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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Gonzo · 2020-12-01 20:33:36

Mod Note This thread is for posting/discussing/analyzing FI CHARTS ONLY i.e. Charts in the unreliable time frame, generally +T120 onward. If your post does not specifically relate to an FI chart then it doesn't belong here - Off topic posts will be moved Thanks The golden gates of winter have finally swung open with hopes…

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#3182 07-02-2021 4:09pm
Gonzo

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The point of this thread is to discuss what the models currently are showing and take them at face value and compare them against other models or previous runs. That doesn't mean they are going to verify but are here for spotting trends.

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#3183 07-02-2021 4:19pm
space2ground1

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Gonzo wrote: »

The point of this thread is to discuss what the models currently are showing and take them at face value and compare them against other models or previous runs. That doesn't mean they are going to verify but are here for spotting trends.

Would it be possible to have a technical thread for the short term models for this week? Apologies for asking in this thread but it's where the majority of posters I'm learning so much from are posting and I'd love to see what they're thinking without the chat element. So much to learn but it's been fascinating. Thanks all.

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#3184 07-02-2021 4:27pm
ninebeanrows

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First out of the traps is the ICON which is enhancing the influence of Scandinavian high as compared to previous run

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#3185 07-02-2021 4:30pm
Kermit.de.frog

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Yes, a slight upgrade in terms of positioning - but we still need an undercutting LP

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#3186 07-02-2021 4:45pm
Gonzo

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space2ground1 wrote: »

Would it be possible to have a technical thread for the short term models for this week? Apologies for asking in this thread but it's where the majority of posters I'm learning so much from are posting and I'd love to see what they're thinking without the chat element. So much to learn but it's been fascinating. Thanks all.

Unfortunately I do not see this event as serious or widespread enough to warrant it's own technical thread. This is no December 2010 or 2018 BFTE/Storm Emma, while it will be cold and there will be snow showers in places, this event is unlikely to be anywhere nearly as severe or widespread as those events. We will be keeping a very close eye on what happens this Thursday to see if we get a significant frontal snow event but at the moment this could still be a snow to rain event, particularly in the south-west of the country.

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#3187 07-02-2021 4:52pm
TheMilkyPirate

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This would make me a very happy man

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#3188 07-02-2021 4:52pm
ninebeanrows

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Early indications are the cold is going to be put up a big fight on the 12z GFS

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#3189 07-02-2021 5:04pm
TheMilkyPirate

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Cold air not budging on the 12z. Snowing well into Friday afternoon across the eastern side of the country which would tally in with Met Eireanns farming forecast today of further snow on Friday.

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#3190 07-02-2021 5:07pm
Neddyusa

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Gonzo wrote: »

Unfortunately I do not see this event as serious or widespread enough to warrant it's own technical thread. This is no December 2010 or 2018 BFTE/Storm Emma, while it will be cold and there will be snow showers in places, this event is unlikely to be anywhere nearly as severe or widespread as those events. We will be keeping a very close eye on what happens this Thursday to see if we get a significant frontal snow event but at the moment this could still be a snow to rain event, particularly in the south-west of the country.

The <120 hrs model thread is here:

https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin//showthread.php?t=2058137519&page=16

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#3191 07-02-2021 5:10pm
Kermit.de.frog

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I'd bank this at 144hrs. The details can wait. The beast is not far away here synoptically speaking.

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#3192 07-02-2021 5:13pm
Reckless Abandonment

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Barely any breakdown on the gfs 12..

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#3193 07-02-2021 5:14pm
Kermit.de.frog

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@ 168hrs

Uppers @ 168 hrs

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#3194 07-02-2021 5:15pm
JanuarySnowstor

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https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2021020712/gfs-1-174.png?12
Says it all really!!

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#3195 07-02-2021 5:19pm
Dazler97

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JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

https://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2021020712/gfs-1-174.png?12
Says it all really!!

That would be a good valintines day, just me and the snow haha

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#3196 07-02-2021 5:20pm
Kermit.de.frog

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Here she comes

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#3197 07-02-2021 5:20pm
TheMilkyPirate

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An impressive cold pool to the east

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#3198 07-02-2021 5:21pm
nacho libre

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It looks like places higher up may hang on to their snow at the very least, before a possible main course is served around the 18th

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#3199 07-02-2021 5:22pm
nacho libre

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TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

An impressive cold pool to the east

1987 for the South East of England again?

I know....

Who cares about them, Nacho:)

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#3200 07-02-2021 5:24pm
PokeHerKing

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Sweet baby jeebus, 12z bring in the motherload in FI:eek:

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#3201 07-02-2021 5:24pm
Kermit.de.frog

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#3202 07-02-2021 5:25pm
TheMilkyPirate

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Could be 87 for us if this verifies

That's two beasterlies within the last day on the GFS

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#3203 07-02-2021 5:25pm
Reckless Abandonment

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I think GL was looking for some siberian air the other day.

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#3204 07-02-2021 5:27pm
tikkamark

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TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

An impressive cold pool to the east

Colder than Greenland.....unlikely!

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#3205 07-02-2021 5:29pm
pad199207

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A1

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#3206 07-02-2021 5:29pm
JanuarySnowstor

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The daffodils will be going back to sleep&#55357;&#56837;&#55357;&#56837;&#55357;&#56837;

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#3207 07-02-2021 5:30pm
Reckless Abandonment

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And now we Ophelia's sister wanting to join the party

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#3208 07-02-2021 5:38pm
Dazler97

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TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

An impressive cold pool to the east

Omg we just need it to cum over Ireland literally as it will be snow, I'm buzzing now especially if these models keep up

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#3209 07-02-2021 5:39pm
Dazler97

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Reckless Abandonment wrote: »

And now we Ophelia's sister wanting to join the party

I'll officially name it strom #Karen

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#3210 07-02-2021 5:39pm
pad199207

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Reckless Abandonment wrote: »

And now we Ophelia's sister wanting to join the party

Typical for GFS to fire out a chart like that

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#3211 07-02-2021 5:40pm
Donegal Ken

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I have been giving the GFS whiskey all day since last nights pub run should I continue to do so?

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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST