Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Spain and Portugal are at their driest for 1,200 years

«13456

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭Orion402


    I came back from a hot Valencia last week, however, the early part of the summer was quite wet-


    The desperation among a certain section of society to link every weather event to human activity is disappointing considering they could easily work with modelling based on El Nino/La Nina even without considering planetary climate and the underlying dynamics behind the interaction between oceans, atmosphere and landmass within that research.


    The fact that ENSO is structured around the Earth's Equator and the planet's rotational characteristics is totally ignored for obvious reasons, after all, even basic weather oscillations such as the day/night or seasonal cycles face awful opposition in terms of the underlying dynamics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Welcome to Climate Change, the nutters on here don't believe in it though.



  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭Orion402


    Encouraging an approach to planetary climate in a more productive way is taken as an affront to those who have convinced themselves that humanity can and do control the weather/temperatures. A more balanced approach based on information sharing for interpretative purposes becomes impossible as readers opt for polarising speculative conclusions with no links whatsoever to planetary dynamics, even at a fundamental level.

    I don't consider you a 'nutter' for your inability to account for the daily temperature rise and fall as the planet turns once every 24 hours as rejected by clockwork solar system modellers, as far as I am concerned, you are a cheerleader for convictions which are unhealthy and unhelpful. Set aside your cheerleading status and discuss the matter rather than react to anyone who doesn't share the dire conclusions and the subculture that creates it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Big problems in Italy too. The sh*t will really hit the fan when these droughts lead to food shortages.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,603 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    According to the experts on here we're heading for an ice age



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    I see certain posters are back. The farmers must have ground them down over on the Agri and Forestry section.

    Fair play to the farmers, they don't put up with much nonsense.

    Sure sign it's a religion bro.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk




  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Desertification

    Only when they start listening to people like Allan Savory and start doing holistic management will they ever fix it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,603 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    What's causing the desertification.

    The worst droughts on record caused by increased temperatures and shifting rainfall patterns because of climate change

    Worst droughts on record happening simultaneously in multiple separate parts of the world leading to crop failures and acute water shortages.

    This is the price we are only beginning to pay for allowing our political discourse to be controlled by the fossil fuel industry and associated conspiracy theorists and fringe libertarians



  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭Orion402


    The discussion should be advanced enough to discuss the limitations of modelling where short or medium term atmospheric conditions remain acceptable and useful, whereas attempting to extend modelling on to conditions of the oceans, atmosphere and surface into the distant future is not just overreaching, but undermines what planetary climate actually is within the umbrella of the motions of the planet in a Sun-centred system.

    This meteorological community has a rightful culture in terms of weather conditions, however, it allows the presence of a subculture within its ranks with specific shortcomings when it comes to cause and effect between planetary motions and responses on the surface and the atmosphere. It is therefore easy for those who run with climate change modelling to create polarised positions and goad others into reacting in the absence of accurate perspectives of planetary motions, whereas a more balanced view places dynamics as a primary driver of climate.

    Information sharing displaces information misuse as the objective is to raise the standard of consideration rather than contend with convictions which are crude and serve no productive purpose.

    "I know; such men do not deduce their conclusion from its premises or establish it by reason, but they accommodate (I should have said discommode and distort) the premises and reasons to a conclusion which for them is already established and nailed down. No good can come of dealing with such people, especially to the extent that their company may be not only unpleasant but dangerous." Galileo

    I am eager not to participate so that the alternative approach to climate connected to planetary motions emerges in a more substantive way. It means starting from scratch while using observations of the Earth from space to assign cause and effect properly. It is using modelling for interpretation rather than predictions at these scales so it does not interfere with short term weather modelling and predictions which occupies most readers in this forum.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,578 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    Hate the Azores high,outside the summer months anyway.....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    And all we want is one dry warm sunny summers day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,973 ✭✭✭IrishHomer


    Yes I've been the Costa Blanca a lot over the past 25 years and this past winter, spring and early summe was the coldest wettest one I ever saw there. Even today there the land on the region was never so green and lush. I won't read the article the headline is joke in my opinion



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,186 ✭✭✭pauldry


    There's always been Climate Change only now man made pollution interferes with the earth's natural system of Climate cycles. So it's quite a dangerous mix really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,598 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Two points made in this thread are dubious at best. There are no "experts on here who expect an ice age." A cynic might say that is because there are no experts on here, and that's fair enough, but if you mean frequent posters, I am not aware of anybody pushing that idea. There has been a debate ongoing about the balance of causes of recent warming, is it all human caused, is it partly natural variability? Most will readily agree that some part of the warming is due to greenhouse gases.

