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May 2024 Boards weather forecast contest

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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After first week …

    IMT is 11.2 C, 0.9 above normal.

    MAX is 19.8

    MIN is 2.8

    PRC is 58% of normal.

    SUN is 60% of normal.

    max daily rainfall is 16.2mm.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    20.9 on 9th at Mountdillon.

    Readings of 23 and 24 at various locations today will turn that into a one-day wonder.



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    High of 24.2c at Phoenix Park yesterday.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,900 ✭✭✭appledrop


    New rainfall max 24.7mm on 13th Sherkin.



  • Registered Users Posts: 284 ✭✭eon1208


    Hi. Has MT posted his summer forecast yet. Curiously interested please.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Sherkin 26.4mm



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Will post a summer forecast near end of May in forecast thread and possibly elsewhere.

    — —

    After second week …

    IMT is 12.7 C, 2.2 above normal. Second week average 14.3 was 3.4 above normal.

    MAX is 24.2

    MIN is 2.8

    PRC is 85% of normal. Second week average was 111% (wet in southwest, dry in east).

    SUN is 79% of normal. Second week average was 97%, a little above average in east.

    max daily rainfall is 26.4 mm.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Your 24hr max rain forecasts in order:

    Pauldry______________51.0mm

    Joe Public____________50.5mm

    Dacogawa____________50.0mm

    Adam240610_________ 50.0mm

    John mac____________47.2mm

    Tae laidir____________ 45.0mm

    Jpmarn______________45.0mm

    Sunflower3___________41.0mm

    NormaL______________40.0mm

    Cornerstonelad_______ 39.5mm

    Waterways___________38.0mm

    MT Cranium__________ 37.5mm

    Con Sensus__________ 36.3mm __ 35.0 (med)

    Dasa29______________35.0mm

    Rameire_____________33.3mm

    Appledrop____________33.0mm

    DOCARCH____________32.2mm

    Sryanbruen__________ 31.2mm

    WolfeEire____(-1)_____27.9mm

    Bsal________________ 27.5mm

    Mr stonewall__________27.0mm

    Gonzo_______________26.8mm

    Skinner______________25.0mm

    Artane2002__________ 20.5mm

    Kindred Spirit_________20.0mm

    (Con Sensus adjusted to median of our 23 forecasts, sryanbruen maybe included normal or worked out a mean)

    min so far is 0.3 above max forecast (Artane2002 _ 2.5 C) and would require minimum progression scoring.

    Top values are 2.5 Artane2002, 1.8 tae laidir, 1.6 Gonzo, 1.5 mtc, and Adam240610 1.1 C.






  • Registered Users Posts: 284 ✭✭eon1208


    Thanks MT



  • Registered Users Posts: 721 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Mt Dillon 24.6 yesterday.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 721 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Mt. Dillon 33.3mm yesterday.

    Knock hasn't reported yet, and with Claremorris at 32.0, it could beat it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,900 ✭✭✭appledrop




  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After third week …

    IMT is 13.4 C, 2.5 above normal. Third week average 14.6 was 3.2 above normal.

    MAX is 24.6

    MIN is 2.8

    PRC is 78% of normal. Third week average was 63% (wet inland west, very dry in east).

    SUN is 88% of normal. Third week average was 106%, a little above average at all locations but Cork (89%).

    max daily rainfall is 33.3 mm. (Knock still not reporting a total for yesterday, radar indicates Claremorris and Mtdillon likely wetter, during absent reports, so not expecting a contender, looks wetter after 0100, but probably no more than 10 mm.)



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Tonight a new min is likely. Also IMT looks set to dip for rest of month. Max likely reached now. Knock didn't beat those locations as was tracking it that day and Claremorris n Mt Dillon were WAY higher than anywhere.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Max Daily rain of 33.3mm looks at risk at Knock Airport. Lashing rain there all day. Nearly 40mm there today provisionally...I think.



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,917 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    34.9mm at Knock yesterday.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Yes and Belmullet in the same county had zero!



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After fourth week …

    IMT is 13.1 C, 2.0 above normal. Fourth week average 12.3 was 0.3 above normal. Will finish around 13.0.

