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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 35,101 Mod ✭✭✭✭AlmightyCushion


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Yea there is actually a decent amount of available in Northwood, the price may seem expensive but as you say it's one of the better areas around

    https://www.myhome.ie/residential/dublin-9/apartment-for-sale-in-santry

    There should be no reason why someone who can buy up to 300k can't get a 2/3 bed apartment in nice area. Does a 25/30 year single buyer need a 3/4 bedroom family house in Dublin?

    Whatever about 2 beds, there is practically no availability of 3 bed apartments. On Daft there are 32 3 bed apartments in Dublin priced 300k or under. Only 25 at 275k or under. Realistically if your budget is 300k you need to be looking at places 275k or under given how much everything is going over asking.

    199 2 bed apartments at 275k or under. So, yes they exist but there is so little supply. You also have to factor in that a good chunk of them will be bought by the council, AHN or a REIT/fund further reducing the amount available to someone looking for a PPR.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Should anybody have the right to buy a property in the area of the country that they want to - be in Dundrum, Drumcondra, Dun Laoghaire, Dingle or Dundalk?

    The situation right now is that many could afford to live in Dingle or Dundalk if they wanted to, but many more would prefer to live in Dundrum or Drumcondra and hence house prices in these areas are going through the roof.

    There are many areas of Dublin that house prices are reasonable (in comparison to other areas), but people won't live in buy houses in them, be in a social stigma, the amount of work involved, they don't have the luxury kitchen's etc or a rake of other reasons related to family and friends.

    You look back 40 years ago and many people have to leave their home counties in the countryside because there was no work, they had no choice. Fast forward 40 years and we have people talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, but yet if they moved 100 miles outside of Dublin they could probably get exactly what they want.

    20/30 something couples should not be borrowing hundreds of thousands of a mortgage to dump an old pair out of their gaff.

    The old pair aren't investors, they didn't "invest" in their family home to make a tasty return a few decades later. Similarly, the young couple aren't speculators, they aren't investing hundreds of thousands of a mortgage in their home on the basis they'll profit in 20/30 years. For both stakeholders, they just want a home and the security that comes with a "home".

    When you speak of people being able to buy in Dundalk or Dingle; how many people that actually work in hospitality or retail can afford to buy or rent their own place in those places as they are the ones working there primarily? If I was to suggest that people who work in Grand Canal Dock should be able to afford to buy in Dublin 2 or 4 what would you say?


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    IF you bought an iphone 11 new when it first came out, and went to replace it with a brand new iphone 11 today, it would be cheaper today then when you bought it originally.

    Yes, but I would be replacing a model which has been superseded by a newer version. That does not mean new phones have gotten cheaper, it just means old stock is being sold off at a discounted rate because a newer version is available.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    A €200 phone is much, much better than a €200 phone was 10 years ago and will last much longer before being too slow as a result. Higher end phones have gotten more expensive but budget phones have gotten much better. Second hand cars are much better, nicer, more reliable, and look less dated than the second hand cars I remember when I was a kid.

    Regardless, none of this really matters. Yes, there are people in their 20s and 30s that are wasting loads of money on luxuries like new cars every 3 years and a brand new €1,000+ phones every year but equally there are lots of people in their 20s and 30s who aren't wasting every cent they earn and are saving. Lots of those people are still not able to buy because prices are so high.

    Ah here, that doesn’t mean items have gotten cheaper, it just means second hand/old/less technologically advanced stock is discounted on newer, more advanced versions that people want.

    Is the latest model car/phone you refer to above more expensive today if bought brand new that it was last yr? Is the iPhone 12 selling today for less than the iPhone 10 was new 2 yrs ago? Is a new Car selling for less that the same new car two yrs ago?

    What brand new today is cheaper than it was brand new a few yrs ago?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    20/30 something couples should not be borrowing hundreds of thousands of a mortgage to dump an old pair out of their gaff.

    The old pair aren't investors, they didn't "invest" in their family home to make a tasty return a few decades later. Similarly, the young couple aren't speculators, they aren't investing hundreds of thousands of a mortgage in their home on the basis they'll profit in 20/30 years. For both stakeholders, they just want a home and the security that comes with a "home".

    When you speak of people being able to buy in Dundalk or Dingle; how many people that actually work in hospitality or retail can afford to buy or rent their own place in those places as they are the ones working there primarily? If I was to suggest that people who work in Grand Canal Dock should be able to afford to buy in Dublin 2 or 4 what would you say?

    My point was that you shouldn't just expect to be able to buy where you want to. If you can't afford South side of Dublin, look at the north side, or commute or actually get a job in a location where you can afford to live if you don't want to commute - there are quite literally thousands of people that are doing it, tens of thousands who have done it back around the Celtic Tiger days. This isn't a new phenomenon that's never happened before.

    Even more so now that we have companies allowing people to work form home - this is going to mean that more and more people will buy property outside of Dublin, and if they have to be in Dublin for 2 days a week they will just stay in a B&B or cheap hotel.

    What are yo on about dumping an old pair out of the gaff?? who ever mentioned that?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Ah here, that doesn’t mean items have gotten cheaper, it just means second hand/old/less technologically advanced stock is discounted on newer, more advanced versions that people want.

    Is the latest model car/phone you refer to above more expensive today if bought brand new that it was last yr? Is the iPhone 12 selling today for less than the iPhone 10 was new 2 yrs ago? Is a new Car selling for less that the same new car two yrs ago?

    What brand new today is cheaper than it was brand new a few yrs ago?

