Seismic Activity at San Andreas Fault.

Overheal · 01-10-2016 06:13AM #1

http://gizmodo.com/massive-earthquake-on-the-san-andreas-fault-is-disturbi-1787279784

The only third swarm of earthquakes of this kind (140+ since Monday) since seismology started in the 30s, and nothing of this magnitude. The USGS is pinning the chance of the San Andreas Fault shifting - causing The Big One - is as high as 1/100 or as low as 1/3000 for the next month given the current status.

Should the Big One hit, it won’t be pretty. Models predict a quake across the southern half of California with a magnitude around 7.8. Such a quake would cause an estimated 1,800 deaths, 50,000 injuries, and over $200 billion in damage.

But as the USGS researchers point out, this is far from an inevitability. The swarm under the Salton Sea may subside, or fail to influence the gigantic fault nearby. Moreover, the estimates provided by the scientists are exactly that—estimates. The science of earthquake prediction is still very much in its infancy, and these models are very likely crunching away with insufficient data. No need to panic just yet.

Thought you ought to know.

doubledown · 01-10-2016 06:32AM

Otisburg?

Cookie_Monster · 01-10-2016 06:40AM

I'm sure Trump will find a way to blame it on the Mexicans.

kneemos · 01-10-2016 06:57AM

I wouldn't even fall out of bed for less than a 4.7.

The flying mouse · 01-10-2016 07:01AM

A whole lot a shaking going on...

glenq · 01-10-2016 07:11AM

Cookie_Monster wrote: »

I'm sure Trump will find a way to blame it on the Mexicans.

He's gonna fill in the fault with cement, and get the Mexicans to do it, and he's gonna make the seismologists pay for it.

gifted · 01-10-2016 07:30AM

I've just walked away from seismic pooh if that counts....

kneemos · 01-10-2016 07:58AM

The Yosemite Park Caldera could be the real game changer.Given how they coped in New Orleans I wouldn't like to be anywhere near when either of them pop.

suicide_circus · 01-10-2016 08:44AM

Keep America Earthquake-free. Vote Trump.

GLaDOS · 01-10-2016 08:58AM

Don't be silly OP, GTA: San Andreas is a video game :rolleyes:

Samaris · 01-10-2016 09:19AM

kneemos wrote: »

The Yosemite Park Caldera could be the real game changer.Given how they coped in New Orleans I wouldn't like to be anywhere near when either of them pop.

-Would- be a game-changer. Yosemite popping would be extremely messy and likely destroy most of the northern United States. The San Andreas Big One wouldn't be fun to live through, but at its absolute worst, it wouldn't affect more than a state (roughly). Yosemite is orders of magnitude bigger in terms of potential disaster.

thomil · 01-10-2016 09:28AM

I think you mean Yellowstone. Yosemite has been geologically dead for millions of years, and has mostly been sculpted by glacial erosion, not volcanic activity. Yellowstone, on the other hand, is pretty alive, and a real headache.

whiskeyman · 01-10-2016 09:32AM

With so many tech firms based there, I wonder what sort of impact 'the big one' would have on the global economy when it happens

Samaris · 01-10-2016 10:29AM

thomil wrote: »

I think you mean Yellowstone. Yosemite has been geologically dead for millions of years, and has mostly been sculpted by glacial erosion, not volcanic activity. Yellowstone, on the other hand, is pretty alive, and a real headache.

Derp, yes. I knew there was something wrong with that while I was responding to it.

PucaMama · 01-10-2016 10:32AM

Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

DominoDub · 01-10-2016 10:35AM

whiskeyman wrote: »

With so many tech firms based there, I wonder what sort of impact 'the big one' would have on the global economy when it happens

The reason why Ireland is the perfect location for their Datacenters (no earthquakes, and big changes in weather temp) ...eg .Microsoft , Amazon, Facebook and with Apple building one in the west.

Cool_CM · 01-10-2016 10:39AM

whiskeyman wrote: »

With so many tech firms based there, I wonder what sort of impact 'the big one' would have on the global economy when it happens

Don't worry, James Bond will save them.

Cianmcliam · 01-10-2016 10:40AM

PucaMama wrote: »

Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

Yep, crop failure, disease, violent upheavals, erratic internet connections.

