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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part X *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 452 ✭✭Sharpyshoot


    Allinall wrote: »
    You do realise the members of NPHET were on the same salary before Covid, and will be after COVID?

    There will be no after COVID, you do realise that?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,025 ✭✭✭User1998


    charlie14 wrote: »
    Death will come to us all, but it seems you have an idea as to what age there should be no medical intervention to prolong life

    There are a few other flaws in your no world lockdown theory, but tbh on your natural death belief and your, to paraphrase, "shucks sure over 3 Million deaths from a virus is nothing", as I said it`s a conversation I have no wish to engage in.

    Do you class putting the whole world into lockdown and telling me I cant travel further than 5km from my home and stopping me and my family from earning a living as ‘medical intervention’?

    You’d swear I suggested that old people should be refused access to ventilators and ICU rooms

    Conversation is over now if you insist


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,214 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    User1998 wrote: »
    Do you class putting the whole world into lockdown and telling me I cant travel further than 5km from my home and stopping me and my family from earning a living as ‘medical intervention’?

    You’d swear I suggested that old people should be refused access to ventilators and ICU rooms

    Conversation is over now if you insist


    Bye bye.


  • Registered Users Posts: 991 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    gozunda wrote: »
    The wording is rather brief- but what it effectively means is that where a person dies as a result of covid which has been determined by a laboratory confirmation- then other criteria do not have to be applied. It does not mean that if you get a positive test this year, recover and get hit by a bus in 10 years time - that cause of death will be put down as a covid related death. It won't.

    Nice manoeuvring. However the above from your edited post is the most pertinent bit.

    Just again - regardless of clinical signs, if you die and you are a confirmed covid case with no recovery period before death - you are included in the statistics announced in the reported deaths with covid. Irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Nice manoeuvring. However the above from your edited post is the most pertinent bit.

    Just again - regardless of clinical signs, if you die and you are a confirmed covid case with no recovery period before death - you are included in the statistics announced in the reported deaths with covid. Irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms.

    No manoeuvring whatsoever. I think you are trying to read more into that than it warrants.

    Again the actual wording. Of the first of three defined categories - ie confirmed, possible and probable.

    "Deaths in confirmed COVID-19 case: A death in a person with laboratory confirmation of COVID-19 infection, irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms (including post mortem)". From talking to someone I know well who is a doctor - the last line is taken to read as "irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms (including post mortem) of covid". And that from covid-19 hospital based training.

    If you have no "recovery period" before your death and that infection by covid is confirmed by laboratory testing - then there's not really any wriggle room for other interpretations. "Irrespective" does not mean the signs and symptoms of covid do not contribute to the patients death - rather those antecedent causes are not assessed following death once a laboratory confirmation for covid has been undertaken / person has proved positive.

    The unstated part of this process is that the certification for all deaths requires a clinical assessment of each case.

    I believe you noted earlier that - "there should be no period of complete recovery from Covid-19 between illness and death". The document that is taken from also states that a death due to Covid-19 may not be attributed to another disease (e.g. cancer) and should be counted independently of pre-existing conditions that are suspected of triggering a severe course of COVID-19.”


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    gozunda wrote: »
    No manoeuvring whatsoever. I think you are trying to read more into that than it warrants.

    Again the actual wording. Of the first of three defined categories - ie confirmed, possible and probable.

    "Deaths in confirmed COVID-19 case: A death in a person with laboratory confirmation of COVID-19 infection, irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms (including post mortem)". From talking to someone I know well who is a doctor - the last line is taken to read as "irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms (including post mortem) of covid". And that from covid-19 hospital based training.

    If you have no "recovery period" before your death and that infection by covid is confirmed by laboratory testing - then there's not really any wriggle room for other interpretations. "Irrespective" does not mean the signs and symptoms of covid do not contribute to the patients death - rather those antecedent causes are not assessed following death once a laboratory confirmation for covid has been undertaken / person has proved positive.

    The unstated part of this process is that the certification for all deaths requires a clinical assessment of each case.

    I believe you noted earlier that - "there should be no period of complete recovery from Covid-19 between illness and death". The document that is taken from also states that a death due to Covid-19 may not be attributed to another disease (e.g. cancer) and should be counted independently of pre-existing conditions that are suspected of triggering a severe course of COVID-19.”

