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Winter 2022-23 - General Discussion

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,301 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Bright and sunny conditions have arrived in Castlebar. Nice in the sun.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    same here in Meath, dull, damp, chilly, misty and a day to be inside. This January/winter can't end soon enough.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,223 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Exactly the same here Gonzo in NCD, can't believe it's still Jan seems to be going on forever!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,301 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    A mix across the country today ,just 1500 meters vis at Dublin airport currently with light drizzle and mist compared to over 10km vis at Sligo

    EIDW 281600Z 28007KT 1500 -DZ BR FEW002 SCT003 OVC004 06/06 Q1031

    Metar


    EISG 281600Z 27005KT 9999 BKN032 07/03 Q1031



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,343 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Heavy mist and drizzle in waves today here near Tralee out by the coast, very calm and got up to 9.3C. Hard weather for finishing off the winter jobs topping trees and cutting branches with jackets and hats on and sweating!

    Clearing some bit at dusk, could make out the moon overhead as it thins and out over the sea to the NW could see the sky proper .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,020 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    It was a lovely day in Wicklow today, bright sunshine all morning and sunny spells for the afternoon. Chilly still but I'll take this weather any day in winter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,472 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    After a week of not much happening the latest ECM is bland over the next 10 days. If it plays out like that , that’ll be at least 2.5 weeks of nothingness. Many will enjoy it but it’s not my cup of tea. A waste of prime winter time in my opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,178 ✭✭✭mcburns07


    Getting married in Scotland the week after next and will quite happily take not much happening 😅



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,251 ✭✭✭Kutebride


    That drizzle and grey cloud all day so depressing. There is actually more visibility tonight than there was during day now its cleared! Hope none of that heavy drizzle tomorrow. Looks like another dull day overhead in the forecast.

    Meath



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,301 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,313 ✭✭✭pauldry


    The weather till mid February will be boring but may get mild if Southerly sourced from far but mid February on looks more interesting with at worst frost and light snow at times. Confidence in this about 30 percent but so was that cold week in January so once we go past February 15th I think things get interesting and cold.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,301 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Light south westerly delivering grey skies here in Castlebar with rain/drizzle . Low cloud on the hills. Mild.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    A fresh breeze singing its ancient song



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,270 ✭✭✭OldRio


    Went for a run first thing. Cool but dry conditions. Now the sun is shining 9C and I've managed to do some weeding in the garden for the first time this year. Lovely day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,178 ✭✭✭mcburns07


    Feeling very mild in East Cork, 11 degrees, sunny and flat calm. Got the grass cut yesterday 😎



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,460 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Fair play to you. Yeah the grass is a tricky one for lots of people because November was so mild, it just kept growing after people stopped mowing!

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,472 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Blustery and rained for a couple of hours this afternoon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,112 ✭✭✭KanyeSouthEast



    somebody better tell the tabloids because according to them there’s a cyclone coming…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,987 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    I posted that on Facebook and said its weather clickbait, they shouldn't be allowed to do this



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,739 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    2009-10 had an even lower max gust of 115 km/h for winter itself, though this was beaten by 133 km/h in Nov 2009 and 139 km/h in Apr 2010.

    Apart from that, I can't find anything close to comparable or think of a similar year. So could well be a record low if it were to carry on until August somehow (before the new storm names are issued) but this is Ireland, surely not?

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8 Tom_Tripland


    Same goes here in Southeast Asia. It's been raining hard in the past few weeks. Gladly, we have a nice weather now. There's a fair bit of clouds but partly sunny. 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,550 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Mild and mostly overcast, cut the grass yesterday.

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 25,491 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    They do it all the time, Snowaggedon, Beat from the east part 2, Blizzard incoming, and then in Summer, Summer scorcher on the cards, Ireland to be hotter than Spain, Heatwave to last a month, etc etc.

    Unfortunately for the tabloids, Normal weather resumes doesn't sell newspapers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,958 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    few stories in the British papers about another cold snap heading this way



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,987 ✭✭✭Dazler97




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,238 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Some gems alright, but this one really hit hard a few years ago.

    'week long sizzle'. That did, and still does, grate on every single nerve in my body as would a 1000 nails being drawn across a blackboard. Just looking at it now just makes me want to puke, violently and indiscriminately.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,238 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    I haven't been keeping up with the stats very much this last while, but I'll have a look at the national averages regarding wind speeds etc perhaps over this coming weekend. A curious lack of notable wind events as you say, yet.. there is just enough breeze there at times to be annoying, especially when trying to walk or cycle against it.

    I think if this longer term pattern holds (which set in in July 2021) then I'd not be surprised if we see yet another heatwave this summer. For some reason, mid Atlantic ridges have become unusually strong within that time frame and extend their influences more readily over Ireland as they normally would. Events such as the wetter periods of the late Autumn and the freeze up during December really only prove to be momentary breaks in this steadfast pattern.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,112 ✭✭✭KanyeSouthEast




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,550 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Jeeze the wind out this morning would cut you in half, i would take a week long 20C soaring sizzler right now gladly!

