Trump vs Biden 2020, And the winner is.......... (pt 4) Read OP

Black Hawk Down

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Penn is a reversal of what we have seen. Before in other states it was early dem vote in - now in Penn most of the republican vote is in and a huge tidal wave of dem votes are due that should easily overwhelm the 300,000 vote Trump lead there.

Nope, not gonna happen. Mark my words, it's going to stay red.

Tippex

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Can I just say this fella on CNN at his screens is earning his corn! Bloody hell.

Even though after all these hours it is repetitive but **** me his brain is running a mile a minute he is great at breaking things down

simongurnick

Odds dropping on joe. Just over evens now

Overheal

Danno wrote: »

Fox calling AZ for Biden. Game changer...

Meaning that this is the current projections. AP already called New Hampshire for Biden as well:



Refer back to what I posted earlier (crosspost from #Politics):

Overheal wrote: »

At this time I think this is the clearest pathway for Trump with the early numbers.

If Trump loses any state along that projection line, it's over.

Kermit.de.frog

So it all means....assuming Biden takes Maine

Biden needs either Wisconsin or Michigan AND Penn


OR


Wisconsin and Michigan

froog

biden odds improving, presumably based on Arizona.

Kermit.de.frog

froog wrote: »

biden odds improving, presumably based on Arizona.

Like I said Biden is favorite now

Biden needs either Wisconsin or Michigan AND Penn


OR


Wisconsin and Michigan

Biden can now lose Michigan basically.

Ficheall

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Like I said Biden is favorite now

Biden needs either Wisconsin or Michigan AND Penn


OR


Wisconsin and Michigan

Biden can now lose Michigan basically.

Trump is ahead in all of those, though...

Overheal

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Like I said Biden is favorite now

Biden needs either Wisconsin or Michigan AND Penn


OR


Wisconsin and Michigan

Biden can now lose Michigan basically.

No if Biden loses Michigan something's wrong. It's not a battleground.

Dante7

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Like I said Biden is favorite now

Biden needs either Wisconsin or Michigan AND Penn


OR


Wisconsin and Michigan

Biden can now lose Michigan basically.

I don't think he'll lose Michigan. Detroit votes are still to come in and Biden is favourite with the bookies for Michigan. I make Biden a good favourite now.

Kermit.de.frog

Overheal wrote: »

No if Biden loses Michigan something's wrong. It's not a battleground.

He can lose it now if he picks up Penn (and Wisconsin)

gmisk

Errr I shouldn't have looked at my phone when I got up...
Looks incredibly tight...yikes

Overheal

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

He can lose it now if he picks up Penn (and Wisconsin)

Correct. Exactly what I was saying as well via the chart.

Overheal

gmisk wrote: »

Errr I shouldn't have looked at my phone when I got up...
Looks incredibly tight...yikes

Black Hawk Down

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Like I said Biden is favorite now

Biden needs either Wisconsin or Michigan AND Penn


OR


Wisconsin and Michigan

Biden can now lose Michigan basically.

Bookies have Trump in as favourite.

From huge underdog, to favourite.

Trump is a true underdog story.

Tippex

CNN still not calling Arizona which is interesting as fox has called it

AlphaDelta1

Morning folks.

How's that blue wave looking then.

simongurnick

Penn will be counting votes until friday. Republicans went to the supreme court to try and block it.
Shnakes

cave_dweller

Ficheall wrote: »

Trump is ahead in all of those, though...

Ya, he is. But all night Biden was starting strong with the mail in votes and then Trump was coming back and winning the election day votes. However, those 3 states have started with the election day votes and will count mail-in votes later. Biden is the favourite now and should be able to take at least 2 of the 3 states remaining with the mail-in vote.

cave_dweller

AlphaDelta1 wrote: »

Morning folks.

How's that blue wave looking then.

Since about 20 minutes ago, very good. Biden is back to being the favourite.

Overheal

Overheal wrote: »

No if Biden loses Michigan something's wrong. It's not a battleground.

What do you mean by something's wrong?

Kermit.de.frog

I just love it that Arizona goes to Biden. Richly deserved for Trump. Justice would be losing the election as a result which may well happen.

Thepoet85

Black Hawk Down wrote:

Trump is a true underdog story.

The billionaire underdog. He's a plucky young upstart alright

cave_dweller

John McCain must be loving all of this right now :D

AlphaDelta1

Black Hawk Down wrote: »

Bookies have Trump in as favourite.

From huge underdog, to favourite.

Trump is a true underdog story.

He was always favorite the polls are tosh.

Only those with minimal IQ's thought a guy who refused to campaign had a shot. As I predicted America loves an entertainer.

gmisk

Overheal wrote: »

More puppies!!!
And coffee!!!

reforger

Louis Jacobson (Cook Political Report):

Still early in PA, but FWIW, in Lackawanna Co. (Scranton, Biden's ancestral home), Biden is leading Trump by 9. Clinton beat Trump by 3.5 points in 2016. Also, with most votes counted, Biden's raw votes in the county increased from 51,000 to 61,000.

froog

biden can win without PA if he takes min, mich and wis.

Overheal

Deleted User wrote: »

What do you mean by something's wrong?

I mean if it occurs, there's been a polling anomaly, because Michigan is not a battleground state, i.e not considered in play and meant to be a sure state for Biden.

AlphaDelta1

Reports of lefties causing trouble outside the White House already. They know whats coming.