Steve
Barbara: Barbara

Day 3 Lynch vote

Vernon: Katie, Holly, Eva, Abigail, Senan, Isla
Emily: Nigel
Isla: Lucy
Nigel: Emily
Katie: Vernon

Isla WW wrote: »

One or both are wolves, but we've narrowed down SK to katie or vernon ? What?

Isla WW wrote: »

Website is really acting the maggot tonight. 503 errors and timeouts.

Isla WW wrote: »

Players
Emily
Eva
Holly
Isla
Lucy
Nigel
Senan

7 players.

Worst case

4 2 1

lynch a vilager, 3 2 1
sk munch villager and wolves munch SK. game over.

This could be our last lynch, we have to lynch correctly.

What info ca be gathered from the lynch and munch.

Vernon was not SK (SK got a kill)
Katie was not SK (abigail was iced)

Isla WW wrote: »

barbara also self voted, as has vernon done.

These are all of Isla's posts in the last 24 hours (I'm not 100% they're in the exact right order).

Not one of them contains anything resembling a read of any kind, or any attempt at all to wolf hunt.

3 of them are 'based on Abi's claim data'. 2 are counting people left. 2 refer to how many posts she's made. 2 responding to Nigel's (admittedly, very weird and confusing) comment on 'structural differences' in posts.

This is wolf coasting at it's finest.

Holly WW

Eva WW wrote:

3 of them are 'based on Abi's claim data'. 2 are counting people left. 2 refer to how many posts she's made. 2 responding to Nigel's (admittedly, very weird and confusing) comment on 'structural differences' in posts.

Not sure if I said it yesterday but that stuff by Nigel could be a distancing tactic from a partner. Pick something to have some interaction on thread.

Though Nigel has had many, MANY outlandish theories :pac:

Emily WW

Abis dead is no shocker

Katie i have a slight notion as to why she may have been chosen

Senan WW

Isla WW wrote: »

Ideally, we don't lynch isla today!
We should treat today like lylo. If we lynch wrong, we could lose.

I am not a wolf.

As to the bolded above, we may not be able to afford to lynch a villager tonight!

No-one bar the wolves sets out to lynch villagers. Do you think we were being frivolous with our votes before?

Holly WW

In a world where Vernon was a wolf who would be his buddy?

Isla, definite possibility. Not sure if any interaction there.

Nigel.... Hmmm. He banged on about Nigel a good bit yesterday but never actually votes him.

Eva, hard no. Pushed him as hard as anyone bar Katie really. Same with me imo (but I know I'm good so lol)

Senan... There's the tenuous link when Frank was up for the chop but it's not great.

Lucy... Hard no.

Emily, possible. Didn't vote Vern instead voted Nigel. Not teamed with Nigel imo.

In a world with Isla as a wolf who is her partner?
Nigel, need to check their interactions. Very very little I recall aside from the weird thing about structures of posts yesterday.

Senan... Don't see it, he voted Isla two days ago, Senan could still be SK though.

Emily? Potentially. Not too much interaction that I recall and I don't think she has had Isla in her reads

Eva.... Very doubtful. She has been fairly consistent in pushing Isla.

Lucy, again. Not sure. Unlikely from my recollections.

Holly WW

Of course if Isla is SK then all of the above is pointless lol

Emily WW

Isla WW wrote: »

Ideally, we don't lynch isla today!
We should treat today like lylo. If we lynch wrong, we could lose.

I am not a wolf.

As to the bolded above, we may not be able to afford to lynch a villager tonight!

Ok, who should we lynch?

Eva WW

Holly WW wrote: »

Not sure if I said it yesterday but that stuff by Nigel could be a distancing tactic from a partner. Pick something to have some interaction on thread.

Though Nigel has had many, MANY outlandish theories :pac:

Personally I'm really looking forward to today's theory! Maybe that's why I was inclined to not think of him as a wolf, enjoying the theories too much

Eva WW

Emily WW wrote: »

Abis dead is no shocker

Katie i have a slight notion as to why she may have been chosen

I am interested in why you think Katie was chosen.

Eva WW

Have we all posted in thread this morning and nobody is admitting to the Jesus role. If Katie was Jesus I might have to go have a lie down

Emily WW

Eva WW wrote: »

I am interested in why you think Katie was chosen.

Jesus role hunting perhaps. Katie could have been viewed as a potential roled player

Holly WW

Eva WW wrote:

Have we all posted in thread this morning and nobody is admitting to the Jesus role. If Katie was Jesus I might have to go have a lie down

Is it not better if Jesus stays hidden unless they a) find a baddie or b) are under serious threat of being lynched.

If they have found a baddie then please, now is the time to come out because we cannot afford to lynch a villager today

Emily WW

Senan WW wrote: »

No-one bar the wolves sets out to lynch villagers. Do you think we were being frivolous with our votes before?

So who you looking to lynch tonight? Im not so sure about Isla myself. Whats your take on Isla? Do you feel theres a syringer candidate

Emily WW

Emily WW wrote: »

So who you looking to lynch tonight? Im not so sure about Isla myself. Whats your take on Isla? Do you feel theres a syringer candidate

*stronger

Eva WW

Holly WW wrote: »

Is it not better if Jesus stays hidden unless they a) find a baddie or b) are under serious threat of being lynched.

If they have found a baddie then please, now is the time to come out because we cannot afford to lynch a villager today

I recommended Jesus follow Abigail last night and was hoping they'd have listened.

Thinking about it more, Katie probably was Jesus because otherwise they would have been murdered seperately like Barbara and Steve.