    Shifts in storm tracks or the frequency of high pressure can be entirely natural in origin, they have happened before and in centuries before there was any significant human modification of the atmosphere. That is not to say I am claiming this particular phenomenon is natural or entirely natural, nor do I claim to know. So the second dubious claim is that this is all due to political responses to climate change, implying that if all European countries had green governments and vast reductions in greenhouse gases, these Atlantic highs would be more normal in size and it would rain as much as in the past. That is just conjecture and not particularly well supported even by the theory.

    What I can say with some assurance is that the same cycle has happened in the desert southwest of the U.S. which is a similar climate, relying on winter rainfalls (and high elevation snowfalls) as well as sporadic summer thunderstorms. The Anasazi native culture which flourished in the 11th and 12th centuries suddenly came to an end around the year 1150 from all available evidence, and not much is known about where the people went (if they survived) or the details year by year but there is considerable evidence of a rather sharp decline in rainfall in the region, which may have combined with overpopulation near the end of a benign climate era, to place considerable stress on the culture. There may also have been an outside attack by another group since there are signs of fires in the Mesa Verde portion of this culture in its dying stages. But that attack might have been something that could have been repelled by a stronger (better fed in other words) Anasazi response. Now 1150 to 2022 is not quite 1200 years so this is not quite the same time frame, although I don't know how reliable the 1200 year period for Iberia might be as opposed to 800 or 1500 years.

    It is entirely possible that this climate event is natural in origin, and would have happened even in the absence of human activity (of modern scale) and in theory it is even possible that it could be modified in the opposite direction, in other words, perhaps it could have turned out even worse. Proper research would investigate all those options and keep them in mind before jumping to conclusions that are mostly political in motivation.

    You know as well as I do that if Spain and Portugal were seeing the wettest weather in 1200 years and a more powerful storm track in their winter season, that would be touted as a result of our inaction on climate change. Every anomalous weather event is rapidly incorporated into the political narrative whether it makes sense or not, and whether it is correctly estimated in terms of frequency or not.

    It is very likely to be quite hot in London about a week from now, just as it was in July 1868 and this will of course be claimed as the inevitable result of climate change. But they even tried to pass off the cold April of 2021 as another "inevitable result" and frankly, there's an air of desperation about all this, rather like the de-Nazification of Ukraine as a rationale for invading a country to pinch their resources. If the climate change lobby wonders why a lot of people don't buy what they're selling, it's because of this tendency to ask the general public to accept all sorts of dubious propositions and most people can see that a "science" with no experimental framework and no reliance on the nullification hypothesis is more like politics or religion than science. Yes it's going to continue to get a bit warmer. Most of the other conclusions are very speculative.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,327 ✭✭✭highdef


    So are you saying that planetary motions are or are not causing the unusual global weather (record rains, record drought, record heat, record cold, etc)? Or are you just talking about what your personal views are and how your disagree? I may have misread your post but from my point of view, you don't seem to have constructively added any valid input to this chat however I admit that I'm just as guilty on that part with this reply.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,444 ✭✭✭dalyboy


    Well no offence meant with this but why pull this poster up on lack of constructive input ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,327 ✭✭✭highdef


    Because it's a regular occurrence. Statements made but no discussion. Banned from other sections of Boards, I've been informed, but not this section for some reason. "planetary motions" are mentioned very regularly and I've argued that such topics should be in the astronomy section, not here in weather. Poster is allegedly banned from the Astronomy section, hence probably explains why poster posts the statements here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    When we start getting reports of giant Icebergs breaking off Antarctica and drifting up to New Zealand latitudes, then that will be the 4th horseman of the apocalypse showing up.

