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FF/FG/Green Next Government

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,013 ✭✭✭✭James Brown


    Truthvader wrote: »
    Whatever anyone thinks the last sentence here is true. Either the FG supporters are wrong and blind to a substantial amount of the public being left behind or they are failing to transmit the "good news"

    Every bit is true. You can disagree with it's impact but you can't dispute it.
    As for the electorate you don't move your vote simply because change is as good as a rest.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,314 ✭✭✭KyussB


    markodaly wrote: »
    Thanks for the history lesson but again, the 70's were kinda **** world-wide.
    If one wants to look at the reduction of absolute poverty since the 80's..

    Life expectancy

    Women in education.
    Now, are there some edge cases where things have not worked out as well as we hoped. Yes, I am man enough to admit that, but the underlying reasons for this is very complicated, but can be summarised by the rise of China.

    The working class in the west have been put out by the rise in China, but then again up to 400 million people in China would be classed as middle class, so its not all bad.
    Again, its complicated. But there are idiots online and social media just want to encapsulate complicated issues into a buzz word or soundbite.
    The Labour Share of Income (workers share of profits/income, nationally) has been declining since the 70's, all across the western world, coinciding directly with the rise of NeoLiberalism:
    hbFhzaw.jpg
    3Su4WOM.jpg
    P9: https://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/PC-12-2017-1.pdf

    4yz9YET.jpg
    P8: http://www.tara.tcd.ie/bitstream/handle/2262/68197/sweeney 2012-3 ssisi.pdf

    Pinning the blame of China is exactly the kind of simplification of a complicated issue that you criticize.


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,576 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    Shinners blindsided the electorate with populist ‘policies’ and unsustainable fiscal policy.

    Unfortunately some folk were taken in by them.

    Spend the Apple money my eye, nationalise this, liquidise that.... Utopia here we come.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Shinners blindsided the electorate with populist ‘policies’ and unsustainable fiscal policy.

    Unfortunately some folk were taken in by them.

    Spend the Apple money my eye, nationalise this, liquidise that.... Utopia here we come.

    Ah the 'comptency' play. I'm sure the electorate were just mistaken about the housing sh*t show and rolling healthcare disasters.

    They just didn't internalise FG's focus grouped messaging correctly.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,826 ✭✭✭Truthvader


    Bowie wrote: »
    Every bit is true. You can disagree with it's impact but you can't dispute it.
    As for the electorate you don't move your vote simply because change is as good as a rest.

    Well some of the allegations are meaningless as "societal crises" doesn't really mean anything at all

    You are right about homelessness though. See attached Focus link. The rise since 2014 is very stark. Anyone from FG care to explain? If you are in government it looks like your fault

    See link

    https://www.focusireland.ie/resource-hub/latest-figures-homelessness-ireland/


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  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Spend the Apple money my eye, nationalise this, liquidise that.... Utopia here we come.


    You will actually find ideologies such as neoliberal/neoclassical, are just as utopic as other ideologies, including left leaning ones such as socialism, for example, there's is no evidence of a market equilibrium, particularly at the macro level, there's no such thing as a 'rationally expecting' human, markets do not operate in linearity, and you can be damn sure, they ain't tending towards or away from this magical equilibrium point, our consumption markets resemble a more supply supply position and not this magical supply and demand nonsense, if that was the case, overall storage capacity within our trading systems should be falling, due to modern manufacturing techniques such as 'just in time', overall storage capacity is in fact increasing due to this supply supply approach, with some products remaining in storage for many months or even years. You could go on and on and on, with this neoclassical nonsense.......


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Truthvader wrote:
    You are right about homelessness though. See attached Focus link. The rise since 2014 is very stark. Anyone from FG care to explain? If you are in government it looks like your fault


    We re just waiting for the 'demand' of the market to appear, so we can crack on with it, then we can ramp up 'supply', until we get it to 'equilibrium'!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,013 ✭✭✭✭James Brown


    Truthvader wrote: »
    Well some of the allegations are meaningless as "societal crises" doesn't really mean anything at all

    You are right about homelessness though. See attached Focus link. The rise since 2014 is very stark. Anyone from FG care to explain? If you are in government it looks like your fault

    See link

    https://www.focusireland.ie/resource-hub/latest-figures-homelessness-ireland/

    No allegations.
    Even on the cooked books of FG/Murphy it was getting worse.
    When everyone including government recognises theres a crisis, theres a crisis.

