Covid 19 Part XXXII-215,743 ROI (4,137 deaths)111,166 NI (2,036 deaths)(22/02)Read OP

gctest50

Ohmeha wrote: »

At this downward rate in a week cases/swabs below 1000 and positivity rate below 5% I think at that threshold genuine optimism can kick in that we will get this virus to low levels again

It could just mean less people with symptoms are going for tests

Also a lot of people have little to no symptoms -so they may not go for a test either

It's alright for individual cases, pointless for an overall picture - all you are getting is number-of-people-who-showed-up-for-a-test-and-tested-positive not we-tested-almost-everyone-the-country-and-the-result-are-in-yay

JP Liz V1

ongarite wrote: »

Has close contact testing resumed and reflected in today's figures?

I hope it has

GP referrals seem to have decreased

I think more testing is better

is_that_so

gctest50 wrote: »

It could just mean less people with symptoms are going for tests

Also a lot of people have little to no symptoms -so they may not go for a test either

It's alright for individual cases, pointless for an overall picture - all you are getting is number-of-people-who-showed-up-for-a-test-and-tested-positive not we-tested-almost-everyone-the-country-and-the-result-are-in-yay

Why is there this continuing enthusiasm to seek out issues with daily data? This is the data, tomorrow's data will be for tomorrow.

caveat emptor

Ohmeha wrote: »

Another day of downward trajectory positives and positivity rate on those swabs

It's fantastic to see it decline so quickly. Unfortunately that's what happens when we are living under our bed. The problems start when we start crawling out.

Vaccines will help I'm sure, hopefully it starts kicking into gear soon.

Jim_Hodge

gctest50 wrote: »

It could just mean less people with symptoms are going for tests

Also a lot of people have little to no symptoms -so they may not go for a test either

It's alright for individual cases, pointless for an overall picture - all you are getting is number-of-people-who-showed-up-for-a-test-and-tested-positive not we-tested-almost-everyone-the-country-and-the-result-are-in-yay

And it could just not mean....


What's the point of supposition like that?

hynesie08

BREAKING

79 additional deaths confirmed.

1,414 new cases.

prunudo

Numbers seem to have been fairly static over the last few days, especially after low numbers at the start of the week.
Still we're going the right way, hospitalisations are falling and vaccines are continuing albeit slower than we'd like but still reason to be positive.

political analyst

When the virus that causes Covid-19 was mentioned on news bulletins for the first time, the Chinese government said there was no evidence of human-to-human transmission.

But how could other governments and the WHO have regarded that statement as even slightly credible?

After all, any coronavirus is, by its very nature, transmissible among humans, isn't it?

SEPT 23 1989

Are we stuck around 1500 a day until serious amounts of vaccinations?

polesheep

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

Are we stuck around 1500 a day until serious amounts of vaccinations?

Vaccinations may not bring numbers down if we continue with mass testing. The thing to watch is the hospitals.

is_that_so

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

Are we stuck around 1500 a day until serious amounts of vaccinations?

It should continue to come down, compare where we were 3 weeks ago. 200-400 cases a day by the end of February according to models. What vaccinations should do is reduce the numbers of severe cases. If we're at 500 or 1000 cases a day and nobody is in hospital it's not a problem any more.

josip

How many deaths have there been in January so far?
I think NPHET warned at the start of January that it could be 1,000

Polar101

political analyst wrote: »

When the virus that causes Covid-19 was mentioned on news bulletins for the first time, the Chinese government said there was no evidence of human-to-human transmission.

Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

Nothing was known about the virus at first. And it doesn't help if the first source of information was the Chinese government.

Gruffalux

josip wrote: »

How many deaths have there been in January so far?
I think NPHET warned at the start of January that it could be 1,000

It was 2226 on December 30th 2020 - now it is 3214.

Benimar

josip wrote: »

How many deaths have there been in January so far?
I think NPHET warned at the start of January that it could be 1,000

Not sure exactly. They said on Thursday that around 870 had died in January. Probably over 100 of the deaths in the last 2 days were from January too, so looks like it will hit the 1,000 unfortunately.

DraftDodger

polesheep wrote: »

You think Luke O'Neill is a nutty professor yet you're convinced by what Jane Buckland has to say.:rolleyes:

Yes and yes

Ohmeha

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

Are we stuck around 1500 a day until serious amounts of vaccinations?

5 day and 7 day average percentages (trend) is consistently dropping for 2 weeks since the backlog in reported cases was cleared (14 day % still 'contaminated' by those backlogs). If this trend continues we will be looking at 7 day rolling average of sub 1000 next week

However throw in additional asymptomatic close contacts now being tested and the Kent variant progressing to become the dominant strain these two variables could slow down the pace of reduction in cases. Otherwise all trends including swab positivity rate are pointing towards cases only continuing to go down