    Your not comparing like with like, your comparing a brand new car with the same brand new car 2 years ago, but then your comparing an iphone 12 with an iphone 10.

    Why not compare the brand new iphone 11 two years ago, with the price of a brand new iphone 11 now? Something that is comparable.


  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 35,101 Mod ✭✭✭✭AlmightyCushion


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Ah here, that doesn’t mean items have gotten cheaper, it just means second hand/old/less technologically advanced stock is discounted on newer, more advanced versions that people want.

    Is the latest model car/phone you refer to above more expensive today if bought brand new that it was last yr? Is the iPhone 12 selling today for less than the iPhone 10 was new 2 yrs ago? Is a new Car selling for less that the same new car two yrs ago?

    What brand new today is cheaper than it was brand new a few yrs ago?

    Actually, yes the iPhone 12 is cheaper than the iPhone X.

    https://www.techradar.com/au/reviews/iphone-x-review

    "At launch, the iPhone X cost $999 / £999 / AU$1,579 for the basic, 64GB model."

    https://www.techradar.com/au/reviews/iphone-12

    "The iPhone 12 price starts at $799 / £799 / AU$1,349"

    In general, anything tech has gotten cheaper. A 50" TV 5 years ago was a lot more expensive than a 50" TV is today. If things stay the same price, it is usually has something that is an improvement. For example, a phone will have a bigger screen, better quality display, better performance, better camera, more storage etc. Yes typically, the new iPhone or Mac will be the same price as the old one but the new one is usually a pretty big improvement over the old one. In some cases a cheaper model is introduced that performs just as well if not better than the older models.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Your not comparing like with like, your comparing a brand new car with the same brand new car 2 years ago, but then your comparing an iphone 12 with an iphone 10.

    Why not compare the brand new iphone 11 two years ago, with the price of a brand new iphone 11 now? Something that is comparable.

    Because people who buy new cars/phones today do not want to buy the 2019 model new in 2021. We are taking about people spending money on luxuries, the poster said items have gotten cheaper to lower labour costs etc. Of course an iPhone 11 is cheaper today than in 2011, they are old stock and far less desirable than the current model to those who want the latest iPhone. What’s the point of comparing a new 2015 Focus sold in 2021 with the 2021 model? Who wants to buy a new 2015 model today?


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Your not comparing like with like, your comparing a brand new car with the same brand new car 2 years ago, but then your comparing an iphone 12 with an iphone 10.

    Why not compare the brand new iphone 11 two years ago, with the price of a brand new iphone 11 now? Something that is comparable.

    Because people who buy new cars/phones today do not want to buy the 2019 model new in 2021. We are taking about people spending money on luxuries, the poster said items have gotten cheaper to lower labour costs etc. Of course an iPhone 11 is cheaper today than in 2019, they are old stock and far less desirable than the current model to those who want the latest iPhone. What’s the point of comparing a new 2015 Focus sold in 2021 with the 2021 model? Who wants to buy a new 2015 model today?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,656 ✭✭✭C14N


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Because people who buy new cars/phones today do not want to buy the 2019 model new in 2021. We are taking about people spending money on luxuries, the poster said items have gotten cheaper to lower labour costs etc. Of course an iPhone 11 is cheaper today than in 2011, they are old stock and far less desirable than the current model to those who want the latest iPhone. What’s the point of comparing a new 2015 Focus sold in 2021 with the 2021 model? Who wants to buy a new 2015 model today?

    Lots of people buy older models of phones or cars to save money. It happens increasingly because the quality is improving, and more people who buy phones new hold onto them for a longer time because they are now good enough to do so. The same is true of the non-top-of-the-line phones which used to be terrible but are now very good. If you want to argue that someone buying the brand new top-of-the-line phone every time it comes out is still spending a lot of money, then sure, but that's not the same phenomenon it used to be because the less expensive alternatives are more viable.

    Also, to add to the example of the iPhone mentioned above, the Samsung Galaxy S21 was cheaper at launch than the Samsung Galaxy S20 or S10. I believe the Google Pixel phones had a similar trajectory.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,742 ✭✭✭✭AdamD


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    My point was that you shouldn't just expect to be able to buy where you want to. If you can't afford South side of Dublin, look at the north side, or commute or actually get a job in a location where you can afford to live if you don't want to commute - there are quite literally thousands of people that are doing it, tens of thousands who have done it back around the Celtic Tiger days. This isn't a new phenomenon that's never happened before.

    Even more so now that we have companies allowing people to work form home - this is going to mean that more and more people will buy property outside of Dublin, and if they have to be in Dublin for 2 days a week they will just stay in a B&B or cheap hotel.

    What are yo on about dumping an old pair out of the gaff?? who ever mentioned that?

    You'll find any reason to try and downplay our messed up our housing market is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    The chat about young people spending too much on consumer discretionary items as an explanation as to why they cant afford a house is nonsense

    Now I dont agree with a lot of the politics of the under thirty fives but they are beat up on far too much in general , Ireland prioritises the hopes of those much older to a grotesquely disproportionate degree and completely ignores the young

    up to now unfortunately the young have more or less supported this , I recall in 2008 - 2009 when students marched along side wealthy pensioners who were up in arms because they had their medical cards pulled


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    C14N wrote: »
    Lots of people buy older models of phones or cars to save money. It happens increasingly because the quality is improving, and more people who buy phones new hold onto them for a longer time because they are now good enough to do so. The same is true of the non-top-of-the-line phones which used to be terrible but are now very good. If you want to argue that someone buying the brand new top-of-the-line phone every time it comes out is still spending a lot of money, then sure, but that's not the same phenomenon it used to be because the less expensive alternatives are more viable.