Gatling · 01-10-2016 10:42AM

Better call the Rock

Unearthly · 01-10-2016 10:43AM

Run of the mill blockbuster with Dwayne The Rock Johnson 4/10

PucaMama · 01-10-2016 10:44AM

Cianmcliam wrote: »

PucaMama wrote: »

Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

Yep, crop failure, disease, violent upheavals, erratic internet connections.

I could deal with cannibalism (from crop failure) and war ....but erratic internet connection!!!

The Backwards Man · 01-10-2016 10:53AM

On the plus side, you would be able to eat your pic-a-nic in relative peace.

PucaMama · 01-10-2016 12:03PM

San Andreas is on sky action right now op

Donald Trump · 01-10-2016 12:17PM

Cookie_Monster wrote: »

I'm sure Trump will find a way to blame it on the Mexicans.

It was the feckin rapey little Mexican banditos.

Little CuChulainn · 01-10-2016 01:18PM

Models predict a quake across the southern half of California with a magnitude around 7.8.

Sure what would models know about it? I'd prefer a more qualified opinion.

rossie1977 · 01-10-2016 01:29PM

Have seismologists ever correctly predicted a big earthquake before it happened?

01-10-2016 02:07PM

There's a State-wide alert in force in California, something they don't issue lightly.

01-10-2016 02:36PM

It's always someone's fault, isn't it? No personal responsibility any more.

*rabble rabble*

Samaris · 01-10-2016 02:57PM

PucaMama wrote: »

Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

Yellowstone "wins" hands-down; if the cauldara erupted violently, it would basically destroy the United States and Canada. Physically, it would take out everything from Washington to Kansas, and it would effectually ruin from the midlands to states on the eastern seaboard. After that, the ash cloud would cover the northern hemisphere and t could be a decade without summers, with consequent catastrophes to food production. But it's not that likely to happen. Nothing you can do to prepare for it anyway bar move to New Zealand.

The faultline shifting is something that people absolutely know is going to happen and keep getting warnings about from it cracking every so often. At some point it won't just grind a bit, it will snap to release the building pressure and cause a catastrophe in San Fransisco amongst other cities. But while it would cause a lot of harm, it wouldn't destroy the world.

The big one -is- going to happen, and very likely in the next hundred years, Yellowstone is an extinction event, but may never happen.

Pherekydes · 01-10-2016 03:21PM

10.0 earthquake is on Syfy right now. :pac:

Y'all should watch it.

Autonomous Cowherd · 01-10-2016 04:55PM

It would (will?) be pretty shocking to wake up some morning and hear there has been a massive earthquake in California.

Atoms for Peace · 01-10-2016 05:15PM

Its like the plot to escape from LA...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJpznMaZ85c

cml387 · 01-10-2016 05:21PM

Coincidentally there is action at the dangerous Icelandic volcano known as Katla

And a big hurricane headed for Jamaica.

Never turn your back on mother earth.

Name the pop group?

Stigura · 01-10-2016 05:55PM

cml387 wrote: »

Never turn your back on mother earth.

Name the pop group?

Sparks. Saw them live.

darkpagandeath · 01-10-2016 06:05PM

Build a wall around the fault job done.

Jimbob1977 · 01-10-2016 06:07PM

That Charlton Heston film from the 1970s is a decent thriller. Earthquake.

The 1989 Baseball World Series between San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics (The Bay Series) was interrupted live on TV by the Loma Pieta earthquake.

Building on a fault line is a huge gamble.

Del2005 · 01-10-2016 06:15PM

Samaris wrote: »

-Would- be a game-changer. Yosemite popping would be extremely messy and likely destroy most of the northern United States. The San Andreas Big One wouldn't be fun to live through, but at its absolute worst, it wouldn't affect more than a state (roughly). Yosemite is orders of magnitude bigger in terms of potential disaster.

I think if San Andreas goes it'll affect a bit more than one State as the tsunami would do a bit of damage around the Pacific. And even if it just affected one State it is one of the biggest economies in the world if it wasn't part of the USA so there would be serious financial difficulties afterwards, without even getting into the potential loss of life and major infrastructure destruction.

OU812 · 01-10-2016 06:16PM

Jimbob1977 wrote: »

That Charlton Heston film from the 1970s is a decent thriller. Earthquake.

Very dated by today's standards.

OU812 · 01-10-2016 06:22PM

Samaris wrote: »

The San Andreas Big One wouldn't be fun to live through, but at its absolute worst, it wouldn't affect more than a state (roughly). Yosemite is orders of magnitude bigger in terms of potential disaster.