    MAX is 24.6

    MIN is 2.8

    PRC is 89% of normal. Fourth week average was 123% — will end up around 85%

    SUN is 80% of normal. Fourth week average was 57% — will end up around 85%

    max daily rainfall 34.9 mm.

    … will post June contest by morning.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    IMT ended up on 13.1 (13.06) … PRC looks like 81%.

    As it will be several days to appearance of MS for confirmed values, I will post a preliminary scoring report later today or by Sunday morning.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Preliminary scoring for May 2024

    _ to be confirmed after review by 5 June _

    FORECASTER__________IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_MAX DAILY RAINFALL

    Estimated values _____ 13.1_24.6_2.8_081_085 _34.9 mm _ TOTALS

    John mac____________23 _ 00 _ 01^_ 08 _ 06 __ 07 _____ 45
    Waterways___________21 _ 00 _ 04^_ 05 _ 04 __ 09 _____ 43
    Tae laidir____________ 19 _ 15 _ 18^_ 07 _ 04 __ 07 _____ 70
    Artane2002__________ 19 _ 14 _ 19^_ 14 _ 06 __ 06 _____ 78
    Sunflower3___________18 _ 14 _ 08^_ 01 _ 08 __ 08 _____ 57
    Kindred Spirit_________18 _ 14 _ 13^_ 13 _ 05 __ 06 _____ 69
    Joe Public____________17 _ 15 _ 03^_ 10 _ 05 __ 05 _____ 55
    Skinner______________17 _ 09 _ 14^_ 14 _ 02 __ 07 _____ 63
    Gonzo_______________17 _ 08 _ 17^_ 11 _ 06 __ 08 _____ 67
    Dacogawa____________15 _ 16 _ 13^_ 08 _ 07 __ 05 _____ 64
    Adam240610_________ 15 _ 17 _ 15^_ 05 _ 09 __ 05 _____ 66
    Pauldry______________15 _ 14 _ 09^_ 05 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 54

    Con Sensus__________ 15 _ 13 _ 09^_ 08 _ 06 __ 10 _____ 61

    WolfeEire____(-1)_____14 _ 19 _ 10^_ 09 _ 05 __ 08 _ 65-1=64
    Cornerstonelad_______ 14 _ 15 _ 04^_ 09 _ 03 __ 09 _____ 54
    Bsal________________ 14 _ 04 _ 07^_ 05 _ 05 __ 08 _____ 43
    Sryanbruen__________ 12 _ 10 _ 13^_ 12 _ 06 __ 09 _____ 62
    Appledrop___________ 12 _ 06 _ 13^_ 06 _ 09 __ 10 _____ 56
    Rameire_____________11 _ 00 _ 06^_ 13 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 45
    Mr stonewall_________ 10 _ 09 _ 05^_ 11 _ 08 __ 08 _____ 51
    MT Cranium__________09 _ 14 _ 16^_ 07 _ 10 __ 10 _____ 66
    Jpmarn_____________ 09 _ 09 _ 04^_ 01 _ 06 __ 07 _____ 36
    Dasa29_____________ 09 _ 00 _ 06^_ 02 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 32

    NormaL_____________04 _ 00 _ 08^_ 09 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 36

    DOCARCH___________03 _ 00 _ 05^_ 04 _ 09 __ 09 _____ 30

    ===========

    Min prog scoring for PRC, BONUS scoring range 5-10 to balance generally low scoring in other categories.

    Table will be adjusted and placed in order around 5th June. Annual updates will follow then.

