Covid 19 Part XXVIII- 71,942 ROI(2,050 deaths) 51,824 NI (983 deaths) (28/11) Read OP

Eod100

thebaz wrote: »

I am very mush a lockdown sceptic, only for real emergencys , but as figures seam to be going in right direction , think it would be best to have a really controlled Christmas, hate to see all the sacrifises by so many people , given up for a massive jolly - think the right thing to do would be to have a very quiet Spiritual Chistmas, rather than a big celtic Tiger drunken party.

A lot of it is personal responsibility either way. Would imagine lot of travelling within Ireland and from other countries to Ireland, people seeing more family etc so think will be inevitable rise in January.

Pete_Cavan

Pete_Cavan wrote: »

With 24 denotifications today, that makes 49 for November so far. By my calculations we have now passed 500 denotifications in total, there were 175 denotifications in October so rate of denotifications is increasing. These are nearly more interesting than the case numbers at this stage.

Pardon my ignorance, Pete, but what does that mean, denotifactions

blowitupref

The 7 day average is now 624 cases per day this time last week it was 936.

Spanish Eyes

KrustyUCC wrote: »

I think you'll be right there

I'm just guessing here. Heard ominous soundings from Saint Anthony of Covid about people travelling home and back elsewhere. Dunno what will happen there. I see it as a big risk myself since Europe is not doing very well.

I suppose Irish citizens in US can travel, but will they be able to go back?

Wait and see I suppose. I feel so sorry for those who may not be allowed to travel, so will say no more just now.

vafankillar

not to be a negative nancy but anyone else looking at this huge drop in cases with suspicion? like it seems too good to be true.

Non solum non ambulabit

KrustyUCC wrote: »

322 fantastic to see

Does prob mean a backlog to be added over the next few days

Not based on Swab data anyway

jobeenfitz

thebaz wrote: »

I am very mush a lockdown sceptic, only for real emergencys , but as figures seam to be going in right direction , think it would be best to have a really controlled Christmas, hate to see all the sacrifises by so many people , given up for a massive jolly - think the right thing to do would be to have a very quiet Spiritual Chistmas, rather than a big celtic Tiger drunken party.

Ah stop will ya, people are making sacrifices so they can have a decent Christmas.

Pete_Cavan

Jake1 wrote: »

Pardon my ignorance, Pete, but what does that mean, denotifactions?

Well there were 322 new cases but the total overall number of cases only increased by 298. I don't know if these are false positives which a second test proved was incorrect or if they count suspected and then denotify them if test comes back negative, there doesn't seem to be an official explanation.

is_that_so

vafankillar wrote: »

not to be a negative nancy but anyone else looking at this huge drop in cases with suspicion? like it seems too good to be true.

No, that's just you! Testing demand is down as is the positivity rate and the number of close contacts is at about 3. R0 is also at about 1, and probably below it this week. That all points in the direction of a lower number of cases.

jackboy

vafankillar wrote: »

not to be a negative nancy but anyone else looking at this huge drop in cases with suspicion? like it seems too good to be true.

Or level 3 worked very nicely.

Spanish Eyes

thebaz wrote: »

I am very mush a lockdown sceptic, only for real emergencys , but as figures seam to be going in right direction , think it would be best to have a really controlled Christmas, hate to see all the sacrifises by so many people , given up for a massive jolly - think the right thing to do would be to have a very quiet Spiritual Chistmas, rather than a big celtic Tiger drunken party.

Everything we do has a risk, but a huge drinking session (if pubs are opened), and unlimited travel to and fro (those who leave will come back presumably) will not help matters.

As you say, a quieter Christmas for many appears to be on the cards. I'd have no issue with that, but I totally understand the disappointment and sadness of many who have not been able to see their families for a LONG time aswell. Let's see what happens.

Ohmeha

ROI and Dublin core case numbers and averages since the introduction of national Level 3 on October 6th.

