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Covid-19 likely to be man made

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    I can guess why it was. When someone jumps to early conclusions from very limited information, it's not a good look for such a position.



  • Registered Users Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    Yes, when you're dissussing an issue as important as the nature and origin of a novel pathogen best to only have people in the room who agree with you 🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Lab taken over by Chinese military.

    Moves to replace ventilation system.

    Removal of database of viruses being worked on.

    It could be just a series of coincidences that make it look like something happened in the lab in Wuhan which was working on coronaviruses prior to the emergence of a Coronavirus in Wuhan.

    Would be interesting to learn had the Chinese military ever taken over the facility before

    When the ventilation system was last replaced.

    Had the virus database ever been taken down before.

    If all three simultaneous events were unique or unusual it would certainly suggest there was some type of incident.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    First day went as expected with those witnesses

    "Hearing witness Robert Redfield, a virologist who directed the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during former President Donald Trump’s administration, said he was chagrined that he had not been invited to that 1 February phone call. He claimed it was because of his position that the virus could have come from a Wuhan lab—although several members on that call expressed similar views at that time. “It was told to me that they wanted a single narrative,” said Redfield, who contended, “They squashed debate.”

    Wade also said the Wuhan lab had in 2018 written in a grant proposal to a branch of the U.S. Department of Defense that it wanted to insert an FCS into bat coronaviruses, a charge repeated by members of the subcommittee. He said rather than a SARS-CoV-2 progenitor evolving this cleavage site, it was “easier to believe that the Wuhan researchers did exactly what they proposed and generated the SARS-2 virus in their lab.”

    But the proposal he refers to, which was submitted by the nonprofit EcoHealth Alliance and included many collaborators, explicitly says those proposed experiments were meant to take place at the University of North Carolina (UNC), not WIV. “This section of the proposal was written by collaborators at UNC in the U.S., where the work would have been carried out,” says Peter Daszak, head of EcoHealth, which posted a lengthy critique of other claims made at the hearing. “Importantly the grant was not funded and the work not done.”

    Wade did not reply to a request from Science asking whether he had evidence to support his claim that WIV, not a U.S. university, had proposed to do the insertion of the cleavage site."



  • Registered Users Posts: 627 ✭✭✭Mullaghteelin


    https://bitterwinter.org/covid-19-media-censoring-laboratory-hypothesis/

    [quote]Leading scientific journals censored dissenting voices; many science writers at major news outlets promoted narratives or asserted conclusions unsubstantiated by evidence; reporters failed to make even cursory attempts at surfacing potential conflicts of interest of their sources.” 

    The security experts believe that “by prematurely dismissing or stigmatizing certain questions—from the very outset of the pandemic— many prominent scientists and journalists failed in their duty. [/quote]

    By continuing to insist this topic belongs in the conspiracy theory section, this site is just as guilty at stigmatizing the debate and discouraging the pursuit the truth as any media giant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    This thread is about the virus being deliberately created.

    Do you believe it was? If yes, why?



  • Registered Users Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    It was a proposal for joint work between UNC and the WIV, similar to other joint work published since 2014. The chimeric viruses are made in Ralph Barics's lab (UNC) and tested on humanized mice in Shi's lab (WIV). From the first paragraph of the proposal "we will sequence their spike proteins...insert them into bat SARSr-COV backbones, to infect humanized mice and access ability to cause SARS type disease". Arguing in the same paragraph that this is not gain of function as the backbone used is not SARS-COV (the virus that caused the outbreak in 2002), which is complete bullshit given the stated goal of the experiment is to infect humanized mice and see if they develop SARS type disease. It's basically semantics and Fauci used the same reasoning in denying the NIH funded gain of function research in Wuhan.

    As for risk of lab leak, obviously could happen either at UNC or WIV, but the humanized mice studies were to be done at the WIV so that's the location with the risk of a lab worker being bitten by an infected mouse. Daszak is being disengenious saying the work would be done at UNC.

    I would encourage you to read this interview with Peter Daszak and then evaluate his statement. In the interview he states "we were doing one line of work with them (WIV), you would have to ask them what they were doing". In his statement he claims "the grant wasn't funded and the work was not done". How does he know the work wasn't done? There are other sources of funding, both to UNC and the WIV, the CCP would be the largest source of funds by far to the WIV.

