US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Carfacemandog

Widye wrote: »

We aren't but we're on the path unfortunately

If the Bernie/AOC wing of the Democrats are socialist, then yes Ireland is already socialist.

namloc1980

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Everyone is having a love in for John King and CNN tonight.

Never knew he was married to Dana Bash.

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I have watched a lot of US elections over the years and CNN coverage this year is by far and away the best I've ever seen.

Hardly any time for talking heads on CNN coverage. Just doing the numbers for the most part, just what you want.

BonnieSituation

Itssoeasy wrote: »

He’s married to Dana bash ? I’m listening to msnbc so not hearing him.

He WAS married to Dana Bash.

All_in_Flynn

What's going on in Virginia? Biden well behind with 1/3 of the vote in.

BonnieSituation

Widye wrote: »

To Socialism

Ireland is drifting to socialism?

And you're basing that on what exactly?

Health service? Transport? Housing?

Itssoeasy

BonnieSituation wrote: »

He WAS married to Dana Bash.

Was ? What did he do to feck that up ?

marno21

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

What's going on in Virginia? Biden well behind with 1/3 of the vote in.

Very little results in the DC suburbs to date.

Akabusi

Apart from Texas so far Trump is very solid in the normal red states, no sign of a collapse.

Widye

Carfacemandog wrote: »

If the Bernie/AOC wing of the Democrats are socialist, then yes Ireland is already socialist.

Oh it will happen alright. I don't see how it can't to be honest. There's a momentum growing that is heavily promoted especially in the media. It isn't being critically evaluated it seems like its being pushed as the only way.

StringerBell

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

What's going on in Virginia? Biden well behind with 1/3 of the vote in.

Only 15% of the vote in for the biggest county, the big democratic vote will come in late there by the looks of it which is obviously the opposite to what we usually see.

Mr.Nice Guy

Mr.Nice Guy wrote: »

https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/1323806449777168384

There was a lot of talk about a 'red mirage' but I'm worried we might be witnessing a blue one as it stands.

I keep remembering what year we're in. I have a bad feeling about this.

That model is based on a similar swing everywhere. It looks like it's one county in Florida that isn't replicated anywhere else that's costing Biden that one state.

Larbre34 wrote: »

Never in doubt

The state wasn't but he needs to match the polls across the north.

namloc1980

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

What's going on in Virginia? Biden well behind with 1/3 of the vote in.

Very low counting completed in the urban areas near Washington DC so far.

Carfacemandog

Widye wrote: »

Oh it will happen alright. I don't see how it can't to be honest. There's a momentum growing that is heavily promoted especially in the media. It isn't being critically evaluated it seems like its being pushed as the only way.

Again, if you consider Bernie/AOC as socialist then socialism isn't "coming to Ireland" - it's here and has been for decades.

BonnieSituation

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Can someone explain how some states with only some votes noted as counted are declaring one way or the other?

Is it essentially precedent based?

For example, Arkansas has declared for Trump with only 14% of votes counted. Massachusetts declaring for Biden with 3% counted.

Mostly cos there's no point in waiting.

Why wait for NY or NJ to have a count when you know it's going to the Dems.

Same for MO and MS for the reps

Exclamation Marc

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Can someone explain how some states with only some votes noted as counted are declaring one way or the other?

Is it essentially precedent based?

For example, Arkansas has declared for Trump with only 14% of votes counted. Massachusetts declaring for Biden with 3% counted.

Yeah they're not declared. They're called by the media. They're a lot more circumspect about calling this year due to early votes etc. but you can call some states before the votes have even been opened.

breezy1985

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Can someone explain how some states with only some votes noted as counted are declaring one way or the other?

Is it essentially precedent based?

For example, Arkansas has declared for Trump with only 14% of votes counted. Massachusetts declaring for Biden with 3% counted.

Its like calling a Healy-Rae in Kerry. You could call 2120 now and be pretty sure

Exclamation Marc

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Mostly cos there's no point in waiting.

Why wait for NY or NJ to have a count when you know it's going to the Dems.

Same for MO and MS for the reps

Cool thanks. Just looking at Virginia for example which was declared for Biden but Trump has more votes counted.

John Hutton

Lads shut up with the socialism bickering please

Exclamation Marc

breezy1985 wrote: »

Its like calling a Healy-Rae in Kerry. You could call 2120 now and be pretty sure

If ever there was a locked in vote

Widye

Carfacemandog wrote: »

Again, if you consider Bernie/AOC as socialist then socialism isn't "coming to Ireland" - it's here and has been for decades.

I'm talking about their brand of socialism, which is different from what we have.

Exclamation Marc

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Cool thanks. Just looking at Virginia for example which was declared for Biden but Trump has more votes counted.

If you have access to data you can look at where the votes are from. So even if Trump is ahead if he's behind where he needs to be to match a prediction of losing then he's definitely lost. So in some cases rural votes are declared first which gives an early lead to the Republicans.

Widye

John Hutton wrote: »

Lads shut up with the socialism bickering please

Sorry, Sir. How dare we.

breezy1985

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

If ever there was a locked in vote

that stupid cap is gonna look fair tattered by 2120

12gauge dave

Biden 4/5

Trump evens

Bet 365

Ohio tightening a lot more quickly than I thought it would.

BonnieSituation

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Cool thanks. Just looking at Virginia for example which was declared for Biden but Trump has more votes counted.

Same thing happened for AK earlier. Biden was ahead but it was called for Trump.

breezy1985

Widye wrote: »

Sorry, Sir. How dare we.

Know your place prol

Tellyium

Was going to watch an hour of this two hours ago!
Fascinating, Ohio and NC looked promising for Biden but comparing the incremental change as the percent reported increases, Trump is taking 2/3 of each increment currently- based on that he will comfortably take those states. Will be interesting to see if that pans out!

Francie Barrett

Brian? wrote: »

Where are you getting this nonsense from? Biden is way ahead in Ohio. 10 point lead with 50% of the count done.

The early counts are favouring Biden and CNN aren't doing a good job at explaining that.

This is not looking good at all for Biden. The warning shot was fired in Florida. Clinton lost it by 100k votes in 2016, Biden has lost it by 325k and counting. The read across from it for neighbouring states like Texas and Georgia is not good at all. Ohio looks a little better for Biden, but he has a huge gap to climb there.

Panrich

Ohio really tightening now. I'm afraid that it's beginning to look a lot like 2016. He is looking good in some of the battlegrounds now.