Level 3 eventually slowed growth nationally but failed in Dublin after a brief reduction. Level 5 is working shrinking new cases nationally but again not as effective in Dublin at a slower 7 day % rate so far


Day Month Date ROI Weekly 7 Day Av 7 Day % 14 Day Av 14 Day % Dublin Weekly 7 Day Av 7 Day % 14 Day Av 14 Day %
Tuesday October 6th 432 3,268 466.86 41.17% 398.79 63.77% 111 1,126 160.86 2.27% 159.07 19.47%
Wednesday October 7th 611 3,450 492.86 37.45% 425.71 67.46% 218 1,155 165.00 -2.70% 167.29 22.23%
Thursday October 8th 506 3,514 502.00 33.71% 438.71 66.59% 91 1,076 153.71 -9.58% 161.86 14.68%
Friday October 9th 617 3,661 523.00 32.07% 459.50 69.20% 123 1,001 143.00 -19.01% 159.79 11.46%
Saturday October 10th 1,012 4,060 580.00 29.42% 514.07 84.97% 241 1,018 145.43 -24.93% 169.57 16.60%
Sunday October 11th 814 4,510 644.29 46.86% 541.50 86.45% 226 1,144 163.43 -8.04% 170.57 14.15%
Monday October 12th 825 4,817 688.14 50.58% 572.57 88.70% 254 1,264 180.57 8.13% 173.79 10.94%
Tuesday October 13th 811 5,196 742.29 59.00% 604.57 98.97% 190 1,343 191.86 19.27% 176.36 15.97%
Wednesday October 14th 1,095 5,680 811.43 64.64% 652.14 106.14% 246 1,371 195.86 18.70% 180.43 15.77%
Thursday October 15th 1,205 6,379 911.29 81.53% 706.64 113.63% 288 1,568 224.00 45.72% 188.86 18.41%
Friday October 16th 1,000 6,762 966.00 84.70% 744.50 115.00% 254 1,699 242.71 69.73% 192.86 16.63%
Saturday October 17th 1,276 7,026 1,003.71 73.05% 791.86 113.73% 278 1,736 248.00 70.53% 196.71 16.06%
Sunday October 18th 1,283 7,495 1,070.71 66.19% 857.50 132.88% 408 1,918 274.00 67.66% 218.71 37.19%
Monday October 19th 1,031 7,701 1,100.14 59.87% 894.14 128.22% 235 1,899 271.29 50.24% 225.93 38.12%
Tuesday October 20th 1,269 8,159 1,165.57 57.02% 953.93 139.21% 203 1,912 273.14 42.37% 232.50 46.16%
Wednesday October 21st 1,167 8,231 1,175.86 44.91% 993.64 133.41% 263 1,929 275.57 40.70% 235.71 40.91%
Thursday October 22nd 1,066 8,092 1,156.00 26.85% 1,033.64 135.61% 244 1,885 269.29 20.22% 246.64 52.38%
Friday October 23rd 777 7,869 1,124.14 16.37% 1,045.07 127.44% 182 1,813 259.00 6.71% 250.86 57.00%
Saturday October 24th 859 7,452 1,064.57 6.06% 1,034.14 101.17% 192 1,727 246.71 -0.52% 247.36 45.87%
Sunday October 25th 1,025 7,194 1,027.71 -4.02% 1,049.21 93.76% 255 1,574 224.86 -17.94% 249.43 46.23%
Monday October 26th 939 7,102 1,014.57 -7.78% 1,057.36 84.67% 262 1,601 228.71 -15.69% 250.00 43.86%
Tuesday October 27th 720 6,553 936.14 -19.68% 1,050.86 73.82% 228 1,626 232.29 -14.96% 252.71 43.30%
Wednesday October 28th 675 6,061 865.86 -26.36% 1,020.86 56.54% 199 1,562 223.14 -19.03% 249.36 38.20%
Thursday October 29th 866 5,861 837.29 -27.57% 996.64 41.04% 242 1,560 222.86 -17.24% 246.07 30.30%
Friday October 30th 772 5,856 836.57 -25.58% 980.36 31.68% 228 1,606 229.43 -11.42% 244.21 26.63%
Saturday October 31st 416 5,413 773.29 -27.36% 918.93 16.05% 87 1,501 214.43 -13.09% 230.57 17.21%
Sunday November 1st 552 4,940 705.71 -31.33% 866.71 1.07% 173 1,419 202.71 -9.85% 213.79 -2.25%
Monday November 2nd 767 4,768 681.14 -32.86% 847.86 -5.18% 321 1,478 211.14 -7.68% 219.93 -2.66%
Tuesday November 3rd 322 4,370 624.29 -33.31% 780.21 -18.21% 96 1,346 192.29 -17.22% 212.29 -8.69%

dalyboy

wes wrote: »

IMO, this amounts to crimes against humanity. These people need to be tried at the Hague.

