The Forum Games Sheepish Advent Calendar 2020!

Mam of 4

I did good ??!!
First Advent Miracle

Poor Toto got the correct answer but is 6th last!

Sephiroth_dude

*peeks in*





I hear there's a reveal on atm is there ?

Sephiroth_dude

Sephiroth_dude wrote: »

*peeks in*





I hear there's a reveal on atm is there ?

Don't look Seph.... You did... Not so good!

Woohoo, sitting on the fence pays off! \o/

Maybe this should be my strategy for all the rounds going forward? :pac:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ussCHoQttyQ

Mam of 4

Mam of 4 wrote: »

I did good ??!!
First Advent Miracle

My eye was drawn straight to your name and I was delighted for you... And mildly surprised!

Electric Nitwit

Collie D wrote: »

That’s the only bit I understand. But I will take it

Kolido wrote: »

What kind of voodoo economics is that?

Well, if you got the median you get the maximum of 10pts

If you're off by one standard deviation (18.4% today) you get 5pts

If you're off by two standard deviations (so 36.8%) you get zero

And so on in between. Simple

Collie D

So basically the median wins even if completely wrong? I think I get it now but if I do somehow get a right answer and low points I will have a meltdown and people will be called names.

Apologies in advance.

Sephiroth_dude

Deleted User wrote: »

Don't look Seph.... You did... Not so good!

-0.9 ? ahhhh F......sake







:pac:

So in this round where the answer was limited 1-100 , then wouldn't picking 50 have won no matter what everyone else said?

*Please note I can't do maths!!

Declan A Walsh

Sephiroth_dude wrote: »

-0.9 ? ahhhh F......sake







:pac:

It's the kind of deviation that you don't want in this Sheep game!

Also Starring LeVar Burton

I was initally going to say 50, but its very hard not to say 42 when you're already in that ballpark... Decent score anyway, so it was worth it...

Kolido

Are all the answers going to be number based this year EN or will it be like last year?

Collie D

[Deleted User] wrote: »

So in this round where the answer was limited 1-100 , then wouldn't picking 50 have won no matter what everyone else said?

*Please note I can't do maths!!

Median is the middle of the range...I think. 20 people answered either side of 50 so 50 was the median in this case. If 21 answered either side of 6 then 6 is the median....I think.

I actually get paid for working with numbers so I should probably know this but embarrassingly I don’t.

Mam of 4

[Deleted User] wrote: »

My eye was drawn straight to your name and I was delighted for you... And mildly surprised!

Oh
You cheeky thing but I'll accept that as it's so true

Also Starring LeVar Burton

[Deleted User] wrote: »

So in this round where the answer was limited 1-100 , then wouldn't picking 50 have won no matter what everyone else said?

*Please note I can't do maths!!

Nah, its just a coincidence that the median also happened to be the middle number in this case.

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

So in this round where the answer was limited 1-100 , then wouldn't picking 50 have won no matter what everyone else said?

*Please note I can't do maths!!

No because it's the median of the range of answers given that we care about, not the median of the range of possible answers.

So if there were five people playing and the answers were: 3, 4, 5, 6, 50. Then 5 is the median of this selection and that user gets the full ten points.

3, 4 and 6 are within one standard deviation so will get some measure of points.

50 however is a terrible answer in this scenario (regardless of how close to the 'correct' answer it may be) as it's more than two standard deviations away from the median of the given set of answers (i.e. too far away from 5)

Bottom of the table already...



I'd like to speak to the manager please.

Electric Nitwit

Sorry, got waylaid, answers...

Yes, all the answers are numbers!

And they'll all be scored like this. Maximum score of 10pts each day, but negative scores are possible

It was just coincidence that 50 was the answer today. With 43 people entered, the median is the 22nd answer if you put them in order (so 21 answers above, 21 answers below)

And yes, as Toto showed, you can be "correct" and score terribly if everyone disagrees with you

[Deleted User]

[Deleted User] wrote: »

No because it's the median of the range of answers given that we care about, not the median of the range of possible answers.

So if there were five people playing and the answers were: 3, 4, 5, 6, 50. Then 5 is the median of this selection and that user gets the full ten points.

3, 4 and 6 are within one standard deviation so will get some measure of points.

50 however is a terrible answer in this scenario (regardless of how close to the 'correct' answer it may be) as it's more than two standard deviations away from the median of the given set of answers (i.e. too far away from 5)

Thanks Homer and Collie and LeVar. I knew I couldn't be right and I understand completely now.. mostly.. sort of... A bit........ Well enough!

Sephiroth_dude

Also Starring LeVar Burton wrote: »

Nah, its just a coincidence that the median also happened to be the middle number in this case.

Deleted User wrote: »

No because it's the median of the range of answers given that we care about, not the median of the range of possible answers.

So if there were five people playing and the answers were: 3, 4, 5, 6, 50. Then 5 is the median of this selection and that user gets the full ten points.

3, 4 and 6 are within one standard deviation so will get some measure of points.

50 however is a terrible answer in this scenario (regardless of how close to the 'correct' answer it may be) as it's more than two standard deviations away from the median of the given set of answers (i.e. too far away from 5)

Hmmmm well ain't that convenient :pac:

Electric Nitwit

I'll admit, I was really pıssed off that 50 was the median :pac:

Declan A Walsh

Homer J. Fong is the King of Sheeps for those new to these parts, so the signs are not good!

Electric Nitwit

Electric Nitwit wrote: »

I'll admit, I was really pıssed off that 50 was the median :pac:

And of course Homer chose it.

How does he do it!?!?!!

Electric Nitwit

[Deleted User] wrote: »

And of course Homer chose it.

How does he do it!?!?!!

Tomorrow's question doesn't have a fixed range, so no fence sitting will be possible!

Declan A Walsh

Electric Nitwit wrote: »

Tomorrow's question doesn't have a fixed range, so no fence sitting will be possible!

Do you really think that will make a difference?

I read the question wrong. I meant to say 8 instead of 92.

Not that it'd have made a difference, you'd all still be sitting atop me.

Sephiroth_dude

EN and homer this morning







:pac:

Also Starring LeVar Burton

Sephiroth_dude wrote: »

Hmmmm well ain't that convenient :pac:

I should've clarified in my inital post that I meant middle number between 1 and 100 (the possible numbers for this question), not the middle number of the answers given.

Declan A Walsh

Deleted User wrote: »

I read the question wrong. I meant to say 8 instead of 92.

Not that it'd have made a difference, you'd all still be sitting atop me.

So you're a kind of mirror image of Homer J. Fong?