    Hopefully someone from the US government will clear up why the grant was rejected. If I had to guess I would imagine US Intelligence agencies (DARPA are a research arm of the DOD tasked with developing technologies for the military) decided it was a bit risky collaborating with a totalitarian regime on pathogen research. Just a guess.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    There is a high probability of a laboratory leak.

    Wuhan lab facility is one of the most prestigious labs in the world conducting this research, what are the odds that it came from the street market food chain of the same city in China? Geography isn't something you ignore?

    In this case therefore you can imagine scientists and virologists were storing bat-like coronaviruses in frozen containment units, and something could have gone horribly wrong with the electronics storing the samples. It is possible that someone spilled something on a working countertop, did not clean it well, and someone in the lab touched it. Because of the incubation period, may not even realize he had the virus until days later.

    There is no dispute in the scientific world that this COVID-19 virus was already adapted to humans from the outset. It took almost a year for the Sars virus to spread from one person to another. Many scientists support the lab hypothesis because other SARS bat-like viruses that we know about don't have this unique "furin cleavage site ( smoking gun) If you're finding a unique RNA sequence in the make up of Covid 19 thats doesnt exist in any other bat virus that something can just pass off is uninteresting.

    In light of this unique furin cleavage site, which is anomalous, many scientists are confident the virus originated from a laboratory. If one side says the furin cleavage site shouldn't be there, then the other side should be ready to offer an explanation as to why it isn't an odd discovery.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Weird. The other people who believe there was a conspiracy to cover up the lab leak were insisting that scientists weren't allowed to say that they supported such things.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    An open question to King Mob and Dohnjoe. Do either of you have any scientific qualifications?

    Andersen's email:

    Andersen laid them out plainly in an email to Fauci that same evening. “The unusual features of the virus make up a really small part of the genome (<0.1%) so one has to look really closely at all the sequences to see that some of the features (potentially) look engineered,” Andersen wrote in the email. “I should mention,” he added, “that after discussions earlier today, Eddie, Bob, Mike and myself all find the genome inconsistent with expectations from evolutionary theory. But we have to look at this much more closely and there are still further analyses to be done, so those opinions could still change.

    All these people that have no qualifications whatsoever in science and claim they know more than Nobel prize winner Luc Montagnier.

    It's just baffling. I do not know how people can be so arrogant and rude in their arrogance and persistently rude. No amount of evidence will stop them in their bullying tactics. It's like a cult. If they were alive in the middle ages they would be calling Galileo a conspiracy theorist despite having never studied astronomy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But Nobel prize winner doesn't mean "infallible."

    Scientists make mistakes and false statements all the time.

    Meanwhile we have tons of scientists who are also highly qualified, who you guys accuse of being completely incompetent (since they miss something unqualified randos on the internet found by watching youtube) or that they are part of a sinister conspiracy.

    I'm also just pointing out the contradiction. On one hand we've been told that there was an effort to suppress scientists from suggesting that it might have been a lab leak. Then on the other we're being told that tons of scientists were presenting evidence that it might have been a lab leak. Doesn't seem like the conspiracy theory is very consistent there and shifts between the two extremes depending on what needs to be link dumped at the time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    I'm going to take that to mean you have no scientific qualifications whatsoever.

    Referring to me as 'you guys' is insulting and rude. I don't know you motivation for such rudeness.

    Despite what you say, there are not tons of scientists investigating the origin of Covid 19, in general companies don't pay people to do that.

    As you well know there were a group with major conflicts of interest that were connected to the research in Wuhan that came out early to strike down discussion on bioengineering of the virus.

    I have no idea why you are here pushing so strongly on a narrative on which you are unqualified.

    I personally lean towards a possible lab leak but again I do not have enough evidence to do more than speculate. I've little interest in reviewing the literature and publishing and that's probably similar to most with scientific qualifications or working int he area but here you are day in day out claiming to know the truth despite having no qualifications and likely no experience.

    It just boggles the mind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    You can take it to mean that if you like. It wouldn't be true though.

    When I say "you guys" I'm referring to conspiracy theorists. You believe that there is a conspiracy trying to cover up the idea of a lab leak.

    I don't understand what's insulting or rude about that, but accusing people of being bullies etc etc. is fine.