    Also, to add to the example of the iPhone mentioned above, the Samsung Galaxy S21 was cheaper at launch than the Samsung Galaxy S20 or S10. I believe the Google Pixel phones had a similar trajectory.

    Okay, I’ll accept that old phones sold at discounted rates are cheaper than new, latest version models, and a 5 yr old car is cheaper than a new 2021 car. Does that indicate new phones/cars have gotten cheaper and that people save more by not updating frequently? Hopefully that will put an end to this rubbish.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Mod Note

    ok folks, please take the off-topic/mobile phone discussion to PM.

    Do not reply to this post.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,729 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Mad_maxx wrote:
    Now I dont agree with a lot of the politics of the under thirty fives but they are beat up on far too much in general , Ireland prioritises the hopes of those much older to a grotesquely disproportionate degree and completely ignores the young


    It does appear to be be a conveniently forgotten fact in the discussion
    If young people are the ones predominantly in the rental sector, they cant have too much left over for frivolous spending

    A good barometer of where the wealth is in this country is the big live gigs
    The last 5 Slane gigs were
    Metallica
    Guns n Roses
    Foo fighters
    Eminem
    Bon Jovi

    Almost all at there peak in the early 90s


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    AdamD wrote: »
    You'll find any reason to try and downplay our messed up our housing market is.

    I'm reading posts here of posters talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, yet they won't consider moving less than 50 miles down the road, yet are talking the talk of moving countries :confused:

    Did your parents and your peers parents all buy houses where they wanted to? Or did they buy where the could afford.

    How many people work in Dublin because they have to compared with because they want to, maybe they made that decision when they were 20 something and didn't know any better, but the reality of the situation is that there are very few jobs in Dublin, that you can't get in any other part of the country that is near a city - like Cork, or Galway for instance. And where house prices are lower than in Dublin.

    In the past there was a cohort of society that struggled to buy a house where they wanted to - nobody can dispute this, nor did most people care because they weren't in the cohort, but now because that cohort has expanded people now are making a song and dance about it.

    The latest changes to the RI scheme highlight this - let's change a scheme and screw over those that it was first set up for - because we never cared about them in the first place.

    I've yet to see anyone who is complaining about the situation put forward a solution - so let's here it - how can the government help me buy a house in the area of Dublin that i want to, even though i can't afford it. Fire away.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Villa05 wrote: »
    It does appear to be be a conveniently forgotten fact in the discussion
    If young people are the ones predominantly in the rental sector, they cant have too much left over for frivolous spending

    A good barometer of where the wealth is in this country is the big live gigs
    The last 5 Slane gigs were
    Metallica
    Guns n Roses
    Foo fighters
    Eminem
    Bon Jovi

    Almost all at there peak in the early 90s

    Barometer for what? There are few current acts popular enough to sell out Slane.

    Where’s that link to your allegation about a current TD advising someone in relation to an incident in a hotel.


  • Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭PropBuyer101


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    I'm reading posts here of posters talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, yet they won't consider moving less than 50 miles down the road, yet are talking the talk of moving countries :confused:

    Did your parents and your peers parents all buy houses where they wanted to? Or did they buy where the could afford.

    How many people work in Dublin because they have to compared with because they want to, maybe they made that decision when they were 20 something and didn't know any better, but the reality of the situation is that there are very few jobs in Dublin, that you can't get in any other part of the country that is near a city - like Cork, or Galway for instance. And where house prices are lower than in Dublin.

    In the past there was a cohort of society that struggled to buy a house where they wanted to - nobody can dispute this, nor did most people care because they weren't in the cohort, but now because that cohort has expanded people now are making a song and dance about it.

    The latest changes to the RI scheme highlight this - let's change a scheme and screw over those that it was first set up for - because we never cared about them in the first place.

    I've yet to see anyone who is complaining about the situation put forward a solution - so let's here it - how can the government help me buy a house in the area of Dublin that i want to, even though i can't afford it. Fire away.


    i agree with what you are saying in that people should look further afield if they cant afford dublin. the majority of jobs are in dublin though but hopefully that will change in the future and with remote working there may be more flexibility and people can live further away. i do find in ireland people are allergic to a commute for some reason - if you go to other countries - people commute 1hr/2hrs and dont bat an eyelid over it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,243 ✭✭✭DataDude


    i do find in ireland people are allergic to a commute for some reason - if you go to other countries - people commute 1hr/2hrs and dont bat an eyelid over it.

    I think the science is fairly clear that one thing that is massively correlated with happiness/wellbeing is commute length. Big house, big salary, nice car etc. all have close to no effect long term. But a 2 hour commute each way 5 days a week appears to be a one-way ticket to misery.

    Everyone makes their own choices for their own reasons but the evidence suggests people are wise to avoid the massive commute at all costs, even if it means living in a shoebox!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭PropBuyer101


    DataDude wrote: »
    I think the science is fairly clear that one thing that is massively correlated with happiness/wellbeing is commute length. Big house, big salary, nice car etc. all have close to no effect long term. But a 2 hour commute each way 5 days a week appears to be a one-way ticket to misery.

    Everyone makes their own choices for their own reasons but the evidence suggests people are wise to avoid the massive commute at all costs, even if it means living in a shoebox!


    im not judging. i personally would rather a nice house and have a commute, then live in a box and no commute, thats just me. but as i said people are allergic to a commute and they all have their own reasons for that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,656 ✭✭✭C14N


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    I'm reading posts here of posters talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, yet they won't consider moving less than 50 miles down the road, yet are talking the talk of moving countries :confused:

    Did your parents and your peers parents all buy houses where they wanted to? Or did they buy where the could afford.

