US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Blanco100

Mr.Nice Guy wrote: »

CNN are making out that everything is going great for Biden but it feels like it's in danger of all going wrong?

Their coverage is weird. Told from the perspective of democrat. Any sign of Biden outperforming expectation is described as "promising".

Its gas.

Larbre34

Brian? wrote: »

I’m going to bed. I expect to wake up to Trump getting 4 more years.

You'll still be asleep in that case.

J2CVC

Biden was favourite for a long time. It's now Trump.

Carfacemandog

John Hutton wrote: »

Lads shut up with the socialism bickering please

Yeah fair, I shouldn't be feeding it.

This is it

Trump gone favorite on Paddy Power

StringerBell

Mr.Nice Guy wrote: »

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323811716204027904

That's not good.

You really need to be paying attention to where the votes are in from.

Larbre34

I'd love to know where this Trump bump is coming from, the maths are still miles against him.

Biden can afford to shed a couple of the big five, Trump can't afford to see any go blue.

Mr.Nice Guy

Better news from Pennsylvania.

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323811848597196803

rosser44

Inquitus wrote: »

This is going to end up a coin toss and realise everyone's worst fears about US Democracy

US democracy is a joke anyway, when the winner of the popular vote does not win the election.

Electoral college is not democratic

Widye

murpho999 wrote: »

It's not creeping in any way.

There's nothing near socialism in US.

Health care is not sociialism. Even so some social policies are good.

Yes, I said so in a post further back.

embraer170

From the 538 blog:

The New York Times needle now has North Carolina at 88 percent likely for Trump. If all three Southeast states they are tracking go to Trump, that would move national projections closer to 50-50. It also could be a sign of a broader polling error, though it might be specific to the Southeast.

Hard not to be a little bit worried at this stage...

12gauge dave

Trump 4/6

Biden 11/10

Bet 365

Insane turn around.

murpho999

This is it wrote: »

Trump gone favorite on Paddy Power

People in Ireland betting does not reflect what Americans voted.

Christy42

Larbre34 wrote: »

I'd love to know where this Trump bump is coming from, the maths are still miles against him.

Biden can afford to shed a couple of the big five, Trump can't afford to see any go blue.

If one goes there are good odds of all of them going.

With big gains in Texas etc. Could this be a record popular vote win for someone who doesn't become preside t?

Brian?

Brian? wrote: »

Very few votes counted in Atlanta and it’s suburbs. It’s way too early.

Dude I'm sorry but it's really not. Where Trump is winning there's plenty of votes to count as well. It's insurmountable.



50.8 - 47.9 with 63% counted in Ohio. FFS.

J2CVC

J2CVC wrote: »

Joe: 2.02
Donald: 1.96

Trump now gone favourite, just slightly. It's been swinging his way for the last two hours. It's neck and neck.

Joe: 2.2
Donald: 1.83


It's really after swinging to Trump.

Exclamation Marc

Betting odds mean very little. They flip and flop based on trends.

murpho999

I really don't get why people here are thinking that things are going Trump's way.

Larbre34

rosser44 wrote: »

US democracy is a joke anyway, when the winner of the popular vote does not win the election.

Electoral college is not democratic

We know.

But try getting Turkeys to vote for Christmas. If the Republicans caved on it, they wouldn't hold the presidency again for a hundred years.

namloc1980

Deleted User wrote: »

Dude I'm sorry but it's really not. Where Trump is winning there's plenty of votes to count as well. It's insurmountable.



50.8 - 47.9 with 63% counted in Ohio. FFS.

Ohio is gone. The early lead is no more.

Larbre34

Larbre34 wrote: »

I'd love to know where this Trump bump is coming from, the maths are still miles against him.

Biden can afford to shed a couple of the big five, Trump can't afford to see any go blue.

He was about 10 points down in Ohio and now it looks like he's going to win it. Early votes seem to be favouring Biden.

StringerBell

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Dude I'm sorry but it's really not. Where Trump is winning there's plenty of votes to count as well. It's insurmountable.



50.8 - 47.9 with 63% counted in Ohio. FFS.

Not really, most of the votes in Georgia are in and around Atlanta, there really is plenty of room for that one to go either way.

50.5 to 48.4 in NC to further give you anxiety

J2CVC

murpho999 wrote: »

People in Ireland betting does not reflect what Americans voted.

That's not how it works. Markets are the same everywhere. They have to be.

Look at Betfair, it's global. The presedential market has over €400 million matched. As I said earlier the experts are moving this market, not punters. It's the clearest indication you'll get.

Larbre34

J2CVC wrote: »

Joe: 2.2
Donald: 1.83


It's really after swinging to Trump.

Its hasn't. They just want some money from mugs.

Francie Barrett

Larbre34 wrote: »

I'd love to know where this Trump bump is coming from, the maths are still miles against him.

Biden can afford to shed a couple of the big five, Trump can't afford to see any go blue.

Everything is starting to go against Biden. He bombed in Florida, he isn't going to take Texas, Iowa, or Georgia. NC and Ohio are not looking good. Basically, it looks like Trump is safe in the bulk of the states he currently holds.

It's looking like Biden has to flip all of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. A tough ask on a night when he looks to be struggling.

sdanseo

Right, I've had enough. Bedtime.

Donald for 4 more years, foregone conclusion now.

Real Donald Trump

Exciting stuff lads

StringerBell

murpho999 wrote: »

I really don't get why people here are thinking that things are going Trump's way.

Fear mostly and some PTSD from 2016 coupled with the way the votes are counted I guess. Let's be fair though, it's not just people here, plenty of people will now be favouring trump.

signostic

Paddy Power - Trump 4/6 Biden 6/5

J2CVC

murpho999 wrote: »

I really don't get why people here are thinking that things are going Trump's way.

The first indications are the markets. The news will follow suit, wait and see.