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Who thinks Trump will win?

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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,109 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Igotadose wrote: »
    Seriously, how wrong? Wrong enough to put Trump over the top. How much wrong?

    Because Biden's in record polling territory now.

    We all still remember how polling looked 4 years ago. Make-believe numbers.


  • Site Banned Posts: 12,341 ✭✭✭✭Faugheen


    The one Trump card he had was the economy pre-COVID, and now he’s essentially pissed that down the drain by stopping the talks for a Stimulus package.

    As of right now, he’s toast and he’s going to bring the Republicans down with him, while leaving the economy in the **** for Biden to deal with.

    There is no fathomable reason for Trump to not literally throw money into people’s pockets before an election, other than if he knows himself it’s done.

    Things can change quickly though, but the stimulus abandonment is probably one of the dumbest plays I’ve seen any election candidate make in recent times.


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,656 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    ELM327 wrote: »
    Trump created 6.6 million jobs in the time of his administration, pre covid.

    and obama created 8.1 million in his tenure...
    the same amount in his last 3 years as Trump did in his first 3 years.

    Job creation is not a platform that Trump can fix his reelection to.

    The majority of trumps job creation was on the back of the tearing up of climate change legislation and pulling out of the paris accord.
    He even appointed a climate change denier to the head of the EPA for gods sake.

    The last time such an insular job creation policy, to the detriment of its own people, was carried out in a major economy it was called Reichsarbeitsdienst


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,236 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    patnor1011 wrote: »
    We all still remember how polling looked 4 years ago. Make-believe numbers.


    Debunking "Polling was wrong 4 years ago" post number 952.


    Here is the polling from 4 years ago from RCP. They were neck and neck and the result confirmed it.



    EjuUtlYXgAIXJaa?format=jpg&name=small


    For anyone interested, here's what they have now for Biden.


    EjuU0maXsAA1fGs?format=jpg&name=small


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,017 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    and obama created 8.1 million in his tenure...
    the same amount in his last 3 years as Trump did in his first 3 years.

    Job creation is not a platform that Trump can fix his reelection to.

    The majority of trumps job creation was on the back of the tearing up of climate change legislation and pulling out of the paris accord.
    He even appointed a climate change denier to the head of the EPA for gods sake.

    The last time such an insular job creation policy, to the detriment of its own people, was carried out in a major economy it was called Reichsarbeitsdienst


    In 8 years, coming off a recession, yeah well done barack.:rolleyes:


    Those moves aren't smart though. I'm assuming here that "smart" means something that would increase his support. He's doing things, sure, but doing things that make more people vote for him is another matter entirely.


    He's spoken against it already. Stand down.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    He didn't say a single word against white superimasy because he thinks he shouldn't angry his voters from this group. There are also many questions on his Covid positive test and how he is responding it.


    Biden instead denied the existence of antifa to make sure he wouldnt upset their vote and BLM vote


  • Site Banned Posts: 12,341 ✭✭✭✭Faugheen


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Biden instead denied the existence of antifa to make sure he wouldnt upset their vote and BLM vote

    Actually, Biden was quoting Trump’s own FBI Director that Antifa was an ideology.

    Try listening to what he actually said instead of twisting it your own way. You look very dishonest when you do that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    Faugheen wrote: »
    Actually, Biden was quoting Trump’s own FBI Director that Antifa was an ideology.

    Try listening to what he actually said instead of twisting it your own way. You look very dishonest when you do that.


    Biden said that Antifa is an idea. Check out the video instead of freaking out
    Everybody heard it
    Democrats want the BLM/Antifa votes otherwise they would have spoken about it in completely different terms.
    For some reason Trump is expected to disavow extreme right movements but Biden/Kamala are not expected to do the same about extreme left movements, which in fact are causing all the trouble right now


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,075 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    It's not just about Biden winning, the Dems could turn the senate and biden could become one the most powerful presidents in recent history, which is not something imaginable a decade ago when he was obama's nice old white guy.

    Anyway here's hoping. You have to ask yourself, if your party is negatively affected by large voter participation, whether you are the baddies?


    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=rWvpvlT9pJU


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,656 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Biden instead denied the existence of antifa to make sure he wouldnt upset their vote and BLM vote

    lies


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    lies


    minute 3:22

    Biden: "Antifa is an idea not an organization, not malicious"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-eAIKBspVEQ

    As usual, Democrats dishonestly spreading lies about trump even when the facts are easy to check


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,656 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    minute 3:22

    Biden: "Antifa is an idea not an organization, not malicious"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-eAIKBspVEQ

    As usual, Democrats dishonestly spreading lies about trump even when the facts are easy to check

    Exactly.