    How many people work in Dublin because they have to compared with because they want to, maybe they made that decision when they were 20 something and didn't know any better, but the reality of the situation is that there are very few jobs in Dublin, that you can't get in any other part of the country that is near a city - like Cork, or Galway for instance. And where house prices are lower than in Dublin.

    I'd personally rather move abroad than live 50 miles out of Dublin and spend a huge amount of time and money each week in my car.

    Yes, my parents bought in Dublin where they wanted to, at my age, in a similar level of job to what I work. I'd be only too happy to take a new build where they bought a house at salary-price ratio they paid.

    I have a pretty well-paid job in Dublin. I might be able to find work elsewhere but options would be limited. Dublin is where most of them are.
    Ace2007 wrote: »
    I've yet to see anyone who is complaining about the situation put forward a solution - so let's here it - how can the government help me buy a house in the area of Dublin that i want to, even though i can't afford it. Fire away.

    My own solution to this is unfortunately politically impossible due to it being extremely unpopular. The only solution really is to increase housing density where the demand is, and that will necessitate people already there moving out of their homes, houses being demolished, and higher-density housing being built instead. Not that I think they should be expropriated from people, they should be able to sell them and collect the money on their house, but it'll still never happen and nobody wants to incentivise it with either carrot or stick.

    Irish people, even in the capital, see homes as things to stay in until they die, and are imbued with a sort of sacred spiritual status. The idea that somone would have to move out of their own home, even while being paid handsomly to do so, invokes a gut reaction of disgust in most people for this reason.

    Not every country has this culture. Tokyo has a far more functional housing market despite being an astronomically larger city because more people see housing more like cars, as something you use for now and then switch up after a while. People move around more, and as you get more money you generally want a nicer, newer home, unlike here where people often expect a home they would buy in their 20s or 30s will be something they want their children to live in.

    Even if it did happen, nobody here who does own a house wants to live near a large building or a block of apartments, even in the heart of the city. It'll be too crowded, the schools won't be able to keep up, it'll increase traffic, it'll be full of transients and HAP recipients who'll wreck the place and cause noise, the local bat population will be displaced etc.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,986 ✭✭✭✭Giblet


    im not judging. i personally would rather a nice house and have a commute, then live in a box and no commute, thats just me. but as i said people are allergic to a commute and they all have their own reasons for that.

    You provided a statement without evidence. No-one is doing 1-2 hour commutes as standard on the continent, and we're just allergic. We do not have the infrastructure and public transport links to support commuting at any level that resembles what goes on in Europe.


  • Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭PropBuyer101


    Giblet wrote: »
    You provided a statement without evidence. No-one is doing 1-2 hour commutes as standard on the continent, and we're just allergic. We do not have the infrastructure and public transport links to support commuting at any level that resembles what goes on in Europe.


    what statement do you need evidence for?


    that people in ireland dont like commuting; or that some countries people commute 1/2 hrs for a job.


    your comments are fair- yes we prob dont have the infrastructure here to support it.


    i made a comment as this is a thread - its not a dissertation. relax


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,656 ✭✭✭C14N


    i agree with what you are saying in that people should look further afield if they cant afford dublin. the majority of jobs are in dublin though but hopefully that will change in the future and with remote working there may be more flexibility and people can live further away. i do find in ireland people are allergic to a commute for some reason - if you go to other countries - people commute 1hr/2hrs and dont bat an eyelid over it.

    I believe the opposite is true. Americans may be more willing to commute due to their poor city designs in many places with single-family detached housing suburbs, but in continental Europe, far more people are happy to live in apartments in mixed-use urban areas. Ireland is a more car-focused country with a very small number of apartment-dwellers by European standards, and more people are happy to drive 1hr to work each way every day if it means they get their ribbon house with a big garden.


  • Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭PropBuyer101


    C14N wrote: »
    I believe the opposite is true. Americans may be more willing to commute due to their poor city designs in many places with single-family detached housing suburbs, but in continental Europe, far more people are happy to live in apartments in urban areas. Ireland is a more car-focused country with a very small number of apartment-dwellers by European standards, and more people are happy to drive 1hr to work each way every day if it means they get their ribbon house with a big garden.


    ok fair enough


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,275 ✭✭✭tobsey


    C14N wrote: »
    Yes, my parents bought in Dublin where they wanted to, at my age, in a similar level of job to what I work. I'd be only too happy to take a new build where they bought a house at salary-price ratio they paid.

    Do you know how much of their income went on their mortgage? I know that the house price was a lot less compared to their yearly salary than would be paid now, but given interest rates were probably much higher than now it probably wasn’t much more affordable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,090 ✭✭✭jill_valentine


    I'm working with people who were commuting from Belfast and Roscommon - let's not clown ourselves into thinking that should be a normal feature of Dublin's economy, or that it always was. In living memory it was considered hard work to come from Kildare.

    It's not a question of turning your nose up at Cabra vs Stoneybatter if the average worker can't buy in Dublin *county*. That's an irreduceable problem that anedotes won't wish away.


  • Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭PropBuyer101


    I'm working with people who were commuting from Belfast and Roscommon - let's not clown ourselves into thinking that should be a normal feature of Dublin's economy, or that it always was. In living memory it was considered hard work to come from Kildare.

