Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

lucernarian

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

Not sure what you’re winking at. I’m the one with a Meteorology degree.

Was just a friendly suggestion to read what we were talking about - there are weather balloons deployed at Castor Bay not too far from Belfast, but were missing from the source Gaoth Laidir posted. He confirmed that it wasn't just me being blind.

Might want to rein in the tone there.

TTLF

Moving this here from FI, didn't realize it was the technical thread :pac:

nacho libre wrote: »

I would not get too concerned just yet. The next runs could upgrade streamer activity. Keep in mind also there maybe an element of imbyism creeping into some posts as well. We are not going to get the amounts of snow some places in England will get, but some locations here will have done reasonably well by Wednesday.
Regarding frontal snow, didn't some places in Dublin do ok a few weeks back?

Mainly NCD/swords/Balbriggan did very well that night with heavy snow, I remember seeing my gf send me videos of it hahaha

Meanwhile SCD did meh, we got snow but it was such a localised event, while it was light/moderate, it didn't stick more than a very miniscule dusting here. But Balbriggan and other places further north were still Winter Wonderlands come Morning. :rolleyes:

Billcarson

I hope the front stays away from us. Yes it would be great if it delivered prolonged snow and retreated . But whenever fronts come close it's often too risky and we end back in milder Atlantic air. I've never been a gambler lol.

ZX7R

ninebeanrows wrote: »

No messing around there:D

Not looking forward to shoveling it in the morning ha

Mimon

ZX7R wrote: »

Not looking forward to shoveling it in the morning ha

Polish friend was saying that legally you have to shovel the footpath in front of your house. What do old people or people unable to do it manage? Pay the local kids?

Gaoth Laidir

ZX7R wrote: »

Where I'm living in Poland the met institute just issued a red weather warning for heavy snow 60 to 80 cm expected tomorrow .

Bardzo dobrze.

https://meteo.imgw.pl/dyn/?osmet=true

amber2

ZX7R wrote: »

Where I'm living in Poland the met institute just issued a red weather warning for heavy snow 60 to 80 cm expected tomorrow .

We were in Poland during the beast in 2018, with minus 20 temperatures, loved every minute of it, such an experience.

Captain Snow

Large single wet snow flakes coming over Sally Gap. Temperature 1 Celsius.

ninebeanrows

We'd have taken this at T60hrs a week ago, let's try and enjoy the next few days!

red_bairn

Captain Snow wrote: »

Large single wet snow flakes coming over Sally Gap. Temperature 1 Celsius.

Great! It should be making its way to me in Naas!

ZX7R

Mimon wrote: »

Polish friend was saying that legally you have to shovel the footpath in front of your house. What do old people or people unable to do it manage? Pay the local kids?

Everyone just chips in and helps .

Slashermcguirk

You will probably need to be dug out of the sally gap in a few days

Captain Snow wrote: »

Large single wet snow flakes coming over Sally Gap. Temperature 1 Celsius.

Captain Snow

red_bairn wrote: »

Great! It should be making its way to me in Naas!

Approximately 5 to 7 Celsius difference between Sallys and Lower Dublin @45 metres.

gerrybhoy

Like Delboy going on about Rodney with his GSCE's....

Gonzo

miserable afternoon here in Meath, some of the showers are fairly heavy and have traces of sleet in the bigger drops.

munsterlegend

ZX7R wrote: »

Everyone just chips in and helps .

In Ireland you’d have a compensation rush with bad back injuries.

ZX7R

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Bardzo dobrze.

https://meteo.imgw.pl/dyn/?osmet=true

Na pewno jest.

redsteveireland

Nice dry day in Galway before the cold arrives, got the whole garden tidied up finally. Looking forward to watching this develop over the few days.

Reversal

lucernarian wrote: »

You'd want to provide some evidence of how ICON behaves in past scenarios to show this tendency to stop at the coast.

No problem. How about right now. Here's the 12z ICON precip chart for now. The frames over a number hours show the precip stopping dead at the coast. Anyone in Dublin, South Meath, Wexford and Kildare can tell you that is not the case.



Rainfall radar for the same time;

ninebeanrows

No surprises from the UKMO, nice cold east flow

Gaoth Laidir

Reversal wrote: »

No problem. How about right now. Here's the 12z ICON precip chart for now. The frames over a number hours show the precip stopping dead at the coast. Anyone in Dublin, South Meath, Wexford and Kildare can tell you that is not the case.



Rainfall radar for the same time;

You'd need to show the 1-hr precip chart for one hour later (1800 locale), as that will include the rain falling within this hour. Not that it will invalidate your point.

Mimon

munsterlegend wrote: »

In Ireland you’d have a compensation rush with bad back injuries.

In fairness in 2018 everyone came out after a couple of days to clear the roads in my estate.

JanuarySnowstor

Serious cold building out East at the end of next week.
If that drifts our way it really will shut the country!!
IF....

highdef

Reversal wrote: »

No problem. How about right now. Here's the 12z ICON precip chart for now. The frames over a number hours show the precip stopping dead at the coast. Anyone in Dublin, South Meath, Wexford and Kildare can tell you that is not the case.

I'm in North Kildare, near the Meath border, and there has been heavy to very heavy rain with some hail at times on and off for over two hours now. Lots of standing water at this stage.

Neddyusa

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Serious cold building out East at the end of next week.
If that drifts our way it really will shut the country!!
IF....

Think that already happened 11 months ago

Reversal

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

You'd need to show the 1-hr precip chart for one hour later (1800 locale), as that will include the rain falling within this hour. Not that it will invalidate your point.

You're right

Charles Babbage

Mimon wrote: »

Polish friend was saying that legally you have to shovel the footpath in front of your house. What do old people or people unable to do it manage? Pay the local kids?

Snowy countries have people providing this service. My cousins in Canada had their drive cleared in the morning before they had to leave to for work. The same service providers cut grass, cleared leaves etc at other times of the year.

Or you could have residents associations or the like involved.

Captain Snow

lucernarian wrote: »

What model is that?

Hi Lucernarian. Sorry for not getting back to your post sooner. I was out SNOW HUNTING.....lol

The Model or Data comes from Netweather Data and charts.

See Link provided. Its easy to use.

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data

You have an Array of data and models down the left hand side.

Below is Snow precipitation Type.

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

leeash10

Raining most of the day here in West Wicklow, so heavy at times I discovered my Waterproofs are not waterproof! Steady 5c all day.

Reversal

highdef wrote: »

I'm in North Kildare, near the Meath border, and there has been heavy to very heavy rain with some hail at times on and off for over two hours now. Lots of standing water at this stage.

100%, if the same happened later in the week, your area would have quite a good covering of snow, when the ICON showed it dying out as soon as it hit the coast.

We just don't know what's going to happen this week, but the range of possibilities includes some areas getting nice coverings. The point of today is, do not take models at face value when it comes to the Irish sea.