    Global temperatures rising, CO2 levels increasing, the gulf stream slowing and stopping and icebergs from Antarctica drifting unusually far north - all precursor signs for the beginning of a glaciation event - often erroneously referred to as an ice age.

    But the good news is that there might be a 400 year lag between these events and the cold setting in.

    While Spain and Italy might be experiencing a dry spell, rainfall in Australia seems to be increasing, which could boost agricultural outputs by more than is lost in Spain and Italy. Every cloud has a silver lining.

    One thing that gets glossed over in a scare story like driest summer for 1200 years, is that 1200 years ago, the climate was doing similar stuff without it being humans fault. Go back further and all the bog areas of Scotland and Ireland were forest, because the climate was nicer and less wet. then it changed; again without any input from us.

    Climate change has been a constant for billions of years.

    Post edited by cnocbui on


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 313 ✭✭NedsNotDead


    @highdef Ah, but your forgetting. The OP is not interested in discussion. Its all about 'information sharing'. But apparently only a select few are able to understand and process such information:)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,571 ✭✭✭yagan


    Climate change is constant is so true.

    I only read recently about the Roman warm era where between 300 BCE to 200 CE the med region had a localised increase in temp that were not recorded in any data collected from elsewhere in the world. Grain was the lifeblood of the legions on the frontiers and it's thought that the climate cooling after 200CE lead to reduced crop yields which in turn weakened the empire's ability to sustain legions furthest from the med.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,813 Mod ✭✭✭✭riffmongous


    Nothing alleged about it, I remember reading that crap every few months there years ago, with a new account each time when the old one was banned.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,375 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Climate change is real folks.

    It has always changed over long spans, millions of changes in the billions of years of this Planet. Its changing now.

    The question is whether anthropomorphosis is 100% to blame, or whether the actions of humanity can in fact, now, do much to halt and reverse current trends. My own view is that the reality for both, lies somewhere in the middle.

    However, whats not in doubt, is that we should no longer be incinerating material from the crust of the Earth to heat and cool ourselves and move about. Only through renewables will we de-monetise energy and try to end the economic pain suffered by those at the mercy of fossil fuel markets. Only through renewables, can each Country, each region, become entirely energy independent, from clean, predictable sources.

    Yes Spain and Portugal are suffering, but they aren't standing still, they are creating the World's biggest solar arrays and investing in technology to keep their land arable and their livestock healthy.

    In the meantime, if the worst thing Ireland has to worry about, turns out to be a scarcity of snow, we won't have much to complain about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭Orion402


    Planetary motions present the skeletal structure for planetary climate so cyclical weather topics come within the umbrella of dynamics long before a desperate attempt to make weather look like climate without reference to that skeletal structure. In short, accounting for cyclical weather events like the seasons reflects what the Earth is doing in space and presently the underlying causes of these cyclical events are not sufficiently appreciated.

    The argument that planetary dynamics (astronomy) doesn't belong in a meteorology forum would perhaps be valid if the topic was exclusively short term weather events and predictions, however, everything cyclical, from the day/night to glacial/inter-glacial cycles involve cyclical motions within the topic of planetary climate.

    I have been notified by a moderator that even the prediction where the faster moving Mercury will appear moving behind the central Sun from right to left in a number of days as seen from a satellite tracking with the Earth will get a ban.



    Just scroll the dates forward while putting the motions of Mercury and the Earth in relation to the central Sun in context with the time lapse and observers will come to appreciate and enjoy how visual observations provide conclusions while keeping predictions as a minor role for interpretative purposes.

    https://www.theplanetstoday.com/


    Individual weather events from droughts and floods, heatwaves and cold snaps, miserable summers and miserable winters tells the reader little about climate while the motions of the planet tells the reader quite a lot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,603 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Yeah if antarctic glaciers increase calving while also expanding and those icebergs survive to higher latitudes then this would be a sign of a pending ice age.

    However if the glaciers are calving because of retreating ice in Antarctica or because the ice shelves are breaking up. This is absolutely not a sign of a coming ice age

    'The climate is always changing' is wrong if you don't consider the timescale. Climate is stable over human lifespan timescales. The speed of global climate change is unprecedented since the human species emerged and that speed is accelerating.

