Racing Uncertainties

5.50 Jazzy Socks 4/1 win

New Year's day 01/01/2021

12.05 Southwell Tukhoom 14/1 win

31/12

Running P & L -81.3pts

Invested 7pts

Returns: none

Total in play 7pts - returns 0pts

Loss for the day 7pts

Running invested total - 963pts

Total P & L -88.3pts

12.52 Tramore Colonel Lesley 11/2 win , Nameloc 18/1 e/w

2.02 Tramore Added Bonus 8/1 e/w

2.37 Tramore Djingle 33/1 e/w

3.40 Tramore Cadawill 7/1 win

01/01/2021

Running P & L -88.3pts

Invested 9pts

Returns - none

Total in play 9pts - returns 0pts

Loss for the day 9pts

Running invested total - 972pts

Total P & L -97.3pts

Saturday
02/01/2021

Run been pretty poor lately. Haven't been able to find too many to fire for today, so I've gone for 2 in a poor race at Wolves; which is a sprint, where anything can happen.

Both are big prices, and the shortest of the two I believe is the value one. The other one I feel can possibly oblige for a place (could win too )
due to the way the race will likely pan out.

4.40 WOLVES. A 5f sprint this, and a lot of horses who like to race to the fore. Not that unusual really in a sprint, but with the bend, and also taking into account the "cutting each others' throats" factor by going off too fast I think one who might be considered well-handicapped (hopefully after the fact anyway :pac:) is OH SO NICE 20/1 e/w ridden for the first time by Mollie Phillips who crucially, for selection reasons claims 7. This 5yr old has had 7 runs (3 of those over C & D) , and of those 3 has not been beaten far distance wise. Came last of 10 in August, but I would draw a line through that, as it was over 6fs, and after an absence. In her 3 course and distance runs she has tried to both make all, and attempt to come from off the pace; so it appears she is tactically versatile. The trainer A Carroll has had a few winners recently, with one of those being ridden by the young apprentice just last tuesday.

Outside of the favourite Passional, who's a mere 6/5, I think this is anyone's race. Wouldn't be surprised if she won, but wouldn't interest me at double her current price, as last time at the course she found trouble over today's trip coming 2nd. She was drawn 7 that day, and has a better draw in 2 in this race. Due to her low draw, I can see her racing prominently, and to be there to be nabbed late on; along with a lot of those who race forward. Marco Ghiani on top, and being a lto winner (6 runner affair over the minimum at Southwell, where it appears she wasn't inconvenienced - different kettle today altogether) might mean that this one could see some support; but not from me.

On to the next pick, and it's definitely in the punt category, and that's DIAMONDS DREAM 50/1 e/w. Trained, and also seems to be owned as well by K Bishop; this 4yr old filly has had just the five runs to date. Her third run in a Handicap, the most recent of which was her one and only run at Wolverhampton. She was slow to get going that day, and the jockey made sure to keep her held up. She was staying on past beaten horses at the end into a respectable enough 7th - beaten just over 6 lengths. My theory here is that she should be improving, and may get into a good rhythm, mainly because the rest will be gone like the clappers up ahead . As long as the jock doesn't have to pull the head off her, she may well go close. If she's gotten her act together I expect her to potentially make a bold bid.. As mentioned, she's only had the five runs.

Might even go reverse forecast on the two while I'm at it

Again, the two e/w picks 4.40 Wolves are Oh So Nice, and Diamonds Dream.

Gluck all

03/01 Plumpton 2.25 Sussex National

Special Acceptance 7/1 e/w

A young enough chaser, although he's eight. A lot of older horses in a race like this. The selection has had only 3 chase runs. He definitely appears a progressive type does Paul Webber's gelding. Won a Class 4 here just under a month ago... That was over about 2 1/2 fs shorter. It was on soft ground, and it appears the going is more towards the heavy side tomorrow. He won that Decmber 7th race in a fast time. I see no reason why he can't go well tomorrow. A lot of these in this race are standing dishes at this sort of trip and level, but I feel Paul Webber's candidate has more to offer.