    And again, you're accusing me of "pushing a narrative" but I've no idea what narrative you're referring to.


    Again I'm pointing out the contradiction in the conspiracy claims that on one had scientists were silenced and on the other, tons are speaking out.

    Not sure why you said "despite what I say" when I didn't make any mention of how many people are investigating the issue...


    I'm also highlighting the gaslighting going on where folks like yourself are pretending conspiracy theorists were claiming all manner of false and ridiculous things about the virus and pretending that they were right all along.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    You are calling me a conspiracy theorist and somehow think that is not rude.

    The narrative you push is that anyone discussing this topic is a conspiracy theorist.

    You appear to have no qualifications and no experience in the scientific field and make unqualified statements, just look through you comment history. You seem to be a source of disinformation. A primary school child who has never done algebra would not attack a mathematician claiming that slope of a line could be easily calculated in such a manner. Your arrogance and rudeness is off the scale.

    I've had enough. Don't bother replying to me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    You're suggesting a conspiracy theory on a conspiracy theory forum. The label isn't an insult nor is it intended as one. It's just accurate.

    However, your post persists in several falsehoods. First you claim that I'm pushing a narrative that anyone discussing the topic is conspiracy theorist. I've never claimed that. It's not what I believe and it's not something I push.

    You also claim that I have no qualifications. This is false.

    You also claim that I am a source of disinformation. Also false and very clear from the lack of examples you provide. This also highlights the issue I mentioned earlier. You are ignoring the vast amounts of disinformation and false claims made on this forum and about this topic made by conspiracy theorists.


    You also avoid the point I make about the contradiction in the conspiracy narrative.

    All scientists are being suppressed and silenced when people are asked for evidence.

    But then tons of scientists are speaking out when conspiracy theorists think they've found stuff to support their claims...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,321 ✭✭✭emo72


    We'll probably never know. But I don't think it's a conspiracy theory that many people believe it's a lab leak. It came from somewhere. Anyone would half a brain could see that there was a narrative telling us, to follow the science, and not to question it. The whole idea of science is that it is to be questioned and probed.

    "Follow the science" is a new religious mantra, it's code for shut up and don't question me you pleb. They could have been just honest, and said we don't know where it came from, until it's definitive all options are on the table. No one would blame them, it was a novel scenario, and everyone was scrambling.

    Why is this a conspiracy theory anyway? It should be in current affairs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But no one is arguing that claiming it might be a lab leak is a conspiracy theory.

    What's being called a conspiracy theory is notions like the virus being man made as a bioweapon. Or as some Nobel prize winners claim: as a secret cure for AIDS.

    Claiming that there was a narrative to silence or censor people is also a conspiracy theory people are suggesting.

    The only folks who have been saying stuff like "shut up and don't question me you pleb" are conspiracy theorists who have been declaring certain scientists inerrant and infallible. For example:

    All these people that have no qualifications whatsoever in science and claim they know more than Nobel prize winner Luc Montagnier.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,321 ✭✭✭emo72


    There absolutely was a narrative to dismiss the lab leak hypothesis.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Ok. But we haven't been seeing any solid reason to believe that.

    So far it's been a lot of conflating things, overstating things and just out and out lies.

    We've been told contradictory things about who is behind this narrative, why and how they are achieving this. And it goes from some people wrote a strongly worded open letter, to the US government operating a global conspiracy involving every scientist and media organisation.

    And of course this is all while the actual misinformation and conspiracy theorists are downplayed, rewritten or erased from reality.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Is this the same Anderson on this podcast?


    Quite long but tears apart a lot of the lab leak arguments mentioned here. Gets very technical in places and frankly above my head at times. Makes it appear fairly unlikely that it's a lab leak and the average person simply doesn't have the expertise to understand why. They reality of this conspiracy theory is somewhat boring technical detail.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,934 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    To be fair, "boring technical detail" is why most of the conspiracies end up not holding water, they only work if you ignore all the science parts (or believe in magic/undiscovered science as the root explanation).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Two crackpots. Anderson who suddenly changed his mind and Worobey who joined team NIAID.

    Jamie Metzel who has been pushing for transparency commented on Worobey's recent attack.

    if memory serves he got significant funding following his paper that said covid19 emerged from the market and completely omitted the possibility of someone visiting the market being the source. Neither situation negates a natural origin but the papers wrote about his preprint before peer review after which some of his outrageous claims were whittled back.