    You are making allegations to make light of a crisis. Nice.
    FG polices exacerbated the problems. You can tell by the way things got continually worse.

    To quote Kenny, we need to change the way we do business' it's not just a FG problem.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,164 ✭✭✭efanton


    markodaly wrote: »
    Thanks for the history lesson but again, the 70's were kinda **** world-wide.
    If one wants to look at the reduction of absolute poverty since the 80's..



    Life expectancy



    Women in education.

    Now, are there some edge cases where things have not worked out as well as we hoped. Yes, I am man enough to admit that, but the underlying reasons for this is very complicated, but can be summarised by the rise of China.

    The working class in the west have been put out by the rise in China, but then again up to 400 million people in China would be classed as middle class, so its not all bad.
    Again, its complicated. But there are idiots online and social media just want to encapsulate complicated issues into a buzz word or soundbite.

    I notice that the somehow used lifetime expectancy and 3rd level education as indicators of the reduction of poverty?
    They have very little to do with poverty or the trend where ordinary people appear to be worse off each year rather than better off. For abject poverty you might have an argument, but we are not a 3rd world country.

    Why did you not do a comparison of wage income compared to corporate profits or increased GDP ?
    Surely that would be the best indicator as to whether poverty is being reduced.
    As the economy and GDP grows surely it would be reasonable to expect the income of those that contributed to that to increase as well. The reality ls a completely different story though.

    The reality is that wages are increasing at a tiny fraction of the rate that company profits and GDP are increasing. What does that mean?
    Well if you are an ordinary worker (irrespective of skill level or education) you will have noticed that the incomes of businesses, those that own businesses, or those that earn a living from property (landlords, developers etc) have increased dramatically while at the same time your wages have increased at a relatively low rate over the last 30 years. In fact due to the increase in rents and property values those small increases in income might not account for you increased monthly costs.


    In plain an simple terms the rich are getting richer and everyone else are either seeing extremely modest increases in personal wealth, barely treading water and keeping their head above water, or they are actually experiencing a trend towards poverty.



    The chart below is from a July 2018 presentation by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on the Employment Outlook 2018 report from the think-tank for mainly rich country governments.

    Annual_wages_from_1995.JPG

    What that graph clearly show is that from the 1990's corporate and business profits are clearly increasing dramatically while incomes for the 50% of workers at the lower end of the scale stagnated. Prior to this generally wage increases kept pace with corporate profits.

    Its all well and good attracting big business to Ireland, but surely the purpose of doing so is so that the citizens of Ireland and the country as a whole benefit from this.
    While multinationals employ early 230,000 people in this country, jobs that we as a country cannot afford to lose, there is a fair and reasonable argument that the trend of wage stagnation seen in most OECD countries since the 1990's has to change or that we do increase the taxation that these multinationals pay. While multinational pay 12.5% corporate tax on the earnings from this country, they pay an effective tax rate (ETR) of 2.2–4.5% on global profits "shifted" to Ireland.
    What ever way you look at it that an awful lot of profit that is not reasonably taxed.

    Now I am not suggesting for one minute that we start taxing the bejesus of of the multinationals or indigenous Irish businesses, nor charge them 12.5% on all profits, but there is a reasonable argument to suggest that we somehow increase the effective tax rate on Intellectual Property related profits by just a fraction of a percent.
    In 2015 Apple imported $300 BILLION worth of global profits into Ireland to avail of these 2.2–4.5% effective tax rates.
    Simply increasing that by just 0.5% would net the Irish exchequer an additional 1.5 billion euro. Put it another way, if that amount had been divided among all employees of multinationals in this country that would equate to a $180 a month pay rise or $180 per month less tax that they would pay,

    Now you will argue that that was a one off movement of wealth and would not net the Irish exchequer 1.5 billion every year and I would agree, but we are talking about one single multinational company, that makes profit each year and generally increases the profit it makes. If you applied the same measure to all Intellectual Property profits imported to Ireland it would add up to a very significant amount of money and yet there would be absolutely no risk whatsoever of these multinationals pulling out of Ireland.

    Personally I think indigenous big business and multinationals have had far too much influence over Irish governments and their taxation measures. If these companies are not prepared to increase the wages they pay proportionate to the increased profits they are making then it is reasonable that the Irish government extract a tiny fraction of those imported profits and use that to reduce taxation of the middle and lower income workers that have been hit hardest in recent years.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,874 ✭✭✭Edgware


    efanton wrote: »
    I notice that the somehow used lifetime expectancy and 3rd level education as indicators of the reduction of poverty?
    They have very little to do with poverty or the trend where ordinary people appear to be worse off each year rather than better off. For abject poverty you might have an argument, but we are not a 3rd world country.