The top 3 in the betting - all round the 7/2 bracket have good enough chances. Bermeo at 14s is a decent price, and has come 2nd here before over course and distance about two years ago; but that was in a hurdles' race on good ground. He hasn't done much over this exact trip though, but he's fairly consistent at around 3m - 3m 2fs... Kevin Brogan takes off 7, so I couldn't rule him out.

The selection will do for me here..

Gluck:)

02/01/2021

Running P & L -97.3pts

Invested 4pts

Returns:

4.40 Wolves Oh So Nice places at 20/1 at a fifth the odds returning 5pts

Total in play 4pts - returns 5pts

Profit for the day 1pt

Running invested total - 976pts

Total P & L -96.3pts

03/01

Running P & L -96.3pts

Invested 2pts

Returns:

Special Acceptance 2.25 (done e/w at 7s) places at a fifth the odds returning 2.4pts

Total in play 2pts - returns 2.4pts

Profit for the day 0.4pts

Running invested total - 978pts

Total P & L -95.9pts

04/01

The each way (mostly) bullets for tomorrow..
2 win - The rest each way

Wolves

3.50 Nellie French 33/1 a punt this one
4.20 Bluella 7/1
4.50 Inevitable Outcome 11/8 Win , Sarah's Verse 25/1
5.20 Hermocrates 7/2
5.50 Bertog 33/1
6.20 Stay Classy 11/1
7.20 No Diggity 9/2
7.50 Barrington 8/1

Fakenham

1.25 Hier Encore 16/1
1.55 Mrsgrey 9/1
2.25 Perfect Moment 12/1 , Stacey Sue 22/1
2.55 Chimes Of Dylan 7/1

Lingfield

12.10 Boy George 12/1
1.40 Anisoptera 13/8 win , Dynali 9/1
2.40 Famous Dynasty 8/1
3.10 Hard Toffee 25/1

Gluck everyone Need a few to get back on track..

05/01

4.40 Wolves Clay Regazzoni 8/1 e/w

A standing dish on this thread - put up three times and yet to oblige. Is one from 2 at the course, has his ideal conditions tomorrow. If the jockey Shane Gray can drop him in from his 8 seat i expect a big run... Jockey and trainer combo are 2 from 5 recently. Have had a decent each way bet on him myself. He should go very close on the back of a very good run lto over a little shorter at Newcastle; when he was gaining at the end.

Gluck

04/01

Running P & L -95.9pts

Invested 36pts. Sarah's Verse 4.50 NR @ 2pts, Anisoptera 1.40 NR @ 1pt, Dynali 1.40 NR @ 2pts. 31pts in play.

Returns:

Nellie French 3.50 (done e/w at 33/1) places at a fifth the odds returning 7.6pts
Hermocrates 5.20 places at 9/2 at a quarter the odds returning 2.1pts
Stacey Sue 2.25 (done e/w at 22s) places at a fifth the odds with a 35p rule 4 returning 3.8pts
Chimes Of Dylan 2.55 places at 10/1 at a fifth the odds returning 3pts

Total in play 31pts - returns 16.5pts

Loss for the day 14.5pts

Running invested total - 1,009 pts

Total P & L -110.4pts

Lingfield

1.40 Sword Exceed 7/1 e/w
2.40 Uncle Bernie 6/1 e/w
3.10 Diamonds Dream 50/1 e/w
3.40 Mobham 12/1 e/w

12.40 Fast Emma 6/1 e/w, Nurse Dee 14/1 e/w

'luck

2.10 Lingfield Jennivere 7/2 win, Nozieres 40/1 e/w

Watching Sky Sports Racing HD there; and major depression talk about some cheveley park coffin dodger who finally snuffed it - don't need that crap. Several times it were mentioned already. He were in his ruddy nineties - twas his time Can we no watch t' coverage without sad sheet been talked about :mad:

Seb is on with Alex - he's picked a few lately 'as Seb - 'opefully 'e agrees with one or two of my picks....