    Some real statisticians have look at the data and found massive excess mortality. This data does not include Ireland as our data is not finalised. No doubt we will be told the data is not relevant because <insert bs here>

    550754.JPG


    Included in the graph is a line for Norway, which shows a country that had lockdowns but had no excess deaths. Does they mean they didn't need a lockdown or that the lockdown worked? Where were all their excess deaths caused by lockdown?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,876 ✭✭✭RayCon


    PTH2009 wrote: »
    Is tomorrow the big day or will it be next Tuesday in regards deciding on the restrictions ?


    The first leaks are scheduled for this weekend ...


  • Registered Users Posts: 550 ✭✭✭Sobit1964




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,835 ✭✭✭Allinall



    There will be no after COVID, you do realise that?

    What point are you trying to make?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,152 ✭✭✭DellyBelly


    They are talking about this so called Indian variant on rte news. Sounds serious. Everytime I feel I see the light at the end of the tunnel a bit of bad news comes out to dampen my optimism..


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,444 ✭✭✭dalyboy


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    They are talking about this so called Indian variant on rte news. Sounds serious. Everytime I feel I see the light at the end of the tunnel a bit of bad news comes out to dampen my optimism..

    The timing is almost as if it’s all by design


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,653 ✭✭✭walus


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    They are talking about this so called Indian variant on rte news. Sounds serious. Everytime I feel I see the light at the end of the tunnel a bit of bad news comes out to dampen my optimism..

    Stop watching RTÉ. That is the best thing you can do right now.

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,573 ✭✭✭JeffKenna


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    They are talking about this so called Indian variant on rte news. Sounds serious. Everytime I feel I see the light at the end of the tunnel a bit of bad news comes out to dampen my optimism..

    Go for a walk on the beach to clear your head.


  • Registered Users Posts: 906 ✭✭✭FlubberJones


    Have to be honest it will be nice to see the shops open again but I have go so used to online shopping it will have little impact on me... Bars open will be great but again if its a jaded experience it will be disappointing but I'll still take advantage again.

    My big issue is travelling as both my partner aren't irish we have to travel to see family, myself the UK and my partner Italy, so for us this is what we are constantly watching. We have high hopes for August, so just need to see the vaccine situation continue to improve.... Which it does seem to be, if it is limited and slow and seemingly affected by the slightest disruption.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    They are talking about this so called Indian variant on rte news. Sounds serious. Everytime I feel I see the light at the end of the tunnel a bit of bad news comes out to dampen my optimism..

    They were talking about it on LBC yesterday evening. This isn't RTE scaremongering and it isn't only Ireland talking about it.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    dalyboy wrote: »
    The timing is almost as if it’s all by design

    Really? Who's designing what?

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,246 ✭✭✭TomSweeney


    PintOfView wrote: »
    Your first sentence is inaccurate and misleading (and the rest of your post is fantasy).
    You should check out for yourself what the indefinite mask law was about!
    Perhaps update the record here with the reality after you check!


    Fantasy!? did you see the video of the Canadian politician gaslighting people saying if they have friends over they are "putting lives in danger" - absolute hyperbole drivel.


    She wants these people thrown in jail - she is dangerous.


    And Fauci basing policy on a "what if" ... not based on evidence or science (whatever that means nowadays, it's just as dogmatic as religion it seems) - dangerous times.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,967 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    Penfailed wrote: »
    They were talking about it on LBC yesterday evening. This isn't RTE scaremongering and it isn't only Ireland talking about it.


    It is... general thinking out of Israel is that Pfizer works fine on it, maybe with slightly reduced efficacy (similar to South Africa). People are focussing on the fact that its a "double mutant". It doesn't contain any really troublesome looking mutations and both mutations have been proven to be protected against when they appeared in other strains.


  • Registered Users Posts: 991 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    gozunda wrote: »
    No manoeuvring whatsoever. I think you are trying to read more into that than it warrants.

    Again the actual wording. Of the first of three defined categories - ie confirmed, possible and probable.

    "Deaths in confirmed COVID-19 case: A death in a person with laboratory confirmation of COVID-19 infection, irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms (including post mortem)". From talking to someone I know well who is a doctor - the last line is taken to read as "irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms (including post mortem) of covid". And that from covid-19 hospital based training.

    If you have no "recovery period" before your death and that infection by covid is confirmed by laboratory testing - then there's not really any wriggle room for other interpretations. "Irrespective" does not mean the signs and symptoms of covid do not contribute to the patients death - rather those antecedent causes are not assessed following death once a laboratory confirmation for covid has been undertaken / person has proved positive.

    The unstated part of this process is that the certification for all deaths requires a clinical assessment of each case.

    I believe you noted earlier that - "there should be no period of complete recovery from Covid-19 between illness and death". The document that is taken from also states that a death due to Covid-19 may not be attributed to another disease (e.g. cancer) and should be counted independently of pre-existing conditions that are suspected of triggering a severe course of COVID-19.”

    Yes, obviously in ‘irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms’ the ‘of covid’ is implied. The ‘(including post-mortem)’ part refers to a laboratory test confirmed after the patient has died.

    I don’t know what you mean when you say antecedent causes are not assessed following a post-mortem positive test result. In a probable/possible case where a lab result is pending after death, the death certificate has already been filled in with Covid listed as contributory or as a cause of death, and the coroner must subsequently be notified with the result of the lab test.

    Yes certification for all deaths requires clinical assessment. Covid will be put down as a cause of death if deemed so by the medical professional assessing, but in a number of cases it will not be deemed to be the cause of death, but if a positive test was detected, Covid will be notified on the death cert regardless of cause of death. These are all included in stats released - its not just death certs with Covid as cause of death.

    The part about period of complete recovery applies to symptomatic cases - in asymptomatic cases where death occurs a Covid positive lab result means Covid will be recorded on the death cert.

    The confusion lies between the WHO guidelines published last April and our subsequent implementation of some of those guidelines (probable/possible cases), but in Ireland, from the beginning, we have included in our stats all mention of Covid on a death cert. In the UK, rather than a ‘full period of recovery’ they put a limit of 28 days from positive test result, countries can deviate from WHO guidelines. We are not following the WHO guidelines to the letter for reporting - actually makes sense to continue the same reporting practice that was adopted in Ireland from the outset, for scientific and recording purposes, and we adopt new guidelines if they can be incorporated.

    To be clear, my argument is not made to deny excess deaths. In the UK it’s believed of all death notifications mentioning Covid, 90% have Covid as probable cause of death on cert - no reason to believe it would be hugely different here in Ireland. As to whether ‘cause of death’ is recorded correctly or not in light of the Mayo coroners statement re terminally ill patients - that’s a separate argument, but in light of our reporting method, it’s more likely than not that deaths are overstated in this country, but of course it could be a small proportion of deaths incorrectly categorised, again it’s not an argument to support little to no excess deaths - just against the claim that the coroners office only reports ‘cause of death’ certs to HSPC.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    It is... general thinking out of Israel is that Pfizer works fine on it, maybe with slightly reduced efficacy (similar to South Africa). People are focussing on the fact that its a "double mutant". It doesn't contain any really troublesome looking mutations and both mutations have been proven to be protected against when they appeared in other strains.

    Talking about it and reporting on it is scaremongering now?

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Penfailed wrote: »
    Talking about it and reporting on it is scaremongering now?

    Talking about it in a level headed manner, such as evidenced by NPHET
    Deputy chief medical officer Dr Ronan Glynn said the way the Indian variant has been described in various online reports would lead you to think the “world was coming to an end”, but the speculation was inflated and not related to the real-world experience so far.
    Dr Cillian De Gascun of the National Virus Reference Laboratory said there was no real world evidence yet that this particular variant was more infectious or more deadly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    Some real statisticians have look at the data and found massive excess mortality. This data does not include Ireland as our data is not finalised. No doubt we will be told the data is not relevant because <insert bs here>

    550754.JPG


    Included in the graph is a line for Norway, which shows a country that had lockdowns but had no excess deaths. Does they mean they didn't need a lockdown or that the lockdown worked? Where were all their excess deaths caused by lockdown?

    Your choice of countries tells a lot about your perspective. Add Sweden to that graph......

    eustat-IT-NO-SW.jpg
    mapbox polyline npm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,946 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    Penfailed wrote: »
    Talking about it and reporting on it is scaremongering now?

    It is after 13 months of constant coverage and fear-mongering (don't forget the NPHET worry-o-meter after all) over this virus, despite the actual evidence that shows over 99% of people in this country are at little to no risk from it.

    It's variant.. so what? That was inevitable. No need for the media/"experts" to start off yet another round of concern, worry and scare-tactics in an attempt to keep the public "in-line" and themselves in the headlines (and well compensated for the interviews and clicks).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    Penfailed wrote: »
    Really? Who's designing what?

    If people are leaning towards conspiracy theories when new stumbling blocks appear, technocrats only have themselves to blame what with the likes of ISAG or SAGE having the express desire to make people more afraid.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    It is after 13 months of constant coverage and fear-mongering (don't forget the NPHET worry-o-meter after all) over this virus, despite the actual evidence that shows over 99% of people in this country are at little to no risk from it.