Day Month Date Year ROI Cases Weekly 5 Day Av 5 Day % 7 Day Av 7 Day % 14 Day Av 14 Day %
Saturday January 9th 2021 4,842 43,844 6,554.40 83.70% 6,263.43 279.90% 3,956.07 471.69%
Sunday January 10th 2021 6,888 45,770 6,867.00 59.36% 6,538.57 190.44% 4,394.93 515.11%
Monday January 11th 2021 4,929 44,589 6,285.60 13.76% 6,369.86 111.28% 4,692.36 525.41%
Tuesday January 12th 2021 3,086 42,350 5,598.60 -8.98% 6,050.00 70.20% 4,802.36 473.61%
Wednesday January 13th 2021 3,569 38,083 4,662.80 -31.51% 5,440.43 22.84% 4,934.57 431.09%
Thursday January 14th 2021 3,955 35,517 4,485.40 -31.57% 5,073.86 -1.07% 5,101.36 404.94%
Friday January 15th 2021 3,498 30,767 3,807.40 -44.56% 4,395.29 -27.43% 5,225.93 377.69%
Saturday January 16th 2021 3,231 29,156 3,467.80 -44.83% 4,165.14 -33.50% 5,214.29 301.47%
Sunday January 17th 2021 2,944 25,212 3,439.40 -38.57% 3,601.71 -44.92% 5,070.14 217.15%
Monday January 18th 2021 2,121 22,404 3,149.80 -32.45% 3,200.57 -49.75% 4,785.21 141.29%
Tuesday January 19th 2021 2,001 21,319 2,759.00 -38.49% 3,045.57 -49.66% 4,547.79 98.23%
Wednesday January 20th 2021 2,488 20,238 2,557.00 -32.84% 2,891.14 -46.86% 4,165.79 49.48%
Thursday January 21st 2021 2,608 18,891 2,432.40 -29.86% 2,698.71 -46.81% 3,886.29 21.95%
Friday January 22nd 2021 2,371 17,764 2,317.80 -32.61% 2,537.71 -42.26% 3,466.50 -6.38%
Saturday January 23rd 2021 1,910 16,443 2,275.60 -27.75% 2,349.00 -43.60% 3,257.07 -17.67%
Sunday January 24th 2021 1,378 14,877 2,151.00 -22.04% 2,125.29 -40.99% 2,863.50 -34.85%
Monday January 25th 2021 1,372 14,128 1,927.80 -24.61% 2,018.29 -36.94% 2,609.43 -44.39%
Tuesday January 26th 2021 928 13,055 1,591.80 -34.56% 1,865.00 -38.76% 2,455.29 -48.87%
Wednesday January 27th 2021 1,335 11,902 1,384.60 -40.26% 1,700.29 -41.19% 2,295.71 -53.48%
Thursday January 28th 2021 1,446 10,740 1,291.80 -43.23% 1,534.29 -43.15% 2,116.50 -58.51%
Friday January 29th 2021 1,254 9,623 1,267.00 -41.10% 1,374.71 -45.83% 1,956.21 -62.57%
Saturday January 30th 2021 1,414 9,127 1,275.40 -33.84% 1,303.86 -44.49% 1,826.43 -64.97%

Polar101

https://twitter.com/newschambers/status/1355573919810465793

Usual stuff there.

vienne86

Dublin figures are higher than I would like.

is_that_so

is_that_so wrote: »

It should continue to come down, compare where we were 3 weeks ago. 200-400 cases a day by the end of February according to models. What vaccinations should do is reduce the numbers of severe cases. If we're at 500 or 1000 cases a day and nobody is in hospital it's not a problem any more.

If we had a proper lockdown perhaps, as it is not a chance.

Creches open for instance allows community spread.

Eod100

josip wrote: »

How many deaths have there been in January so far?
I think NPHET warned at the start of January that it could be 1,000

Has surpassed it unfortunately

https://twitter.com/newschambers/status/1355573704491732995

is_that_so

Deleted User wrote: »

If we had a proper lockdown perhaps, as it is not a chance.

Creches open for instance allows community spread.

What? Amongst the under 5s?! That number is from NPHET modelling so where's your not a chance model?

StevenToast

Numbers not improving....a long february and march ahead...

Kunta Kinte

Gruffalux wrote: »

It was 2226 on December 30th 2020 - now it is 3214.

So with another full day of January still to go unfortunately there will most likely be more than 1000 deaths during the month.

is_that_so

is_that_so wrote: »

What? Amongst the under 5s?! That number is from NPHET modelling so where's your not a chance model?

Facts are, this lockdown is nowhere as tough as the lockdown back in March of last year.

Its well known children can carry the strain and pass it on, Eitherway you have creche workers in these environments without masks, and no social distancing.

The new variants dont even care if you are achild, teenager or adult.

10000maniacs

It's been reported that numbers are down in ICU. Yeah, with 79 deaths, that was kind of expected.

petes

10000maniacs wrote: »

It's been reported that numbers are down in ICU. Yeah, with 79 deaths, that was kind of expected.

You think there was 79 deaths in ICU in the last 24 hours?

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

Facts are, this lockdown is nowhere as tough as the lockdown back in March of last year.

Its well known children can carry the strain and pass it on, Eitherway you have creche workers in these environments without masks, and no social distancing.

The new variants dont even care if you are achild, teenager or adult.

It's worth noticing that in March, when nobody knew anything about the virus, that knowledge gap was an enormous impetus for citizens to adhere to the rules. There was a fear factor of the unknown involved.

Now that we know so much more, people are less afraid to mingle. So it's the twin problem of a) a more lax attitude among parts of the public and b) a less strict lockdown.

A pretty toxic combination at a time when numbers need to be reduced.

bb1234567

Odd how some European countries seem to just not be seeing any reduction in COVID transmission for months on end despite lockdown. Czech Republic is now enforcing even tighter lockdown restrictions, their 7 day average of deaths hasn't dropped below 100 for 100 days in a row, since October 23rd. Are they really just not following restrictions at all or how could our lockdown have worked so much better here in Ireland than in countries like CZ or Slovenia or Italy?

https://www.expats.cz/czech-news/article/czech-republic-toughening-lockdown-rules

petes

StevenToast wrote: »

Numbers not improving....a long february and march ahead...

How many cases were reported last Saturday?

Do you honestly have a clue as to what's going on or do you just post this ****e to antagonise people?