Go on say "Fast Emma" - oh no; he likes Durabella :pac:

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

12.40 Fast Emma 6/1 e/w, Nurse Dee 14/1 e/w

'luck

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!!!!!!

Gwan ya sexy dancers :D:D:D:D:D:D:D

Delayed 1.10 Easy Equation win

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

Delayed 1.10 Easy Equation win

Not good enough. 4th..

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

Lingfield

1.40 Sword Exceed 7/1 e/w
2.40 Uncle Bernie 6/1 e/w
3.10 Diamonds Dream 50/1 e/w
3.40 Mobham 12/1 e/w

Very big at 12s now imo.. C & D winner this time last year... Good mark too.. Gwan!!

^^^

Not to be unfortunately - just 5th...

4.10 Wolves Ballyare 7/2 e/w , Alsvinder 11/1 e/w , Dazzling Des 5/1 e/w

Think Ballyare will definitely be in first three. A lot of out of form horses, and some strange punts imo - although Des has seen some money :P

Top three in handicap, and I hope that they will fill most of those spots the picks..

Think that's enuf for one day

A good day so far. Happy out here

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

12.40 Fast Emma 6/1 e/w, Nurse Dee 14/1 e/w

'luck

Deleted User wrote: »

2.10 Lingfield Jennivere 7/2 win, Nozieres 40/1 e/w

Pretty good, even if I do fink so myself

razorhead

Deleted User wrote: »

12.40 Fast Emma 6/1 e/w, Nurse Dee 14/1 e/w

'luck

Forecast paid 110

razorhead

razorhead wrote: »

Forecast paid 110

Wudda been nice alright..

Going for a few "punts" at Wolves... Some squeaks, but no standout credentials... One has a chance, and been supported - the Harris horse in the 7.10. The 8.10 pick been punted on as well. The rest mainly drifters, but can't completely rule them out....

5.40 Bevsboy 33/1 e/w , Canimar 18/1 e/w
6,40 Darwina 50/1 e/w
7.10 Sarah's Verse 6/1 e/w , Port Winston 22/1 e/w
8.10 Classy Dame 15/2 e/w

razorhead

Deleted User wrote: »

2.10 Lingfield Jennivere 7/2 win, Nozieres 40/1 e/w

and this forecast paid 93,
a good days picking...

05/01

Running P & L -110.4pts

Invested 36pts. Clay Regazzoni 4.40 NR @ 2pts. 34pts in play.

Returns:

12.40 Fast Emma (done e/w) wins at 9/1 with a fifth the odds a place returning 12.8pts
12.40 Nurse Dee (done e/w at 14s) places with a fifth the odds a place returning 3.8pts
2.10 Jennivere (done win at 7/2) wins returning 4.5pts
2.10 Nozieres (done e/w at 40s) places at a fifth the odds returning 9pts
2.40 Uncle Bernie (done e/w at 6/1) wins with a fifth the odds a place returning 9.2pts
4.10 Ballyare (done e/w) places at 4/1 at a fifth the odds returning 1.8pts
4.10 Alsvinder (done e/w at 11/1) places at a fifth the odds returning 3.2pts
5.40 Canimar (done e/w at 18/1) places at a fifth the odds returning 4.6pts
7.10 Sarah's Verse (done e/w) places at 17/2 at a fifth the odds returning 2.7pts
8.10 Classy Dame (done e/w) places at 10/1 at a fifth the odds a place returning 3pts

Total in play 34pts - returns 54.6pts

Profit for the day 20.6pts

Running invested total - 1,043 pts

Total P & L -89.8pts

Time for a few AP bets

Grand National Burrows Saint 18/1 e/w (1/5 1-5)
Cheltenham Gold Cup Santini 10/1 e/w (1/5 1-3)
2000 Guineas Battleground 8/1 e/w (1/5 1-3)
Derby High Definition 6/1 e/w (1/5 1-3)

The two flat races are in May and June, so I would say by then things should be okay travel wise for the Irish contingent.