    It's variant.. so what? That was inevitable. No need for the media/"experts" to start off yet another round of concern, worry and scare-tactics in an attempt to keep the public "in-line" and themselves in the headlines (and well compensated for the interviews and clicks).

    As much as I don't like they way they have presented data and outright hidden some of it, in today's indo Glynn is quoted saying
    Deputy chief medical officer Dr Ronan Glynn said the way the Indian variant has been described in various online reports would lead you to think the “world was coming to an end”, but the speculation was inflated and not related to the real-world experience so far.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    Some real statisticians have look at the data and found massive excess mortality. This data does not include Ireland as our data is not finalised. No doubt we will be told the data is not relevant because <insert bs here>

    550754.JPG


    Included in the graph is a line for Norway, which shows a country that had lockdowns but had no excess deaths. Does they mean they didn't need a lockdown or that the lockdown worked? Where were all their excess deaths caused by lockdown?

    Irish data is available on euromomo, the peaks look to be about twice that of a moderate flu season, but the actual numbers annualised, well that's for the actuaries and statisticians to argue over, but the numbers look fairly flat, as in there were very little. (Arrows and labels are mine.)

    influ-euromomo.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 991 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    OwenM wrote: »
    As much as I don't like they way they have presented data and outright hidden some of it, in today's indo Glynn is quoted saying

    It’s about time they started calling out the nonsense in the media. It’s been that easy all along to reign in panic - but it allowed to perpetuate for twelve months without correction.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,946 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    It’s about time they started calling out the nonsense in the media. It’s been that easy all along to reign in panic - but it allowed to perpetuate for twelve months without correction.

    Glynn in fairness seems more reasonable - it was the same last year when he was in charge.

    When in Tony H due back? You can be sure he will be demanding level 5.x again the instant he's back in charge! :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    Glynn in fairness seems more reasonable - it was the same last year when he was in charge.

    When in Tony H due back? You can be sure he will be demanding level 5.x again the instant he's back in charge! :rolleyes:

    That old (by now) joke about Holohan in charge of the Road Safety Authority comes to mind, national speed limit 20km/hr, everyone has to wear helmets, even when parked and remember - "The next bend is crucial"


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,946 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    OwenM wrote: »
    That old (by now) joke about Holohan in charge of the Road Safety Authority comes to mind, national speed limit 20km/hr, everyone has to wear helmets, even when parked and remember - "The next bend is crucial"

    Well if Dublin CC get their way, most of the city will be 30 km/h soon :rolleyes:


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  • Registered Users Posts: 857 ✭✭✭PintOfView


    TomSweeney wrote: »
    Fantasy!? did you see the video of the Canadian politician gaslighting people saying if they have friends over they are "putting lives in danger" - absolute hyperbole drivel.


    She wants these people thrown in jail - she is dangerous.


    And Fauci basing policy on a "what if" ... not based on evidence or science (whatever that means nowadays, it's just as dogmatic as religion it seems) - dangerous times.

    Your first sentence, in your original comment, about Oregon was inaccurate, and downright misleading. You then went on to say Canada was becoming Fascist, and mentioning "Evil evil people", etc.

    I don't know whether you were particularly wound up after looking at some youtube video or something, but your comments are exactly how disinformation and wrong thinking are sown.

    We have a real situation on our hands. Lots of people (government, nphet, the health service, etc) are doing everything they can to deal with it.
    Meanwhile lots of people are stuck at home frustrated, and understandably.

    However it doesn't help for people to be making up stuff, or taking things out of context (and you may have been just quoting what you saw).
    If we all try to stick to reality it has to be much better and healthier that the alternative!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    Well if Dublin CC get their way, most of the city will be 30 km/h soon :rolleyes:

    Owen Keegan is driving that, he was also promoting the white water rafting lunacy, a true died in the wool Green.

    https://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/dublin-city-council-chief-executive-apologises-for-secret-meeting-with-eamon-ryan-1015522.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,719 ✭✭✭✭thebaz


    Lots of good news the past week, and the Indo headlines with more fear inducing stuff about 'Double mutant'. - then goes on to say not sure if it is any more dangerous, and experts warn about not over-reacting and 'Not Freaking out' .
    What irresposnible journalism, the Indo was a decent paper now like a red top, anything for a headline or a click.
    Ther is already far too much anxiety in our society today.