    Why did you not do a comparison of wage income compared to corporate profits or increased GDP ?
    Surely that would be the best indicator as to whether poverty is being reduced.
    As the economy and GDP grows surely it would be reasonable to expect the income of those that contributed to that to increase as well. The reality ls a completely different story though.

    The reality is that wages are increasing at a tiny fraction of the rate that company profits and GDP are increasing. What does that mean?
    Well if you are an ordinary worker (irrespective of skill level or education) you will have noticed that the incomes of businesses, those that own businesses, or those that earn a living from property (landlords, developers etc) have increased dramatically while at the same time your wages have increased at a relatively low rate over the last 30 years. In fact due to the increase in rents and property values those small increases in income might not account for you increased monthly costs.


    In plain an simple terms the rich are getting richer and everyone else are either seeing extremely modest increases in personal wealth, barely treading water and keeping their head above water, or they are actually experiencing a trend towards poverty.



    The chart below is from a July 2018 presentation by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on the Employment Outlook 2018 report from the think-tank for mainly rich country governments.

    Annual_wages_from_1995.JPG

    What that graph clearly show is that from the 1990's corporate and business profits are clearly increasing dramatically while incomes for the 50% of workers at the lower end of the scale stagnated. Prior to this generally wage increases kept pace with corporate profits.

    Its all well and good attracting big business to Ireland, but surely the purpose of doing so is so that the citizens of Ireland and the country as a whole benefit from this.
    While multinationals employ early 230,000 people in this country, jobs that we as a country cannot afford to lose, there is a fair and reasonable argument that the trend of wage stagnation seen in most OECD countries since the 1990's has to change or that we do increase the taxation that these multinationals pay. While multinational pay 12.5% corporate tax on the earnings from this country, they pay an effective tax rate (ETR) of 2.2–4.5% on global profits "shifted" to Ireland.
    What ever way you look at it that an awful lot of profit that is not reasonably taxed.

    Now I am not suggesting for one minute that we start taxing the bejesus of of the multinationals or indigenous Irish businesses, nor charge them 12.5% on all profits, but there is a reasonable argument to suggest that we somehow increase the effective tax rate on Intellectual Property related profits by just a fraction of a percent.
    In 2015 Apple imported $300 BILLION worth of global profits into Ireland to avail of these 2.2–4.5% effective tax rates.
    Simply increasing that by just 0.5% would net the Irish exchequer an additional 1.5 billion euro. Put it another way, if that amount had been divided among all employees of multinationals in this country that would equate to a $180 a month pay rise or $180 per month less tax that they would pay,

    Now you will argue that that was a one off movement of wealth and would not net the Irish exchequer 1.5 billion every year and I would agree, but we are talking about one single multinational company, that make profit each year and generally increases the profit it makes. If you applied the same measure to all Intellectual Property profits imported to Ireland it would add up to a very significant amount of money and yet there would be absolutely no risk whatsoever of these multinationals pulling out of Ireland.

    Personally I think indigenous big business and multinationals have had far too much influence over Irish governments and their taxation measures. If these companies are not prepared to increase the wages they pay proportionate to the increased profits they are making then it is reasonable that the Irish government extract a tiny fraction of those imported profits and use that to reduce taxation of the middle and lower income workers that have been hit hardest in recent years.

    Could you go through that again. I missed it while toasting my sandwich


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 838 ✭✭✭The_Brood


    Shefwedfan wrote: »
    Ok I think we need to explain this again
    No party prior to election will say they want to go into a coalition. Not the big boys. They expect to win enough votes to win a majority, if they go into an election saying they only want to get into bed with XYZ then they are seen as weak

    Once an election happens and votes are in the everything changes. This is standard, has happened in loads of elections but for some reason at this elections we have a load of people who just can’t seem to get their head around it

    So far what the government have done, what’s your alternative? I guess your talking about covid what would you do?

    When asked that question you say you intend to convince the people you offer the best way forward they can support and you fully intend to win the majority of the votes, hence not needing a coalition. That is a strong response.

    If however you specifically state that you do not want to join forces with FG, and specifically say that people want them out of government, yet a few months later you do form a coalition with FG and run the government alongside them - you are a complete liar worth 0 respect by anyone with a shred of decency.