GN in April, so that looks good too.

If Santini turns up, he's definitely good enough to be involved in the Gold Cup. Too good imo to be going to a National; at least yet.

Today's Each Way Darts.

Wolverhampton
2.55 Harlow 8/1
3.25 Majeste 14/1 , Buzz Lightyere 40/1... 2 punts - a sneaking suspicion that Buzz could go well here Cam Hardie took the ride for the first time lto, and is up again. Was out the back for the whole race over a mile at Newcastle then. 9 1/2 fs today at Wolves,,,, could be the day :pac:
3.55 Greengage 8/1

Kempton
3.40 Rochford 9/1 , Kyllishi 8/1
4.10 Fuwairt 7/2 , Parknacilla 15/2 , Zayriyan 9/2
5.10 Banoffee 4/1

40 combination doubles if all are included, if anyone's interested..


Gluck.. Hope can make a bit more profit today

bladespin

Deleted User wrote: »

Today's Each Way Darts.

Wolverhampton
3.25 Majeste 14/1 , Buzz Lightyere 40/1... 2 punts - a sneaking suspicion that Buzz could go well here

Gluck.. Hope can make a bit more profit today

Well bejaysus! PP 150/1 placed.

bladespin

bladespin wrote: »

Well bejaysus! PP 150/1 placed.

Nice alright..

7.15 Kempton

A tricky race here, and there seems to be a lot of pace on in this Class 4 over 6fs. Global Warning a lto winner over 6fs in a Class 5 is a best-priced even money favourite, and looks worth taking on to me.

So I've gone for three each way at decent prices:

Owney Madden 10/1 , Wiley Post 22/1 , Grey Galleon 25/1

06/01

Running P & L -89.8pts

Invested 26pts. Greengage NR 3.55. 24pts in play.

Returns:

3.25 Buzz Lightyere (done e/w) places at 150/1 at a fifth the odds returning 31pts
3.40 Rochford (done e/w at 9/1) wins at a fifth the odds a place with a 10p rule 4 returning 11.7pts
4.10 Parknacilla (done e/w at 15/2) places at a fifth the odds with a 5p rule 4 returning 2.4pts
5.10 Banoffee (done e/w) places at 7/1 at a fifth the odds returning 2.4pts
7.15 Grey Galleon (done e/w) places at 33/1 at a fifth the odds returning 7.6pts

Total in play 24pts - returns 55.1pts

Profit for the day 31.1pts

Running invested total - 1,067 pts

Total P & L -58.7pts

*Points for AP selections will be added/subtracted after their respective races. 8pts done AP so far..

07/01

6.00 Wolves Al Ozzdi 12/1 e/w

An open looking race here, with the exception of the Dave Evans fav; who won impressively lto. There are probably another couple in this that have stronger winning claims than the selection. He has, however come fourth and third the last two times that he tackled this exact trip ( the extended mile, or 1m 142yds to be exact). Currently 12 go to post, so as long as that remains the case 4 places at a fifth are available.

Will also do the favourite as well:

6.00 Wolves Ten Chants 15/8 win

A short enough price for the thread, but should be even shorter I reckon, and might well go off at 5/4-11/8. This grey 4yr old won as easy as you like over C & D last week, and a replication of that effort should see him sluice home here.

So, the picks are both in the 6.00 at Wolves and are AL OZZDI, and TEN CHANTS.

charlesanto

Deleted User wrote: »

Going for a few "punts" at Wolves... Some squeaks, but no standout credentials... One has a chance, and been supported - the Harris horse in the 7.10. The 8.10 pick been punted on as well. The rest mainly drifters, but can't completely rule them out....

