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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,439 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    If getting ill is the measure then I suspect somebody previously infected has very little to be worrying about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    However, it said it still expects booster shots to be necessary ahead of the winter season as antibody levels are expected to wane.


    Data from Israel shows the waning immunity also erodes protection from severe illness.

    Both those articles confirm my point - vaccine immunity is waning, and we're only looking at 6 months in.

    There is no conclusive evidence that vaccine immunity is better or longer lasting than natural immunity from recovery.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,899 ✭✭✭Dickie10


    covid is yesterdays news its all about climate change again now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,571 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    Fact is, they don't know how long you are protected with the vaccine and they also don't know how long you're protected having previously had the virus.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,571 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,439 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    And if you catch it again do you think you will be that ill again?



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,571 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    I wouldn't imagine so. That's why I'm in no rush to get the vaccine now.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,760 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    And we give them the freedom of Dublin and honorary doctorates. What a country.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,439 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    That was my point. Previously asymptomatic people will probably still be asymptomatic if they catch it again. People who were slightly ill previously will probably be even less ill if they catch it again. People who were very ill will probably not be as ill the second time around. People in ICU the first time will likely fare much better.

    If stopping illness is the stated goal then previously having covid will probably do that job perfectly well.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    From an earlier mention of how that poster just hadn`t got around to availing of a vaccine and how terrible they felt from contracting the virus, I would have my doubts if he/she could go back in time they would rely solely on their immune system to prevent infection or lessen the symptoms.



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,906 Mod ✭✭✭✭shesty


    Would you not get vaccinated to extend how long you may be immune for?

    I don't know when you were ill, but if it was say 6 months ago, and you got vaccinated now, then if your immunity from previous illness is waning somewhat, surely the vaccination would extend that immunity somewhat? Potentially vaccine immunity can wane (possibly) but unless you were sick last week, surely it's no skin off your nose to get vaccinated regardless of whether you have had covid??

    Genuine question.



  • Registered Users Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    I guess all the covidistas will go from “we can get back to normal once everyone is fully vaccinated” to “we can get back to normal once everyone has had their booster jab” very soon.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,746 ✭✭✭Captain_Crash


    There is evidence that immunity from having covid may last most of ones life, so the requirement for a vaccine if you’ve had the ‘rona previously would appear to be minimal.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01442-9



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I seriously wonder sometimes have people completely lost the ability to read anything more than a headline.

    "Had COVID? You’ll probably make antibodies for a lifetime

    People who recover from mild COVID-19 have bone-marrow cells that can churn out antibodies for decades, although viral variants could dampen some of the protection they offer."

    "Adding to the good news, “the implications are that vaccines will have the same durable effect”"

    "But the persistence of antibody production, whether elicited by vaccination or by infection, does not ensure long-lasting immunity to COVID-19. The ability of some emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants to blunt the protective effects of antibodies means that additional immunizations may be needed to restore levels, says Ellebedy. “My presumption is, we will need a booster.”"



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    That reference to boosters there means new vaccines tailored to new variants - to counter the variants "blunting effect of antibodies"

    Which doesnt support your argument either - vaccinated people will need those kind of tailored booster shots should variants arise that are tougher to deal with.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Those antibodies acquired both through infection and vaccination.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Exactly - the situation described in that article equally pertains to vaccines as it does to natural immunity.

    Its effectively saying - enough mutations will weaken any immunity to the old virus strain A. So of course anyone with naturally immunity or vaccine immunity to strain A will possibly require an updated virus (or be infected with new strain). Its not an argument that supports natural vs vaccine immunity though.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The contention raised was that this article did not support the requirement to have a vaccine after previous infection In fact it did the exact opposite.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    It makes the assumption of enough antigenic drift in the virus to need a new vaccine.

    Thats like arguing that covid immunity doesnt protect against the flu - well yeah no sh*t. The immunity to covid and strains close to that the original immunity came from, could well last most of ones life. Vaccine immunity might too. But neither will protect you against fundamentally different viruses (or those that mutate enough to get around existing antibodies)



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,962 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    HSE say 169 people have died with/from COVID since the start of April.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



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  • Registered Users Posts: 801 ✭✭✭Relax brah


    The concept of herd immunity always has been a weak concept as used in the media. The coronavirus is not likely to go away. It will probably stay with us forever. Like the flu influenza virus and the other human coronavirus already circulating among us and giving us the cold. For more information you can also google the terms: Coronavirus endemic

    The combination of vaccination and natural immunity will turn this novel coronavirus into another flu-like and cold-like virus. Giving us no symptoms or mild symptoms for those already infected or those vaccinated. It's already the case for those vaccinated or those who gain natural immunity by getting infected one time by it. Like with the flu and viruses giving cold, each of us will probably be infected many times in our lifetime with this new coronavirus.

