Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

ayjayirl

So when is the snow likely to start in Leinster? Monday?

ayjayirl

ayjayirl wrote: »

So when is the snow likely to start in Leinster? Monday?

Possibly Saturday evening
Probably by Sunday evening

Humberto Salazar

Poor ECM. Was hoping for a stream of LP systems undercutting and sliding south enhancing snow activity. But we get typical storms pushing milder gale force winds at the end of the run. This might be a three day wonder now. Earlier, it looked like a prolonged spell. It can change but we need a lot of luck now. I'm crushed.

nacho libre

Humberto Salazar wrote: »

Poor ECM. Was hoping for a stream of LP systems undercutting and sliding south enhancing snow activity. But we get typical storms pushing milder gale force winds at the end of the run. This might be a three day wonder now. Earlier, it looked like a prolonged spell. It can change but we need a lot of luck now. I'm crushed.

Welcome back Humberto. I hope you found the culprit who hacked your account earlier:D

ninebeanrows

EC really only has snow showers into Leinster from around 3am Monday through till 1800 Tuesday, then there is the first attempted breakdown into Wednesday bringing some snow to Munster before heavy rain preceded by snow extends north on Thursday

ZX7R

Little snowy old me wrote: »

Unfortunately there is a tendency for breakdowns in cold spells to arrive on time or get brought forward. We may be lucky to get a mere 3 days out of this. Also, I doubt I'll see snow in Donegal. But I will still enjoy the cold frosty weather. I wish everyone in the east good luck getting some snow.

Today is the first mind day I've had for about two weeks, big taw on at the moment
We had about 18cm of snow build up over that period.

Slashermcguirk

You are referring to weather about 7 days away, that’s very hard to predict in even normal weather. We seem to have the early days locked in which is the main thing now

Humberto Salazar wrote: »

Poor ECM. Was hoping for a stream of LP systems undercutting and sliding south enhancing snow activity. But we get typical storms pushing milder gale force winds at the end of the run. This might be a three day wonder now. Earlier, it looked like a prolonged spell. It can change but we need a lot of luck now. I'm crushed.

Sleety_Rain

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

EC really only has snow showers into Leinster from around 3am Monday through till 1800 Tuesday, then there is the first attempted breakdown into Wednesday bringing some snow to Munster before heavy rain preceded by snow extends north on Thursday

Un thanked
Concerning I suppose as its not a bad little model at 4 days out
However if incoming Atlantic visitors head southeast, different story
I don't like adding an if this goes here and that goes there but up against that wall of dense air and form to date,talkng beyond 144hrs is iffy yet (maybe)

ninebeanrows

AuntySnow wrote: »

Un thanked
Concerning I suppose as its not a bad little model at 4 days out
However if incoming Atlantic visitors head southeast, different story
I don't like adding an if this goes here and that goes there but up against that wall of dense air and form to date,talkng beyond 144hrs is iffy yet (maybe)

In 2018, the 36 hours of streamer snow was much nicer up this way than Storm Emma, even with 36 hours of good lake effect potential one can easily get 10-20cm.

munsterlegend

nacho libre wrote: »

Welcome back Humberto. I hope you found the culprit who hacked your account earlier:D

Definitely reset his password and back with us again!

lucernarian

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

In 2018, the 36 hours of streamer snow was much nicer up this way than Storm Emma, even with 36 hours of good lake effect potential one can easily get 10-20cm.

30cm is quite possible in that timeframe.

Holy Duck

No need to be looking for a puncture while the tyre is full of air

esposito

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

In 2018, the 36 hours of streamer snow was much nicer up this way than Storm Emma, even with 36 hours of good lake effect potential one can easily get 10-20cm.

The one disappointing aspect to Storm Emma is that the snow was like dust. Tiny grains. No thanks. Prefer the bigger flakes

Kermit.de.frog

esposito wrote: »

The one disappointing aspect to Storm Emma is that the snow was like dust. Tiny grains. No thanks. Prefer the bigger flakes

Snow grains build up very quickly. Catches a lot of people out because they assume it's rain.

Ursulal

Brz555 wrote: »

I remember during the BFTE the streamers made it as far west as Galway city, we got plastered before Emma even hit. Was just constant conveyor from east to west on the radar.