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Shefwedfan wrote:
    So far what the government have done, what’s your alternative? I guess your talking about covid what would you do?


    Keep full covid payments in place, and possibly consider expanding it out to all citizens, or our private sector could tank


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Bowie wrote: »
    Record breaking societal crises year on year for the last several years

    You explaining why you feel that might be outside of government policy doesn't change the facts.

    Record breaking numbers of homeless children during economic growth.

    More working people need state aid to function. That's a problem.
    Meanwhile Ireland is fifth in the world for number of billionaires per capita.

    The electorate obviously didnt think FG were doing a good job as their vote declined. This would be based on their personal experience.

    Do you have posts in a clipboard where you just copy and paste the stock standard answer to most posts.

    I reckon you have about 6 stock answers to everything....

    Of course the majority of what you say is complete made up horse manure.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/620956/top-10-countries-with-the-most-billionaires-per-capita/

    https://www.aei.org/economics/countries-with-lots-of-billionaires-per-capita-also-tend-to-have-high-levels-of-well-being-and-competitiveness/
    More working people need state aid to function.
    A complete and utter lie.

    Tell me do you enjoy being a parody like Alex Jones, making stuff up to push your point of view?


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    KyussB wrote: »
    The Labour Share of Income (workers share of profits/income, nationally) has been declining since the 70's, all across the western world, coinciding directly with the rise of NeoLiberalism:

    Ah yes, simple answers for the fools on Facebook or Twitter.
    You know this one, correlation does not equal causation.
    Pinning the blame of China is exactly the kind of simplification of a complicated issue that you criticize.

    Well its better than, 'Dawh, its all neo libernalism fault'.


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    markodaly wrote:
    Tell me do you enjoy being a parody like Alex Jones, making stuff up to push your point of view?


    We re clearly experiencing a fundamental failure in some of our most critical of needs, I.e. housing and health care, we re not the only country with these issues


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    markodaly wrote:
    Well its better than, 'Dawh, its all neo libernalism fault'.


    Is it really!


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Bowie wrote: »
    No allegations.
    Even on the cooked books of FG/Murphy it was getting worse.
    When everyone including government recognises theres a crisis, theres a crisis.

    Wrong... again.

    Homelessness has actually improved in 2020.

    https://www.focusireland.ie/resource-hub/about-homelessness/#:~:text=There%20were%208%2C699%20people%20homeless,in%20emergency%20accommodation%20are%20children.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/number-of-people-listed-as-homeless-falls-to-four-year-low-1.4319094
    The number of people registered in the State as homeless is at the lowest level in four years, according to new figures.

    Almost 1,500 people exited homelessness during the period covered by the lockdown, the figures show.

    Its funny, one way to fix homeless is stop travel and immigration.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    Is it really!

    There has been forests of studies done on the rise of the Chinese economy and how it has disrupted the economies in the west and the resulting problems that has caused, so yes, I would go with the peer reviewed studies on this rather then someone on boards.ie shouting a little soundbite.


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    markodaly wrote:
    Its funny, one way to fix homeless is stop travel and immigration.


    Stock response: when free market libertarianism fails, it's due to the government, the scary foreigners, the dole scroungers and my personal favourite, those that fail to engage in 'personal responsibility'!


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    We re clearly experiencing a fundamental failure in some of our most critical of needs, I.e. housing and health care, we re not the only country with these issues

    Irish health care and its problems has nothing to do with neo-liberalism or globalism.

    Housing in ireland is a cluter **** for many reasons, and I have gone to great lengths to discuss this, but no I am not going to engage in a dishonest debate with peope who just want a nice McDonalds type of answer to these problems, as its more complicated that that happy meal solution, that some like to push forward.

    If you want to eat that type of 'food' for your brain, work away.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,365 ✭✭✭✭McMurphy


    Declan Brady won't be voting for FFG in the next election by the sounds of him, the man's almost crying.

    You can't argue with him tbh, would have made sense to send inspectors into the likes of Goodman's factories instead of airports to see if some lad could have his pup cut or stopped.

    https://twitter.com/VirginMediaNews/status/1291830220610207746?s=09


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    markodaly wrote:
    There has been forests of studies done on the rise of the Chinese economy and how it has disrupted the economies in the west and the resulting problems that has caused, so yes, I would go with the peer reviewed studies on this rather then someone on boards.ie shouting a little soundbite.


