Trump vs Biden 2020, And the winner is.......... (pt 4) Read OP

Penn

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

re georgia. trump 18k in front with approx. 24k left to count

By my calcs around 200k votes to count, no? 4.8m counted so far for 96%, so 5m vote total. 4% of that is 200k

y0ssar1an22

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

that website i referenced has the count at 91-98.6% in. i got the 334k left by using 95% being counted already

You have failed at your maths for both Pennsylvania and Georgia quite severely.

readyletsgo

Graham wrote: »

Next predicted updates

Georgia 10:30am ET
Nevade 12pm ET
Arizona 9pm ET

3.30pm Irish Time
8pm Irish Time
4am Irish Time (tomorrow Morning)

Here you go, i think

y0ssar1an22

Quin_Dub wrote: »

Closer to 100k left to count..

96% complete , roughly 4.6M votes counted so far so 4% would be somewhere north of 95k on that basis.

99% per that website. I used .5% left to get to 24k left to be counted

Graham

SoapMcTavish wrote: »

Pennsylvania ?

Tabulating to resume 'this morning'.

MadYaker

hmmm wrote: »

If you had said to the Democrats at the beginning of the year that they would have a candidate who went up against a Trump who increased his total vote, would win MI, WI, probably PA, Arizona and possibly Georgia (!), they'd have taken your hand off. The only reason Democrats are disappointed is because they thought they had a chance at Texas (!). Biden was the right candidate for the right time, and his team kept their focus on the states which mattered.

He also did pretty much zero traditional style campaigning with rallies and townhalls etc

y0ssar1an22

Deleted User wrote: »

You have failed at your maths for both Pennsylvania and Georgia quite severely.

PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

ohnonotgmail

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

what is your source for 95% counted? AP, the NYT and the Guardian all show 89% counted

y0ssar1an22

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

It is not 95%. I'm not registering on that website to check what it says, but all other reputable websites are saying it's 89-90% counted.

y0ssar1an22

ohnonotgmail wrote: »

what is your source for 95% counted? AP, the NYT and the Guardian all show 89% counted

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

they have the count at 91-98.6%. i used 95% being counted to calculate 334k being left to count.

Injuryprone

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

i can see trump getting to 268.

alaska 3
pennsylvania 20
georgia 16
north carolina 15

arizona to biden

with nevada being the swing state. biden about 8k in front with between 87-99% counted.

as per: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

Of the states left, I think trump likelihood of winning rank as follows:

Alaska
North Carolina
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania
Nevada

I would have Biden favourite in the bottom 4

y0ssar1an22

Deleted User wrote: »

It is not 95%. I'm not registering on that website to check what it says, but all other reputable websites are saying it's 89-90% counted.

you dont need to register. or at least i didnt

y0ssar1an22

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

they have the count at 91-98.6%. i used 95% being counted to calculate 334k being left to count.

That is not a reputable website.

JazzyJ

readyletsgo wrote: »

3.30pm Irish Time
8pm Irish Time
4am Irish Time (tomorrow Morning)

Here you go, i think

Not quite, they're all ET so add 5 hours to each time:

Georgia 10:30am ET 3.30pm Irish Time
Nevada 12pm ET 5pm Irish Time
Arizona 9pm ET 2am Irish Time (tomorrow Morning)

Graham

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

PA: 6,361k counted. at 95% percent means 5% = 334k.

NYT indicates 89% of estimated PA votes reported so far.

y0ssar1an22

Deleted User wrote: »

That is not a reputable website.

well fair enough then. i thought it was an official election website

y0ssar1an22

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

well fair enough then. i thought it was an official election website

Where did you even find that website? :pac:

ohnonotgmail

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

they have the count at 91-98.6%. i used 95% being counted to calculate 334k being left to count.

they quote a range of 91%-98.6%? some quality journalism there. best to stick to professional journalists like the AP.

y0ssar1an22

Deleted User wrote: »

Where did you even find that website? :pac:

twas linked here previously by a poster

martingriff

namloc1980 wrote: »

The Supreme cannot make law and decide that the rule changes (if any) were wrong. They can only interpret the actual law. If rules were changed lawfully then there is no case and it seems that's already been decided:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/23/pennsylvania-court-ballot-signatures-431794

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/02/trump-scotus-pennsylvania-ballots-433889

Thanks for that

kilns

Typical Trump circle tactics, Pam Bondi from the Trump campaign was on Fox and Friends and they are attacking the woman in charge of the vote count, calling her out by name as bias against Trump. She is just doing her job yet the Trump campaign have no regard for her safety

is_that_so

Graham wrote: »

NYT indicates 89% of estimated PA votes reported so far.

Sen Bob Casey of PA said there are 400K left to count.

listermint

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

twas linked here previously by a poster

Never go down the link rabbit hole.

Use reputable websites that have a reputation to lose.

New York times for example. Quality layout.

y0ssar1an22

is_that_so wrote: »

Sen Bob Casey of PA said there are 400K left to count.

at least my 334k wasnt that far off the mark :pac:

ETA: well actually 19% off

biko

After sitting in his basement and doing a few small rallies - Joe Biden is the most popular candidate in history

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/joe-biden-wins-more-votes-than-any-other-american-presidential-candidate-in-history/articleshow/79054509.cms

Seems legit

y0ssar1an22

listermint wrote: »

Never go down the link rabbit hole.

Use reputable websites that have a reputation to lose.

New York times for example. Quality layout.

was using that for the georgian senator as well!

back to the drawing board. really like all the permutations and stuff. better than work!

y0ssar1an22

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

at least my 334k wasnt that far off the mark :pac:

ETA: well actually 19% off

He likely means that's how many they have left to count, rather than how many there is left to announce since their last update.

ThewhiteJesus

biko wrote: »

After sitting in his basement and doing a few small rallies - Joe Biden is the most popular candidate in history

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/joe-biden-wins-more-votes-than-any-other-american-presidential-candidate-in-history/articleshow/79054509.cms

Seems legit

in fairness to him it was a good tactic, Donald slit his own throat in political terms with his handling of covid.

flazio

What's the situation with Winsconson(10)?
CNN and others have called it for Biden but the BBC say their sources reckon it's still too close to call and therefore the BBC have Biden still at 243 instead of 253. Honestly I want Biden to get through but I'm reluctant to believe it'll happen until I see him on the steps holding the Bible.

omega man

[Deleted User] wrote: »

He likely means that's how many they have left to count, rather than how many there is left to announce since their last update.

Assume the gap will be closer than currently reported if counting is down to 400k ballots?