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Seismic Activity at San Andreas Fault.

  • 01-10-2016 06:13AM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭


    http://gizmodo.com/massive-earthquake-on-the-san-andreas-fault-is-disturbi-1787279784

    The only third swarm of earthquakes of this kind (140+ since Monday) since seismology started in the 30s, and nothing of this magnitude. The USGS is pinning the chance of the San Andreas Fault shifting - causing The Big One - is as high as 1/100 or as low as 1/3000 for the next month given the current status.
    Should the Big One hit, it won’t be pretty. Models predict a quake across the southern half of California with a magnitude around 7.8. Such a quake would cause an estimated 1,800 deaths, 50,000 injuries, and over $200 billion in damage.

    But as the USGS researchers point out, this is far from an inevitability. The swarm under the Salton Sea may subside, or fail to influence the gigantic fault nearby. Moreover, the estimates provided by the scientists are exactly that—estimates. The science of earthquake prediction is still very much in its infancy, and these models are very likely crunching away with insufficient data. No need to panic just yet.

    Thought you ought to know.


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 804 ✭✭✭doubledown


    Otisburg?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,567 ✭✭✭✭Cookie_Monster


    I'm sure Trump will find a way to blame it on the Mexicans.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,696 ✭✭✭✭kneemos


    I wouldn't even fall out of bed for less than a 4.7.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,915 ✭✭✭The flying mouse


    A whole lot a shaking going on...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 50 ✭✭glenq


    I'm sure Trump will find a way to blame it on the Mexicans.

    He's gonna fill in the fault with cement, and get the Mexicans to do it, and he's gonna make the seismologists pay for it.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,024 ✭✭✭gifted


    I've just walked away from seismic pooh if that counts....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,696 ✭✭✭✭kneemos


    The Yosemite Park Caldera could be the real game changer.Given how they coped in New Orleans I wouldn't like to be anywhere near when either of them pop.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    Keep America Earthquake-free. Vote Trump.


  • Moderators, Regional East Moderators Posts: 23,241 Mod ✭✭✭✭GLaDOS


    Don't be silly OP, GTA: San Andreas is a video game :rolleyes:

    Cake, and grief counseling, will be available at the conclusion of the test



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,544 ✭✭✭Samaris


    kneemos wrote: »
    The Yosemite Park Caldera could be the real game changer.Given how they coped in New Orleans I wouldn't like to be anywhere near when either of them pop.

    -Would- be a game-changer. Yosemite popping would be extremely messy and likely destroy most of the northern United States. The San Andreas Big One wouldn't be fun to live through, but at its absolute worst, it wouldn't affect more than a state (roughly). Yosemite is orders of magnitude bigger in terms of potential disaster.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,828 ✭✭✭thomil


    I think you mean Yellowstone. Yosemite has been geologically dead for millions of years, and has mostly been sculpted by glacial erosion, not volcanic activity. Yellowstone, on the other hand, is pretty alive, and a real headache.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,564 ✭✭✭✭whiskeyman


    With so many tech firms based there, I wonder what sort of impact 'the big one' would have on the global economy when it happens


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,544 ✭✭✭Samaris


    thomil wrote: »
    I think you mean Yellowstone. Yosemite has been geologically dead for millions of years, and has mostly been sculpted by glacial erosion, not volcanic activity. Yellowstone, on the other hand, is pretty alive, and a real headache.

    Derp, yes. I knew there was something wrong with that while I was responding to it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭PucaMama


    Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,572 ✭✭✭DominoDub


    whiskeyman wrote: »
    With so many tech firms based there, I wonder what sort of impact 'the big one' would have on the global economy when it happens

    The reason why Ireland is the perfect location for their Datacenters (no earthquakes, and big changes in weather temp) ...eg .Microsoft , Amazon, Facebook and with Apple building one in the west.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,990 ✭✭✭Cool_CM


    whiskeyman wrote: »
    With so many tech firms based there, I wonder what sort of impact 'the big one' would have on the global economy when it happens

    Don't worry, James Bond will save them.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 715 ✭✭✭Cianmcliam


    PucaMama wrote: »
    Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

    Yep, crop failure, disease, violent upheavals, erratic internet connections.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Better call the Rock


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,070 ✭✭✭Unearthly


    Run of the mill blockbuster with Dwayne The Rock Johnson 4/10


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭PucaMama


    Cianmcliam wrote: »
    PucaMama wrote: »
    Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

    Yep, crop failure, disease, violent upheavals, erratic internet connections.
    I could deal with cannibalism (from crop failure) and war ....but erratic internet connection!!!


