Storm Agnes Wed 27 Sept 2023.

DOCARCH

Nothing too 'exciting' yet in 0700 reports. Sherkin and Valentia gusting 65km/h.

Neddyusa

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121162103#Comment_121162103

Many will like the sound of your user-name this morning!

Itssoeasy

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121162069#Comment_121162069

Yeah I was awake around 4am and it was eerily calm.

greenspurs

Raining in Sth Kilkenny.... Not windy yet

dermiek

Raining here in Galway City for about the last half hour or so.

pureza

Gusting to 40kmh in Arklow last hour SSE

Dry

Pressure falling rapidly

what the hell!

Bucketing down in Cork city. Not majorly windy yet.

fits

Still a way off

Widdensushi

The later it lands the weaker it will be.

SouthWesterly

What time is landfall?

adocholiday

What's the current guidance for the Wicklow and Wexford areas? The 0Z models are a bit all over the place as far as I can see now, between a windy day (GFS) and red level gusts (AROME)

Oafley Jones

Now we’re really starting to motor. North of Cork city.

M.T. Cranium

Landfall 1500-1600h but passing close to Valentia around 1200-1300h.

I would not expect red level gusts in Wicklow, even orange could be a stretch. Pressure at K2 is 982 and it is 150 k east of low centre which is probably close to 970. Question is, which guidance is correct, the slow filling next 3-6h or steady state then filling after passing Kerry?

A blend would suggest this peaks at around 60-65 kt gusts in exposed parts of south coast. I expect 40-50 kt gusts on east coast but see potential for 55-60 if strongest guidance verifies. That could be earlier than expected, these peak gusts could be around 1-3 this afternoon if a broken squall line feature develops.

secman

Looking at the graphics on Windy App it has lost power, the eye of it is very much considerably wider than it was.

SleetAndSnow

Gusts hitting my house in cork City gradually starting to get stronger

Pepp1989

Absolutely bucketing down outside Mallow here. Gusts too are building

SouthWesterly

Raining in north Kerry. Nothing unusual here though I kept junior home from school. It's rural and back roads won't be the place to be at 2.30.

torres9kop

Has it downgraded a bit since yesterdays guidance?

DOCARCH

Cork AP gusting 80km/h in 0800 reports.

pad199207

That drier air being wrapped in though 😍

mikep

Heavy rain in Fermoy at the moment, getting gusty too.

Expect standing water on the M8 as it looks like all the drains are blocked, judging by the plant growth in them...

Discodog

In the absence of Shannon Radar this site gives a good depiction & forecast.

https://www.weatherandradar.co.uk/weather-map?center=51.06,-6.96&placemark=53.2724,-9.051&zoom=5.54&layer=wr&period=periodCurrentHighRes

adocholiday

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121162200#Comment_121162200

I might be wrong but I don't think Windy shows a live view, it shows forecasts based on the models it has and defaults to ECM so what you are seeing is the ECM forecasted low shape and position at the current time.

highdef

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121162271#Comment_121162271

I was literally about to type out what you've just done. To be clear, I have the same opinion as you.

Widdensushi

Everything I am seeing is a downgrade.

Meteorite58

IMO no upgrades overnight, some models have trimmed down the wind speeds a bit but others like the HI Res HARMONIE holding firm, gusting 100 to 110 Km/h in the Orange level counties, more in coastal areas in the SW, S, SE , E perhaps ,strong winds for the time of year.

doralives

Red or Dead

pauldry

Yup it's downgraded a bit Thank God. Heavy rain and winds 100kph to 120kph. A lot of heavy rain and flooding too though and power cuts with thunder likely later.

titan18

Looking at the standing water already, I'd say Cork is going to be a nightmare later in the day

ludeen

I'm right opposite Roches point rain and wind starting to rise now, visibility declining .