    It's not a question of turning your nose up at Cabra vs Stoneybatter if the average worker can't buy in Dublin *county*. That's an irreduceable problem that anedotes won't wish away.

    when there is no supply and people have no where to live - where are they going to live? they need to commute - from outside dublin. its common sense really. the train in less than an hour can bring you to Dublin from places in kildare, or portlaoise etc



    why is everyone so obsessed with Dublin - ireland is a beautiful country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,656 ✭✭✭C14N


    tobsey wrote: »
    Do you know how much of their income went on their mortgage? I know that the house price was a lot less compared to their yearly salary than would be paid now, but given interest rates were probably much higher than now it probably wasn’t much more affordable.

    You may be right, I should ask them. Although I know they said previously that they were very happy with it as they got a tracker mortgage that kept the rates fairly low and steady for them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,653 ✭✭✭yer man!


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    I'm reading posts here of posters talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, yet they won't consider moving less than 50 miles down the road, yet are talking the talk of moving countries :confused:

    Did your parents and your peers parents all buy houses where they wanted to? Or did they buy where the could afford.

    How many people work in Dublin because they have to compared with because they want to, maybe they made that decision when they were 20 something and didn't know any better, but the reality of the situation is that there are very few jobs in Dublin, that you can't get in any other part of the country that is near a city - like Cork, or Galway for instance. And where house prices are lower than in Dublin.

    In the past there was a cohort of society that struggled to buy a house where they wanted to - nobody can dispute this, nor did most people care because they weren't in the cohort, but now because that cohort has expanded people now are making a song and dance about it.

    The latest changes to the RI scheme highlight this - let's change a scheme and screw over those that it was first set up for - because we never cared about them in the first place.

    I've yet to see anyone who is complaining about the situation put forward a solution - so let's here it - how can the government help me buy a house in the area of Dublin that i want to, even though i can't afford it. Fire away.

    As others have said we need more supply, we also need to tackle policy.

    1. Irelands needs to start pumping out apartments near transit hubs. Get young people out of house shares and into their own apartments. These need to be not only be buy to let builds but also regular builds available for FTBs. Reserve a portion of each building for FTB. This could encourage people a few years into their first job out of college to buy and have a stake in society quicker. I see it in the Netherlands, warehouse workers aged 24 with apartments and able to think about the future.

    2. A separate planning court needs to be set up to deal with judicial reviews on planning applications. (I hear this is already in the works, it needs to move rapidly).

    3. Taxes need to upped for non primary residence, if you want a string of holidays homes in Schull or Kinsale, off with you, you're gonna pay for it.

    4. Get councils to do their jobs on vacant sites, look at the large building out in Sandyford next to the Beacon complex, massive skeleton sitting there for over a decade, owned by the same brothers that own the dilapidated Corrib hotel in Galway that goes up in flames once a year. Galway county council haven't taken a cent for this being vacant, just a string of strongly worded letters sent to the Comer Group (can't be upsetting them too much now).

    A few tweaks and a government with backbone could turn this absolute train wreck around, for now they don't see the need.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,508 ✭✭✭fliball123


    I'm working with people who were commuting from Belfast and Roscommon - let's not clown ourselves into thinking that should be a normal feature of Dublin's economy, or that it always was. In living memory it was considered hard work to come from Kildare.

    It's not a question of turning your nose up at Cabra vs Stoneybatter if the average worker can't buy in Dublin *county*. That's an irreduceable problem that anedotes won't wish away.

    Once again this is not just Dublin most capitals or major areas that are desirable to live in are the same.

    Look at New York, Sydney, Paris, London etc, and before I get the but Dublin isnt London sh1te, its quite obvious from the discussion here and the demand out there that Dublin is a desirable place to live and unfortunately that comes with a premium. I have gone through the math here over and over using the median wage 37k and using the 3.5x times salary borrowing and using the 10% deposit it works out at about 280k, currently on myhome there are 665 properties for sale at this price. If you dont want Dublin there are nearly 6k properties for under this price. But because a lot of these are not in a desirable areas to live in or too far away from where people want to live a lot of people will turn their nose up. Also the median wage in Dublin is higher than the rest of the country.

    No one owes anyone a property most people didnt have mammy and daddy backing them either when they bought throughout the years. People think it was just handed to them which is not right. There has never been an easy time to buy a house in this country but through hard work , saving and keeping your eye on the ball they have saved and got a property. Personally I bought a property with a 2 hour commute to dublin to get on the ladder back in the day and saved and sacrificed for another few years to mover closer in. Why not get on the ladder in a commuter town and save more over time and move closer to where you want to be. Or of course feel free to use the emigration route.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,656 ✭✭✭C14N


    when there is no supply and people have no where to live - where are they going to live? they need to commute - from outside dublin. its common sense really. the train in less than an hour can bring you to Dublin from places in kildare, or portlaoise etc



    why is everyone so obsessed with Dublin - ireland is a beautiful country.

    People here do realise this is the reality and what happens. I know people in my office in Dublin who commute from Carlow, or Westmeath. The argument is that it's a bad outcome and shouldn't really have to happen for the population. The overall result is more pollution, more stress, and more traffic.

    I'm happy enough to go visit the country on my own time, and I do, but seeing the rest of it is a bit different to sitting on motorways or the M50 for hours each week.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    C14N wrote: »
    People here do realise this is the reality and what happens. I know people in my office in Dublin who commute from Carlow, or Westmeath. The argument is that it's a bad outcome and shouldn't really have to happen for the population. The overall result is more pollution, more stress, and more traffic.