    When climates change slowly life adapts. When it changes rapidly life migrates. When there is nowhere to migrate, those animals die and species go extinct

    We're in a mass extinction event now caused by human activity



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Drought and fires in SE Australia last year: human-induced climate change.

    Heavy rain in SE Australia last week: human-induced climate change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,598 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    We do it faster here. Extreme heat June, severe floods November 2021. Blah blah.

    In a region where you can see pretty much with your own eyes that the landscape has been shaped by extreme weather events over many thousands of years.

    Why should the snowflakes of 2022 get to live in a dome with a controlled climate? Who ever did in the past?

    Part of the problem is that we don't have thousands of years of weather records so when trying to assess things like medieval period warming, we are only able to estimate roughly, the wording often sounds quite dire, as in various "yeares of great heat" but was it like 2006 heat, or even worse? It's really difficult to say, isn't it? Some of the records of colder episodes are a bit easier to estimate in numerical terms because there are such signs as ice formation and snow cover to assist. And record rainfalls can be estimated from their flooding consequences, droughts are mainly about duration so a report of a certain duration of drought is in and of itself useful.

    Don't get me wrong here, I would love to see cleaner technology and a reduction of greenhouse gases and I can't imagine how some developed countries could be moving much faster towards them (other than these recent course corrections brought about by Putin misadventures). Everything has to be balanced though, what's the point of fixing the climate (if you really could do that) if everyone is hungry, broke and cold in the winter because of a lack of heating fuels (albeit in slightly milder weather)? And if there is some agenda about reducing the population by some huge fraction, who gets to decide that, you can bet there won't be any activists saying, "for the good of humanity, we'll go first" but that would probably be the ideal solution. :)



  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭Orion402


    I would hope readers would take the time out to appreciate the new demonstration that the Earth moves through space and around the central/stationary Sun by using modelling and predictions for interpretative purposes only. It is central to Earth sciences like climate, biology and geology to determine as close as possible the clues which link planetary motions with effects on the surface of this planet as it rotates every day and runs a circuit of the Sun.



    The light hemisphere of Mercury faces us presently so appears dazzling whereas it is barely discernible when it passes between the Earth and the Sun when it shows its dark hemisphere to us.


    Just scroll the dates forward to interpret how we see our planet and Mercury move in a Sun-centred system for the same perceptive faculties are needed when accounting for the seasons and planetary climate among other things. There are no dire warnings or conclusions attached, just the sheer satisfaction in exercising those faculties which are largely underused into today's world in solar system research, planetary motions, Earth sciences and how they all link up to each other.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 313 ✭✭NedsNotDead


    And what exactly does this have to do with the Weather



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,327 ✭✭✭highdef


    Although completely off topic for this section, could you please show me an example of the new demonstration that the Earth moves through space and around the central/stationary Sun by using modelling and predictions for interpretative purposes only? A handy YouTube video would be my first preference please? If none currently exists, perhaps you could do everyone here a courteous favour and create your own video to demonstrate your message in the best way possible for your intended audience here. Many thanks in advance and warm regards to you.



  • Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭WJL


    My tuppence worth. I've found in the south east since 2015 that rain belts have found it very hard to get across to us. We're having longer settled spells in summer and the interruptions are fewer and bring little rain.

    It's probably too soon to call it a trend given the summers from 2006-12 and 2015 were wet.



  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭Orion402


    Short term weather events and predictions do not require planetary dynamics even if they are in the background, cyclical weather extending out to seasonal variations is based on planetary dynamics and from there into the larger topic of climate. Trying to make weather an open-ended timeline which segues into climate without paying attention to cyclical dynamics is an indulgence no society can afford.

    If readers here can't affirm a new demonstration for a moving Earth using satellite imaging then there is little hope the direction of climate research will change to including cause and effect of a moving Earth in a Sun-centred system.


    Go ahead, enjoy Mercury moving behind the central Sun from right to left as seen from a slower moving Earth from a satellite tracking with the Earth-


    The demonstration that the Earth moves and the Sun does not is that the background stars change position from left to right due to the Earth's orbital motion, thereby setting the Sun up as a stationary central reference for our motion and presently that of Mercury.


