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Covid vaccines - thread banned users in First Post

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  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Why? Are you claiming that the vaccines are more dangerous then?

    If that's the case provide evidence.

    Otherwise you are conceding that point.


    You've been asked many times to clarify your eliefs but you constantly dodge evade and contradict yourself.

    CQD has just claimed that the vaccine is killing 1400. Do you believe this claim?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    You've been asked many times to clarify your eliefs but you constantly dodge evade and contradict yourself.

    I have been very consistent on this and clarified it many times.

    I believe the risk/reward benefit of the vaccines is favourable for the elderly and immunocompromised.

    For others, particularly children, I do not believe it is favourable.

    No evasion, no contradiction.

    Sure I ignore some of your posts, as do others. That's because you are inclined to totally misrepresent other posters deliberately. Such as in the example above in which you posted "you have conceded that the virus is far far more dangerous than the vaccine" - when you know I have said no such thing.

    This is not a new tactic. You were called out for it on the very first page of the thread when @patnor1011 pointed out:

    As I said in other thread you simply keep twisting what was said and putting your own words in someone else mouth. So again, I said nothing of what you claim I said. It happened in your head only.

    And here we are 340 pages later and you're still at it. It's why nobody takes you seriously.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭EyesClosed


    You can't tell me what the safety issue with the vaccine is though, I keep asking you, you keep avoiding it, or deflecting



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Lol but dude the question was "is the vaccine more dangerous than the virus?"

    The point you were making was that African countries would be better off not getting the vaccines.

    Your wishy washy, unsupported and demonstrably false position about it not being favourable doesn't have anything to do with that point or that question.

    It's not possible to get a straight answer out of any of you, so we have to piece together your stances as best we can until you contradict yourselves.


    So I will assume you accept that the vaccine is not more dangerous then vaccine until you state otherwise.

    And I will assume that that claim is nonsense until you provide anything beyond your own biased and untrained opinion to support that.


    I will also assume that you agree with CQDs false claim but are unwilling to state your support for it because you understand that it undermines your position.


    Also you're very overestimating how much value I put into the opinion of a band of conspiracy theorists have about me.


    The point pat was whinging about was his objection to me pointing out he claimed that the vaccines aren't vaccines.

    He has since repeated this notion many times. No twisting there I'm afraid.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    As I have said repeatedly I think it is possible that the vaccines are a contributing factor to the excess deaths around the world.

    And also I think it is possible that the vaccines are showing negative effectiveness.

    Both of these would be safety issues in my opinion.

    I haven't avoided or deflected from this issue at all.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But both of these points have been you claiming stuff without any actual sources.

    You've nothing but your own suspicion that the vaccines are contributing to those deaths and you've been shown repeatedly evidence against this.

    Similarly, your claim about negative effectiveness is based on your interpretation of graphs in studies that do not actually state anything about negative effectiveness. At the same time you ignore the rest of the content of those studies that talk about the vaccines effectiveness in reducing infection and reducing severe illness.


    You've deflected from those points repeatedly.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    But both of these points have been you claiming stuff without any actual sources.

    Negative effectiveness:


    Figure 2 Vaccine effectiveness (any vaccine) against SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity in 842 974 vaccinated individuals matched to an equal number of unvaccinated individuals for up to 9 months of follow-up

    Now I dropped this point as there was a mod instruction to quit the circular argument that was me saying this graph shows negative effectiveness and other posters saying no it does not.

    But it remains a source showing negative effectiveness which firs with all the real world data showing increased infection rates in the vaccinated vs the unvaccinated.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭EyesClosed


    But that's back to my early point that without any evidence... Anything is possible.

    There is no evidence at all to suggest the vaccine is killing people... The only articles posted here have nothing to do with the vaccine and its just implied that they do.

    So yes you can believe what you want, but without any evidence its a silly belief.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    But that's back to my early point that without any evidence... Anything is possible.

    I can't remember if it is was you or somebody else that made this argument using dragons as an example, which is clearly ridiculous. So no, it does not equate to anything is possible.