    I'm happy enough to go visit the country on my own time, and I do, but seeing the rest of it is a bit different to sitting on motorways or the M50 for hours each week.

    “Shouldn’t really have to happen” could be applied to every city in the world, it is not unique to Dublin.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    I'm working with people who were commuting from Belfast and Roscommon - let's not clown ourselves into thinking that should be a normal feature of Dublin's economy, or that it always was. In living memory it was considered hard work to come from Kildare.

    It's not a question of turning your nose up at Cabra vs Stoneybatter if the average worker can't buy in Dublin *county*. That's an irreduceable problem that anedotes won't wish away.

    We aren't talking about Belfast/Roscommon, we're talking about the commuter areas of Dublin were thousands of people have moved to in the past. This isn't new.

    You mention folk coming from Belfast which is a brilliant example of someone who wants to have the large salary in Dublin, but the family home in Belfast - they could easily have bought in Navan or Naas, but they wanted Belfast, and are driven by wants and money. What job have they in Dublin that they couldn't get in Belfast for less pay?

    What's the definition of an average worker salary wise, 50k? 65k? given that RI is bring increase to 65k for a single person - is this average?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    yer man! wrote: »
    As others have said we need more supply, we also need to tackle policy.

    1. Irelands needs to start pumping out apartments near transit hubs. Get young people out of house shares and into their own apartments. These need to be not only be buy to let builds but also regular builds available for FTBs. Reserve a portion of each building for FTB. This could encourage people a few years into their first job out of college to buy and have a stake in society quicker. I see it in the Netherlands, warehouse workers aged 24 with apartments and able to think about the future.

    2. A separate planning court needs to be set up to deal with judicial reviews on planning applications. (I hear this is already in the works, it needs to move rapidly).

    3. Taxes need to upped for non primary residence, if you want a string of holidays homes in Schull or Kinsale, off with you, you're gonna pay for it.

    4. Get councils to do their jobs on vacant sites, look at the large building out in Sandyford next to the Beacon complex, massive skeleton sitting there for over a decade, owned by the same brothers that own the dilapidated Corrib hotel in Galway that goes up in flames once a year. Galway county council haven't taken a cent for this being vacant, just a string of strongly worded letters sent to the Comer Group (can't be upsetting them too much now).

    A few tweaks and a government with backbone could turn this absolute train wreck around, for now they don't see the need.

    Where are the apartments going to be built and whose going to pay for them to be built - many people are against investment funds being involved at all.
    You have residents setting up go fund me pages to bring judicial reviews against granted planning permissions, It's like everyone wants more housing but not in their neighborhood or not that high up or whatever.

    So you basically want private landlords to leave the market, and are happy with institutional investors to run the apartment scene in Ireland?

    Your one of the first posters who says we need more apartments btw, everyone else seems to be talking about houses, but you want more apartments???


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,090 ✭✭✭jill_valentine


    when there is no supply and people have no where to live - where are they going to live? they need to commute - from outside dublin. its common sense really. the train in less than an hour can bring you to Dublin from places in kildare, or portlaoise etc



    why is everyone so obsessed with Dublin - ireland is a beautiful country.

    Because it's where everything actually is. Lovely scenery won't pay my ESB bill, which is why I had to move up here. All the work, public transport education, amenities, and infrastructure is in Dublin. If you don't have a farm to inherit you don't have guaranteed work, if you aren't already out there you've no way to demonstrate local need, if you're gay there's no ecosystem for you anywhere else, and Dublin is the one place you and all your friends can actually get to from the scatter of places you're renting and moving around etc

    Dublin is where all the accommodation is too, perversely. It's easier to get ****e accommodation in Dublin than anything at all in a lot of rural areas.

    And regardless, commuting isn't a radical new brainwave nobody's thought of, or something previous generations were doing the way it's done now. Kildare isn't even really considered a commute anymore, which was my point of mentioning it, so framing this as if the kids today are just whinging about something their forebearers would have done is silly.

    There were people commuting from all over the country from places they were *renting* pre pandemic. The fact it's no quality of life and even that wasn't a stable or affordable situation, was irrelevant, they didn't have a choice.

    Again, property prices are rising faster outside of Dublin than in it, anybody who can make the move work is doing it, but that does nothing to address the bigger picture when the shortage is so acute. Moreover, turning Dublin into a city of offices and empty apartments is already creating social problems visible to anybody living here. Commuting is not a solution, it's one of the problems we've already got.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    Villa05 wrote: »
    It does appear to be be a conveniently forgotten fact in the discussion
    If young people are the ones predominantly in the rental sector, they cant have too much left over for frivolous spending

    A good barometer of where the wealth is in this country is the big live gigs
    The last 5 Slane gigs were
    Metallica
    Guns n Roses
    Foo fighters
    Eminem
    Bon Jovi

    Almost all at there peak in the early 90s

    interesting observation


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    Because it's where everything actually is. Lovely scenery won't pay my ESB bill, which is why I had to move up here. All the work, public transport education, amenities, and infrastructure is in Dublin. If you don't have a farm to inherit you don't have guaranteed work, if you aren't already out there you've no way to demonstrate local need, if you're gay there's no ecosystem for you anywhere else, and Dublin is the one place you and all your friends can actually get to from the scatter of places you're renting and moving around etc

    You'd swear there are no colleges/universities outside of Dublin - let's have a look:

    Maynooth University
    Munster Technological University (granted this is new)
    NUI Galway
    UCC
    University of Limerick

    5 of the 10 major universities/colleges are not in Dublin. You can do the majority of courses in any of those colleges that you can do in Dublin.

