Covid 19 Part XXXIII-231,484 ROI(4,610 deaths)116,197 NI (2,107 deaths)(23/03)Read OP

TobyHolmes

paddyisreal wrote: »

Off course people are compliant with restrictions, everything is closed so there's no where to go. I wonder how compliance would be if shops etc were open

just means they are lying on the survey.

stefanovich

Russman wrote: »

I think its widely accepted that outside is way safer than inside, emphasis on safer rather than safe per se. For me, the issue is when inevitably there's situations like "....the sun's gone in, its gone a bit chilly out here, sure come on inside for a cuppa...." or "....will you stay for a bit of lunch...." etc etc

There's been a few cases where I've been beckoned inside during this pandemic because of rain or cold weather. "You'll get sick in that weather" or something similar. They probably thought I was pretty rude when I refused. :pac:

Just Saying

paddyisreal wrote: »

Off course people are compliant with restrictions, everything is closed so there's no where to go. I wonder how compliance would be if shops etc were open

You are missing the point...It is not possible that 97% of people can be more compliant than the average person.In reality approx 50% will be more compliant than the average person and approx 50% less.

It just gives an insight into peoples thinking vis a vis how compliant they are themselves versus how less than compliant other people are.

Zardaz

wadacrack wrote: »

So on the GP data on 15 March was 0.42 likey covid and nearly doubled in a week to 0.81 to March 22nd. This is alarming tbh .It does seem to be the start of another wave unless St Patrick's day has lead to a backlog of people reporting for testing

Nah, its much worse than that. Look at the "Daily Absolute" figures. Went from 48 on the 15th to 128 on the 22nd. That's closer to nearly tripled. (x 2.66)

Rebelbrowser

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Terrible looking numbers I agree. Obviously it could mean bad news is around the corner. That's the most likely correct interpretation. However, just to put a possible alternative spin on it...

Firstly the number of people meeting test criteria has really jumped, well over two for each respondent yesterday. The number of them clinically likely to have covid has also jumped I note, but not at the same rate at all. GPs are saying that only 38% or so of those they are referring are clinically likely to have covid.

This might in turn be explained by some (very anecdotal) evidence I can add. Specifically a relative works in a pre school. At present they have large numbers of kids out sick - a mixture of cold symptoms, temperatures, nausea, etc. But 3 kids who had been out for a few days returned today with having all gotten negative covid tests in the meantime. Nor is there are indication any of the other kids still out has tested positive for covid.

So this small sample at least does suggest that, unlike a month ago, there are possibly other sicknesses spreading at the moment other than covid. That would explain a big jump in calls to GPs if the symptoms overlap with covid. It would also explain why the GPs think that only 38% of people they are referring actually have covid - that 38% figure was running at 50% last Friday (and given case positivity is only 4%, even that 38% seems an overstatement - but maybe "clinically likely" to have covid does not mean the GP necessarily thinks they have covid).

Actually a bit of support for my back of beer mat thesis on rte.ie...

"...

Earlier a Cork-based GP has said parents have been contacting her practice with concerns about their children and Covid-19.

Dr Nuala O'Connor said that, as of yet, her practice has not had any positive cases, but there has been an increase in other infections as a result of children mixing together.

Speaking on RTÉ's Today with Claire Byrne, she said as schools are a controlled environment, there is around a 3% chance of the virus spreading within schools, but it is the socialising before and after schools that is causing the increase of cases among children.

Dr O'Connor said public health teams have not found any increase in transmission in schools, compared to pre-Christmas levels, and the evidence internationally is that the virus tends to spread more rapidly from adult to adult than among children...."

xtal191

spookwoman wrote: »

Whats the website to look at these charts?

Eod100

https://twitter.com/SeanDefoe/status/1374397431685648397

crossman47

Just Saying wrote: »

You are missing the point...It is not possible that 97% of people can be more compliant than the average person.In reality approx 50% will be more compliant than the average person and approx 50% less.

It just gives an insight into peoples thinking vis a vis how compliant they are themselves versus how less than compliant other people are.

Tony O'Reilly many years ago told of the farmer who told him 90% of Irish farmers were above average.

Tyrone212

There has been a significant rise in the volume of Covid-19 tests being carried out in Donegal in recent weeks.

In the week ending Sunday, March 21, there were 1,288 Covid-19 tests carried out – a jump of almost 37 per cent in a week, Donegal Daily can confirm.

The previous week, there were 942 tests carried out in Donegal.

Last week’s figure included 1,169 at the testing facility on the St Conal’s campus in Letterkenny and a further 119 which were conducted at the test centre in Donegal Town.

The number of tests conducted last week is a rise of 45 per cent from the week ending February 28 when there were a total of 884 tests in the county.

Case numbers in Donegal have soared again of late.

The 67 new cases reported on Sunday was the county’s highest increase since the third wave on January 22.