    ==================

    ==================

    (actual forecasts)

    John mac____________13.3 _ 26.6 _ -1.5 _ 102 _ 105 _ 47.2mm
    Waterways___________12.7 _ 27.4 _ -1.0 _ 112 _ 113 _ 38.0mm
    Tae laidir____________ 12.5 _ 24.1 _ 1.8 _ 105 _ 115 _ 45.0mm
    Artane2002__________ 12.5 _ 24.0 _ 2.5 _ 085 _ 105 _ 20.5mm
    Sunflower3___________12.4 _ 25.2 _ 0.0 _ 122 _ 095 _ 41.0mm
    Kindred Spirit_________12.4 _ 24.0 _ 0.5 _ 088 _ 110 _ 20.0mm
    Joe Public____________12.3 _ 24.1 _ -1.1 _ 095 _ 110 _ 50.5mm
    Skinner_____________ 12.3 _ 23.5 _ 0.7 _ 084 _ 123 _ 25.0mm
    Gonzo______________ 12.3 _ 23.4 _ 1.6 _ 092 _ 103 _ 26.8mm
    Dacogawa___________ 12.1 _ 25.0 _ 0.5 _ 102 _ 098 _ 50.0mm
    Adam240610_________12.1 _ 24.3 _ 1.1 _ 111 _ 088 _ 50.0mm
    Pauldry______________12.1 _ 24.0 _ 0.1 _ 111 _ 103 _ 51.0mm

    Con Sensus___________12.1 _ 23.9 _ 0.1 _ 103 _ 104 _ 36.3mm

    WolfeEire____(-1)_____12.0 _ 24.5 _ 0.3 _ 100 _ 110 _ 27.9mm
    Cornerstonelad_______ 12.0 _ 24.1 _ -1.0 _ 100 _ 120 _ 39.5mm
    Bsal________________12.0 _ 23.0 _ -0.3 _ 110 _ 110 _ 27.5mm
    Sryanbruen__________11.8 _ 23.6 _ 0.5 _ 090 _ 105 _ 31.2mm
    Appledrop___________ 11.8 _ 23.2 _ 0.5 _ 107 _ 090 _ 33.0mm
    Rameire_____________11.7 _ 22.0 _ -0.5 _ 088 _ 108 _ 33.3mm
    Mr stonewall_________ 11.6 _ 23.5 _ -0.8 _ 092 _ 097 _ 27.0mm
    MT Cranium__________11.5 _ 24.0 _ 1.5 _ 105 _ 085 _ 37.5mm
    Jpmarn_____________ 11.5 _ 23.5 _ -1.0 _ 125 _ 105 _ 45.0mm
    Dasa29_____________ 11.5 _ 22.5 _ -0.5 _ 120 _ 110 _ 35.0mm

    NormaL_____________ 11.0 _ 22.5 _ 0.0 _ 100 _ 100 _ 40.0mm

    DOCARCH___________ 10.9 _ 21.2 _ -0.9 _ 115 _ 090 _ 32.2mm



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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Confirmed Scoring for May 2024

    FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS __ TOTAL

    Artane2002__________ 19 _ 14 _ 19^_ 14 _ 06 __ 06 _____ 78

    Tae laidir____________ 19 _ 15 _ 18^_ 07 _ 04 __ 07 _____ 70

    Kindred Spirit_________18 _ 14 _ 13^_ 13 _ 05 __ 06 _____ 69

    Gonzo_______________17 _ 08 _ 17^_ 11 _ 06 __ 08 _____ 67

    Adam240610_________ 15 _ 17 _ 15^_ 05 _ 09 __ 05 _____ 66

    M.T. Cranium_________ 09 _ 14 _ 16^_ 07 _ 10 __ 10 _____ 66

    Dacogawa____________15 _ 16 _ 13^_ 08 _ 07 __ 05 _____ 64

    WolfeEire____(-1)_____14 _ 19 _ 10^_ 09 _ 05 __ 08 _ 65-1=64

    Skinner______________17 _ 09 _ 14^_ 14 _ 02 __ 07 _____ 63

    Sryanbruen__________ 12 _ 10 _ 13^_ 12 _ 06 __ 09 _____ 62

    __ Con Sensus________15 _ 13 _ 09^_ 08 _ 06 __ 10 _____ 61

    Sunflower3___________18 _ 14 _ 08^_ 01 _ 08 __ 08 _____ 57

    Appledrop___________ 12 _ 06 _ 13^_ 06 _ 09 __ 10 _____ 56

    Joe Public____________17 _ 15 _ 03^_ 10 _ 05 __ 05 _____ 55

    Pauldry______________15 _ 14 _ 09^_ 05 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 54