    Amenities - what does this actually mean? Is there no pubs/restaurants/hotels/ shopping centers, cinema's etc outside of Dublin? Like if that's the case how does the majority of Ireland's population survive given they don't live in Dublin:rolleyes:
    Dublin is where all the accommodation is too, perversely. It's easier to get ****e accommodation in Dublin than anything at all in a lot of rural areas.

    You seem to be implying that everywhere outside of Dublin is rural, - there are many cities outside of Dublin and big towns.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Same words as I said many times before


    The next housing crash will be much worse than the last because Ireland is stuck in "a boom-bust cycle", according to an expert.

    https://www.newstalk.com/news/house-prices-could-reach-celtic-tiger-levels-within-a-year-says-expert-1220806


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,090 ✭✭✭jill_valentine


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    What's the definition of an average worker salary wise, 50k? 65k? given that RI is bring increase to 65k for a single person - is this average?

    Eh... no.

    Median full time salary in Ireland is around 35k, so half the workforce earn less than that.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/election-2020-fact-check-is-the-average-income-really-47-000-1.4155272?mode=amp&__twitter_impression=true

    No, the chap I knew coming from Belfast could not have bought his apartment in Naas or Navan instead.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    I'm reading posts here of posters talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, yet they won't consider moving less than 50 miles down the road, yet are talking the talk of moving countries :confused:

    Did your parents and your peers parents all buy houses where they wanted to? Or did they buy where the could afford.

    How many people work in Dublin because they have to compared with because they want to, maybe they made that decision when they were 20 something and didn't know any better, but the reality of the situation is that there are very few jobs in Dublin, that you can't get in any other part of the country that is near a city - like Cork, or Galway for instance. And where house prices are lower than in Dublin.

    In the past there was a cohort of society that struggled to buy a house where they wanted to - nobody can dispute this, nor did most people care because they weren't in the cohort, but now because that cohort has expanded people now are making a song and dance about it.

    The latest changes to the RI scheme highlight this - let's change a scheme and screw over those that it was first set up for - because we never cared about them in the first place.

    I've yet to see anyone who is complaining about the situation put forward a solution - so let's here it - how can the government help me buy a house in the area of Dublin that i want to, even though i can't afford it. Fire away.


    there is a massive shortage of housing almost everywhere with any sign of life in it , moving wont solve the problem , Limerick even relative to Galway or Cork is still relatively good value but there are simply no properties available

    a number of things need doing to tackle this emergency

    1. reform planning laws , it currently too democratic and frivolous objections to planning applications are indulged

    2. the spec for new houses are far too high and this adds immense cost , at least social housing could be built to a lower spec , gas will do find instead of air to water and you dont need solar panels , passive vents in the wall instead of an ultra modern air circulatory system

    3. if we want to get rid of the institutional money buying up stock , we need to incentivise the billions sitting in savings accounts , much of this money would probably settle for circa 5% yield if they knew that rogue tenants were held responsible , personally I dont mind the taxation on rent income but i do have a problem with the grotesquely one sided laws in favour of tenants

    unfortunately both 2 and 3 would be unacceptable to the media and political left as building social housing to a lower spec would be deemed " housing apartheid " , add to that the media and political left oppose the very idea of BTL

    difficult to see practical realistic solutions in the short term


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,729 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Ace2007 wrote:
    I'm reading posts here of posters talking about emigrating because they can't afford a house in Dublin, yet they won't consider moving less than 50 miles down the road, yet are talking the talk of moving countries

    I'm reading posts from posters who lived through the symptoms of the last crash and are puzzled as to why young people don't repeat them. Am I in a goldfish tank

    Dav010 wrote:
    Barometer for what? There are few current acts popular enough to sell out Slane.

    It's stated in the post.
    So no current act in the last decade would sell out Slane. I politely disagree

    Dav010 wrote:
    Where’s that link to your allegation about a current TD advising someone in relation to an incident in a hotel.

    Post edited to match Leo varadkers statement on the incident and what transpired

    Advising changed to assisting in seeking compensation for the incident


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    I've yet to see anyone who is complaining about the situation put forward a solution - so let's here it - how can the government help me buy a house in the area of Dublin that i want to, even though i can't afford it. Fire away.

    Posted this late last year, (redacted bits we can't discuss, but rest remains relevant):
    schmittel wrote: »
    There is a huge range of measures which would make up quite a long post but in a nutshell it would involve 180 degree turn in change of focus and strategy to reallocate housing budgets and resources.

    The short version:

    Scrap all Help to Buy/Shared Equity etc etc measures designed to make housing more affordable to private buyers. Reallocate these funds to HAP/Social Housing budgets. Set a more modest limit on HAP rates than current market rates.

    Scrap all rent controls. Let private landlords charge what they think the market will bear. Scrap all long term leases for social housing with landlords, offer them tax incentives to offer longer leases in private rental market. Generally improve tax risk/reward for landlords.

    Although no rent controls keep designated RPZs as a marker of where problems are greatest.

    Hammer any Airbnbs hard in current RPZs to get them either on market for sale or market for rent. Enforce it properly in the future.

    REDACTED

    REDACTED

    REDACTED

    Increase CAT allowances within a near term timescale specifically for pensioners downsizing properties in RPZs.

    Introduced government backed bridging loans for downsizers.

    Do a deal with banks/vulture funds whereby the government pledges a change in policy and to promote change in public opinion on arrears - i.e if you are not paying your mortgage we will repossess you.

    In exchange banks/vulture funds hand over the loan books of those who are genuinely the poorest in need of most help, and every property that is suitable for social housing.

