September 2023 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

IMT ended 14.84 so scoring will be adjusted (14.8).

PRC looks like it went over 150%. Scoring will go to minimum progression.

Will post an updated scoring estimate later today, but we'll need to review SUN and confirm all estimates, by 4 Oct.

M.T. Cranium

Updated preliminary scoring September 2023

FORECASTER _________ IMT _pts __MAX _Pts __MIN _Pts _PRC _Pts _ SUN _Pts __ Bonus __ (score)

Estimates or confirmed _ 14.8 ____ 28.5 _____ 2.5 _____ 155 ______110 ______ 14.2 PP _______ TOTALS

Cornerstonelad ________15.0 (23) _ 25.6 (14) _ 0.5 (11) _ 098 (09) _ 130 (6) ___ 25.6 Md __ 4 ____ 67

Esposito _____________ 14.9 (24) _ 26.2 (18) _-1.1 (05) _ 065 (01) _ 125 (7) ___ 24.1 Sh __10 ____ 65

Joe Public ____________ 14.7 (24) _ 27.0 (20) _ 1.1 (16) _ 088 (06) _ 119 (8) ___ 23.2 PP __10 ____ 84

Gonzo _______________14.6 (23) _ 25.4 (12) _ 0.7 (13) _ 072 (01) _ 127 (7) ___ 23.8 Md __ 8 ____ 64

Dacogawa ____________14.6 (23) _ 24.5 ( 5) _ 1.1 (16) _ 090 (06) _ 125 (7) ___ 23.7 Mo __ 8 ____ 65

Appledrop ____________14.6 (23) _ 23.4 ( 1) _ 0.8 (14) _ 085 (05) _ 120 (8) ___ 22.9 OP __ 8 ____ 59

M.T. Cranium _________ 14.5 (22) _ 25.5 (13) _-0.5 (08) _ 075 (02) _ 115 (9) ___23.5 Mo __ 8 ____ 62

Mr Stonewall __ (-1) ___ 14.5 (22) _ 25.1 ( 9) _ 0.4 (12) _ 055 (00) _ 115 (9) ___ 23.4 Sh __ 7 _57-1=56

MrSkinner ____________14.4 (21) _ 25.4 (12) _-2.0 (02) _ 088 (06) _ 100 (8) ___ 23.2 PP __10 ____ 59

Tae Laidir ____________ 14.4 (21) _ 25.3 (11) _ 2.0 (20) _ 105 (11) _ 105 (9) ___ 22.3 OP __ 7 ____ 79

200motels ___________ 14.3 (20) _ 26.2 (18) _ 0.3 (10) _ 073 (02) _ 120 (8) ___ 22.6 OP __ 7 ____ 65

Rameire _____________ 14.3 (20) _ 23.6 ( 2) _ 1.0 (15) _ 092 (07) _ 095 (7) ___ 23.6 OP __10 ____ 61

___ Con Sensus _______14.3 (20) _ 25.4 (12) _ 0.5 (11) _ 087 (05) _ 115 (9) ___ 23.3 __ __10 ____ 67

Sunflower3 ___________14.2 (19) _ 26.2 (18) _ 1.5 (18) _ 065 (01) _ 120 (8) ___ 24.6 Mul __ 8 ____ 72

waterways ___________ 14.2 (19) _ 26.2 (18) _-1.1 (05) _ 112 (14) _ 089 (6) ___ 23.0 Sh __ 6 ____ 68

sryanbruen __________ 14.2 (19) _ 25.2 (10) _ 0.1 (10) _ 075 (02) _ 121 (8) ___ 23.5 Md __ 7 ____ 56

Adam240610 _________14.1 (18) _ 25.5 (13) _ 0.0 (09) _ 070 (01) _ 122 (8) ___ 23.3 Md __ 6 ____ 55

john mac ____________14.1 (18) _ 24.7 ( 6) _-2.2 (01) _ 110 (13) _ 102 (8) ___ 23.2 OP __ 9 ____ 55