    Cornerstonelad_______ 14 _ 15 _ 04^_ 09 _ 03 __ 09 _____ 54

    Mr stonewall_________ 10 _ 09 _ 05^_ 11 _ 08 __ 08 _____ 51

    John mac____________23 _ 00 _ 01^_ 08 _ 06 __ 07 _____ 45

    Rameire_____________11 _ 00 _ 06^_ 13 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 45

    Waterways___________21 _ 00 _ 04^_ 05 _ 04 __ 09 _____ 43

    Bsal________________ 14 _ 04 _ 07^_ 05 _ 05 __ 08 _____ 43

    Jpmarn_____________ 09 _ 09 _ 04^_ 01 _ 06 __ 07 _____ 36


    ___ NormaL_________ 04 _ 00 _ 08^_ 09 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 36

    Dasa29_____________ 09 _ 00 _ 06^_ 02 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 32

    DOCARCH___________03 _ 00 _ 05^_ 04 _ 09 __ 09 _____ 30

    Updated Annual and Category scoring

    Rank _FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS _ TOTALS (J, F, M, A, M) _ Annual TOTAL

    now(prev) __ __ __ __ __ ___ ___ ___ ____ ____ ____ ___ JAN_FEB_MAR_APR _MAY ___ (2024)

    ......... max possible scores ..125 _100_100_ 75_ 50_ 50 ___100_100_100_100_100 ___ 500


    01_(01)__MrSkinner_____103 _48 _70 _ 55 _32 _ 39 ____ 64 _ 76 _ 78 _ 66 _ 63 __ 347

    02_(07)__Artane2002____101 _67 _68 _ 42 _37 _ 31 ____ 77 _ 48 _ 75 _ 68 _ 78 __ 346

    03_(02)__ Dacogawa ____101 _73 _52 _ 42 _39 _ 37 ____ 69 _ 64 _ 73 _ 74 _ 64 __ 344

    04_(t03)__Gonzo _______109 _44 _74 _ 41 _34 _ 37 ____ 76 _ 71 _ 67 _ 58 _ 67 __ 339

    05_(t05)_ Kindred Spirit ___93 _53 _76 _ 48 _32 _ 36 ____ 65 _ 53 _ 66 _ 85 _ 69 __ 338

    5.6_(4.7)__ Con Sensus ____93 _52 _61 _ 50 _37 _ 38 ____ 72 _ 48 _ 60 _ 90 _ 61 __ 331

    t06_(t03)__Pauldry ______101 _53 _52 _ 49 _38 _ 33 ____ 75 _ 52 _ 64 _ 81 _ 54 __ 326

    t06_(08)__Tae laidir ______ 97 _61 _56 _ 49 _30 _ 33 ____ 65 _ 51 _ 73 _ 67 _ 70 __ 326

    08_(t05) _ Appledrop _____ 94 _56 _57 _ 37 _43 _ 38 ____ 72 _ 56 _ 66 _ 75 _ 56 __ 325

    09_(t09)__M.T. Cranium ___92 _38 _58 _ 41 _4240 ____ 55 _ 74 _ 67 _ 49 _ 66 __ 311

    10_(12)__sryanbruen _____ 81 _51 _56 _ 48 _39 _ 28 ____ 89 _ 38 _ 44 _ 70 _ 62 __ 303

    11_(11)__Bsal ___________89 _20 _67 _ 38 _37 _ 36 ____ 59 _ 38 _ 70 _ 77 _ 43 __ 287

    12_(t19)__WolfeEire ______ 87 _44 _53 _ 41 _31 _ 29 ____ 68 _ 39 _ 37 _ 75 _ 64 __ 285-2 = 283

    13_(t09)__Jpmarn ________72 _63 _49 _ 36 _31 _ 30 ____ 78 _ 40 _ 61 _ 66 _ 36 __ 281

    14_(14)__Rameire ________81 _30 _33 _ 58 _40 _ 37 ____ 50 _ 43 _ 58 _ 83 _ 45 __ 279