    The reason the vaccines are more likely to be a contributing factor than dragons, is there has been a massive vaccine roll out program in the preceding 12 months. So it's not without any basis.

    Genuine question, where is the evidence that the vaccines are definitely not a contributing factor to the excess deaths?



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Lol. But now you're putting arguments into peoples mouths yourself on two levels.

    First, no one argued that the graph didn't show negative numbers. That's a strawman on your part and you know it.

    Secondly, you are claiming that the study shows negative effectiveness, yet the authors of the study do not say that.


    Now, watch how you avoid a simple yes or no question.

    Does the study talk about or mention anything about negative effectiveness outside of that one graph? Anywhere at all in the text or abstract or conclusion?

    Yes or no?

    If yes, quote it directly please.


    But we both know the answer is "no", but you won't admit this.


    If you aren't able to answer this really straight forward establishing question man, how can any argue anything with you?


    This is why you guys aren't taken very seriously and why you have to post this stuff here rather than in a medical or science forum.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,803 ✭✭✭✭The Nal


    Ah the old prove a negative.

    Anyway, how about a study from 300 million - yes 300 million does.

    Covid vaccines not linked to deaths, major US study finds





  • Registered Users Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭EyesClosed


    But I can't prove a negative.

    Also I'm not claiming anything, you are claiming its possible the vaccine is killing people, so prove it.

    It's not up to me to disprove it.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths



    First, no one argued that the graph didn't show negative numbers. That's a strawman on your part and you know it.

    Ok, if we are agreed that the graph does show negative effectiveness then that's great. I'm happy to stand corrected on the genuine mistake I made thinking that you and others claimed it does not show negative effectiveness.

    Secondly, you are claiming that the study shows negative effectiveness, yet the authors of the study do not say that.

    Yes, I am claiming that the data from the study shows negative effectiveness. The authors don't say it explicitly - they simply publish a graph showing data from their study that shows negative effectiveness, as you agree.

    The authors are more concerned about the fact that it hits zero effectiveness at 7 months, and that's the point they make - that is their finding.

    You are correct that they make no comment on what happens after 7 months but the graph clearly shows it. It descends into negative effectiveness after 8 months.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    If there is no evidence to prove the vaccines are a contributing factor and there is no evidence to prove they are not a contributing factor, why are you so certain that I am wrong in my opinion that they might be a contributing factor?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Safety data from more than 298 million doses of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine administered in the first 6 months of the US vaccination programme show that most reported adverse events were mild and short in duration.

    Well that's super. A massive of study of people who have received two doses within 6 months.

    But these excess deaths started showing up about a year after the vaccine rollouts began, and include third and fourth doses.

    So that study is not entirely relevant to the specific question under discussion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭EyesClosed


    Because there have been countless studies posted here to show the work and effort put into the vaccines.

    Countless tests and studies done, none of them have pointed to any deaths.

    So there is studies, I'm not basing my opinion on nothing, unlike you.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    And again, you're putting arguments in people's mouths. It's very funny that you're doing this after only just accusing me of doing so.

    The graph shows negative numbers. However this does not imply that it shows actual negative effectiveness that is really occurring.

    It could be the result of statistical anomalies or other factors. We saw this was the case in the other example of a study you tried to misrepresent.

    No one is arguing that the graph doesn't show negative numbers. People are arguing that your untrained, biased interpretation of that graph (which is not supported or shared by the guys who produced the graph) to mean that negative effectiveness is actually occurring.


    Ok. So the authors of the study did not comment on the idea of negative efficacy. They do not mention it. They don't state anything about it. It isn't part of their conclusion, abstract or statements.

    Cool.

    Why don't they?

    It's another straightforward question that I suspect you will avoid.

    That's not how evidence or logic work. You cannot provide anything to prove a negative.

    It's a common tactic for conspiracy theorists and other science denialists to fall back to.

    I would love to see how you think people are supposed to do this.


    There is however tons of points that you've been provided that you ignore that show that it is unlikely to be a contributing factor.

    Like all of the safety studies that have been done. None show anything at all that would indicate that the vaccines would be causing such high levels of deaths.