    It's incredible how some of these clowns with their speculation achieved such exposure.



  • Registered Users Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    Listened to it, and while all three are highly qualified and credible scientists, have two issues with it.

    The statement was made that there was no preferred hypothesis and both lab leak and natural spillover were equally considered. But that's not just an attempt to rewrite history, but it's to deny reality. From the Lancet statement of Feb 19th 2020 signed by 27 leading global Virologists and Public Health scientists: "We stand together to condemn conspiracy theories that Covid 19 did not have a natural origin". Now the three on this podcast did not sign the statement, but to suggest there was no preferred hypothesis is nonsense, the Lancet statement and the Proximal Origins paper with Kristen Anderson and Eddie Holmes as authors (2 of the podcast parrticipants) are the basis for the preferred natural spillover hypothesis, and the basis for the claim there was a consensus within science on the origins question. Keeping in mind that both articles were drafted within a month of the outbreak when very little was known at all about plausible origins.

    The second issue is the complete avoidance of the published and proposed gain of function work between UNC and WIV which is the basis for the most plausible lab leak hypothesis, that the virus emerged from such work. After listening for the first 2/3 of the podcast, we finally get a question addressed to all three, and I though here we go, finally we get to the meat of the discussion. What do we get in response? A quick dismissal from one participant saying it's expected that they would be looking at furin cleavage sites as a coronavirus virus pandemic is likely to have a furin cleavage site. No follow up, no discussion of all the published research since 2014 on building chimeric viruses, no discussion of passaging experiments, no discussion of the details of the Defuse proposal, nothing.

    It would have been good if they had someone there who could present the actual plausible lab leak hypothesis, and the evidence to support it. Just for balance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Huh weird.

    You're dismissing very qualified people as "crackpots" and you're accusing them of fraud and being part of a conspiracy based on pretty much nothing.


    Seems very contradictory given your previous stance where people more qualified than you cannot be questioned or doubted.

    Or maybe this rule only applies to people who suggest lab leak stuff.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    The two possible sources for the origin of Covid are

    1. Natural, and the scientists and virologists are the heroes working to protect us from deadly natural viruses.
    2. Lab leak and scientists are the bad guys, putting everyone at risk with their dangerous experiments.

    I know which option would be most appealing to me if I was a virologist, especially if I had links with the laboratory from which the virus potentially emerged.

    Can we stop pretending that the lab leak theory was not censored for many months after the virus first emerged. For something to have happened doesn’t mean it has to continue happening forever.

    There are also still people in jail in China for attempting to investigate the origins of Covid in Wuhan, others have been “disappeared”. The official Covid origin story from China now is that it didn’t emerge naturally in China but entered the country in frozen food.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Again you guys are engaging in the things you accuse others of.

    Your two options are silly strawmen that conflate many things to form stances no one actually holds.


    The lab leak theory was not censored.

    You are once again pretending that the conspiracy theories that were being spread about the virus didn't exist. Just because they aren't being spouted now it doesn't mean they weren't spouted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Once again, despite it being pointed out to you how obnoxious it was, you refer to a poster as “you guys”.

    Straw men? Do you disagree that the origin of the pandemic is either zoonotic or lab leak?

    You are suggesting that no one holds either of these views which is demonstrably inaccurate, incorrect and pretty darn stupid.

    You keep repeating that the lab leak theory was not censored. The only explanation I can think of is


    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    I Keep referring to you guys as in people who are suggesting that there is a conspiracy at play. In the current case the conspiracy being a plot to censor the idea of a lab leak.

    And yes strawmen. Your argument is a ridiculous parody of people's stances. You know full well that this is the case as no one is referring to "heroes and bad guys".

    I did not suggest that no one holds the views of it being a lab leak or a virus jumping to humans. That's another strawman on your part.


    I keep repeating the fact that the lab leak idea wasn't censored because it wasn't. You've failed to demonstrate it has been without resorting to changing definitions, (eg. Scientists penning an open letter is not censorship) or claiming things say stuff they don't (eg. Claiming those scientists refer to the lab leak theory rather than the idea the virus was man made) or falling back on conspiracy theories and the tactics you accuse others of.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 7,169 Mod ✭✭✭✭Hannibal_Smith


    @King Mob it's been highlighted to you before that the 'You guys' tag isnt received well and as has happened here it just helps in derailing discussion.

