Amber Snow Alert

ninebeanrows

Yes it will snow next week infact ther will be light snow showers
int he east tomorrow. Monday could dump upto 15cm's of the
damn stuff. After that they'll be heavy snow showers in the
east on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday

I've had enough of this codswallop stirred up by a pathetic
TV forecast! :rolleyes:

ninebeanrows

The "snowline" as such is through the far east of Northern Ireland
and through central Wales, it will move west through tonight and
ly through connacht at midday tomorrow

That why light snow showers are likely from later tonight and
tomorrow in the east

ninebeanrows

The "snowline" as seen at 1800hrs - Light blue line
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn063.gif

The "snowline" 1200hrs tomorrow
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn243.gif

ninebeanrows

This supports my view for Monday quite well
http://pages.unibas.ch/geo/mcr/3d/meteo/meteogr/nmm22/DUBL.PNG

Usually very accurate

Supercell

Fact is that nobody knows the track of this front on Monday, I think Met Éireann are correct to forecast on the side of the stats..ie when in doubt predict rain ..its usually right.
This front will not be accurately predicted until it starts falling in the north imho ..lets wait and see what happens..anything else is speculation Met Éireann or Weathercheck also !!
Personally..i'm going for sleet and a small possibility of 1-2 cm in Dublin if it does settle (Sunday/Monday early hours) .

Supercell

Weathercheck wrote:

The "snowline" as seen at 1800hrs - Light blue line
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn063.gif

The "snowline" 1200hrs tomorrow
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn243.gif

Weathercheck , please stop spreading this misinformation, the 528 dam is NOT a "snowline" there are many other considerations ..

Danno

The temps are falling away nicely now... 3c in most of the east coast, 4-5c in the mids, and 5-6c in the west. Even Killarney is struggling to get into the 7s.

Danno

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/live/radnirl1.jpg
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/live/radnirl2.jpg

Showers off Wales are turning into the west and heading for Wicklow/Wexford.

ninebeanrows

Hence why i call it the "snowline"

Plus it does act to me as the snowline as such
as 850hpa temperatures will be around -8c with
500hpa DAM Thickness at around 520 in Dublin
tomorrow at midday so in a few words the 528dam
line would act as a "snowline" as such in this case!

yes Danno eastern areas cooling down nicely now

ninebeanrows

Danno wrote:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/live/radnirl1.jpg
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/live/radnirl2.jpg

Showers off Wales are turning into the west and heading for Wicklow/Wexford.

mmm i think the wind is still NNW at the moment Danno??
or Northerly so those showers arent heading that way
i dont think although it illustrates the potential
for next week

highdef

Now down to 2c at Dublin airport with a dew point of -1. Almost cold enough for snow, I reckon. Pity the sky is more or less clear!

Danno

Rightio, this is a preliminary forecast, the real forecast will be issued as usual, on Sunday Night,

SUNDAY FEB 20
A bitter cold day with a north or northeast wind. Some wintry showers in the east coast area, and these may drift inland. Accumulations of snow are unlikely at lower levels. Max temperatures will range from 2c to 6c, possibly 7 or 8c along the west and southwest coast.

Night time sees a sharp to severe frost setting in across most of Ireland, however a front in the N will push southwards, bringing sleet to much of the north with snow locally. Lows of -3 to +4c, mildest in the NW.

MONDAY FEB 21
From the small hours, the weather front over the north will push down towards the SE and fall as snow over much of the Midlands, South Midlands and Midlands East, and east. Some considerable accumulations are likely in many areas as the front stalls. By midday, the front will begin to push west and southwestwards, bringing snow to these areas, it will have been falling largly as rain or sleet there already, so significant accumulations are less likely. Temperatures will max from -1c to +5c, mildest in the west.

Nighttime will bring clear skies and a very severe frost with -6c to +1c being the range in light to fresh NE winds. Wintry showers will affect the east coast, topping up some accumulations there.