Artane2002 __________14.0 (17) _ 25.7 (15) _ 1.5 (18) _ 085 (05) _ 110 (10)___ 24.5 Md __ 8 ____ 73

Dasa29 _____________ 14.0 (17) _ 25.0 ( 8) _ 2.0 (20) _ 110 (13) _ 090 (6) ___ 22.0 Mul __ 3 ____ 67

Kindred Spirit ________ 14.0 (17) _ 24.2 ( 3) _ 1.0 (15) _ 085 (05) _ 105 (9) ___ 23.1 Md __ 5 ____ 54

Jpmarn _____________ 13.9 (16) _ 25.8 (16) _ 0.8 (14) _ 110 (13) _ 120 (8) ___ 23.4 Mo __ 7 ____ 74

Pauldry _____________ 13.8 (15) _ 24.5 ( 5) _-1.0 (06) _ 075 (02) _ 112 (10)___ 23.8 Cla __ 8 ____ 46

Bsal ________________13.5 (12) _ 25.0 ( 8) _-2.5 (01) _ 115 (15) _ 092 (6) ___ 22.0 Gur __ 3 ____ 45

DOCARCH ___________ 13.4 (11) _ 26.3 (19) _-0.9 (07) _ 095 (08) _ 105 (9) ___ 22.6 Md __ 4 ____ 58

___ NormaL __________13.0 ( 7) _ 25.5 (13) _-2.0 (02) _ 100 (10) _ 100 (8) ___ 22.0 __ __ 7 ____ 47

Scores will be confirmed in a few days and annual scoring update will be added, table will be posted in scoring order.

M.T. Cranium

Confirmed from Monthly Summary or previously:

IMT 14.8

MAX 28.5

MIN 2.5

PRC 154%

SUN 115%

bonus already scored

Those confirm or adjust the preliminary scoring now presented in scoring order:

Final scoring for September

FORECASTER ________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN __Bonus __TOTAL

