Share Picks 2021 - Thread banned users post #1

Easten wrote: »

Up to $195, I have a paper profit of 400% now :eek:

Best I've ever done to date is 240% when CCIV collapsed. Hope you keep driving forward!

Might have been a bit early about NIO, it has fanatical followers (like another EV maker..), just blew its sales numbers out of the park again and then there is the whole battery swap thing that could be a total game changer for EV's.
I can see lots and lots of runway ahead for it. Disclosure, I do own some, thinking about getting some more.

Yeh I'm torn about NIO, its still 20% of my portfolio, and has done fantastic for me across the last year, but this rollercoaster I cannot continue with such a significant part of my life savings ha. I'm seriously impressed with Will Li, the NIO CEO, he has dragged them out of the gutter and near bankruptcy in April 2020, and consistency has overdelivered on all their medium term target's which is exactly what you want for the long term in a growth company like them (only outside factor that effected targets was the chip shortage which cut projections for 1st half of this year, but with 8k June deliveries they have again overachieved on them revised projections). So I see more of the same across the next number of years, and them becoming a significant worldwide car manufacturer across the next 5yrs or so.

However meanwhile, their current valuation is just bananas (90billion or so), it will take another few years before that is actually justified (however article's like this throw out a trillion dollar value lol https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436753-nio-the-path-to-a-1-trillion-valuation). But who the hell knows, there is no logic anymore to stock market valuations, NIO could become a meme stock next few weeks for all I know haha, however given xpeng have just made a share offering to raise more capital, I think I will sell another 20% of my NIO today while on a good day, and if there is a significant pullback next few weeks I might swingtrade it alittle more.

Upcoming space investment trust, targeting 20% annual returns

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/ipo-watch-seraphim-capital-launch-fund-london-stock-exchange-150343992.html

Supercell wrote: »

Could be massive, in either direction! One to keep an eye on, personally would love to be part off the space race

I think I prefer the sound of this one than Arks ARKX, seems more focused on currently profitably business that future potential.

Finally got myself to roughly 20% cash (between my crypto and stocks accounts), this has been mostly from taking profit's in crypto but also reducing my growth stocks portfolio (however while still dollar cost averaging in the stock market on my higher conviction stocks). Anyways I'll aim to always keep 5% at least in cash, but the thing that is holding me back from buying anything more at the second, the Nasdaq is quite extended in its current range so we probably are due a market minor pullback over the next 2wks or so, I'll hold off until then.

Bought some Micron MU in the low 80's. My BEP on it is $79.6

Seems like too big a dip on the earnings which were good.

I see dear Rigolo is back in action, although pumping Vladimir Putin in AH rather than any stocks in here.
Some man for moonshot picks and crazy politics.

Treppen wrote: »

He tipped GME before Christmas though!.

I must head over and see what he's up to.

Ignore Rigoletto at your peril.

Which platform is $PUTN on?

He won't be able to stay out of here forever. I do this for fun as much as for the money. No retirement!

cc87 wrote: »

Good few weeks for $AMD, approaching it's previous ATH now. Be interesting to see if it will break through or drop back again.

That's one stock they just love shorting around earnings... great management, but backlog capacity is low so growth is low what with TSMC and the console contracts. They really need to get significant market share with their EPYC serverline as that's about the last bit of their TAM they have a chance of disrupting and gaining a double-digit growth rate YOY into 2030s.

In my opinion, they won't have the opportunity to do that from a pure manufacturing perspective for 18 months. But, tbh, their silicon and fabrication processes are just so good at the moment that they might still be in a dominant position when that time comes.



There's a lot wrong with it, but worth reading that ARK market trend report from the beginning of the year to get an idea of the HF and VC thoughts on where the server market is going, particularly with TPUs and GPUs harnessed en masse for machine learning and other adjacent applications. One of the big ones to watch is the FPGA style direct board integration that Intel is doing in this space - there's only so much you can do by throwing faster GPUs or CUDA cores at a given workload before you hit significant diminishing returns.

https://research.ark-invest.com/hubfs/1_Download_Files_ARK-Invest/White_Papers/ARK%E2%80%93Invest_BigIdeas_2021.pdf



However, ARK are missing the larger picture. Yes ARM will take a chunk of the x86 market - but EPYC will take a larger chunk due to existing supply chains and in-house fab, superior architecture, and a better OEM support structure for the big boys in the data market. Plus guess who revealed patents with Xilinx this year for onboard FPGAs in the CPUs themselves to futureproof their offerings?
https://hothardware.com/news/amd-patent-hybrid-cpu-fpga-design-xilinx

In particular, they focus on Intel in the x86 market as a fading force in order to make their argument. However, the current high-end Xeon octo-cores going into Data Centres atm have at least 36 months of a support contract tied in with them, the matched ECC ram, and probably the overall rack/blade chassis solution. In the meantime, Intel are focusing on exactly what they're pointing at here as the high-growth market space - acceleration boards and other non-CPU optimisations for data centres, and particularly for Machine Learning workloads which are the dominant growth sector, and the most expensive on a per-cycle workload basis due to the need for GPU/TPU/FPGAs outside of the CPUs.

What Intel are doing with their boards is affording the ability to address the other, now more attractive cost/benefit bottlenecks, focused on the I/O from the RAM to the cache, and the I/O from the SSDs and other bus addressable storage media into the working RAM buffer. This could net them a considerable, and previously overlooked, segment of the server market - motherboards and FPGA daughterboards tying into M2 slots and other future expansion ports.

The first, and most obvious place this is being addressed at the moment is with the network cards or NICs, which are getting extra brainpower and subsequently extra I/O throughput capacity from inbuilt FPGAs - which can be updated as and when algorithmic optimisations emerge, or the size and types of dataloads in machine learning changes.

Intel are doing this and more for the last year:

https://www.theregister.com/2021/06/15/intel_infrastructure_processing_units_strategy/

Here's a good breakdown of the most easily understood bit - the NIC stuff. It's an interesting space and ripe for M&A plays for the smaller players.

https://www.nextplatform.com/2021/02/23/giving-smartnics-bigger-fpga-and-cpu-brains/

Anyone still holding KR1 from earlier in the year? Annual results were out last night, massive growth as you'd expect although it was to year end 2020 so all things Crypto have gone nuts since then. The value of crypto assets held by them grew 500% in the year. Thats very big! Us shareholders literally own a piece of that, and the value of our piece grew 500% in the year. 2021 is likely to be even bigger.

Popped 26% today although that was only getting back losses over the past month. Some good threads on it if people want some weekend reading on it

https://twitter.com/Wexboy_Value/status/1410679984725897220

This guy Rahul is a big deal in crypto world, when his interview with KR1 management is released it'll jump again

https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI/status/1410966548978835458

For everyone else living in hope for 4D, another very positive article here about Blautix
https://www.clinicaltrialsarena.com/comment/microbiome-targeting-pipeline-immunological-indications/

cc87 wrote: »

Did anyone buy the DIDI ipo?

Might be in for a rough week……

My number one rule of investing: Never. Buy. China.

retalivity wrote: »

Aaaaannnnd hes gone, permabanned without even one tip. Disappointing.

Need a discord