    @SafeSurfer Safe Surfer if you have an issue with a post or poster report it, don't respond with further name calling.

    Most importantly if you cannot discuss the topic with each other without sniping at each other, then don't reply to each other. It offers nothing to any thread.

    HS



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Maybe it would be helpful if you could outline your understanding of the word “censorship.”

    Perhaps when you have your dictionary open, look up the word “was” also. Your argument for the lab leak theory not having been censored is asking why the FBI issued a report in late 2021 stating the lab leak theory was likely.

    People have said the lab leak theory “was” censored.

    If someone states that it “was” raining this morning and you look out your window and declare you are wrong, it’s not raining. It may not be as strong an argument as you seem to believe.

    It has been already shown how social media companies etc treated the lab leak theory. How, after the Lancet letter, the one in which it’s signees didn’t declare their conflict of interest, “natural origin” was conflated with the lab leak theory being a conspiracy theory.

    “We stand together to strongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that COVID-19 does not have a natural origin”

    You seem to deliberately fail to grasp this as you deliberately fail to grasp the fact that if it was a lab leak, the resulting pandemic was not caused by a natural event but rather it was caused by a human event.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But as I said, a letter isn't censorship even if you weren't conflating what it said.

    The letter does not refer to a lab leak. That's your conflation while you pretend the torrent of conspiracy theories about the virus being artificially ceeated didn't exist.

    We've also seen that you likewise make assumptions that the US government issued orders to social media companies to specifically censor the lab leak theory.

    I understand the term well enough thanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    It would of course depend on the context.

    If I was banned for example for calling another poster an imbecile then that would be uncivil, a breach of guidelines and a ban would not be censorship.

    If I was banned for expressing an opinion on something for which differing theories existed, such as the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines flight 370 and I was banned specifically for expressing one particular opinion, such as, for example Al Qaeda hijacked the plane and if all other posters who expressed the same opinion were banned then that would look very much like censorship of one theory to explain something for which no definitive explanation existed.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    No I do.

    An open letter is not censorship. Yet you keep claiming that it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    More false conflating.

    Expressing conspiracy theories about a plane crash is not the same about expressing conspiracy theories about medical topics.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    None of that is censorship. You don't have a right to have your voice amplified on any platform regardless of the context.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    You are making an entirely separate point now. You asked a question about censorship and now you are making a statement about rights.

    You say nobody has a right to have their voice amplified I understand your meaning, even if this is not strictly true.

    In the context of censorship, section 31 prevented certain views from, as you put it, being “amplified”, while other views, deemed acceptable faced no such obstacles.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Why is speculation on the origins of Covid different from speculation about flight MH370?

    I can understand conspiracies about vaccines being considered a medical topic but struggle to understand how the origin of the pandemic can be considered medical.

    Would the medical response to Covid be different if it was natural or lab leak. I guess the answer is no, because we still don’t know which caused the pandemic but the medical response has been the same.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Again, it's conflation. Medical conspiracies are not the same as other conspiracies. Nor can you simply ignore the fact that misinformation and conspiracy theories about the origins of the virus were tied up and intertwined with those of the vaccine etc.

    An example of this is Luc Montagier. He has been held up recently as an example of someone who was unfairly censored for suggesting a lab leak.

    This of course ignores all the silly conspiracy he's claimed about the virus. And the fact that he has been pushing and amplifying anti-vaxxer messaging.

    You are suggesting we ignore all the context and just pretend that none of that exists or is in any way connected.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    You are just being ridiculous now.

    I am not suggesting anything. I am disputing your assertion that whether the pandemic was as a result of natural spillover or a lab leak is a “medical conspiracy”.

    You talk about conflating and then come out with this nonsense.


    ---‐--------

    Warning applied for ignoring mod instruction

    HS

    Post edited by Hannibal_Smith on

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Viruses are a medical topic.

    Conspiracy claims about the origin of the virus are very very often tied up with other conspiracy claims that include anti-vaxx misinformation. A prime example of this being Luc Montagier.

    Again, you are mispresenting my position, I never said "whether the pandemic was as a result of natural spillover or a lab leak is a “medical conspiracy”."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Medical conspiracies and disinformation can be harmful. It can be sensitive subject during a global pandemic for obvious reasons.