    The reason why many people, especially those with a weak immune system like elderly people and people with pre-existing health conditions, died or suffered severe symptoms from the new coronavirus was because it was a new virus. After you catch it for the first time or you get vaccinated, your body mount an immune response to it. Rendering future infections much milder. Common examples are the flu virus or other human coronavirus already circulating among us.

    The influenza virus mutates even faster than this coronavirus. That's why a yearly flu shots is suggested to people. Especially the elderly which have a weaker immune system as we age.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,053 ✭✭✭Red Silurian


    We've only had mass vaccination for the last 6 months, what are you expecting? Results from the last 3 years?

    Would you not be worried that the government will relax more restrictions in the coming weeks and months but only to those who are vaccinated? Meaning your hesitancy to bring vaccinated could mean you get left behind



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, this is not antigenic drift they are talking about. Antigenic drift in the spike protein for covid such that it could evade pre-existing immunity would result in a virus less effective at infection. What this is talking about is that antibodies are long lasting, however the levels fall away following both vaccination and infection. This means that newer variants with slight differences can evade the reduced antibody load long enough for an infection to take hold prior to the antibodies being produced in sufficient numbers. What boosters do is reset the anti-body load to max increasing the chances of detection and removal by the immune system prior to infection. In the long term repeated exposure to the virus should serve the same purpose. In the short term, boosters for a "portion" of the population would be wise



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It was but sadly it was a global problem. A lot of of it was also to do with the care homes themselves, their poor levels of infection control and staff working in multiple locations. Was told by someone working with NHs as HSE support from April last year that some of these homes should not be allowed to operate and that many of those are HIQA supervised.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,739 ✭✭✭scamalert


    hopefully once they complete upgrade to windows 98 we can get accurate stats of from, and age breakdown.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    And those in high positions in the HSE knew exactly how these nursing homes were run, poorly trained staff, many from countries where their nursing qualifications arent recognised here, so work in a nursing home for a year and then get to work in other settings.

    Also if those elderly people could be discharged in a hurry when covid landed why were they taking up beds in hospital anyway.

    Is it because of lack of nursing home places, delays by families finding a place because nursing home care is expensive, impossibility of getting home help, not enough step down beds. We need information as to why the the elderly people are blocking up acute hospital beds as this issue is causing the waiting lists for surgery to get longer and longer.

    The other thing is the discharge data and how so few are discharged over the weekend, is this because of lack of staff on a Friday to sign discharge papers, this has been ongoing since March 2020 even though we are in a pandemic, what is the reason for people staying in hospital over the weekend, getting out on Monday,whats happening in the hospital over the weekend or could these people be sent home on Friday if there was greater efficiency.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,053 ✭✭✭Red Silurian


    The HSE decided in their wisdom last March to put covid patients into care homes, yes it happened all over the world, not just in the HSE but it happened and it could, very sadly, have easily been stopped if somebody had used the noggin



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Most of those elderly people probably shouldnt have been in hospital anyway.

    We need data on hospital numbers, how long people are there for, what is the reason, are they waiting for nursing home places, what is causing the delay in discharging them to more suitable accomodation. Do we need to build smaller units for broken hips etc so we dont have elderly people arriving to major hospitals by ambulance, getting their hip repaired, family drag their heels on nursing home because its expensive and public bed is free and elderly parent ends up in bed for weeks and weeks.

    Its past time there was a full investigation into the health service and it should be done by outsiders, we cant continue throwing billions at it and employing people on salaries of 400,000 a year and then finding the country paralysed for months on end because of a virus.

    How much better off are we since March 2020, was any other health service a victim of a cyber attack like us, did we not spend enough to ensure the service would be protected from cyber attacks, why are no journalists asking these questions.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,053 ✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Did they say this today? There's been 133 days since April 1st so that's an average of 1.3 a day

    While it's auful to have any loss of life due to this virus it's far better than the average of 30 odd that died a day in January



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