    In matters of climate, cyclical weather is the foundation for any other changes that occur in the atmosphere, oceans and landmass. There is no conflict with matters of high/low pressures or the jet stream among other factors influencing our experience of short term weather modelling and predictions which occupies most readers here.



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    People need to watch some videos of Allan Savory on YouTube.

    He's farming 1000 head of cattle in Zimbabwe using nothing but the management of the livestock. He's stopping desertification, bringing desert land back into grass using only livestock.

    This man has it figured out.

    I promise you it will be one of the most important videos you will ever watch.

    ⅔ of the worlds land is desertifying, you can see it clear as day just zooming out on Google. We're in serious serious trouble and this is the only option left for mankind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,654 ✭✭✭beggars_bush


    Preponderance of goat farming is causing overgrazing and deforestation across much of the Sahal and other areas in Africa



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It's not the numbers of stock it's the management of the stock. Unbelievable isn't it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Interestingly, the data suggests the Sahel in particular is greening since the easing of drought conditions that plagued there in the 1970s and 1980s. Also of interest in this article is that there was harsher droughts in the Sahel between 200 and 300 years ago. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332220301007



  • Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭WJL


    I'm not denying the fact but how do they measure drought and soil moisture deficit from 800-1000 AD? Say in Ireland using the Annals of The Four Masters would tell you of a famine or drought but little science.



  • Registered Users Posts: 422 ✭✭john123470




  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Incredibly enough & this might be a SURPRISE to some but the earth has been continually warming

    interspersed with periodic ice ages without any assistance from humanity in its long history!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,598 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I am guessing they do it from tree rings if there are species that live long enough, as there are in the southwest U.S., where some go back over two thousand years. Fixing actual dates to tree ring sequences can sometimes be improved with reference to clues left by known solar disruptions. Other correlations are available from timber used in architectural relics. There may be anecdotal historical reference points to correlate further. Radiocarbon dating in the vicinity of the Anasazi ruins was one way to locate them in the 11th century, and their rock paintings include depictions of what is suspected to be the supernova event that left behind the Crab Nebula which from Chinese sources we reliably know to be 1054 AD. Apparently they also had a total eclipse of the Sun very soon after that so there are some examples of both events in proximity in the rock art.

    However all of this comes with inherent uncertainties too. The point of saying "worst drought in 1200 years" can mean more like, we don't think there has been anything worse from any evidence going back 1200 years which is not quite the same as saying there was a bad drought 1200 years ago, maybe there wasn't one. They may mean they can't find anything worse since 800 AD but have no reliable way of assessing anything earlier from a complete lack of all sorts of evidence. If there are no tree rings or written records, what else might they use? Pollen sediments possibly.

    One thing that the Chaco canyon ruins (from the largest Anasazi remains) illustrates is that they stopped using timber that had been dragged in from fifty miles away (the Chuska Mountains) and went more to all-masonry construction late in their occupation, something that could be partly due to climate change but also partly due to various difficulties in moving wood that was still there to harvest. For example, maybe they couldn't raise sufficient labour, or the Chaco River had fewer times with any water for rafting (it would have been dragging rafts upstream if so given the direction the river takes away from Chaco to reach the San Juan), or more frequent wildfires made it difficult to complete the task. Or it could have been a cultural shift where for whatever reason builders preferred not to use timber any longer. These are the challenges that cultural anthropolgists face and I think climate scientists at least attempt to follow their lead on such issues but as we know, it often comes out that "climate change did this or that" at all sorts of intervals in history, whether it's actually true cause and effect is surely a legitimate subject for debate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I had to explain to my children, when they were in PS and being indoctrinated with that Irish fascination for the buy goats for africa charity stuff, that maybe it wasn't exactly what that continent needed: more of the vermin that have eaten nearly every green shoot across the middle east and much of Africa.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Big problems in Italy too, rivers drying up and irrigation of crops not possible. Sh*t will start to get real when Europe starts experiencing food shortages.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Climate is stable over human lifespan timescales. The speed of global climate change is unprecedented since the human species emerged and that speed is accelerating.