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,299 ✭✭✭✭The Backwards Man


    On the plus side, you would be able to eat your pic-a-nic in relative peace.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭PucaMama


    San Andreas is on sky action right now op


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    I'm sure Trump will find a way to blame it on the Mexicans.
    It was the feckin rapey little Mexican banditos.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,624 ✭✭✭Little CuChulainn


    Models predict a quake across the southern half of California with a magnitude around 7.8.

    Sure what would models know about it? I'd prefer a more qualified opinion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,410 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    Have seismologists ever correctly predicted a big earthquake before it happened?


  • Posts: 26,052 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    There's a State-wide alert in force in California, something they don't issue lightly.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It's always someone's fault, isn't it? No personal responsibility any more.

    *rabble rabble*


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,544 ✭✭✭Samaris


    PucaMama wrote: »
    Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

    Yellowstone "wins" hands-down; if the cauldara erupted violently, it would basically destroy the United States and Canada. Physically, it would take out everything from Washington to Kansas, and it would effectually ruin from the midlands to states on the eastern seaboard. After that, the ash cloud would cover the northern hemisphere and t could be a decade without summers, with consequent catastrophes to food production. But it's not that likely to happen. Nothing you can do to prepare for it anyway bar move to New Zealand.

    The faultline shifting is something that people absolutely know is going to happen and keep getting warnings about from it cracking every so often. At some point it won't just grind a bit, it will snap to release the building pressure and cause a catastrophe in San Fransisco amongst other cities. But while it would cause a lot of harm, it wouldn't destroy the world.

    The big one -is- going to happen, and very likely in the next hundred years, Yellowstone is an extinction event, but may never happen.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,227 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    10.0 earthquake is on Syfy right now. :pac:

    Y'all should watch it. :D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,100 ✭✭✭Autonomous Cowherd


    It would (will?) be pretty shocking to wake up some morning and hear there has been a massive earthquake in California.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,888 ✭✭✭Atoms for Peace


    Its like the plot to escape from LA...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,802 ✭✭✭cml387


    Coincidentally there is action at the dangerous Icelandic volcano known as Katla

    And a big hurricane headed for Jamaica.

    Never turn your back on mother earth.

    Name the pop group?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,609 ✭✭✭Stigura


    cml387 wrote: »
    Never turn your back on mother earth.

    Name the pop group?

    Sparks. Saw them live.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 24,465 ✭✭✭✭darkpagandeath


    Build a wall around the fault job done.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,239 ✭✭✭Jimbob1977


    That Charlton Heston film from the 1970s is a decent thriller. Earthquake.

    The 1989 Baseball World Series between San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics (The Bay Series) was interrupted live on TV by the Loma Pieta earthquake.

    Building on a fault line is a huge gamble.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,166 ✭✭✭✭Del2005


    Samaris wrote: »
    -Would- be a game-changer. Yosemite popping would be extremely messy and likely destroy most of the northern United States. The San Andreas Big One wouldn't be fun to live through, but at its absolute worst, it wouldn't affect more than a state (roughly). Yosemite is orders of magnitude bigger in terms of potential disaster.

    I think if San Andreas goes it'll affect a bit more than one State as the tsunami would do a bit of damage around the Pacific. And even if it just affected one State it is one of the biggest economies in the world if it wasn't part of the USA so there would be serious financial difficulties afterwards, without even getting into the potential loss of life and major infrastructure destruction.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,092 ✭✭✭OU812


    Jimbob1977 wrote: »
    That Charlton Heston film from the 1970s is a decent thriller. Earthquake.

    Very dated by today's standards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,092 ✭✭✭OU812


    Samaris wrote: »
    The San Andreas Big One wouldn't be fun to live through, but at its absolute worst, it wouldn't affect more than a state (roughly). Yosemite is orders of magnitude bigger in terms of potential disaster.