California economy is the largest in the US (by 49% over the next closest state - Texas), there's also the neighbouring states - Washington, Oregon, Nevada, New Mexico which would be affected. Depending on where & when it strikes, the San Andreas has the potential to cause devastation in several of them.

Candie wrote: »

There's a State-wide alert in force in California, something they don't issue lightly.

Have you a source for this please?

Stigura · 01-10-2016 06:23PM

F**king brilliant number!

Fathom · 01-10-2016 06:26PM

Overheal wrote: »

The only third swarm of earthquakes of this kind (140+ since Monday) since seismology started in the 30s, and nothing of this magnitude. The USGS is pinning the chance of the San Andreas Fault shifting - causing The Big One - is as high as 1/100 or as low as 1/3000 for the next month given the current status.

California shakes. Always. Rarely notice. This morning I did. Looked behind. No one. Slight floor tremor. BIG ONE? Tomorrow? Or 1000 years? No one knows. Geologic time vast. Human species history? Geologic eye blink.

InTheTrees · 01-10-2016 06:30PM

OU812 wrote: »

Have you a source for this please?

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/salton-sea-earthquake-advisory-southern-california/

InTheTrees · 01-10-2016 06:35PM

Its scary. In a kind of abstract way. It could happen tomorrow or in a thousand years.

I've been in a 7.1, and a 6.8 and many many 5+

We're in Seattle now. With the added risk of an active volcano just south of the city.

OU812 · 01-10-2016 06:43PM

InTheTrees wrote: »

We're in Seattle now. With the added risk of an active volcano just south of the city.

Love to see Seattle. Hope to get there one day to see a game at Century Link. I listen to KZOK online & it sounds like a really great city.

Fathom · 01-10-2016 06:51PM

InTheTrees wrote: »

We're in Seattle now. With the added risk of an active volcano just south of the city.

California = earthquakes. Washington = volcanos. Oklahoma = tornados. Lousiana = hurricanes. Colorado = avalanches. Living Earth.

InTheTrees · 01-10-2016 06:56PM

Fathom wrote: »

California = earthquakes. Washington = volcanos. Oklahoma = tornados. Lousiana = hurricanes. Colorado = avalanches. Living Earth.

Washington gets earthquakes too. I think Alaska is the most seismically active US state.
The "Ring Of Fire" surrounds the pacific ocean and is responsible for quakes in Japan, Cille, NZ, and the USA.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ring_of_Fire

BrokenArrows · 01-10-2016 06:57PM

Fathom wrote: »

California = earthquakes. Washington = volcanos. Oklahoma = tornados. Lousiana = hurricanes. Colorado = avalanches. Living Earth.

Ireland = Rain

So boring.

Fathom · 01-10-2016 07:00PM

InTheTrees wrote: »

Washington gets earthquakes too.

Rockies = earthquakes.

BrokenArrows wrote: »

Ireland = Rain So boring.

Rain. Lucky you. Green. So Cal = drought.

Del2005 · 01-10-2016 07:18PM

BrokenArrows wrote: »

Ireland = Rain

So boring.

Boring gets a lot of FDI though.

Brave_Horatius · 01-10-2016 09:00PM

I mean, how am I going to cook all the human we'll be eating if I can't even get onto the beebs food website?

PucaMama · 01-10-2016 09:15PM

Samaris wrote: »

PucaMama wrote: »

Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

Yellowstone "wins" hands-down; if the cauldara erupted violently, it would basically destroy the United States and Canada. Physically, it would take out everything from Washington to Kansas, and it would effectually ruin from the midlands to states on the eastern seaboard. After that, the ash cloud would cover the northern hemisphere and t could be a decade without summers, with consequent catastrophes to food production. But it's not that likely to happen. Nothing you can do to prepare for it anyway bar move to New Zealand.

The faultline shifting is something that people absolutely know is going to happen and keep getting warnings about from it cracking every so often. At some point it won't just grind a bit, it will snap to release the building pressure and cause a catastrophe in San Fransisco amongst other cities. But while it would cause a lot of harm, it wouldn't destroy the world.

The big one -is- going to happen, and very likely in the next hundred years, Yellowstone is an extinction event, but may never happen.

I do believe Yellowstone will go off. Saw great documentaries on it can't remember the names though. Hopefully i will be gone before Yellowstone goes.

Seismic Activity at San Andreas Fault.

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