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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    Remember that study is looking at the first wave in the UK, not now. With better treatment options, stronger contact tracing and now vaccines, I think this is a lesser issue than it was from the first wave.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,136 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    can anyone tell me what ages the people are being admitted to hospital and if they have been half or fully or not vaccinated?

    thanks.



  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Very sceptical about this.

    Long COVID, by the way, is associated with over 200 symptoms.

    How on Earth do you differentiate between COVID-related post-viral syndrome from other symptoms that many of these patients would have experienced anyway given their own health status?

    Attributing all to COVID is wrong. There is an interminable blizzard of factual mist regarding what they call long COVID.

    Post-viral syndromes are not rare, so let's not exaggerate the terminology either.

    What's needed is long-term, longitudinal studies. You cannot conclude what constitutes long COVID by short-term analysis.

    It will take many years to clearly define what we mean by the term. This will also involve filtering out most patients who are falsely associating their symptoms with the virus.

    Correlation does not equal causation, and this principle is amplified in cases where we aren't quite sure what we're dealing with.

    There is too much certainly regarding long COVID. More research, long term, is required.

    This idea that a large slice of the young are somehow highly susceptible to severe organ damage cannot be true. If it were true, I'd expect to see far more cases of severe damage in the youth across the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭greyday


    1173 today, more than 80% under 45, no test as yet to determine those susceptible to suffer from long Covid, where are you getting it is less of an issue?

    AFAIK there is no treatment to stop people suffering long covid thus far.



  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    But what we do know is that long COVID is most associated with patients hospitalized with the virus.

    Most of the young will not be hospitalized, so the fear generated that the young of today will experience severe long-term effects is just that - fear.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,195 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    I suppose it depends on your definition of 'huge risk'. If you are now one of the unvaccinated young that today are being told by a UK research report that you have a far higher than previously thought chance of developing a 'long covid' condition (heart, lung, kidney issues)... then you are now the most vulnerable category and you might not share the 'not a huge risk' attitude..

    Bottom line is... less people should be seriously affected by this current delta wave.... but if you are now in the target virus group (young and unvaccinated), you are now the most vulnerable risk and the more people that catch it, the more will end up in hospital. Todays research shows that a sizeable proportion of those who end up in hospital, including the young, will develop long term conditions. It is still a numbers game - the higher the rate of infection generally, the higher the risk of increased hospital cases. If you end up in hospital, young or old, you have a higher than previously thought chance of having a long term condition. Ronan Glynn explained it well on the 6 one news tonight.

    We do not have enough of the overall population vaccinated yet to say that the disease is no longer a huge risk. It is currently a higher risk for the young .... who decides how huge that risk is, on their behalf?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,528 ✭✭✭fun loving criminal


    If contact tracing worked sick people and their contacts would be at home isolating and wouldn't be out spreading covid which has lead to such high cases.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭greyday




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,136 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    What age are those hospitalised? Where they vaccinated?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 745 ✭✭✭ClosedAccountFuzzy


    All I know is my dad who is in his 60s had what looked extremely like COVID, very early in the outbreak. At the time everyone brushed it aside.

    He had been around people who’d been travelling extensively. He got what was diagnosed as viral pneumonia (based on oxygen levels) and was treated at home with antibiotics, antivirals and steroids. I assume only the steroids worked as the other drugs would have only cleared bacterial infection or influenza.

    I got it too. So did my brother & my niece.

    We all recovered, but wow it was the worst I’ve ever felt in my entire life. It was so bad I even put emergency money into family members bank accounts for paying bills in case I ended up in hospital as I thought I was going to die. It was THAT bad.

    My lungs were “bubbling” when I breathed and I spent nearly 3 weeks in bed. Couldn’t move. Huge temperature. Pouring sweat. Couldn’t smell. Couldn’t taste. Felt absolutely bloody awful. It about 3 months to feel remotely right again and even at this stage I still get out of breath way easier than I used to.

    My GP at the time told me it couldn’t have been COVID and must have been flu. We didn’t do any tests and I had an antibody test 6 months after which came back negative, which I have subsequently learnt is meaningless as it was too late.

    My dad still has a cough almost 2 years later. He’s has CT scans, MRI, and a bronchoscopy, without any significant issues other than mild scaring showing up but he’s still coughing really heavily, particularly at night.

    He’s subsequently been double jabbed with Moderna. I’ve had one jab of Pfizer and so have the other ppl who got it.

    In my experience, Long covid is *absolutely, definitely* a thing! Don’t just dismiss it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    I think I may have conflated what you said with a different study on long-COVID. Apologies if so!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,065 ✭✭✭funnydoggy


    Sounds rough :(

    Hope his lungs recover a bit more, the poor guy. Glad you all recovered from the worst of it.

    If it seemed like I was dismissing it, I'm not btw!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,725 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Long covid is a weird one, only been a few weeks of delta but seemingly it’s life altering


    This can’t end until we change the metrics



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,342 ✭✭✭CruelSummer



    ISAG are back out polluting the airwaves now that cases are going up.

    This quote jumped out at me

    “Tony Holohan is one of the most respected public health physicians I know. If Tony Holohan says it’s not safe, it’s not safe. That’s who you should take your public health advice from.”

    ISAG and members of NPHET are openly retweeting articles and backing each other up re prolonging closures. Yet no question to any ISAG member on their open wish to deceive the Irish public & Government.