    15_ (16)_Mr stonewall _____80 _61 _46 _ 28 _33 _ 30 ____ 66 _ 57 _ 40 _ 64 _ 51 __ 278

    16_(t19)_Sunflower3 ______90 _38 _34 _ 38 _39 _ 37 ____ 52 _ 44 _ 48 _ 75 _ 57 __ 276

    17_(18)__Cornerstonelad___76 _57 _52 _ 35 _20 _ 34 ____ 59 _ 29 _ 49 _ 83 _ 54 __ 274

    18_ (15)__john mac ______ 95 _18 _59 _ 35 _35 _ 31 ____ 67 _ 51 _ 59 _ 51 _ 45 __ 273

    19_(13)__Dasa29 ________ 80 _22 _53 _ 42 _34 _ 41 ____ 41 _ 50 _ 78 _ 71 _ 32 __ 272

    19.7_(16.3) ____NormaL ___ 65 _45 _48 _ 38 _37 _ 29 ____ 74 _ 52 _ 46 _ 54 _ 36 __ 262

    20_(21)__waterways _______90 _16 _44 _ 42 _31 _ 34 ____ 64 _ 55 _ 47 _ 48 _ 43 __ 257

    t21_(17)_DOCARCH _______ 70 _24 _48 _ 43 _36 _ 33 ____ 49 _ 51 _ 44 _ 80 _ 30 __ 254

    t21_(23)__Joe Public_______ 88 _47 _36 _ 31 _36 _ 16 ____ 56 _ 34 _ 51 _ 58 _ 55 __ 254

    23 _(25)__Adam240610 ____78 _34 _42 _ 30 _36 _ 25 ____ 75 _ 58 _ 46 _ —- _ 66 __ 245 (4/5)

    24 _(22)__Tazio ___________69 _36 _29 _ 31 _24 _ 20 ____ 57 _ 62 _ 44 _ 46 _ —-__ 209-2=207 (4/5)

    25_(24)__200motels _______63 _38 _33 _ 24 _25 _ 10 ____ 66 _ --- _ 58 _ 69 _ —- __ 193 (3/5)

    26 _(26)__Esposito ________ 48 _14 _21 _ 21 _23 _ 17 ____ 71 _ 34 _ 39 _ —- _ —-__ 144 (3/5)

    27_(27)__SleetandSnow _____21 _08 _02 _ 13 _06 _ 06 ____ 56 _ --- _ --- _ —-_ —-__ 056 (1/5)

    28_(28)__Bazlers __________ 09 _00 _00 _ 13 _07 _ 04 ____ 33 _ --- _ --- _ —-_ —-__ 033 (1/5)

    29_(29)__BLIZZARD7 _______03 _00 _00 _ 11 _09 _ 05 ____ 26 _ --- _ --- _ —- _—- _ 028-2 026 (1/5)

    ________________

    Note: Late penalties are applied to total category scoring and are incorporated into monthly scores.

    In category scoring, high score is bold, second is bold italic, and third is plain italic font.

    IMT __ one forecaster in first and second, three tied third.

    MAX __one forecaster in first and two tied for second.

    MIN __one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

    PRC __ one forecaster in first and second, two tied for third, Con Sensus would be third.

    SUN __ one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

    bonus _one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

    ======================================

    Note: total of best category scores is 399/500.

    ___________________________-

    All of above is provisional awaiting a later verification.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Update is on hold for now, as Summary not out on website today. I guess monday was a holiday so possibly we'll see it on Wednesday at usual time of about 1100-1130. It was only SUN that I thought could require a bit of an edit. But I also need to verify various other tracked data.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Adjusted Scoring for May 2024

    On review, a few rather minor changes were required. First of all, on 5 May, a MIN of 2.6 C was reported (we did not spot it). It will only affect scoring slightly in that it creates a hammer situation that 2.8 C did not produce. Also PRC was 84% and not 81%, it will give all forecasters an extra point. SUN was only around 78 per cent, this will take away the point given by PRC and leave totals similar (except for any revisions of MIN, generally lower due to applying hammer, Artane2002 sees a net four-point reward against closest scores in both month and annual contests, for the application of the hammer).

    FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS __ TOTAL

    Artane2002__________ 19 _ 14 _ 20^_ 15 _ 05 __ 06 _____ 79

    Tae laidir____________ 19 _ 15 _ 16^_ 08 _ 03 __ 07 _____ 68

    Kindred Spirit_________18 _ 14 _ 10^_ 14 _ 04 __ 06 _____ 66

    Gonzo_______________17 _ 08 _ 14^_ 12 _ 05 __ 08 _____ 64

    Adam240610_________ 15 _ 17 _ 12^_ 06 _ 08 __ 05 _____ 63

    M.T. Cranium_________ 09 _ 14 _ 13^_ 08 _ 09 __ 10 _____ 63

    WolfeEire____(-1)_____14 _ 19 _ 08^_ 10 _ 04 __ 08 _ 63-1=62

    Dacogawa____________15 _ 16 _ 10^_ 09 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 61

    Skinner______________17 _ 09 _ 11^_ 15 _ 01 __ 07 _____ 60

    Sryanbruen__________ 12 _ 10 _ 10^_ 13 _ 05 __ 09 _____ 59

    __ Con Sensus________15 _ 13 _ 07^_ 09 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 59

    Sunflower3___________18 _ 14 _ 06^_ 02 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 55

    Joe Public____________17 _ 15 _ 02^_ 11 _ 04 __ 05 _____ 54

    Appledrop___________ 12 _ 06 _ 10^_ 07 _ 08 __ 10 _____ 53

    Cornerstonelad_______ 14 _ 15 _ 03^_ 10 _ 02 __ 09 _____ 53

    Pauldry______________15 _ 14 _ 07^_ 06 _ 05 __ 05 _____ 52

    Mr stonewall_________ 10 _ 09 _ 04^_ 12 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 50

    John mac____________23 _ 00 _ 01^_ 09 _ 05 __ 07 _____ 45

    Rameire_____________11 _ 00 _ 05^_ 14 _ 04 __ 10 _____ 44

    Waterways___________21 _ 00 _ 03^_ 06 _ 03 __ 09 _____ 42

    Bsal________________ 14 _ 04 _ 06^_ 06 _ 04 __ 08 _____ 42

    Jpmarn_____________ 09 _ 09 _ 03^_ 02 _ 05 __ 07 _____ 35


    ___ NormaL_________ 04 _ 00 _ 06^_ 10 _ 06 __ 08 _____ 34

    Dasa29_____________ 09 _ 00 _ 05^_ 03 _ 04 __ 10 _____ 31

    DOCARCH___________03 _ 00 _ 04^_ 05 _ 08 __ 09 _____ 29

    Updated Annual and Category scoring

    Rank _FORECASTER _____ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS _ TOTALS (J, F, M, A, M) _ Annual TOTAL

    now(prev) __ __ __ __ __ ___ ___ ___ ____ ____ ____ __JAN_FEB_MAR_APR _MAY __ (2024)

    ......... max possible scores ..125 _100_100_ 75_ 50_ 50 ___100_100_100_100_100 ___ 500


    01_(07)__Artane2002____101 _67 _69 _ 43 _36 _ 31 ____ 77 _ 48 _ 75 _ 68 _ 79 __ 347

    02_(01)__MrSkinner_____103 _48 _67 _ 56 _31 _ 39 ____ 64 _ 76 _ 78 _ 66 _ 60 __ 344

    03_(02)__ Dacogawa ____101 _73 _49 _ 43 _38 _ 37 ____ 69 _ 64 _ 73 _ 74 _ 61 __ 341

    04_(t03)__Gonzo _______109 _44 _71 _ 42 _33 _ 37 ____ 76 _ 71 _ 67 _ 58 _ 64 __ 336

    05_(t05)_ Kindred Spirit ___93 _53 _73 _ 49 _31 _ 36 ____ 65 _ 53 _ 66 _ 85 _ 66 __ 335

