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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Summer 2022 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Plenty of rainfall to come in the next 24hrs as the LP unravels its fronts over Ireland with the center brushing off the W of Ireland, interesting to see if there is more in the way of convective shower activity in the W, NW, N tomorrow especially in the afternoon. High totals on elevated ground.






  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,971 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    A slow improvement in the weather as high pressure tries to ridge in from the south-west as we get closer to the weekend. After a fairly dissapointing May and June, many are wondering where summer has gone and will we finally get a taste of summer over the next 7 days. At the moment the models are looking a bit on the dissapointing side if you want hot weather and bags of sunshine.

    Southern, central and eastern areas should see an improvement though this week with temperatures lifitng into the low twenties at times with some sunshine on offer each day but it won't be unbroken gin blue skies. Inland parts of south-western and mid western areas may also be included in this. Cloud cover will vary but where decent sunny spells occurs it will feel fairly pleasant with temperatures generally 18 to 23C this week with the low twenties kicking in from about Wednesday and lasting throughout the weekend.

    The north-western half of the country will be cooler and more prone to Atlantic cloud, wind and drizzle with temperatures there generally 14 to 19C, coolest near the coasts and across Donegal. By Friday the warmth may extend into the mid west, but the north-west corner looks to remain fairly cool into the weekend. Friday and Saturday look to be the best days for the mid west and south-west with temperatures there generally in the low 20s providing there is enough sunshine to lift the temperatures up.

    There are signs that this high pressure may begin to break down from the north-west during Sunday and into Monday with a band of rain possibly cutting into the high pressure spoiling things early next week, but that is along way out and could change between now and then. The following week I will cover in the 120+ FI thread, there is a great deal of uncertainty with that week.

    There will be little to no rainfall for most areas over the coming week and into the weekend, however there will be drizzle or showers at times across western coasts and the north-west in particular but rainfall shouldn't be as heavy as recent times.




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Looks quite cloudy again tomorrow for most of the country, set to brighten in in Leinster and E Munster from the afternoon, good temperatures in the SE /S

    Cloudy for large parts of the country again on Fri but better in the S, SE and maybe the E and NE, similar temperature to Thurs

    Cloudy again on Saturday it would appear, possibly brightening towards evening in the Southern half of the country, feeling warm and humid which could lead to widespread fog overnight into Sun morning which should burn off quickly, widespread warm day 20 to 24 or 25C away from coasts, very mild overnight, another warm day on Monday getting into the mid 20's.






  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,971 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Todays models are showing a real stuggle between warm and cool weather battling it out from Tuesday. Tuesday on a bit of a knifeedge between much cooler weather coming south and warmer weather staying in the far southeast of the country. Wednesday to Friday now look fairly average with temperatures around normal, mostly high teens. Major uncertainty about next weekends warm potential. The GFS is having none of it with quite a cool if not chilly weekend next week and has completely backed off the very warm scenario for next weekend. However todays GFS 12z operational is one of the coolest runs for next weekend in the set of GFS runs. The GEM the complete opposite showing mid to high twenties across the country next weekend. The ECM showing next weekend to be warm but not to the level it was showing yesterday. Everything past this Monday is still up in the air. In terms of sunshine this Sunday is looking best for the sun to properly shine with next week looking generally very cloudy indeed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,121 ✭✭✭compsys


    if this were winter you could be almost 100% guaranteed that the warmer air would win.

    However it's Ireland and it's summer...



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,309 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    Our weather has to be the most unpredictable/predictable of any other country! I’ve seen less flip flops at banna beach on a sunny Sunday in July!



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Looks like a very warm day tomorrow getting up to 25 or 26C perhaps. Getting quite warm here in Kerry until the sea breeze kicks in and then probably knocking a couple of degrees off along coastal areas but should still be very decent. Cloud looks stubborn at first for parts but should burn off in most places.







  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    AROME showing getting up to 21-25C generally, warmest in the midlands , shows 27 or 28C around Dublin , heat island effect factored in perhaps, that and staying mostly cloud free until late afternoon / early evening and no onshore breeze as such with winds running parallel to the shore from the S in fact good land fetch tomorrow heating up the air until it peaks in the afternoon.





  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    From the WRF




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,683 ✭✭✭Rougies


    Also Föhn winds for South Dublin in that setup for sure. The Churchtown station on meteociel should be interesting.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,052 ✭✭✭Neddyusa


    Anyone have cloud cover, 2m temp charts for the next 4 days?

    Asking here, as its the usual nonsense going on in the other thread 😁



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Wet weekend coming up, breeze around the coasts on Sat , breezy to blustery overland on Sunday. Getting warm in Leinster, Ulster and parts of Connacht, mild to warm in Munster. Feeling more humid this weekend. Some convective showers along the W, NW and N, maybe a few sparks on Saturday and Sunday, Sunday now looking the more active day.




    Post edited by Meteorite58 on


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,971 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    A fairly wet weekend is in store for many places with showers or longer outbreaks of rain at times. It will be quite warm at times especially if the sun makes an appearance between the showers.

    Saturday:

    Showers or longer outbreaks of rain crossing the country: 10 to 20mm can be expected across the west and north with the north-west likely to see the heaviest of the rainfall. 3 to 10mm across the south and east, although some parts of the south-east may see no more than 1 to 2mm of rain. Temperatures tomorrow generally 18 to 23C.

    Sunday:

    A showery day on Sunday with most of these in western and northern areas with a risk of thunder. Dryer across southern and eastern areas but still a few showers are possible there. Temperatures generally 16 to 22C, warmest across eastern areas. Another 5 to 10mm of rain may fall in western and northern areas, further east between 0.5 and 5mm of rainfall.

    Next week:

    Higher pressure will take control of our weather once again, however we will be on the cool side of the ridge with a north-westerly airflow persisting for a few days. This will keep many areas mostly dry with some sunny spells but showers are still possible across the north-west and western coasts. Temperatures 14 to 19C with 20 or 21C possible in some eastern and southern areas. A chance it could turn fairly unsettled again next weekend with an area of low pressure pushing up close to the north-west.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58



    Some fairly big totals showing up for the weekend especially in the W, NW and N and maybe higher ground in the SW,





  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58



    Looks like the most accumulations over high ground in the counties highlighted for rain warnings by Met Eireann for Mon into Tues. There was a suggestion of some thundery bursts for later Mon into Tues not so sure now though, will see the charts later.









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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Latest from the ECM, showing some heavy embedded showers, fair bit of CAPE available but might not necessarily lead to thunderstorms but some convective showers in nature , turning that bit breezy too and fresh in coastal areas. Mild enough, mostly 17 to 21C , best in the East for a time.






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