TUESDAY FEB 22
Cloudy for most, some sunshine in the west. Very cold in a fresh ENE wind. Max of 0c to +4c. Some snow flurries will affect the east coast.

Overnight sees a substantial trough push in from the east, bringing heavy widespread snow, the West should see snow from this too by the AM. Lows of -3c to -1c. Fresh ENE winds.

Further Outook
Wednesday will be a repeat run of Tuesday, but even heavier snow overnight.

Thursday will be a cloudy day with light flurries, but clearing skies overnight will allow a very hard frost of -8 to -2c.

Friday will bring a slight improvement as skies break to allow sunny spells and a begin of a slow thaw, though this will re-freeze overnight.

Saturday will be the change day with ESE winds bringing high cloud and milder temps. Up to +6c. Overnight, rain and sleet in the SW will push NEwards preceeded by snow locally.

ninebeanrows

Cant wait to see the egg on the MetO's face for Monday

I'll be throwing a number of eggs when i wake upto 5-10cm's of snow

Danno

Geez, Rain from Jean Byrne, but then again, being from the Tropica-del-Kerry, what else would she predict!

Villain

9 O Clock weather forecast was showing only a few showers for sunday and monday with tuesday being at the highest risk of snow.

ninebeanrows

That's the crazy thing irish1 Monday will see loads of precipitation
over the region

The MetO are really badly predicting this just plainly bad :rolleyes:

Danno

I bet when Evelyn Cusack comes on air at 1pm tomorrow, she will have the snowflake symbols out!

ninebeanrows

Well the 18z spells snow in the east for Monday and a decent dumping

The plot thickens

ninebeanrows

After the snow event on Monday bitter easterlies drive
heavy snow showers onto the east coast

Hell baby this is going to happen all this negativity here
got me down for a mo but the latest runs have cheered
me up again.All you doubters will be proved wrong

So 5-10cm's of snow in Dublin on Monday then anything
from 3cm -5cm's on Tuesday, Wednesday etc etc :eek:

Danno

I am holding off 'till 1.15pm tomorrow to go into overdrive ramp mode!

ninebeanrows

Temperature down to 1.6c now, dont rule out
a few light snow flurries later and tomorrow

Danno

Off to the pub for a pint or twenty.

4.3c at the mo in South Laois. Mostly cloudy.

Hope it will be down to 2c by 1am with snow flurries for the walk home!!!

Gonzo

temperatures now 1C outside here with mostly clear skys, slight frost on car and a bitting northerly wind, shud fall to 0C or below in the next hour or two.

ninebeanrows

Gonzo keep an eye out from a few flurries of snow in the next hour

embee

I live in Ardee, Co. Louth. not too far inland from the coast.

What are the actual chances of us seeing a decent snowshower next week?

billy the squid

dublin webcam for tomorrow night

http://www.nci.ie/ispy/cam4.yp

actually think i stayed in that hotel last november

billy the squid

from the UK

http://myweb.tiscali.co.uk/wxreport/

ninebeanrows

Currently some light snow here on the coast, the next week could be interesting
the typical Irish sea shower line is forming and if the wind nudges east then
eastern coasts are in for prolonged spells of snow

ninebeanrows

Love reading this

Today
A cold day with scattered showers of rain or sleet, and possibly a little snow on high ground. Highest temperatures 4 to 7 degrees in a light to moderate northerly breeze.

When your less than a mile from the coast and it's snowing

Mothman

I think this deserves a thread on its own. Mods can change if they think otherwise.

Irish seas is starting to do its business.

Snowing here in Wicklow and with Weathercheck in North Co. Dublin

ninebeanrows

To update ye all;

Light snow showers will continue to skirt eastern coasts
possibly giving 1 or 2cm's in some areas through the day
and through tonight.

Monday with be much more cloudy with spells of sleet or snow
in the east and heavier rain in the west. Later on Monday the east
will turn even colder and heavy snow showers will move ashore.

Tuesday will see the east constently being affected by moderate
to heavy snow showers on an easterly wind accumalations by now
of upto 10-15cm's in the worst areas.