    5.7_(4.7)__ Con Sensus ____93 _52 _59 _ 51 _36 _ 38 ____ 72 _ 48 _ 60 _ 90 _ 59 __ 329

    t06_(t03)__Pauldry ______101 _53 _50 _ 50 _37 _ 33 ____ 75 _ 52 _ 64 _ 81 _ 52 __ 324

    t06_(08)__Tae laidir ______ 97 _61 _54 _ 50 _29 _ 33 ____ 65 _ 51 _ 73 _ 67 _ 68 __ 324

    08_(t05) _ Appledrop _____ 94 _56 _54 _ 38 _42 _ 38 ____ 72 _ 56 _ 66 _ 75 _ 53 __ 322

    09_(t09)__M.T. Cranium ___92 _38 _55 _ 42 _41 _ 40 ____ 55 _ 74 _ 67 _ 49 _ 63 __ 308

    10_(12)__sryanbruen _____ 81 _51 _53 _ 49 _38 _ 28 ____ 89 _ 38 _ 44 _ 70 _ 59 __ 300

    11_(11)__Bsal ___________89 _20 _66 _ 39 _36 _ 36 ____ 59 _ 38 _ 70 _ 77 _ 42 __ 286

    12_(t19)__WolfeEire ______ 87 _44 _51 _ 42 _30 _ 29 ____ 68 _ 39 _ 37 _ 75 _ 62 __ 283-2 = 281

    13_(t09)__Jpmarn ________72 _63 _48 _ 37 _30 _ 30 ____ 78 _ 40 _ 61 _ 66 _ 35 __ 280

    14_(14)__Rameire ________81 _30 _32 _ 59 _39 _ 37 ____ 50 _ 43 _ 58 _ 83 _ 44 __ 278

    15_ (16)_Mr stonewall _____80 _61 _45 _ 29 _32 _ 30 ____ 66 _ 57 _ 40 _ 64 _ 50 __ 277

    16_(t19)_Sunflower3 ______90 _38 _32 _ 39 _38 _ 37 ____ 52 _ 44 _ 48 _ 75 _ 55 __ 274

    t17(18)__Cornerstonelad___76 _57 _51 _ 36 _19 _ 34 ____ 59 _ 29 _ 49 _ 83 _ 53 __ 273

    t18_(15)__john mac ______ 95 _18 _59 _ 36 _34 _ 31 ____ 67 _ 51 _ 59 _ 51 _ 45 __ 273

    19_(13)__Dasa29 ________ 80 _22 _52 _ 43 _33 _ 41 ____ 41 _ 50 _ 78 _ 71 _ 31 __ 271

    19.7_(16.3) ____NormaL ___ 65 _45 _46 _ 39 _36 _ 29 ____ 74 _ 52 _ 46 _ 54 _ 34 __ 260

    20_(21)__waterways _______90 _16 _43 _ 43 _30 _ 34 ____ 64 _ 55 _ 47 _ 48 _ 42 __ 256

    t21_(17)_DOCARCH _______ 70 _24 _47 _ 44 _35 _ 33 ____ 49 _ 51 _ 44 _ 80 _ 29 __ 253

    t21_(23)__Joe Public_______ 88 _47 _35 _ 32 _35 _ 16 ____ 56 _ 34 _ 51 _ 58 _ 54 __ 253

    23 _(25)__Adam240610 ____78 _34 _39 _ 31 _35 _ 25 ____ 75 _ 58 _ 46 _ —- _ 63 __ 242 (4/5)

    24 _(22)__Tazio ___________69 _36 _29 _ 31 _24 _ 20 ____ 57 _ 62 _ 44 _ 46 _ —-__ 209-2=207 (4/5)

    25_(24)__200motels _______63 _38 _33 _ 24 _25 _ 10 ____ 66 _ --- _ 58 _ 69 _ —- __ 193 (3/5)

    26 _(26)__Esposito ________ 48 _14 _21 _ 21 _23 _ 17 ____ 71 _ 34 _ 39 _ —- _ —-__ 144 (3/5)

    27_(27)__SleetandSnow _____21 _08 _02 _ 13 _06 _ 06 ____ 56 _ --- _ --- _ —-_ —-__ 056 (1/5)

    28_(28)__Bazlers __________ 09 _00 _00 _ 13 _07 _ 04 ____ 33 _ --- _ --- _ —-_ —-__ 033 (1/5)

    29_(29)__BLIZZARD7 _______03 _00 _00 _ 11 _09 _ 05 ____ 26 _ --- _ --- _ —- _—- _ 028-2 026 (1/5)

    ________________

    Note: Late penalties are applied to total category scoring and are incorporated into monthly scores.

