Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

Chalkitdown147

bazlers wrote: »

As GL alluded to awhile back when you look at model runs you try to see what they are gauging and compare with models and come up with your idea of what could happen. Possibly MTCs experience tells him things might move slightly North. Thats just my take on it.
You certainly could be right too.

Kinda like.......forecasting

(only slagging:D )

Davaeo09

KungPao wrote: »

Been following this the last few days. But I am starting to have a bad feeling this will only amount to a soggy cool period. Some sleet where I am (Dublin), but no snow to speak of, and zero accumulation. Then back to 8 degrees soon after from the westerlies. Hope I’m wrong obviously.

based on what models or forecasts??
there's 3 days of minus temperatures nailed on a Dublin is looking good for snow in all forecast models?

TheMilkyPirate

KungPao wrote: »

Been following this the last few days. But I am starting to have a bad feeling this will only amount to a soggy cool period. Some sleet where I am (Dublin), but no snow to speak of, and zero accumulation. Then back to 8 degrees soon after from the westerlies. Hope I’m wrong obviously.

No need to hope you're wrong, you are. :pac:

froog

Reckless Abandonment

This is one of them rare occasions that the models are getting better the closer we get. Just like 2010 and 2018..

Slashermcguirk

Eh Dublin looks like being right in the firing line from Sunday evening onwards.

KungPao wrote: »

Been following this the last few days. But I am starting to have a bad feeling this will only amount to a soggy cool period. Some sleet where I am (Dublin), but no snow to speak of, and zero accumulation. Then back to 8 degrees soon after from the westerlies. Hope I’m wrong obviously.

Stevieluvsye

KungPao wrote: »

Been following this the last few days. But I am starting to have a bad feeling this will only amount to a soggy cool period. Some sleet where I am (Dublin), but no snow to speak of, and zero accumulation. Then back to 8 degrees soon after from the westerlies. Hope I’m wrong obviously.

On what basis are you making this assumtpion?

Tabnabs

Is there a way online to get the dew point air temperature in as close to real time for Casemont, please and thank you?

Indestructable

Tom Cruises Left Nut wrote: »

The Netweather radar used to be good but it seems off these days


Met E seems to be the most exact

Looks like that was the one, disappointed to hear it's not as good. Will have an array of them open!

DOCARCH

Tabnabs wrote: »

Is there a way online to get the dew point air temperature in as close to real time for Casemont, please and thank you?

I would usually use https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/weather/current/EIME.html Updates every 30 minutes.

YanSno

This cold spell will end in a battle ground situation where north from Galway to Wicklow line will see some significant snow between Wednesday to Thursday. 6z gfs wants to extend the longevity of this cold spell, confidence is low on this I would expect milder by Friday.

Neddyusa

Burts Bee wrote: »

And then?!!

And then you're a week away from today - so the likely weather is anyone's guess.
Any forecast for that range is just as accurate as a forecast for the second week of February 2023

R.F.

We have gotten very little in Gorey Weford over these last few weeks. Crazy that just a few miles up the road got some decent amounts. Im hoping this cold spell next week will see our fortunes change...

TheMilkyPirate

Seems to be a south easterly flow on both the GFS and ECM. Don't think that will suit me at all here in Wexford. I'd say there will be a Pembrokeshire shadow in operation but Waterford/Cork will do very well out of streamers if this is the case

bb1234567

I'm getting giddy already. Why does snow do this to me, I'm a grown adult

leahyl

How's Cork looking TheMilkyPirate?

TheMilkyPirate

leahyl wrote: »

How's Cork looking TheMilkyPirate?

See above

munsterlegend

YanSno wrote: »

This cold spell will end in a battle ground situation where north from Galway to Wicklow line will see some significant snow between Wednesday to Thursday. 6z gfs wants to extend the longevity of this cold spell, confidence is low on this I would expect milder by Friday.

Well thanks a lot from the snow deprived south of that line!

Humberto Salazar

KungPao wrote: »

Been following this the last few days. But I am starting to have a bad feeling this will only amount to a soggy cool period. Some sleet where I am (Dublin), but no snow to speak of, and zero accumulation. Then back to 8 degrees soon after from the westerlies. Hope I’m wrong obviously.

The latest graduate from my school of weather pessimism. With honours I might add.
It won't be soggy at least not for a few days.

leahyl

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

See above

Ah...nice save :pac:

DOCARCH

bb1234567 wrote: »

I'm getting giddy already. Why does snow do this to me, I'm a grown adult

An rud is annamh is iontach.

What is seldom is wonderful.

Mimon

KungPao wrote: »

Been following this the last few days. But I am starting to have a bad feeling this will only amount to a soggy cool period. Some sleet where I am (Dublin), but no snow to speak of, and zero accumulation. Then back to 8 degrees soon after from the westerlies. Hope I’m wrong obviously.

What are you basing this on?

TTLF

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

See above

does Dublin do okay in a SE? no shadows I can see of for us there... but im a novice at this :pac:

aisling86

The public have definitely jumped on the online ordering bandwagon for ski gear.....cannot get kids gloves anywhere! Waterproofs enroute!

gerrybhoy

put plastic bags on their hands

Mimon

Sorry about doing the "will it snow in my backyard" thing but I'm working Sunday and it will affect what I will be doing.

I know that the really cold air is due to arrive Sunday evening will there likely be frost on Sunday morning North Kildare?

Calibos

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

Seems to be a south easterly flow on both the GFS and ECM. Don't think that will suit me at all here in Wexford. I'd say there will be a Pembrokeshire shadow in operation but Waterford/Cork will do very well out of streamers if this is the case

Wait!! What!!

Where TF is my ENE gone!! ie. My 225km Sea Fetch between Bray and Morecambe Bay/Blackpool with 8ºc SST's and -12ºc Uppers???

Calibos

TTLF wrote: »

does Dublin do okay in a SE? no shadows I can see of for us there... but im a novice at this :pac:

The Shadow is called Wales !!:D:D

Davaeo09

How would that SE tilt effect Kilkenny?

I have notice Mt Leinster and surrounding areas seems to a like a barrier to the heavier stuff at times

munsterlegend

Calibos wrote: »

Wait!! What!!

Where TF is my ENE gone!! ie. My 225km Sea Fetch between Bray and Morecambe Bay/Blackpool with 8ºc SST's and -12ºc Uppers???

We borrowed it down to Cork for a while. Sorry about that.