FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer2023 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

3 the square

Looks like things might be on the improve end of next week according to the main man M.t.cranium .

toggle toes

Yes I read his forecast so fi gers crossed.

Widdensushi

Have a read of the opening post please, there's general discussion threads also.

toggle toes

OK Thank you.

Meteorite58

Mod Note : Posts needed to be deleted as they were off topic, we can't move Posts, please post in appropriate thread otherwise they become a mess.

Thanks

snowgal

I posted below in the summer discussion. could anyone give me a chart idea for the 27th? thank you

I know I know the weather is as unpredictable as!!! And I’ve seen the posts like this before, but, anyone anny idea of what to expect for next Thursday eve?? We’ve a work outdoor event for roughly 400 ppl and I’m charge of all decisions weather related!! Meant to be a picnic style layout in a field with entertainment but I’m thinking now at least should order chairs as blankets on the ground a no go? Head wrecked… the event will go ahead regardless, 250 umbrellas ordered but any inkling at all would be appreciated 🙏

pauldry

This weekend is another washout next week might be similar to this week with sunshine and a few showers. I don't THINK it will be a washout but others might have more info.

nacho libre

GFS looks crap out to late July, but then we see things start to settle down into early August for a while. Let's see if this run is repeated in the next few days.

sryanbruen

Let's hope the CFS is well off the mark as it usually is. This kind of August pattern would arguably be even worse than July. Low pressure going northwest to southeast in summer 💀

Time is running out.

pauldry

Nope there's a very high chance most of August will pan out like that. The best we can hope for now is the gaps in between like this weeks "half decent days". No more heatwaves until December probably.

Probably July 25th 14c and December 25th 15c.

Niall145

This is gonna be a long autumn....

PowerToWait

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120874569#Comment_120874569

Not being miserable but bar the few weeks in May and June it's been autumn since last september.

snowgal

Ive been trying to look at char6ts myself for the event next thursday. If Im reading right, this looks like thursday might not be too bad??

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120876145#Comment_120876145

Next Thursday is currently looking like cool to cold and a washout in the southern half of the country based on this mornings GFS. Of course this will change between now and then but it will still likely be an unsettled day.

Temperatures barely reaching 12c in places.

Thursday won't play out exactly what is shown above but just expect a relatively cool and unsettled day, very unlikely to be dry.

Elmer Blooker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120874518#Comment_120874518

how true, a big Euro high with ‘Sahara dust’ weather for Xmas day - guaranteed!

I’ve seen worst Julys than this (so far!) I haven’t had a daily fall of 25mm+ since March or April so not particularly wet in my parts.

Gonzo

GFS 12z has updated and no change, weather will remain a dogs dinner right out to +384 hours with low pressure after low pressure and dartboard lows consistently making direct hits over Ireland. It doesn't get any worse really. Staying cool and very unsettled right up to the end of the first week of August based on current runs.

Hairypoppins

This news is no surprise, the uk met office are not expecting any change whatsoever until August, even at that stage whole sale changes are not expected unfortunately just better than we've had to endure throughout July which wouldn't be hard

Gonzo

The GFS 6z and 12z were grim enough today but now that the 18z has rolled out who would have thought that things can get even grimmer. I'm not sure we can get any further upgrades to the grimness except maybe for a hurricane. The next 3 weeks look absolutely horrendous, last weekend was only a trailer/teaser for what's to come. If these charts verify this is shaping up to be one of the top tier worst summers since I was born in the 1970s.

The unsettled muck of the past 4 weeks has only been a soft introduction of what's to come. We won't be forgetting summer 2023 in a hurry for all the wrong reasons.

I don't think I have ever posted up a set of charts quite this grim for summer over the past decade.

adocholiday

Those charts for the end of the run are a bit better this morning Gonzo. GFS showing an area of high pressure now moving in over the first week of August and into the Bank Holiday weekend. Of course it's much too far away for any certainty, but lets hope it continues this trend rather than last night's.

nacho libre

I think a change could well be coming in August. The GFS in recent runs has been showing it settling down during the first week of August, it drops it, then shows it again as we see this morning. The UKMO also seem to suggest a change in August, only a bit later on than what GFS have been showing.

pauldry

Ya July will be a dogs dinner and less than 50 percent chance August will be better but I certainly think there will be what can be described as decent weather at some stage during August.

When we even have the worst Summers the lows run out of gas eventually. Although a Southwesterly could set up with rain at times in the North and West. Surely Leinster is due some decent weather in August by the law of averages.

Gonzo

We should see some improvement in August but it may not be at the start of the month, patience may be required for the middle or end stages of the month perhaps This thing will run out of steam but it will probably be a slow process.

Charts for first week of August still look a horror show.

Looking at the long range models, the JMA wants to keep it cool and unsettled right up to and including the middle of August with a conveyer belt of dartboard lows centered over the UK and Ireland. The CFS is similar with cooler than average conditions and above average rainfall till the middle of August but the CFS is starting to show a slightly more settled signal for the middle of August. A cool and wet start to August seems almost certain at this stage with all models singing from the same hymn sheet. Time will tell if we see any sort of improvement by mid August.

pad199207

Christ Almighty not another weekend?

esposito

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120880903#Comment_120880903

You really have to laugh at this stage!

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/120880903#Comment_120880903

This is the July that just keeps on giving and a case of rinse and repeat for the start of August.

This weekend:

Next weekend.

3 weekends from now:1st weekend in August.

Let's not forget we also had last weekend, so make that 4 washout weekends in a row.

KanyeSouthEast

The tabloids are looking at the same charts? Because they are talking about a huge “swing” to “heatwave” conditions “on the way”.

Niall145

There are one or two days where it could reach 20 degrees, maybe that counts as a 'heatwave'?

Gonzo

I've seen tabloids refer to 15c as scorching temperatures before so 20c a heatwave is entirely possible by them.

Gonzo

The ECM 42 day forecast has updated and for what it is worth, it is showing things staying unsettled for the most part into August, however there are signs that the jetstream may begin to move northwards through August. There are faint hints of high pressure establishing itself close to us in the second half of August and a warming trend with winds in from the south so there is a sliver of hope. Right at the end it is showing high pressure centering over us for the back to school week during the final days of August and opening week of September with the possibility of summer making a return.

waterwelly

Has social media sounded the deathknell for these "experts" like postmen studying frog spawn or lads saying the dolphins are closer to shore etc.?

Never seem to hear much about these lads lately.