    What you posted was out rights lies.

    He didn't deny the existence of antifa like you said. He reiterated what the FBI director said, in that its an ideology not an organisation

    You're so tied up trying to twist the truth you don't even know what you are saying


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Exactly.

    What you posted was out rights lies.

    He didn't deny the existence of antifa like you said. He reiterated what the FBI director said, in that its an ideology not an organisation

    You're so tied up trying to twist the truth you don't even know what you are saying


    Biden: "Antifa is an idea not an organization, not malicious"

    Stop clutching on straws

    Considering how violent and aggressive antifa supporters have been, Biden is expected to disavow it the same way as Trump did with the extreme right


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,656 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Biden: "Antifa is an idea not an organization, not malicious"


    Stop clutching on straws

    LOL

    I quoted your lies. Its there for everyone to see.... Before you edited it out.

    No point trying to deny what's right there in from of you, what YOU actually posted.


  • Registered Users Posts: 230 ✭✭bocaman


    Unlike the Proud Boys, who are organised fascists, antifa is an idea. Its short for anti-fascist. That could be a businessman, a priest, a nun. Soldiers landing in Normandy in 1944 were antifa.


  • Registered Users Posts: 405 ✭✭Roger the cabin boy


    Faugheen wrote: »
    The one Trump card he had was the economy pre-COVID, and now he’s essentially pissed that down the drain by stopping the talks for a Stimulus package.

    As of right now, he’s toast and he’s going to bring the Republicans down with him, while leaving the economy in the **** for Biden to deal with.

    There is no fathomable reason for Trump to not literally throw money into people’s pockets before an election, other than if he knows himself it’s done.

    Things can change quickly though, but the stimulus abandonment is probably one of the dumbest plays I’ve seen any election candidate make in recent times.

    Because adults don't know that the Piper must always be paid?
    I'd vote for him precisely for not going down the stimulus route.

    Money wasted imho.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,729 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    https://twitter.com/kevincorke/status/1313652773297295366

    Christopher Wray could be about to have his Comey moment. I'm predisposed to be pessimistic these days given how 2020 has gone I hope this isn't something which undermines the Biden campaign.

    Apparently there is a lot of traffic online originating in Russia seeking to undermine him which might indicate that Biden at least is safe.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 285 ✭✭TexasTornado


    bocaman wrote: »
    Unlike the Proud Boys, who are organised fascists, antifa is an idea. Its short for anti-fascist. That could be a businessman, a priest, a nun. Soldiers landing in Normandy in 1944 were antifa.

    :pac::pac::pac::pac::pac::pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,497 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    If that were true now, I don't see how it wouldn't also be true in 2016. It wasn't true in 2016.

    its more dangerous to be a Trump supporter in 2020 than in 2016. Nobody loses their job for saying they support Biden

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,148 ✭✭✭✭Foxtrol


    Incorrect. Mrs. Clinton and the Democrats accepted the rules when participating in the election as did those who voted. Some people did not like the outcome and wanted to override this by calling for mob rule, yet, had their preferred candidate won they would have been fine with the outcome. Find another reason for her loss, her husband won with this system, she did not.

    Your point only makes sense if you believe people cannot hold two opinions at the same time, that they can sign up to be involved in a competition while at the same time believing the system is broken. Look at Trump, he has involved himself in the election in 2020 despite how he says 2016 and 2020 are rigged against him.
    The United States of America is a federal republic not a mass democracy and that was the intention of it's founders. Mostly they argued that democracy was an unstable form of government and they designed a system with 3 major branches to check the authority of the other which is why the power of the US president is really limited and cannot be autocratic.

    The founders designed 3 branches of government and at this point all 3 are fundamentally broken. The founders had many other intentions, like not allowing women vote, slavery, and black people were worth 3/5 a person. They are far from perfect and their design of US democracy is also far from perfect.
    Neither does democracy mean good or enlightened government, and in the context of modern politics it's meaning has changed by the people talking about it to mean progressive governments that enforce social justice and equity on all the people within its jurisdiction and beyond.

    It says it all that your preference is for a minority to enforce inequality and to you the dangerous option is a majority providing equality.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 867 ✭✭✭ollkiller


    Debunking "Polling was wrong 4 years ago" post number 952.