Outside Loughrea 2nd of March 2018

Gonzo

esposito wrote: »

The one disappointing aspect to Storm Emma is that the snow was like dust. Tiny grains. No thanks. Prefer the bigger flakes

I remember there were times it almost looked like rain, the flakes were indeed tiny. At the same time dinner plates are great to look at but those are usually from marginal conditions where it can turn back to sleet at any point. December 2010 had lovely flakes, decent size powder flakes.

At the moment this cold spell is looking like a February 2009 to me. Two to three days of streamers. The wind could be slightly variable too so hopefully those dreaded shadows don't stay in the one place for too long.

kegg

Humberto Salazar wrote: »

Poor ECM. Was hoping for a stream of LP systems undercutting and sliding south enhancing snow activity. But we get typical storms pushing milder gale force winds at the end of the run. This might be a three day wonder now. Earlier, it looked like a prolonged spell. It can change but we need a lot of luck now. I'm crushed.

Why are you crushed? You may get 3 days of snow while here in mayo looks like nothing. Maybe you aimed too high with your "1947esque" comment a day or 2 ago.

The chan chan man

My money’s on about 1-2cm of snow in Dublin Monday which will be gone by Tuesday

esposito

Gonzo wrote: »

I remember there were times it almost looked like rain, the flakes were indeed tiny. At the same time dinner plates are great to look at but those are usually from marginal conditions where it can turn back to sleet at any point. December 2010 had lovely flakes, decent size powder flakes.

At the moment this cold spell is looking like a February 2009 to me. Two to three days of streamers. The wind could be slightly variable too so hopefully those dreaded shadows don't stay in the one place for too long.

We did well in Feb 2009 here in Dublin 16 so would take something similar next week.

Am hoping we get a more prolonged spell than 2-3 days but if it does get milder from Thursday next week hopefully it’s only temporarily as per Met Éireann monthly outlook.

SEPT 23 1989

The 2018 snow was like getting sand blasted it took your breath away in the wind if you didn't have your mouth covered

Holy Duck

The chan chan man wrote:

My money’s on about 1-2cm of snow in Dublin Monday which will be gone by Tuesday

Bit below the belt there bucko

redsteveireland

esposito wrote: »

The one disappointing aspect to Storm Emma is that the snow was like dust. Tiny grains. No thanks. Prefer the bigger flakes

Can't remember which event but we had the biggest clumps of snow I have ever seen floating down from the sky, huge powdery clumps of dry snow, good for nothing.

gerrybhoy

The chan chan man wrote: »

My money’s on about 1-2cm of snow in Dublin Monday which will be gone by Tuesday

Bit late for tonight's Lotto numbers so any chance of Fridays euromillions numbers ta

bazlers

AuntySnow wrote: »

Possibly Saturday evening
Probably by Sunday evening

Same time as superbowl right on kick off

ninebeanrows

There is reasonable support for it to turn less cold from around Wednesday but still a fair few members holding it cold so very uncertain and will likely flip back and forth between now and then.

In meantime seems growing confidence that we get 850s of -8 of below from around Sunday evening to Tuesday night. A snow window depending on how the Irish Sea behaves.

Slashermcguirk

Is it not almost pointless to forecast beyond Tuesday anyway, there is no way that a forecast in these types of conditions could be accurate 7 days out. I think Sunday and Monday is close enough for pretty good accuracy but after that we probably won’t know until about Friday evening.

pauldry

Phone has 3c 2c and 3c as temperature in Sligo Sunday Monday Tuesday then 7c for all the days after. It's not really a surprise if it gets downgraded. Sure were well used to it. However no snowy spells anywhere seem to last too long nowadays so even one or two days of heavy snow would be enough.

During the Beast my daughter was sick of it after 2 hours

mcburns07

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

The 2018 snow was like getting sand blasted it took your breath away in the wind if you didn't have your mouth covered

Can't say I have prior experience of being sand blasted so i'll take your word for it :pac:

Little snowy old me

There's a change in mood. Some very doom and gloom posts. I can feel myself getting downbeat.....

bosco12345

Little snowy old me wrote: »

There's a change in mood. Some very doom and gloom posts. I can feel myself getting downbeat.....

If you followed the technical thread, the models chop and change so much it's just 50/50 really what happens after day 4/5. I'd take all the doom and gloom posts with a pinch of salt as were pretty much locked in to a good cold spell from Sunday - Wednesday with a high chance of snow in the eastern half of the country, I'd take that anyday