    E.g. the conspiracy that Covid was deliberately engineered and released on purpose could cause panic, retaliation against the country accused of it, etc.

    Speculating about what happened to a plane is generally harmless.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,409 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Not to mention the fact that the people promoting the beliefs that it was deliberately engineered etc also have a very high likely hood of also promoting other false medical claims. Or they promote other people and sources who do. Which leads to things like lower confidence in vaccines.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,737 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    I don’t disagree with you that medical conspiracies and disinformation are dangerous.

    I just thought that the lab leak theory was no longer being dismissed as a conspiracy theory, never mind a medical conspiracy theory.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    The problem isn't so much now, it was back then. Early in the pandemic, there were a lot of rumors and speculation. It was important to classify what we knew and what we didn't know, and not to indulge too much in the speculation (which could run out of control). The majority of scientists and experts, with access to equivalent information, that early in the pandemic, didn't know for sure what the origin was, but based on the information pool they had at the time, many of them were leaning in a particular direction.

    The thing about the lab leak theory was that it pointed the finger at a particular country, okay, but that's a very sensitive thing to do, especially so early on. What if it was wrong? There could have been significant damage. The optics of publicly "going with a hunch" during a global pandemic doesn't add any value. Plus it carries the risk of being wrong.

    Case in point - certain politicians straight away jumped on it. Their agenda? To smear that country regardless of whether the theory turned out to be true or not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 627 ✭✭✭Mullaghteelin


    A quick search brings up dozens of articles from a broad variety of news sources stating that the lab leak theory was suppressed, with some as early as 2021.

    Here's something from a week ago.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11826847/Experts-call-lab-leak-denying-doctor-Jeremy-Farrar-sacked-World-Health-Organization.html

    "EXCLUSIVE: Experts call for lab leak-denying doctor Jeremy Farrar to be fired from new post as World Health Organization's chief scientist after he censored debate about Covid's origin"


    Although, I suspect the Daily Mail will be rubbished here by some for being a far-right rag.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    And from the article itself:

    "On the day that paper, titled 'Proximal Origin', was first published, emails also show Dr Farrar pushed through a crucial change that poured even more doubt over the theory - despite privately expressing concerns the virus was man-made."

    "'Sorry to micromanage/micro edit! But would you be willing to change one sentence?', Dr Farrar asked in the email chain. He asked for the word 'unlikely' to be swapped with 'improbable' in a statement talking about the lab leak.

    The tweaked sentence then read: 'It is improbable that SARS-CoV-2 emerged through laboratory manipulation of an existing SARS-related coronavirus.'

    Which I'd still agree with. There is still little consensus among the scientific community that the virus was "man-made" aka created or bioengineered in a lab.

    The current lab leak theory posits it was an incidental or accidental leak of a zoonotic virus. The article again demonstrates how easy it is for people to confuse the two theories as being "one and the same".



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,231 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    This part of the article really encapsulates how the two theories keep getting conflated.

    "He said: 'Jeremy Farrar, the guy who then publicly disdained the lab leak theory despite privately admitting he was still 50:50 on the lab leak should not be in charge of the WHO or any investigations into the origins of Covid.'

    Emails leaked last year show that Dr Farrar privately expressed concern that Covid could have leaked from a lab in February 2020.

    He famously told Dr Anthony Fauci and colleagues that he was 50:50 between a lab leak and natural origin.

    But in the following weeks, Dr Farrar seemed to have a dramatic change of heart and put his name to a letter in the Lancet denouncing the lab leak hypothesis as a 'conspiracy theory'.

    The statement signed along with 26 other scientists, said: 'We stand together to strongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that Covid does not have a natural origin."


    The statement referred to is the below, signed by 27 scientists


    "We stand together to strongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that COVID-19 does not have a natural origin. Scientists from multiple countries have published and analysed genomes of the causative agent, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2),1 and they overwhelmingly conclude that this coronavirus originated in wildlife,2,  3,  4,  5,  6,  7,  8,  9,  10 as have so many other emerging pathogens."

    AKA "we don't think it was made/engineered by humans in a lab". Which is still the prevailing theory. Even the FBI aren't stating that it was made/engineered by humans in a lab.



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