Wednesday will be even colder still with heavy snow showers
pulled onto the eastern half of Ireland, yet more snow for
the east and mxima near freezing 1-2c.

Thursday similar with moderate to heavy snow showers coming
ashore in the east.


Not a bad wek of weather ahead

ninebeanrows

I notice a line of showers in the Irish sea has formed
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/radar/ukuknirf.htm

With an easterly tinge to the wind today it could
spell fun

W.check I've actually had a few snow flurries here this morning and the sky to the East is very black.
The wind is from the north still though so skirting the coast line is all that they will do for now.
It's interesting though that in a north south flow, looking at the radar that those showers are running down the Irish sea so close to the coast.

billy the squid

are you going to change it to a red snow alert now

there is a small chance that the west might get some of this later in the week. thats just an opinion of mine though

lucernarian

How about this for a good chance of getting snow: 450 ft asl, 5 miles east from coast, living in south Louth. It doesn't get much better than that I think there needs to be a change of title for this thread to Red Snow Alert. At this stage it's looking guaranteed that there will be a fair amount of snow over the next week. Is it possible to have a red alert just for regions, i.e. the East Coast?

ninebeanrows

I reckon Wicklow, Dublin, Meath and Louth are at the biggest risk from
Monday afternoon due to the long fetch compare to other counties
from the ENE wind.

Today witht he wind turning NNE or NE Dublin and Wicklow are most
at risk i would think.

Some beautiful cumulonimbus towering off the coast now

MackQ

Another shower pushing into NE Wicklow now. Flakes very small but getting heavier.

Mothman

More snow, not the big flake kind, but the light hail stuff, but if the cloud could just move a mile to east, it would be heavy. Blue sky to my west.

In fact I'd call this hail rather than snow. Temp had got back up to 3C, but is now dropping again. Dewpoint -1.3C

well ok

Flurries here and getting darker

billy the squid

can i suggest that the title be edited to include snow photographs?

ninebeanrows

So much for rain and sleet eh

To_be_confirmed

To_be_confirmed wrote:

How about this for a good chance of getting snow: 450 ft asl, 5 miles east from coast, living in south Louth. It doesn't get much better than that I think there needs to be a change of title for this thread to Red Snow Alert. At this stage it's looking guaranteed that there will be a fair amount of snow over the next week. Is it possible to have a red alert just for regions, i.e. the East Coast?

Red it is

Though I think the best action is going to be from Tuesday onwards.

This is only an antipasti (I think)
You'd never know i was in an italian restaurant last night

CHUCKLEZ

Is there any snow dew for cork over the next few days

lucernarian

Fingers crossed on Monday morning I'll be laughing all the way to the garden shed *for shovels and homemade toboggens[spelling?]* instead of the dreary journey to school on a "winter" morning Heck I stand a better chance than most coz I live on a hill! (well the NW side of one anyway) Oh the fun of it :rolleyes:

CHUCKLEZ

CHUCKLEZ wrote:

Is there any snow dew for cork over the next few days

possible but very unlikely
possibly East cork anywhere exposed to an East wind and the coast.
possibly from a weather front late tonight/monday but on high ground only I think.
After that Very dry and frosty away from the East.

billy the squid

CHUCKLEZ wrote:

Is there any snow dew for cork over the next few days

very slim chance of it later in the wee, today would appear to be for the east coast . lets hope that it does not rain so if it does come this far west that it actually sticks this time. we have had snow twice this winter and it hasnt stuck on either occasion.

CHUCKLEZ

we had snow once so far it was on christmas day it was 6 inches high at cork airport

Heavy snow shower here now

lucernarian

Just in!

http://www.metoffice.com/weather/europe/uk/warnings.html

Looking good for the UK and by extension Ireland especially when they warn about a general band of PPN affecting western areas.

DMC

Phoenix Park just now...

Nothing here yet. Blue, blue skies, nothing on the ground. There is actually warmth in the sun here, very little breeze. I can see clouds to the east, but they do not look threathing, high enough up.