    California economy is the largest in the US (by 49% over the next closest state - Texas), there's also the neighbouring states - Washington, Oregon, Nevada, New Mexico which would be affected. Depending on where & when it strikes, the San Andreas has the potential to cause devastation in several of them.

    Candie wrote: »
    There's a State-wide alert in force in California, something they don't issue lightly.

    Have you a source for this please?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,609 ✭✭✭Stigura




    F**king brilliant number!


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 9,355 CMod ✭✭✭✭Fathom


    Overheal wrote: »
    The only third swarm of earthquakes of this kind (140+ since Monday) since seismology started in the 30s, and nothing of this magnitude. The USGS is pinning the chance of the San Andreas Fault shifting - causing The Big One - is as high as 1/100 or as low as 1/3000 for the next month given the current status.
    California shakes. Always. Rarely notice. This morning I did. Looked behind. No one. Slight floor tremor. BIG ONE? Tomorrow? Or 1000 years? No one knows. Geologic time vast. Human species history? Geologic eye blink.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,900 ✭✭✭InTheTrees




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,900 ✭✭✭InTheTrees


    Its scary. In a kind of abstract way. It could happen tomorrow or in a thousand years.

    I've been in a 7.1, and a 6.8 and many many 5+

    We're in Seattle now. With the added risk of an active volcano just south of the city.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,092 ✭✭✭OU812


    InTheTrees wrote: »

    We're in Seattle now. With the added risk of an active volcano just south of the city.

    Love to see Seattle. Hope to get there one day to see a game at Century Link. I listen to KZOK online & it sounds like a really great city.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 9,355 CMod ✭✭✭✭Fathom


    InTheTrees wrote: »
    We're in Seattle now. With the added risk of an active volcano just south of the city.
    California = earthquakes. Washington = volcanos. Oklahoma = tornados. Lousiana = hurricanes. Colorado = avalanches. Living Earth.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,900 ✭✭✭InTheTrees


    Fathom wrote: »
    California = earthquakes. Washington = volcanos. Oklahoma = tornados. Lousiana = hurricanes. Colorado = avalanches. Living Earth.

    Washington gets earthquakes too. I think Alaska is the most seismically active US state.
    The "Ring Of Fire" surrounds the pacific ocean and is responsible for quakes in Japan, Cille, NZ, and the USA.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ring_of_Fire


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,529 ✭✭✭BrokenArrows


    Fathom wrote: »
    California = earthquakes. Washington = volcanos. Oklahoma = tornados. Lousiana = hurricanes. Colorado = avalanches. Living Earth.

    Ireland = Rain

    So boring.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 9,355 CMod ✭✭✭✭Fathom


    InTheTrees wrote: »
    Washington gets earthquakes too.
    Rockies = earthquakes.
    Ireland = Rain So boring.
    Rain. Lucky you. Green. So Cal = drought.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,166 ✭✭✭✭Del2005


    Ireland = Rain

    So boring.

    Boring gets a lot of FDI though.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9 Brave_Horatius


    I mean, how am I going to cook all the human we'll be eating if I can't even get onto the beebs food website?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭PucaMama


    Samaris wrote: »
    PucaMama wrote: »
    Would Yellowstone not affect us too? I would have thought people would be far more worried about Yellowstone than San Andreas

    Yellowstone "wins" hands-down; if the cauldara erupted violently, it would basically destroy the United States and Canada. Physically, it would take out everything from Washington to Kansas, and it would effectually ruin from the midlands to states on the eastern seaboard. After that, the ash cloud would cover the northern hemisphere and t could be a decade without summers, with consequent catastrophes to food production. But it's not that likely to happen. Nothing you can do to prepare for it anyway bar move to New Zealand.

    The faultline shifting is something that people absolutely know is going to happen and keep getting warnings about from it cracking every so often. At some point it won't just grind a bit, it will snap to release the building pressure and cause a catastrophe in San Fransisco amongst other cities. But while it would cause a lot of harm, it wouldn't destroy the world.

    The big one -is- going to happen, and very likely in the next hundred years, Yellowstone is an extinction event, but may never happen.
    I do believe Yellowstone will go off. Saw great documentaries on it can't remember the names though. Hopefully i will be gone before Yellowstone goes.


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