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Is 2021 a write off?

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    #812
    SheepsClothing
    Registered Users Posts: 323 ✭✭SheepsClothing


    Theboinkmaster wrote: »
    I've got Portugal booked in late July and I'm confident I'll be going.

    They were open to tourism last summer for Christ's sake - why do people think 1 year on with vaccinations they won't be open again. The new variant hysteria isn't going to stop them.

    We could have say 40% of the population vaccinated by July - doesn't matter that it's not the full population. That 40% will keep ICU and hospitals to practically zero. So the other 60% if they get COVID will just have no/mild symptoms.

    Every day more and more medical evidence is coming out to show vaccines are effective against new strains as well as effective against actual spread of the disease.

    People also don't seem to realise that yes Jan-Mar is slow enough for vaccinations but April - June there's massive jump in volume as well as potentially having 5 or 6 vaccines.

    Last summer was fairly "normal" and this summer definitely will be IMO. There may not be wet pubs open or concerts but there will be enough open for people to have a great summer.

    Can't wait :D

    It's not hysteria if we actually have evidence that the most commonly available vaccine doesn't work on the strain. It's clear eyed concern. Some people won't like it, but travel should be strongly discouraged this year to protect the vaccines we have from being undermined.

    I do think, most things will be open by the second half of the summer, but it will be down to a mixture of the vaccine and getting community transmission low over March, April and some of May.


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    #813
    Charles Babbage
    Registered Users Posts: 5,647 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    GT89 wrote: »
    Instead of protecting 0.00001% of the propulation we will be protecting 0.000000001% of the population by then

    I think this quote does show the importance of getting maths classes going again.


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    #814
    ShineOn7
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,550 ✭✭✭ShineOn7


    "It may be unpalatable and not what people want to hear but the reality is we have never seen a pandemic of this scale end in less than two to three years. In fact it’s quite likely that some sections of the world’s population will not be vaccinated for another four years"


    Dr Ian Norton

    https://www.irishtimes.com/life-and-style/abroad/covid-19-we-have-never-seen-a-pandemic-of-this-scale-that-was-shorter-than-2-3-years-1.4498436


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    #815
    Dr. Bre
    Registered Users Posts: 7,634 ✭✭✭Dr. Bre


    So the next couple of years are a write off!


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    #816
    growleaves
    Registered Users Posts: 7,857 ✭✭✭growleaves


    The limited restrictions on some US cities during the Spanish Flu lasted 24 weeks.


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    #817
    MadYaker
    Registered Users Posts: 12,211 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    Dr. Bre wrote: »
    So the next couple of years are a write off!

    Nah. But there'll have to be vaccine passports to protect vaccinated populations from those who aren't vaccinated (poor african countries, SE Asia etc) the worry there is that if the virus continues spreading in those places it will continue to mutate and they may end up with a variant that doesn't respond to any vaccines. We can keep these variants out with continued travel restrictions. This is why people like Bill Gates etc are shouting from the rooftops about how it doesn't make sense for first world countries to hoover up all the vaccine supplies.


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