KrustyUCC

Eod100 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/SeanDefoe/status/1374397431685648397

Interesting

Good and bad with that move

Good that it will result in more cases caught

bad in that those cases will be result in longer restrictions

big syke

eagle eye wrote: »

If you relax restrictions then some are going to push the boundaries.
So if you say no house calls you'll have these people meeting one other family. You say one household can visit another they'll have three or four families over.
That's just the way some people act and in a pandemic if one of those families get covid you'll have a large cluster very quickly with relaxed restrictions.

Those people are doing that now anyway.

Thats still doesnt mean we will have 2000 if we go to level 3. We are not in the same psition as december. We are also entering the summer months.

Less indoor gatherings in general.

stephenjmcd

Eod100 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/SeanDefoe/status/1374397431685648397

Makes sense. We all know there's a few counties that have been stubbornly high over the last week to 10 days.

Regional picture varies greatly

Wombatman

iamwhoiam wrote: »

Everything outdoors should be encouraged now . Outdoor eating , outdoor pubs , people allowed meet outdoors , picnic areas and parks should encourage with benches and seating areas . People should be encouraged to bring picnics and stay outdoors as much as they can

Do everything outdoors you say? Things going to get interesting down the local park.

TobyHolmes

Wombatman wrote: »

Do everything outdoors you say? Things going to get interesting down the local park.

if we had the weather...
but who wants to sit outside having dinner in the pouring rain

Wombatman

Wombatman wrote: »

Do everything outdoors you say? Things going to get interesting down the local park.

never let a pandemic interfere with a good dogging:D session eh

blowitupref

landofthetree wrote: »

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1374360037473275906

Monday 14th to Sunday 20th

3864 reported cases
3807 positive swabs

When did we last get a week with more cases that positive swabs?

Also the 7 day positivity average in testing was 4.1% before yesterday crash. Today it says Saturday was 4%, what changed for that adjustment?

Timmy O Toole

blowitupref wrote: »

Monday 14th to Sunday 20th

3864 reported cases
3807 positive swabs

When did we last get a week with more cases that positive swabs?

How is that even possible?

Larbre34

Wombatman wrote: »

Do everything outdoors you say? Things going to get interesting down the local park.

It already is. In my part of Dublin where big parks have 3 or 400,000 people within 5k of them, they are black with people every day. Any bit of good weather, like on Paddy's Day and folk are packing to spend whole days there.

OwenM

iamwhoiam wrote: »

Everything outdoors should be encouraged now . Outdoor eating , outdoor pubs , people allowed meet outdoors , picnic areas and parks should encourage with benches and seating areas . People should be encouraged to bring picnics and stay outdoors as much as they can

This is brilliant, you've also solved the housing crisis - just don't go indoors anymore.....

igCorcaigh

Timmy O Toole wrote: »

How is that even possible?

Private testing?

ednwireland

Tyrone212 wrote: »

There has been a significant rise in the volume of Covid-19 tests being carried out in Donegal in recent weeks.

In the week ending Sunday, March 21, there were 1,288 Covid-19 tests carried out – a jump of almost 37 per cent in a week, Donegal Daily can confirm.

The previous week, there were 942 tests carried out in Donegal.

Last week’s figure included 1,169 at the testing facility on the St Conal’s campus in Letterkenny and a further 119 which were conducted at the test centre in Donegal Town.

The number of tests conducted last week is a rise of 45 per cent from the week ending February 28 when there were a total of 884 tests in the county.

Case numbers in Donegal have soared again of late.

The 67 new cases reported on Sunday was the county’s highest increase since the third wave on January 22.

testing seems all over the place up here 67 on sunday 9 on monday !

looks like inishowen is the current hotspot with a good few schools closing

fits

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/DrPaulTheGP/status/1374130659984338944

My mum got similar message from her practice. Another two weeks to wait.

iamwhoiam

OwenM wrote: »

This is brilliant, you've also solved the housing crisis - just don't go indoors anymore.....

At no stage in my post did i say you had to go out , or that you couldnt go go home at some stage .But it should be encouraged to meet outdoors and ask people not to huddle inside with family or friends visiting
Or have you a better idea ?

political analyst

Obviously, restrictions are necessary. However, why does the government not recognise that increasing the national debt (i.e. borrowing while forcing most businesses to close) is very bad for this country? After all, Ireland will have to pay-back this money - in addition to the money our government was forced to borrow from the Troika.

paddyisreal

paddyisreal wrote: »

Just watching a tv3 report from a hospital in galway and in the background there is a pc running windows xp! Kind of sums up the hse and the government,

Balinasloe, Portiuncula to be exact. I installed that PC about... 16 years ago.

Doctor Jimbob

TobyHolmes wrote: »

if we had the weather...
but who wants to sit outside having dinner in the pouring rain

The notion that we can't do outdoor dining in this country is wildly exaggerated. The weather isn't that bad.

FionnK86

Doctor Jimbob wrote: »

The notion that we can't do outdoor dining in this country is wildly exaggerated. The weather isn't that bad.

Have to agree, a lot of restaurants last year had blankets and heaters. After 3 months of this, I'd settle for that.

Normal One

24 deaths, 371 cases

Theboinkmaster

Normal One wrote: »

24 deaths, 371 cases

What surge eh

Vicxas

Great numbers