Selections for Tuesday

jimi_t

Ripon
2.10 - Hardy Norseman should see this race out
2.40 - Master Joseph will shock a few methinks. Excellent value at 12/1
3.10 - Jazz Scene looks handy, highest rated horse for the current season in Ripon NAP
3.40 - Musical Guest is the clear winner here, with the only perceived threat coming from Imperial Sword. I'm going for a reverse forecast myself.
4.10 - Playful, with a good start, should win this. Being thrown into doubt though... Very small bet
4.40 - Maybe Tangible has the slight edge but it's too close to call

Leicester
2.20 - Bathwick Emma
2.50 - Lady Suzanne
3.20 - Banded crap, but Redoubtable stands out above the rest. If it drops below 12/1 I'd strongly advise a small e/w bet
3.50 - For academic purposes I'll reccomend "Louve Heureuse" but v.unpredictable
4.20 - Banded sprint over6f, between Tiny Tim and Danakim
4.50 - Boleyn Castle definitely worth an e/w bet Non-Runner. Will recommend Dorn Hill[/] for the outright bet

blahblah06

Ripon:


2.10 Stoneacre Boy

3.40 Crosby Hall


Sedgefield:


2.00 Approaching Lad

3.00 Now then Sid

fade2black

For what it's worth:

Mrs Moh - 2.40

Tangible - 4.40

Colorus - 4.10

Bathwick Emma - 2.20

I could write many a paragraph about each selection here but I really have a lot of work to do and I don't think many will particularly care today anyway.....

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jimi_t

Oh deary me... Not my greatest day it has to be said

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fade2black

in fairness, today's races were pretty poor fare...a lot of races had some pretty well supported winners.

masterK

We are entering that awful time of the season when finding winners can be quite difficult. A lot of horses have been on the go all summer and are have passed there peaks. The number of 2 year old races increases dramatically. The jumps season is starting to get going as well.

My advise is:

1) When backing in handicaps look for horses that have only had a couple of runs this season, these are the one's who are more likely to have improvement in them. A lot of horses in handicaps have been racing every week or two and badly need a brake.

2) Keep an eye on 3 year olds racing against older horses, they tend to start holding their own which is not the case early in the season. In handicaps this is especially true as they receive a weight allowance from older horses.

3) Don't bet in 2 year old races unless you have seen something that took your eye in a previous race. Horses at this age are improving at different rates, quite often the form from one race can be totally turned on it's head next time out. I rarely bet on any 2 year old races, one thing I do is watch as many maidens as possible and take a note of any inexperienced horses making eyecatching runs, these are the winners of the future.

4) For jump racing always side with horses that have already had a race, a lot of horses will be having their first race of the season in the next few weeks, most of the time they don't try overly hard and only run to improve their fitness.

masterK

One other point to add to the above, I notice at Linfield today there are a lot of horses that have been running on the turf that are going on the All Weather today, be very wary of races involving these horses as there is no guarantee that turf form will transfer to All weather, it suits some horses and not others. There will be a lot more of this as the flat season ends.