confirmed ____________ 14.8_28.5 _2.5_155_110 __ 14.2 PP

Joe Public ____________24 _ 20 _ 16 _ 06 _ 09 __ 10 ____ 85

Tae Laidir ____________ 21 _ 11 _ 20 _ 11 _ 08 __ 07 ____ 78

Jpmarn ______________ 16 _ 16 _ 14 _ 13 _ 09 __ 07 ____ 75

Sunflower3 ___________ 19 _ 18 _ 18 _ 01 _ 09 __ 08 ____ 73

Artane2002 ___________ 17 _ 15 _ 18 _ 05 _ 09 __ 08 ____ 73

Cornerstonelad ________ 23 _ 14 _ 11 _ 09 _ 07 __ 04 ____ 68

___ Con Sensus _______20 _ 12 _ 11 _ 05 _ 10 __ 10 ____ 68

waterways ___________ 19 _ 18 _ 05 _ 14 _ 05 __ 06 ____ 67

Esposito _____________24 _ 18 _ 05 _ 01 _ 08 __ 10 ____ 66

Dacogawa ____________23 _ 05 _ 16 _ 06 _ 08 __ 08 ____ 66

200motels ___________ 20 _ 18 _ 10 _ 02 _ 09 __ 07 ____ 66

Dasa29 ______________17 _ 08 _ 20 _ 13 _ 05 __ 03 ____ 66

Gonzo _______________23 _ 12 _ 13 _ 01 _ 08 __ 08 ____ 65

M.T. Cranium _________ 22 _ 13 _ 08 _ 02 _ 10 __ 08 ____ 63

Appledrop ____________ 23 _ 01 _ 14 _ 05 _ 09 __ 08 ____ 60

Rameire _____________ 20 _ 02 _ 15 _ 07 _ 06 __ 10 ____ 60

MrSkinner ____________21 _ 12 _ 02 _ 06 _ 07 __ 10 ____ 58

Mr Stonewall __ (-1) ____22 _ 09 _ 12 _ 00 _ 10 __ 07 _58-1=57

sryanbruen ___________19 _ 10 _ 10 _ 02 _ 09 __ 07 ____ 57

DOCARCH ___________11 _ 19 _ 07 _ 08 _ 08 __ 04 ____ 57

Adam240610 _________ 18 _ 13 _ 09 _ 01 _ 09 __ 06 ____ 56

john mac ____________ 18 _ 06 _ 01 _ 13 _ 07 __ 09 ____ 54

Kindred Spirit ________ 17 _ 03 _ 15 _ 05 _ 08 __ 05 ____ 53

Pauldry _____________ 15 _ 05 _ 06 _ 02 _ 10 __ 08 ____ 46

___ NormaL _________ 07 _ 13 _ 02 _ 10 _ 07 __ 07 ____ 46

Bsal ________________12 _ 08 _ 01 _ 15 _ 05 __ 03 ____ 44

Congrats to Joe Public, tae laidir and JPmarn for leading the way in September.

Annual scoring updates may be a bit slow to appear as I am going to be on the road next two days.

Joe Public

Happy to have topped the table, I haven't been up there for about 12 years :)

M.T. Cranium

I am back to home base and now able to spend more time on scoring of contests ... so here are the delayed updates to annual scoring ...

Updated annual scoring January to September 2023

Now rank-ordered by best 7/9 scoring rather than total scores.

* forecasters who have 8 of 9, ** 7 of 9.

Note: error found in Sept scoring totals, Artane2002 was 72 not 73 as shown.

SEP _AUG ranks best 7 of 9 //

Rank (prev) best 7/9_FORECASTER J __F __M __A __M __J __J __A __S __TOTAL _Rank SEP ((Rank AUG))

(1.8) (1.8)_ 484 _ Con Sensus ___ 65 _74 _58 _64 _66 _68 _60 _79 _68 __ 602 _ 00.7 (00.7)

_ 01 (01) _ 520 _ Artane2002* __ 50 _71 _78 _--- _71 _66 _68 _90 _72 __ 566 ___ ( 4 ) _ (t5)

_ 02 (02) _ 499 _ Sunflower3 ____47 _69 _39 _84 _72 _55 _73 _73 _73 __ 585 ___ ( 1 ) _ (1)

_ 03 (04) _ 496 _ tae laidir ______38 _64 _72 _80 _68 _43 _64 _70 _78 __ 577 ___ ( 2 ) _ (4)

_ 04 (03) _ 472 _ M.T. Cranium __ 67 _70 _44 _54 _61 _59 _89 _63 _63 __ 570 ___ ( 3 ) _ (2)

_ 05 (06) _ 457 _ sryanbruen ____46 _76 _68 _55 _70 _76 _55 _48 _57 __ 551 ___ ( 6 ) _ (t5)

_ 06 (05) _ 454 _ Kindred Spirit __58 _74 _74 _62 _54 _77 _37 _55 _53 __ 544 ___ ( 7 ) _ (7)

_ 07 (t10)_ 450 _ Jpmarn*_____ 61 _49 _50 _51 _--- _69 _70 _75 _75 __ 500 ___ (15)_ (t20)

_ 08 (07) _ 445 _ adam240610 __ 61 _61 _65 _57 _62 _72 _67 _57 _56 __ 558 ___ ( 5 ) _ (3)

_ 09 (08) _ 442 _ Appledrop _____53 _64 _73 _64 _33 _72 _56 _52 _60 __ 527 ___ ( t9) _ (9)

_t10 (12) _ 440 _ Gonzo ________46 _69 _52 _58 _60 _44 _84 _52 _65 __ 530 ___ ( 8 ) _ (10)

_t10 (14) _ 440 _ waterways ____ 52 _27 _41 _76 _53 _59 _68 _65 _67 __ 508 ___ (12) _ (14)

_ 12 (09) _ 437 _ john mac* ____ 58 _47 _71 _72 _61 _--- _51 _71 _54 __ 484 ___ (22) _ (18)