    Here is the polling from 4 years ago from RCP. They were neck and neck and the result confirmed it.



    EjuUtlYXgAIXJaa?format=jpg&name=small


    For anyone interested, here's what they have now for Biden.


    EjuU0maXsAA1fGs?format=jpg&name=small

    Sad you have to keep posting it. Every single day its "the polls were wrong in 2016". They weren't wrong. They were within the margin of error. Which goes to show that anyone who says the polls were wrong hasn't the first clue about how a poll is calculated.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,040 ✭✭✭Smee_Again


    Faugheen wrote: »
    There is no fathomable reason for Trump to not literally throw money into people’s pockets before an election, other than if he knows himself it’s done.

    That and spite.

    If he knows he's not going to win why would he do anything for the public.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,148 ✭✭✭✭Foxtrol


    Smee_Again wrote: »
    That and spite.

    If he knows he's not going to win why would he do anything for the public.

    It is spite that has him taking issue with support for impacted cities that he sees as being 'blue states'. He can't stomach supporting them because they can't give him anything in return, despite the fact that as a total more people in large 'blue states' vote for him than in many smaller red states. Those people aren't a benefit to him so he simply doesn't care about him.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    bocaman wrote: »
    Unlike the Proud Boys, who are organised fascists, antifa is an idea. Its short for anti-fascist. That could be a businessman, a priest, a nun. Soldiers landing in Normandy in 1944 were antifa.


    LOL


    Have some respect for the soldiers who died in Normandy please.
    Antifa is the extreme left and has caused lots of issues in the recent months, bullying and harassing people who refused to do the fascist-woke salute


  • Registered Users Posts: 25,597 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    LOL


    Have some respect for the soldiers who died in Normandy please.
    Antifa is the extreme left and has caused lots of issues in the recent months, bullying and harassing people who refused to do the fascist-woke salute

    If only Trump could do the same.


  • Posts: 13,688 ✭✭✭✭ Will Shapely Podiatrist


    bocaman wrote: »
    Soldiers landing in Normandy in 1944 were antifa.

    Literally.


  • Registered Users Posts: 83,560 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    ollkiller wrote: »
    Sad you have to keep posting it. Every single day its "the polls were wrong in 2016". They weren't wrong. They were within the margin of error. Which goes to show that anyone who says the polls were wrong hasn't the first clue about how a poll is calculated.

    Because it's all just regurgitation of the talking point, echoed around from whatever chamber MAGA calls its safe space. There is no critical thinking to it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 83,560 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Literally.

    A serious 'terror organization' back in the day... toward fascists

    Into_the_Jaws_of_Death_23-0455M_edit.jpg

    Boot camps, international support - even taxpayer funding! They anti'd the f out of some fascists. Great bunch of lads.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,423 ✭✭✭✭Outlaw Pete


    bocaman wrote: »
    Unlike the Proud Boys, who are organised fascists, antifa is an idea. Its short for anti-fascist.

    LMAO. Yeah, we know what it is supposed to stand for, but that means jack squat when their behavior is taken in to account. NAMBLA stands for the North American Man/Boy Love Association, but that doesn't mean they are actually about LOVE just because they fcuking say so like.
    Soldiers landing in Normandy in 1944 were antifa.

    You're comparing smelly scumbags like Antifa to soldiers in WWII?? :pac:

    As for "Antifa are an idea" - don't make me laugh anymore than I have - sure even Wiki acknowledged they effectively have chapters throughout America.
    "Rose City Antifa (RCA) is an antifa group founded 2007 in Portland, Oregon It is a leftist group. It is the oldest active antifa group in the United States. While anti-fascist activism in the United States dates back to the 1980s, RCA is the first to adopt the moniker "antifa". Since 2016, Rose City Antifa is one of the nine chapters of Torch Network coalition."

    One member of that chapter of Antifa got six years for splitting a man's head open with a baton and here they are trying to get support for him in prison:
    Gage22.jpg

    Just "an idea"? Pull the other one.

    Trump is 100% correct about Antifa and the dangers that they pose to America. Biden calling them "an idea" is just another reason why he is not fit to be POTUS.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,857 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Overheal wrote: »
    A serious 'terror organization' back in the day... toward fascists

    Into_the_Jaws_of_Death_23-0455M_edit.jpg

    Boot camps, international support - even taxpayer funding! They anti'd the f out of some fascists. Great bunch of lads.

    Could any group of people be further from you than them?


This discussion has been closed.
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