    If the vaccines are causing all of these deaths, why have no safety studies shown this?

    Is it because of a conspiracy you can't actually show?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    And are you saying that from your understanding of these studies you think it is impossible the vaccines are a factor in the spike in excess deaths, or merely unlikely?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    So you are admitting that the graph shows negative numbers but does not show negative effectiveness??!! despite the fact that the authors say it shows: "Vaccine effectiveness (any vaccine) against SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity in 842 974 vaccinated individuals matched to an equal number of unvaccinated individuals for up to 9 months of follow-up"

    The graph undoubtedly and inarguably shows a finding of negative effectiveness. Trying to argue it shows anything else is just more head in the sand, emperor's new clothes stuff.

    Of course you can argue that the you don't believe the findings are correct because of statistical anomalies but that does not change what the graph shows.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭EyesClosed


    Yes I am saying based on the studies the vaccines are overwhelmingly safe.

    Prove otherwise and I'm all ears.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    No, that's not an accurate summation of my argument. You're putting arguments into people's mouths again.

    Nor am I arguing that the numbers are incorrect or that statistical anomalies about the edges of the data that they don't use for their arguments or conclusions invalidates the study.

    And again you just admitted that the authors don't say anything about negative effectiveness.


    As predicted, you didn't answer my question, so you concede it.

    You can't explain why the authors would not mention this negative effectiveness.

    Cool.


    So I'm curious, what do you think the pink areas on the graph represent?



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,196 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06




  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    And again you just admitted that the authors don't say anything about negative effectiveness.

    Yes for the umpteenth time the authors don't comment on the negative effectiveness at 8 months. The focus of their study seems to wane after finding zero effectiveness at seven months.

    They are content to let the graph show negative effectiveness and not comment on it.

    So I'm curious, what do you think the pink areas on the graph represent?

    I suspect they are confidence intervals, what do you think they represent?



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Lol I forgot that the study also said:

    "Vaccination is therefore very wise and important."


    Given that @hometruths has said that the vaccine is not worth the risk for most people, Do you agree with the author's statement?



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,236 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Ok. Why don't they comment on it?

    And yes, they are confidence intervals.

    Are the confidence intervals entirely in the negative?


    And why do you say "suspect"? You're the one arguing about the meaning of the graph and it's specifics...



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    So, the graph, including AZ, is showing Vaccine effectiveness (any vaccine) against SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity in 842 974 vaccinated individuals matched to an equal number of unvaccinated individuals for up to 9 months of follow-up" to be negative after 8 months?



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,196 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    After 8 months it is only AZ. So the graph is misleading. If you are using it to state anything about vaccine effectiveness (any vaccine) then you are simply wrong. If you doubt that, prove me wrong with reference to the data used to build the graph - which is all linked to from the report.

    This is why you need to read the report and understand the data that was used to produce it.

    This is not a statistically significant finding.

    There were 86 cases in people vaccinated with AZ only 8 months later versus 26 for unvaccinated. 60 cases difference out of fifty thousand people! Which can easily be explained away with reference the study limitations e.g. to my above points on who the people vaccinated with AZ were in Sweden in early 2021.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Subscribers Posts: 41,596 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    60 cases difference out of fifty thousand people! 



    in the affected age groups, this is easily explained as to the likelyhood of health care workers being overly represented leading to more reinfection cases.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Ok. Why don't they comment on it?

    No idea. You'd have to take it up with them.

    And why do you say "suspect"? You're the one arguing about the meaning of the graph and it's specifics...

    I say suspect because it is not labelled as such, its not 100% totally certain that this is what they are, it's just overwhelmingly likely, but given that it does not say that anywhere on the graph and you are prone to argue if something is not actually stated explicitly then it is untrue, I said suspect.

    On the other hand the axis with negative numbers is labelled "Vaccine effectiveness" so we can be certain what it is showing.



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,984 ✭✭✭hometruths


    It's almost sad astrofool isn't here to argue that this is in fact proven by extremely comprehensive data in massive trials.



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