(12.7)(8.8)_435 NormaL ______67 _44 _76 _77 _42 _38 _65 _60 _46 __ 515 ___(11.1)_(8.3)

_ 13 (t10)_ 434 _ DOCARCH _____77 _67 _69 _48 _51 _58 _45 _55 _57 __ 527 ___ ( t9) _(8)

_ 14 (17) _ 433 _ MrSkinner _____25 _69 _34 _53 _72 _65 _47 _69 _58 __ 492 ___ (19) _ (16)

_ 15 (13) _ 427 _ Rameire ______ 10 _68 _52 _53 _61 _57 _69 _59 _60 __ 489 ___ (21) _ (19)

_t16 (t15) _426 _ Dacogawa ____ 63 _58 _54 _51 _39 _79 _51 _55 _66 __ 516 ___ (11) _ (12)

_t16 (23) _ 426 _ Joe Public _____46 _48 _53 _63 _42 _54 _41 _71 _85 __ 503 ___ (13) _ (22)

_ 18 (18) _ 425 _ Cornerstonelad _49 _61 _25 _58 _56 _49 _56 _76 _68 __ 499 ___ (16) _ (17)

_ 19 (20) _ 422 _ 200 motels ____ 41 _74 _38 _66 _68 _50 _51 _47 _66 __ 501 ___ (14) _ (15)

_ 20 (t15) _ 411 _ Bsal _________ 71 _49 _42 _68 _46 _54 _62 _61 _44 __ 497 ___ (17)_ (11)

_ 21 (22) _ 405 _ Dasa29 _______ 61 _54 _42 _45 _63 _51 _44 _65 _66 __ 491 ___ (20)

_ 22 (19) _ 399 _ Pauldry _______ 50 _62 _66 _50 _48 _64 _56 _51 _46 __ 493 ___ (18) _ (13)

_ 23 (21) _ 397 _ Mr.stonewall ___ 45 _30 _54 _48 _48 _57 _61 _72 _57 __ 472 ___ (23) _ (23)

_ 24 (24) _ 393 _ esposito** _____54 _57 _45 _--- _--- _49 _50 _72 _66 __ 393 ___ (24) _ (24)

================== above can still qualify for best 10/12 =====================

_ 25 (25) _WolfeEire (4/9)___ 76 _47 _59 _52 _--- _--- _ ---_ --- _ --- _ --- _ 234

_ 26 (26)_Rebelbrowser(1/9)_ 78__--- __---__--- __--- __--- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 78

_ 27 (27) _ JCX BXC (1/9) __ --- __ --- __ -- __ -- __ -- __ 65 _ --- _ --- _--- _ 65

_ 28 (28) _Aah yes (1/9) ___ --- __--- __---__--- __ 60 __--- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 60

_ 29 (29) _ sdanseo (1/9) __ --- __ --- __ -- __ -- __ -- __ 59 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 59

_ 30 (30) _ Danno (1/9) ___ 58 __ --- __ -- __ -- __ -- __ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 58

_ 31 (31) _ Tazio (1/9) ____--- __ --- __ -- __ -- __ --- __ 51 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 51

___________________________________

___ Category scoring totals January -September ____

FORECASTER ___ IMT _MAX _MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS __ TOTAL (total before late pens)

Max Possible ____225 _180 _180 _135 _ 90 __ 90 ____ 900

_ Con Sensus ___ 162 _122 _ 96 _ 84 _ 71 __ 67 ____ 602

Sunflower3 _____163 _110 _103 _ 78 _ 68 __ 63 ____ 585

Tae laidir________184 _ 80 _116 _ 67 _ 66 __ 64 ____ 577

M.T. Cranium ____168 _ 69 _106 _ 85 _ 75 __ 67 ____ 570

Artane2002 (8/9) _146_108 _114 _82 _ 63 __ 55 ____ 566 (568)

adam240610____ 166 _102 _ 96 _ 74 _ 63 __ 60 ____ 558 (561)

sryanbruen _____ 159 _ 95 __99 _ 82 _ 65 __ 55 _____551 (555)