    https://www.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/2021-to-become-year-of-the-variant-as-double-mutantindian-strain-detected-in-ireland-40333050.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    thebaz wrote: »
    Lots of good news the past week, and the Indo headlines with more fear inducing stuff about 'Double mutant'. - then goes on to say not sure if it is any more dangerous, and experts warn about not over-reacting and 'Not Freaking.
    What irresposible jounalism, the Indo was a decent paper now like a red top.
    Ther is already far too much anxiety in our society today.

    https://www.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/2021-to-become-year-of-the-variant-as-double-mutantindian-strain-detected-in-ireland-40333050.html

    I suppose they are glad of a break from 'climate fear'


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,535 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    thebaz wrote: »
    Lots of good news the past week, and the Indo headlines with more fear inducing stuff about 'Double mutant'. - then goes on to say not sure if it is any more dangerous, and experts warn about not over-reacting and 'Not Freaking out' .
    What irresposnible journalism, the Indo was a decent paper now like a red top, anything for a headline or a click.
    Ther is already far too much anxiety in our society today.

    https://www.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/2021-to-become-year-of-the-variant-as-double-mutantindian-strain-detected-in-ireland-40333050.html

    I think people need to understand just how toxic the media industry has become...it's just pumping out hysteria.

    Remember the hysteria about Brexit?

    Consuming media these days is actually bad for your health.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,580 ✭✭✭JDD


    I think people need to understand just how toxic the media industry has become...it's just pumping out hysteria.

    Remember the hysteria about Brexit?

    Consuming media these days is actually bad for your health.

    I subscribed to the Indo when covid broke out and ended my subscription after they did an article on covid risks in children the day the primary schools opened. Same as the article you were talking about - the headline was pure clickbait and then the article basically refuted what the headline was insinuating. To add to it, they included a pic of a child in a hospital bed. I actually thought it was bordering on criminally negligent to print stuff like that.

    The internet has ruined newspapers. To survive, they must get the clickbait advertising. The only way you are going to get unbiased news now, is to subscribe to a news site that is entirely behind a paid firewall. It's sad but there it is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,535 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    JDD wrote: »
    I subscribed to the Indo when covid broke out and ended my subscription after they did an article on covid risks in children the day the primary schools opened. Same as the article you were talking about - the headline was pure clickbait and then the article basically refuted what the headline was insinuating. To add to it, they included a pic of a child in a hospital bed. I actually thought it was bordering on criminally negligent to print stuff like that.

    The internet has ruined newspapers. To survive, they must get the clickbait advertising. The only way you are going to get unbiased news now, is to subscribe to a news site that is entirely behind a paid firewall. It's sad but there it is.

    I think this is a very important action to take, as soon as you recognise that a media company is behaving in a manner that is clearly unbalanced you must have the discipline to disengage.

    RTE's Claire Byrne had Sam "the expert" McConkey, a household name thanks to his exposure on media and a noted fear monger...where both claimed not to know who John Ioannidis was....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis

    That is a moment where RTE are telling you they are completely unbalanced, it is then up to yourself if you wish to continue consuming their content.

    I don't however share your optimism about paid for content....I fell into that trap years ago when I bought the IT most days...

    Standards in media have always been low, now they are dangerously low.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    OwenM wrote: »
    Irish data is available on euromomo, the peaks look to be about twice that of a moderate flu season, but the actual numbers annualised, well that's for the actuaries and statisticians to argue over, but the numbers look fairly flat, as in there were very little. (Arrows and labels are mine.)

    influ-euromomo.png

    When averaged over a larger sample, such as a full continent, the picture is clear. Euromomo participant countries have an excess death rate (550k)that closely aligns with covid deaths in the area covered (646k).

    The fact that excess death rate in Ireland might be below average is irrelevant. Anyone with a rudimentary understanding of stats knows that the larger the sample (440m in Euromomo vs 5 million in Ireland), the more accurately you can estimate the true proportion. Local variations average out over a broad area.

    Expected cardiovascular deaths within the same countries is 550k per year. Covid, so far, has been a years worth of cardiovascular related deaths. With lockdowns.

    550773.JPG

    Datasources:
    https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
    https://ourworldindata.org/


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    They are talking about this so called Indian variant on rte news. Sounds serious. Everytime I feel I see the light at the end of the tunnel a bit of bad news comes out to dampen my optimism..


    More chance getting a variant from a dodgy vindaloo from your local Indian takeaway


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Penfailed wrote: »
    They were talking about it on LBC yesterday evening. This isn't RTE scaremongering and it isn't only Ireland talking about it.