    Now we have Tony Holohan having the absolute gall to try and ban children from restaurants & claim they need a vaccine for a virus that affects them less than flu. A virus that will continue to circulate globally vaccine or no vaccine. The damage being done to the family unit, to children and their development and to society in general is huge from statements like this.

    We have a HSE that seems worse than ever after Ireland spending 10s of Billions of Euro on the Covid pandemic, keeping businesses closed and people out of work instead of investing in new a&e’s, staff that came home when called upon, new hospitals and buildings.

    One would have to wonder what the aims and objectives of these people truly are when facts don’t match the narrative.

    Post edited by CruelSummer on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭greyday


    Long covid has been studied long before the delta variant became dominant, since the delta variant is more transmissible it is logical to expect more people to suffer from long covid if the numbers keep rising exponentially as we are currently seeing even with more than half the population fully vaccinated.



  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Can we have fewer of these statements?

    Scientists are not infallible. Science can tell you what the facts are, but not what to do with those facts.

    This applies to NPHET. They have been consistently wrong. Indeed, many of the policies espoused here - on an online forum - have been practiced elsewhere on the continent and to great effect, too.

    This almost religious zealotry with NPHET is beyond absurd.

    Early scientific studies regarding long COVID are premature at best. Clearly, later studies will prove more fruitful. Second, it's also premature to selectively quote which studies you prefer - and quote them accordingly.

    What I'd rather do is wait -- wait and analyse longitudinal studies and see where the cards really fall.

    Anyone can quote a scientist for any discipline in any journal. It's not the way science works.

    And for pandemic policy, you cannot derive what you ought to do based on models that have been consistently proven to be wrong.

    Does this mean I'm anti-science? No.

    It means I believe that the problem is multifactorial and should involve many factors. Religiously adhering to early studies that suit one's narrative is, however, the one sure way not to proceed.



  • Posts: 3,270 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    so is long flu https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29487124/


    and just about any viral infection. Remember viruses cause cancer too, HPV for example..and Microbes like H pylori cause cancer also, one in 5 people can have H pylori and yet stomach cancers are not being checked due to Covid cases!

    Tony needs to revise his idea of the precautionary principle to be honest. This is a convergence of interests now, "Experts" refusing to share data and offering a zero tolerance policy of governance. Media playing their part with the usual sensationalism and conflict creation between haves and have nots of the vaccine population. And lastly the politicians who are saving babies and not kissing them anymore..saving your granny, your grandad, wife, son etc etc etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,605 ✭✭✭tigger123


    I'd still listen to a scientist ahead of randomers on boards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 442 ✭✭Spiderman0081


    And you had everyone thinking you did care for people’s “rights” up until now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭greyday


    Apologies but you sound a bit off your head TBH, you don't accept preliminary studies that strongly suggest a significant number of people infected with suffer from long covid, your opinion counts far less than scientists who have studied this from the outset, in fact I would say to me your uneducated opinion is dangerous.

    Most reasonable people would admit we need to be cautious until we have numbers under control due to what we already know about long covid, what we learn in the future will be of enormous benefit but what we already know is reason enough to be cautious.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,725 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    I’ve no doubt we could say that until we are on our deathbeds



  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    How can we call anything “long” when Covid itself only started last year…

    Obviously it generates clicks talking about long Covid but there is really no evidence at all that people will be sick long term.

    The vast majority are grand a few days later if they even felt sick at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,567 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Why are you counting pre-pandemic government debt as Covid debt?

    The government has not spent 250 billion on it's Covid response since March of last year FFS!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,725 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 745 ✭✭✭ClosedAccountFuzzy



    I’m not suggesting that you can prevent every infection. However that wasn’t “long flu” given the travel patterns of some of his colleagues, which included China (including Wuhan) it was almost certainly the original strain of COVID.

    I’ve had and seen influenza several times ans the symptoms were significantly different.

    I’d add that he was vaccinated against flu that year. So was I. I know flu vaccines are hit and miss given the technology used (drastically different to the covid jabs). I also know flu can be deadly, I lost a very active, fit and healthy older relative to it a couple of years ago.

    All I’m saying is there are very large numbers of reports of on going serious symptoms after COVID. Being a virus that’s new to humans that’s also not at all surprising. It isn’t well adapted to us and we aren’t well adapted to it either - hence the extreme immune response and so on.

    We will get there with mass vaccination of everyone before the year is out and that should hopefully allow us to build herd immunity if people can get covid and recover.

    Im by no means an advocate of staying locked down for ever. I just think we need to be a bit practical and maximise vaccination (which we are doing.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,154 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    Tony Holohan hasn't tried to ban children from restaurants. He's said it's unadvisable to bring them into these indoor settings and that the safer option to eat outside exists.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,567 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I'm not saying the Government isn't in debt. It's debatable if it's never being higher, depending on metrics and comparison used.

    But if a poster is implying the Government has spend 250bil on the pandemic so far, they should be called out on a blatant lie.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 706 ✭✭✭TefalBrain


    The vast majority wouldn't even know they have it.


    For every long covid scare story there is a hundred who have recovered with no after effects and another 100 who had zero symptoms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭greyday




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,678 ✭✭✭Multipass


    There are also a number of people damaged by the vaccines, but no-one much cares about them.



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