    So basically if Vultures Inc have an unemployed family of four living in a modest house, or modest buy to let, it becomes the governments problem.

    And if they have a celebrity chef and model living in a 1m house in Clontarf they have the green light to fast track the repo and get it on the market.

    Clear all this overhang and then scrap CB lending limits. Allow banks to lend as much as they wish based on their risk analysis of individual borrower BUT with non recourse loans and fast tracked repos after 6 months.

    I could go on and on and on but you get the idea, basically the opposite of everything we are doing now!

    And this government have the perfect excuse with which to protect themselves from some of the negative fall out from the above - they can blame covid impact on the economy.

    The short answer is that the single biggest issue with the housing market is the extremely low turnover rate thus government should pursue policies to increase turnover.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    schmittel wrote: »
    Posted this late last year, (redacted bits we can't discuss, but rest remains relevant):



    The short answer is that the single biggest issue with the housing market is the extremely low turnover rate thus government should pursue policies to increase turnover.

    Newstalk business had an interview with spry finance this morning. They offer finance based on equity release, once such use case was bridging loans for up or downsizing…

    I’m listening to BREAKFAST BUSINESS from 06 July on Newstalk. https://www.goloudnow.com/pod-288821


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,742 ✭✭✭✭AdamD


    fliball123 wrote: »
    Once again this is not just Dublin most capitals or major areas that are desirable to live in are the same.

    Look at New York, Sydney, Paris, London etc, and before I get the but Dublin isnt London sh1te, its quite obvious from the discussion here and the demand out there that Dublin is a desirable place to live and unfortunately that comes with a premium. I have gone through the math here over and over using the median wage 37k and using the 3.5x times salary borrowing and using the 10% deposit it works out at about 280k, currently on myhome there are 665 properties for sale at this price. If you dont want Dublin there are nearly 6k properties for under this price. But because a lot of these are not in a desirable areas to live in or too far away from where people want to live a lot of people will turn their nose up. Also the median wage in Dublin is higher than the rest of the country.

    No one owes anyone a property most people didnt have mammy and daddy backing them either when they bought throughout the years. People think it was just handed to them which is not right. There has never been an easy time to buy a house in this country but through hard work , saving and keeping your eye on the ball they have saved and got a property. Personally I bought a property with a 2 hour commute to dublin to get on the ladder back in the day and saved and sacrificed for another few years to mover closer in. Why not get on the ladder in a commuter town and save more over time and move closer to where you want to be. Or of course feel free to use the emigration route.

    If you don't think this is a systemic problem then I'm not sure we'll ever agree. People shouldn't need to commute 2 hours to work.

    Also of the 665 properties listed at 280k or under, how many of those will actually sell below 300k? How many of those are in absolute bits and need tens of thousands to be livable?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,729 ✭✭✭Villa05


    when there is no supply and people have no where to live - where are they going to live? they need to commute - from outside dublin. its common sense really. the train in less than an hour can bring you to Dublin from places in kildare, or portlaoise etc

    When it's more than 50% of the Dublin workforce it's a big issue

    Mad_maxx wrote:
    interesting observation

    I read that A successful investor used the sales of premium men's underwear as guage of confidence in the economy. It gave them a headstart on the regular guages used by the investment world

    Ace2007 wrote:
    You seem to be implying that everywhere outside of Dublin is rural, - there are many cities outside of Dublin and big towns.

    Galway is less affordable than Dublin and other cities become less competitive if the problems in Dublin are moved there. Again we are back at whether gov policy is assisting the economy or putting at risk of collapse


  • Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭PropBuyer101


    AdamD wrote: »
    If you don't think this is a systemic problem then I'm not sure we'll ever agree. People shouldn't need to commute 2 hours to work.

    Also of the 665 properties listed at 280k or under, how many of those will actually sell below 300k? How many of those are in absolute bits and need tens of thousands to be livable?


    but they do and it happens all over the world every day for different people for a variety of reasons.


    its about choice. people should be able to choose what they want to do.



    i think people are frustrated as they cant afford to live in dublin and it is taking their choice away - but maybe they need to open their mind a tiny little bit to the possibility of another choice.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Where are the apartments going to be built and whose going to pay for them to be built - many people are against investment funds being involved at all.
    You have residents setting up go fund me pages to bring judicial reviews against granted planning permissions, It's like everyone wants more housing but not in their neighborhood or not that high up or whatever.

    So you basically want private landlords to leave the market, and are happy with institutional investors to run the apartment scene in Ireland?

    Your one of the first posters who says we need more apartments btw, everyone else seems to be talking about houses, but you want more apartments???

    He's totally right. We have more than enough houses.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,816 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    i think people are frustrated as they cant afford to live in dublin and it is taking their choice away - but maybe they need to open their mind a tiny little bit to the possibility of another choice.

    This is the number one problem, to many people want to live in Dublin because:

    All their friends are there and they don't want to move and have to make new friends.
    All their family is there and don't want to move away from them.
    They don't want to leave their current job.
    They don't want to take a pay cut by moving to similar job down the country
    They don't want to commute an hour or two a day.

    The reality of the situation is that most people could move to a different county and get a similar job, but they don't want to and hence we have this housing issue.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 41 MeadowMaker


    Is this a bit of a bubble price? 115m2 Shankill terrace for 615K . Kitchen/Dining/Sitting room sure looks depressing.

    https://www.daft.ie/for-sale/end-of-terrace-house-66-olcovar-shankill-dublin-18/3265453

    Reduced by 95k now.


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