With the rising numbers of missed cancer diagnosis and suicide increase being squarely down to our sledge hammer lockdown policies do you also believe we should see Tony Holohan in The Hague ?

Pete_Cavan

Pete_Cavan wrote: »

Well there were 322 new cases but the total overall number of cases only increased by 298. I don't know if these are false positives which a second test proved was incorrect or if they count suspected and then denotify them if test comes back negative, there doesn't seem to be an official explanation.

Ah, I see, thank you very much.

thebaz

jobeenfitz wrote: »

Ah stop will ya, people are making sacrifices so they can have a decent Christmas.

Ther are many people who have sacrifised so much for these lockdowns, i've lost all my work , so the country going drunkenly mad to celbrate the end of lockdown , seams crazy and stupid , unless we get to zero cases, and I dont believe that wil happen, even in 4 weeks.

KrustyUCC

Non solum non ambulabit wrote: »

Not based on Swab data anyway

They never seem to be in sync

AlphaDelta1

vafankillar wrote: »

not to be a negative nancy but anyone else looking at this huge drop in cases with suspicion? like it seems too good to be true.

No not at all. L5 is working brilliantly

Spanish Eyes

Keep the kids in school!

is_that_so

AlphaDelta1 wrote: »

No not at all. L5 is working brilliantly

You need to change your medication, it has you trippin' !

ACitizenErased

AlphaDelta1 wrote: »

No not at all. L5 is working brilliantly

This isn't just level 5. We'll only just be seeing level 5's impact in the coming days.

is_that_so

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

Keep the kids in school!

Maybe now is the time for COVID Zero and lock all the schools up as well!

vafankillar

AlphaDelta1 wrote: »

No not at all. L5 is working brilliantly

are you honestly trying to pretend this is all cos of level 5? it's clear level 3 brought it down before the effects of level 5 should have taken affect.

BeefeaterHat

Mullaghteelin wrote: »

Elderly Swedes aren't important to the Great Swedish Multicultural Utopia that is planned.

Whereas Irish authorities love the elderly so much they let an entire nursing home fall ill before lifting a finger.

Goldengirl

Fergal Bowers on SixOne news " numbers in ICU, down a bit to 42 " !
Some reporter

Numbers in ICU are down 2 because those 2 people died yesterday in ICU , RIP .

What Username Guidelines

vafankillar wrote: »

not to be a negative nancy but anyone else looking at this huge drop in cases with suspicion? like it seems too good to be true.

I would be the same on case numbers alone, but overall all the signs are there: less testing demand, lower GPBuddy tracking, lower positivity rate, lower positive swabs, hospitalisations decreasing, albeit with icu stable as opposed to decreasing.

Though stays in ICU are generally longer, so those not increasing can certainly be seen as a positive.

pauldry

Positivity rate is decreasing.

It's going to be low now for a few weeks and then the next spike and hopefully a vaccine soon after.

I'm probably the only person looking on the bright side in this thread. I cant even say I'm probably the only positive person here for fear of being misunderstood

is_that_so

Goldengirl wrote: »

Fergal Bowers on SixOne news " numbers in ICU, down a bit to 42 " !
Some reporter

Numbers in ICU are down 2 because those 2 people died yesterday in ICU , RIP .

He's actually one of the best of them. His weekly columns on the RTE site have been calm, reflective and generally excellent.

gipi

Jake1 wrote: »

Pardon my ignorance, Pete, but what does that mean, denotifactions

It could be people who were counted twice - for example, a person had a test at a test centre, and was moved to hospital the same day where another test was done. If both tests were positive, the person might have been counted twice - a later clean up of data would catch the duplication and "denotify" a case.

Goldengirl

Jake1 wrote: »

Ah, I see, thank you very much.

That is incorrect information.
If you look up posts by Martina 1991 and Mandrake 04 you will find out all you need to know as they work in the area.
Gipi puts it well above there .

CoronaBlocker

blowitupref wrote: »

The lowest daily reported case number since September 26th

That was my birthday and the one time this year that my girlfriend and I got away: a weekend in Kerry. We did the Coomloughra Horseshoe on Carrauntoohil (the three highest peaks in Ireland in one day), then had a meal out in an actual, real restaurant and finished up with a couple of absolutely beautiful pints in a pub (she had a cocktail of some kind - it had an umbrella in it and looked loud - she's Brasilian).

My best day of the year by a country mile. Loved every minute of it. A total highlight and I'll remember it forever.