    I ll counter that and say that theres also plenty of research done confirming free market economics has been an absolute clusterfcuk, oh yea, some of that research is also peer reviewed


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    markodaly wrote:
    Irish health care and its problems has nothing to do with neo-liberalism or globalism.


    You seem to like peer reviewed, let's go down that route then!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,013 ✭✭✭✭James Brown


    markodaly wrote: »
    Do you have posts in a clipboard where you just copy and paste the stock standard answer to most posts.

    I reckon you have about 6 stock answers to everything....

    Of course the majority of what you say is complete made up horse manure.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/620956/top-10-countries-with-the-most-billionaires-per-capita/

    https://www.aei.org/economics/countries-with-lots-of-billionaires-per-capita-also-tend-to-have-high-levels-of-well-being-and-competitiveness/


    A complete and utter lie.

    Tell me do you enjoy being a parody like Alex Jones, making stuff up to push your point of view?

    Firstly calm down.

    Secondly.....
    Ireland - 5th largest number of billionaires per capita
    Updated / Wednesday, 22 Jan 2020
    https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2020/0120/1108528-oxfam-wealth-study/

    Same problems, same FG apologist insults and sneers.
    The thing about ongoing problems is, well they are always there.
    Number of homeless children reaches new high of 3,800
    Data from the Department of Housing published on Tuesday show there were 10,305 people homeless, including 3,821 children, in the week between the 25th and 31st March. This compares with 9,681 homeless, including 3,646 children in March 2018.

    Since February 2019 the figures show an increase of 41 in the total number of homeless, of whom 37 were children, setting a new record level.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/number-of-homeless-children-reaches-new-high-of-3-800-1.3876500

    When people like yourself come along and deny these things I have to go Google for links. It is tiresome. Happens every few months or so.

    So using your musings as tone, you are either a liar or ignorant on the things you post about.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    efanton wrote: »
    For abject poverty you might have an argument, but we are not a 3rd world country.

    Were you alive in the 70's or 80's? You do know that we were by far the poorest country in Western Europe, until we joined the EEC and rode the globalism wave, that made us rich beyond our wildest dreams.

    Is anyone honestly saying that Ireland was better in the 70s than now, because that is the crux of the 'Booh hooo, Neo-Liberalism is bad' arguement.
    Go on, I dare someone say that the average Irish person was better off than today..... and prove it...
    ... and of course by that extension perhaps we should leave the EU if it was so great?

    Irexit?


    Its all well and good attracting big business to Ireland, but surely the purpose of doing so is so that the citizens of Ireland and the country as a whole benefit from this.

    We do. If you dont think we do, then I think you are too far gone to have a reasonable deabte. And before you answer back, look at the corporation tax take, before you make a fool of yourself.


  • Registered Users Posts: 29,581 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    markodaly wrote:
    Is anyone honestly saying that Ireland was better in the 70s than now, because that is the crux of the 'Booh hooo, Neo-Liberalism is bad' arguement. Go on, I dare someone say that the average Irish person was better off than today..... and prove it... ... and of course by that extension perhaps we should leave the EU if it was so great?


    Again, would you like to continue this debate via peer reviewed work?


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    McMurphy wrote: »
    Declan Brady won't be voting for FFG in the next election by the sounds of him, the man's almost crying.

    You can't argue with him tbh, would have made sense to send inspectors into the likes of Goodman's factories instead of airports to see if some lad could have his pup cut or stopped.

    https://twitter.com/VirginMediaNews/status/1291830220610207746?s=09

    All well and good but SF would have done the same thing, as SF and the DUP in the North have implimented similar policies regarding pubs.

    I guess he can vote Independant...


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    Again, would you like to continue this debate via peer reviewed work?

    Was Ireland better in the 70's?

    Yes/No?


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,719 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Bowie wrote: »
    F

    So using your musings as tone, you are either a liar or ignorant on the things you post about.

    That oxfam study has been debunked as it counts people in ireland who dont live there and are non resident.

    Homelessness has decressed since the start of the year, this is a fact. Now you want to change the goal posts by putting in some other metric as a measurement. Sifting the goal-posts.

    People can see through your nonesense.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,365 ✭✭✭✭McMurphy


    markodaly wrote: »
    All well and good but SF would have done the same thing, as SF and the DUP in the North have implimented similar policies regarding pubs.

    I guess he can vote Independant...

    What similar policies have they introduced up north?

    And does it have any bearing on meat plants/airport inspectors?

    If not, what's the point of even posting that?


This discussion has been closed.
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