Kindred Spirit ____150 _101 _ 99 _ 71 _ 59 __ 64 ____ 544

Gonzo __________164 _ 93 _ 68 _ 79 _ 64 __ 64 ____ 530 (532)

DOCARCH _______128 _112 _88 _ 88 _ 64 __ 47 ____ 527

Appledrop _______170 _ 57 _ 92 _ 81 _ 76 __ 51 ____ 527

Dacogawa ______ 171 _ 76 _ 76 _ 65 _ 69 __ 59 ____ 516

_ NormaL ______ 112 _108 _80 _ 89 _ 62 __ 64 ____ 515

waterways ______ 135 _107 _ 66 _ 77 _ 67 __ 56 ____ 508

Joe Public _______161 _101 _ 69 _ 77 _ 62 __ 37 ____ 503 (507) 

200 motels ______ 157 _ 87 _ 77 _ 81 _ 65 __ 48 ____ 501 (515)

Jpmarn ___(8/9)__137 _ 75 _ 99 _ 78 _ 58 __ 53 ____ 500

Cornerstonelad ___161 _105 _ 70 _ 69 _ 55 __ 56 ____ 499 (516)

Bsal ___________ 147 _ 89 _ 62 _ 90 _ 59 __ 59 ____ 497 (506)

Pauldry _________163 _ 87 _ 55 _ 83 _ 63 __ 42 ____ 493

MrSkinner _______162 _ 83 _ 68 _ 74 _ 56 __ 51 ____ 492 (494)

Dasa29 _________141 _ 63 _ 83 _ 83 _ 64 __ 57 ____ 491

Rameire ________ 149 _ 83 _ 76 _ 79 _ 64 __ 66 ____ 489 (517)

john mac (8/9) ___132 _ 86 _ 78 _ 83 _ 57 __ 49 ____ 484 (485)

Mr.stonewall _____154 _ 77 _ 90 _ 38 _ 59 __ 59 ____ 472 (475)

esposito __ (7/9)__130 _ 91 _ 29 _ 54 _ 49 __ 42 ____ 393 (395)

WolfeEire (4/9) ____61 _ 35 _ 49 _ 43 _ 24 __ 22 ____ 234

Rebelbrowser (1/9)_15 _ 16 _ 18 _ 12 _ 08 __ 09 _____ 78

JCX BXC ___ (1/9)_ 25 _ 12 _ 16 _ 00 _ 09 __ 03 _____ 65

aah yes____(1/9)__17 _ 12 _ 04 _ 13 _ 10 __ 07 _____ 60 (63)

sdanseo ___(1/9) _ 14 _ 14 _ 18 _ 01 _ 07 __ 05 _____ 59

Danno ____ (1/9) _ 13 _ 20 _ 02 _ 10 _ 05 __ 08 _____ 58

Tazio _____ (1/9) _ 21 _ 00 _ 17 _ 07 _ 04 __ 02 _____ 51

___________________________________

In category scoring (Jan to July totals), high score is bold, 2nd is bold italic and 3rd plain italic.

(ranks are given to top three forecasters, regardless of position of NormaL or Con Sensus as noted below)

IMT _ three top ranks -- no ties.

MAX _ three top ranks -- no ties. Con Sensus would be first and NormaL would be tied third.

MIN _ three top ranks -- no ties.

PRC _ three top ranks -- no ties. NormaL would be second.

SUN _ three top ranks -- no ties. Con Sensus would be third.

BONUS _ Three forecasters (and Normal) tied third. Con Sensus would be tied first.

Order in category scoring is same as determined by total scores in annual scoring summary above this table.

Not all have any late penalties, but those who do will have their contest score (after penalties) in the TOTAL column and the total before penalties (the sum of the category scores) in brackets and italic font, after their contest score.

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