    In category scoring, high score is bold, second is bold italic, and third is plain italic font.

    IMT __ one forecaster in first and second, three tied third.

    MAX __one forecaster in first and two tied for second.

    MIN __one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

    PRC __ one forecaster in first and second, two tied for third, Con Sensus would be third.

    SUN __ one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

    bonus _one forecaster score in each position (1,2,3).

    ======================================

    Note: total of best category scores is 399/500.

    ___________________________

    So we now have our scoring finalized and Artane2002 has gained a slight lead over Skinner as a result, but top portion of the scoring table is still quite a close contest.

    Will get around to updating Four Seasons in a day or two with Spring scoring.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,465 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Four Seasons Contest Update _ Spring 2024 Points

    We will go with a slightly different format this year, seasonal winners will get 12 points, second to tenth will get 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 points, 11-20 will also get 2 points as will any forecaster with a total score of 150+ ... and all who participate (2/3 or 3/3) will get one point if not otherwise qualified. Con Sensus and NormaL will receive points but those will not affect contest points.


    FORECASTER _________Winter Points ____ Spring score total, Points __ TOTAL contest points

    Artane2002 _____________ 08 ___________ 222 ________ 12 ______ 20

    Tae laidir _______________ 09 ___________ 208 _________ 9 (t) ____18

    MrSkinner ______________ 10 ___________ 204 _________ 7 _______17

    Kindred Spirit ____________07 ___________ 217 ________ 10 ______ 17

    Gonzo _________________ 12 ___________ 189 _________ 4 (t) ____16

    ___ Con Sensus _________ 04.5 __________ 209 ________ 9.1 ____ 13.6

    Dacogawa ______________ 04 ___________ 208 ________ 9 (t) _____13

    john mac _______________06 (t) _________ 155 _________ 2 _______ 8

    sryanbruen _____________ 06 (t) _________ 173 _________ 2 _______ 8

    Pauldry ________________ 02 ___________ 197 _________ 6 _______ 8

    Appledrop ______________ 02 ___________ 194 _________ 5 _______ 7

    Bsal ___________________ 02 ___________ 189 _________ 4 (t) _____ 6

    ___ NormaL ___________ __ 04.3 __________ 134 ________ 1.0 ______ 5.3

    M.T. Cranium ____________ 02 ___________ 179 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Adam240610 ____________ 03 ___________ 109 (2) ______ 1 _______ 4

    Mr stonewall ____________ 02 ___________ 154 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Sunflower3 _____________ 02 ___________ 178 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Jpmarn _________________02 ___________ 162 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Cornerstonelad __________ 02 ___________ 185 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Rameire ________________02 ___________ 185 _________ 2 _______ 4

    DOCARCH ______________ 02 ___________ 153 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Wolfeire ________________02 ___________ 174 _________ 2 _______ 4

    Dasa29 ________________ 01 ___________ 180 _________ 2 _______ 3

    Joe Public ______________ 01 ___________ 163 _________ 2 _______ 3

    Tazio __________________ 02 ____________ 90 (2) ______ 1 _______ 3

    waterways ______________02 ___________ 137 _________ 1 _______ 3

    esposito ________________02 ____________ 39 (1) ______ 0 _______ 2

    200motels ______________01 ___________ 127 (2) ______ 1 _______ 2

    SleetAndSnow ___________01 ___________ —- __________0 ________1

    Bazlers ________________ 01 ___________ —- __________0 ________1

    BLIZZARD7 _____________01 ___________ —- __________0 ________1


    Four seasons contest looking quite similar to annual contest in general. Artane2002 wins Spring top points and is now in first.



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