    Thank you and I echo this. We have extended family out there and they are in strictest lockdown now. This as you rightly say is very serious for India and for the wider world.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    When averaged over a larger sample, such as a full continent, the picture is clear. Euromomo participant countries have an excess death rate (550k)that closely aligns with covid deaths in the area covered (646k).

    The fact that excess death rate in Ireland might be below average is irrelevant. Anyone with a rudimentary understanding of stats knows that the larger the sample (440m in Euromomo vs 5 million in Ireland), the more accurately you can estimate the true proportion. Local variations average out over a broad area.

    Expected cardiovascular deaths within the same countries is 550k per year. Covid, so far, has been a years worth of cardiovascular related deaths. With lockdowns.

    550773.JPG

    Datasources:
    https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
    https://ourworldindata.org/
    When averaged over a larger sample
    I despair, so the actual numbers don't matter


  • Registered Users Posts: 330 ✭✭ingo1984


    Graces7 wrote: »
    Thank you and I echo this. We have extended family out there and they are in strictest lockdown now. This as you rightly say is very serious for India and for the wider world.

    No its not. There is zero evidence to suggest it is more dangerous or more transmissible. What is driving the India case numbers is people started ignoring distancing, masks etc and this was driven at governemnt level who were praising they were out of the woods and encouraged people to attend local elections, religious festivals etc. There were 130,000 crammed in for a cricket match for flip sake. Thousands attending religious ceremonies. Sure no wonder cases are on the rise.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    OwenM wrote: »
    I despair, so the actual numbers don't matter

    Why do the actual number s for an entire continent not matter?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    When averaged over a larger sample, such as a full continent, the picture is clear. Euromomo participant countries have an excess death rate (550k)that closely aligns with covid deaths in the area covered (646k).

    The fact that excess death rate in Ireland might be below average is irrelevant. Anyone with a rudimentary understanding of stats knows that the larger the sample (440m in Euromomo vs 5 million in Ireland), the more accurately you can estimate the true proportion. Local variations average out over a broad area.

    Expected cardiovascular deaths within the same countries is 550k per year. Covid, so far, has been a years worth of cardiovascular related deaths. With lockdowns.

    550773.JPG

    Datasources:
    https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
    https://ourworldindata.org/

    So all cause mortality is nearly 20% less than declared covid deaths, and you call that closely aligned, that's a deranged statement.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 859 ✭✭✭OwenM


    Why do the actual number s for an entire continent not matter?

    I'm talking about the actual numbers for Ireland.


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    OwenM wrote: »
    I'm talking about the actual numbers for Ireland.

    In other words you want to ignore what doesn't suit your argument. Common trait.

    Why anyone could think that analysis of excess deaths in Europe is not applicable to understanding the actual and potential impacts of the pandemic to Ireland is beyond comprehension. And anyone who claims to understand data but fails to understand that the more data that is included, the less the impact of local variations on the analysis of that data doesn't really understand data


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 787 ✭✭✭RGS


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    Glynn in fairness seems more reasonable - it was the same last year when he was in charge.

    When in Tony H due back? You can be sure he will be demanding level 5.x again the instant he's back in charge! :rolleyes:

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/dr-tony-holohan-returns-to-work-as-chief-medical-officer-1.4542281


    To answer your question hes back at work.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,455 ✭✭✭Beanybabog


    Does anyone know if the easing of restrictions goes ahead in the next few weeks are we changing level? How can we have outdoor dining and shops and still be called level 5? Have the levels been mentioned at ally I haven’t heard this mentioned and everything I’ve read suggests we are still officially level 5 (passport for baby won’t be processed until out of level 5, otherwise I wouldn’t care).


  • Registered Users Posts: 7 Sam Wheat90


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    It is after 13 months of constant coverage and fear-mongering (don't forget the NPHET worry-o-meter after all) over this virus, despite the actual evidence that shows over 99% of people in this country are at little to no risk from it.

    It's variant.. so what? That was inevitable. No need for the media/"experts" to start off yet another round of concern, worry and scare-tactics in an attempt to keep the public "in-line" and themselves in the headlines (and well compensated for the interviews and clicks).

    Way off the mark there. Conspiracy theory rubbish.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    RGS wrote: »

    Well he was still getting the blame for every decision over the past two months, so he may as well return so the irrational hatred is actually being directed at someone currently involved in decision making, and not at someone on leave mourning his wife.


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