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,216 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Was it in winter by any chance in which case they may have had a point!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,216 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Had the pleasure of being in an alpine resort at 1800m for some of last week. Gorgeous powdery snow everywhere. A crime we don't get more of it here when we are many hundreds of miles further north. Was also fascinating to see a temperature inversion in practice whilst there. The clouds were almost constantly 400m below us at 1400m (which led to some of the most spectacular sunsets I have ever seen - sample attached which to be honest doesn't do justice to what it actually looked like). But it meant that temps were constantly much higher in our village than down below us. Several times it was, say, -3 when I started skiing at resort height but by the time I skied into a village below at 1300m it was -7. So counterintuitive. Definitely better understand what the likes of GL describes as faux cold when you see it in actual action.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,386 ✭✭✭highdef


    Looking out west at 18:00 in Trim and there's still a bit of light in the sky. If the clock changing ceased and we stayed in Irish Standard Time all year round, this photo would be the scene at 19:00 local time in the month of January. Maybe it will actually happen in the next few years!




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,528 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    Most of the cold has been bottled up in the arctic for much of the winter and now its only a matter of time before its released...so expect extreme winter weather in febuary/march or even well into spring....we will either freeze over or get big storms as the polar air comes south and mixes with mild spring air...we could get a bit of both if we do not get this in ireland it will happen in europe and many other places im sure...Spring is becoming the new Winter



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    There is a slight cooling trend now appearing between the 8th and 12th of February, but as of now it's nothing to get excited over. There are a few outliers that get us very cold but there is only a few members doing so. A few of these runs bring cold weather into the east and then it stops so no margin of error. What we need is a bitter easterly that stretches out past us into the Atlantic.

    The south-east of Europe and Greece in particular looks like the place to be as they are going to get a prolonged bitterly cold spell with several reloads leading to a 10 to 14 day cold spell with sub zero temperatures by day and night during the first half of February.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,402 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Bear in mind none of the members last week were backing the GFS Op when it signalled a Scandi High. So the fact there is a fair few now showing a Scandi High is encouraging. The latest GFS op has the the cold making its way into Ireland. Sometime the op can lead the way against its own members. However without the support of the ECM and the UKMO, its likely the GFS will back down or meet the others halfway, which likely means the deep cold will plunge south eastwards over the continent instead of moving our way. Even If we do miss out, should the high stay firm to the north east this could be the precursor to a very cold spring if it helps to produce a final early warming in late February.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,270 ✭✭✭OldRio




  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 25,491 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,402 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    The latest GFS run has crashed Netweather! Although maybe it's just me it has stopped working for.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Those bitter GFS runs are extreme outliers and no support from any other models so I wouldn't put too much energy into wishing them true yet.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,402 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    I do think we will miss out this time. What is likely to happen is the GFS if not a full climbdown in the next couple of days , it will meet the others halfway, which will mean no deep cold for us. The South East of England might get some, but the deepest cold will probably flood south eastwards over the continent.

    However I think we may have a cold spring. Some of the recent GFS strat runs indicate it, and some of the pros think it might happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,739 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    This month will have been 5 years on from the beast from the east. Fun times.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 25,491 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Likes of which won’t he seen again in our lifetime. Despite what the tabloids say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,739 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Absolutely not. Coldest airmass since 1991. Coldest for the time of year since 1785. The term has been used for years before 2018 but now every easterly has to be a beast from the east instead of just an easterly 🙄

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,097 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    5 years since much of Leinster and Munster has seen a measurable snowfall other than transitional dustings. Last time I've seen more than 2cm of snow was on Paddys day 2018. This gap in proper cold and snowy weather is getting towards the huge snow drought of the 2001 to 2008 period.

    Each winter that passes without a snowflake my expectations for the following winter lower. Hopefully we will get another beast from the east style event before I get too old to enjoy it as I'll be retiring in 2040. Winters are flying in one after another now very quickly with nothing to show for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,739 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    I was reading through plenty of old threads and a lot of your comments were in regards to how little snow there was from 2001-2008. That must have been a painful stretch as a snow lover. 2000s such a bland decade.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,640 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    Despite temperatures at 10c here today, it feels quite bitter out in the wind. Or is that just me getting old?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,402 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,744 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    No you're right, it does feel cold and it did yesterday. Don't forget that 10C with zero windchill added is the threshold for adult hyperthermia. Real feel is something like 4C where I am this afternoon in 60 km/h winds.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,402 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Good video explaining where we are at.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,446 ✭✭✭esposito


    This guy in particular explains things very well. You can sense his passion for meteorology by his tone. One of the best IMO.



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