    Way wrong. Even in recent history we have evidence of big fluctuations in climate in fast timescales, events like the Roman and Medievil warm periods, the maunder minimum. The climate can change quite drastically and quickly at times, and all this pre-industrialization. The idea that the Earth's climate and geology only ever changes at tiny increments over long periods of time is a fallacy with very little to back it up



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Pretty sure you're a farmer so it's in your interest not to believe in man made climate change, but why do you think the vast majority of scientists think it's a thing? I just don't get it, do you think it's a scam to take your money or something?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    One of the main causes of desertification in Zimbabwe is poor farming from when Mugabe seized farms and gave them to people who hadnt the first notion.

    That they could go from the breadbasket of Africa to a starving basketcase, some here would blame that on climate change too🤣

    The reality is post revolution they simply didnt maintain water infrastructure (dams, water mains, irrigation systems) and also didnt know how to farm, and the result is an increasingly desert and poor yielding landscape. That you could reverse these effects with a bit of cop on is not surprising.

    The Ankorians (of Angkor Wat fame in Cambodia) were thought to have collapsed due to changes in water levels nearby, with river levels having fallen drastically in parts, which would have effected their complex irrigation and transport systems. Theres many ruins of bridges and irrigation channels that in present day are almost 10s of meters above the current rivers, levels that wouldnt even be reached in current floods. One theory is the water levels rapidly receded over some years and their agriculture simply couldnt cope with feeding that many people in the empire. This coincides with the end of the Medievil warm period and the beginning of the Little Ice Age, which may explain the water levels decreasing.

    No and no. Also why would you think it's in a farmer's interest not to believe in man made climate change? How does not believing it benefit a farmer?

    Claims like the "vast majority of scientists believe X" are dubious at best, like those toothpaste ads with 9/10 dentists recommend Colgate. If you ever dig down into who is counted in these majorities, and who they deem a 'scientist', the results are a lot less convincing. Many of those big climate action statements of late with all the signatories from concerned scientists, most weren't even scientists at all, or had anything to do with climate or weather research, but by god were there names going to be tacked on to give the whole thing a better veneer of credibility.

    Unfortunately climate science lately has taken on a more religious belief, a faith that the consensus is correct rather than following the true scientific, data-driven approach. As M.T alluded to earlier, the cult of man-made climate change now has every extreme weather event being used as proof of man-made climate change. Climate change causes the rain, and the lack thereof, the heat, and the cold. It's a dogmatic belief system.

    Natural climate change is real and observable. Anyone who would dispute that the earths climate naturally changes is a fool. Man-made climate change, is hard to judge. We do not yet know what if any impacts mankind are having on the global climate. Anyone spouting definites about it only exposes their own ignorance. The truth is we do not know.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Because from what I can tell, farmers in Ireland seem to think climate change is just some made up thing by Eamon Ryan and the D4 Wokerati to use as a stick to beat rural Ireland with. Real measures to reduce emissions would hit Ag hard in Ireland, so it seems to me you all try and become experts on climate change and go against the general scientific consensus that says climate change is real, in order to fight your corner.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Because from what I can tell, farmers in Ireland seem to think climate change is just some made up thing by Eamon Ryan and the D4 Wokerati to use as a stick to beat rural Ireland with.

    From what you can tell, i.e. no evidence you just made it up. "You had a feeling", "you reckon". Then we're playing buzzword bingo about the greens and "D4 Wokerati" lol. Right.

    To date your only argument to support your position that anthropomorphic climate change is 100% definite real and to blame for all these weather events is just an appeal to authority - "the general scientific consensus says so". A weak and fallacious argument to be sure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,479 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    I don't think it's a weak argument to say pretty much every climate scientist in the world believes man made climate change is real.

    Anyway these discussions on climate change are kind of pointless on boards I've realised, farmers and the usual posters believe one thing, others believe another thing, and no conclusion ever comes of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    My wife is a scientist and does not agree with the consensus, but like so many others world wide, she's not going to stick her hand up and say so as the cancel culture thing has seen several academics lose their job because they expressed doubt about the anthropogenic origins of CC.



  • Advertisement
Advertisement