5.40 Bevsboy 33/1 e/w , Canimar 18/1 e/w 2nd
6,40 Darwina 50/1 e/w
7.10 Sarah's Verse 6/1 e/w , Port Winston 22/1 e/w 2nd
8.10 Classy Dame 15/2 e/w 2nd

This paid well .... !?

charlesanto

Deleted User wrote: »

07/01

6.00 Wolves Al Ozzdi 12/1 e/w

An open looking race here, with the exception of the Dave Evans fav; who won impressively lto. There are probably another couple in this that have stronger winning claims than the selection. He has, however come fourth and third the last two times that he tackled this exact trip ( the extended mile, or 1m 142yds to be exact). Currently 12 go to post, so as long as that remains the case 4 places at a fifth are available.

Will also do the favourite as well:

6.00 Wolves Ten Chants 15/8 win

A short enough price for the thread, but should be even shorter I reckon, and might well go off at 5/4-11/8. This grey 4yr old won as easy as you like over C & D last week, and a replication of that effort should see him sluice home here.

So, the picks are both in the 6.00 at Wolves and are AL OZZDI, and TEN CHANTS.

Don't see it, Carey Street, Hollies mount is surely the bet here @ 13/2

charlesanto

charlesanto wrote: »

Don't see it, Carey Street, Hollies mount is surely the bet here @ 13/2

I don't know what you're seeing Charles re his chances, but I aint.
Carey Street to me is a place only prospect at best. Couldn't be having him at 13/2 with little expectation of him actually winning.

Al Ozzdi I think has just as good a chance as your fancy, but is twice the price.

Went for another one in this race that I think has a good chance:

6.00 Wolves Bankawi 15/2 e/w

I think that apart from the favourite, that Joanna Mason's mount has the second best piece of form in this race - that was lto out over C & D where Bankawi showed major improvement on her earlier efforts, when she travelled well and ended up finishing 2nd in a fast time. Unless that was a one-off I can see Bankawi being a major threat to the fav.. Atm Bankawi is about co third favourite of 4, but I can well see her go off clear second fav, at around 3/1 - 10/3.

Gluck all

7.00 Wolves Baby Steps 14/1 e/w

07/01

Running P & L -58.7pts

Invested 7pts

Returns:

6.00 Bankawi (done e/w) places at 11/1 at a fifth the odds returning 3.2pts
7.00 Baby Steps (done e/w) wins at 14/1 at a fifth the odds a place returning 18.8pts

Total in play 7pts - returns 22pts

Profit for the day 15pts

Running invested total - 1,074 pts

Total P & L -43.7pts

08/01

3.40 Newcastle Kyoto Star 12/1 e/w , Sauchiehall Street 100/1 e/w , Strong Team 28/1 e/w

6.45 Southwell L'es Fremantle 100/1 e/w,,,,, A punt this one, and only 2 places on offer

08/01

Running P & L -43.7pts

Invested 8pts. Kyoto Star 3.40 NR @ 2pts. 6pts in play.

Returns:

3.40 Sauchiehall Street (done e/w at 100/1) places at a fifth the odds with a 20p rule 4 returning 17pts

Total in play 6pts - returns 17pts

Profit for the day 11pts

Running invested total - 1,080 pts

Total P & L -32.7pts

09/01

3.10 Chepstow Welsh Grand National

5 places a fifth on offer here, and have gone for:

Prime Venture 11/1 , Christmas In April 9/1 , Secret Reprieve 7/2.. All each way..

If the race goes ahead I think all three have excellent chances.

Gluck

3.40 Chelmsford Melburnian 25/1 e/w
4.45 Chelmsford Kit's Allanah 18/1 e/w

11.30 Lingfield Fair Power 14/1 e/w , Avorisk Et Perils 16/1 e/w

1.45 Kempton Almazhar Garde 20/1 e/w
3.30 Kem Boreham Bill 22/1 e/w

Gluck, and will be hoping these jumps meets pass inspection :cool: