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Will you take an approved COVID-19 vaccine?

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Comments

  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But if herd immunity is not possible as is now being predicted and break through infections become more common as efficacy wanes- vaccinating all kids is pointless? It’s a mild illness in kids that seems to confer longer lasting natural immunity than mRNA vaccines that have no long term data- we are only finding out this week that they don’t give strong immunity for very long for example.

    I never mentioned herd immunity. Even without herd immunity, the more people who are vaccinated, the less likely it is that someone gets it.

    Also, vaccines won't be recommended to children unless the benefit/risk balance implies that the benefits outweigh the risks for the children, regardless of reducing the spread. Therefore, even if everything I said above was pointless, kids should still take the vaccine for their own sake. As medical experts believe all unvaccinated people will eventually get Covid, kids should also get vaccinated for their sake alone because the small likelihood of them getting very sick with Covid is still greater than the even smaller likelihood of them getting very sick with a vaccine. If the trials do not demonstrate that, then kids will not be recommended to take a vaccine and you then have nothing to decide.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,934 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The mRNA vaccines invoke a very strong immune response in the person, generally much more than someone who catches COVID without a vaccine. While the number of antibodies does wane, the starting point is so high that even after waning the response remains very strong. Also remember that being infected with COVID without vaccine will also result in waning antibodies and generally with a much lower starting point.

    Break through infections aren't more common than predicted based on the efficacy results, the numbers required to achieve herd immunity has gone from ~60% to ~80% due to a more transmissible variant. It is also not the plan to reach herd immunity (but it may happen anyway) as part of the rollout, the plan is purely based on hospital numbers and how many they can handle at a given case rate (which is now much higher due to the link between cases and hospitalizations being broken by vaccines).



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    I hope you’re right. Don’t like what we’re seeing in Israel at the moment!

    Are people generally happy to accept boosters every few months? I know I’m not.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,934 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    For the vast majority it will probably be (and this is me guessing) an annual booster akin to the flu vaccine, I could only see vulnerable groups and possibly healthcare workers (who could be encountering people with a high viral load and thus get a high viral load themselves) getting boosters more often. Even then, I don't see it happening in the long term unless there is a mutant variant that keeps all the pro's that the current virus and none of the cons (stability of the spike protein which vaccines target). We're also likely to see multi-targeted vaccines that don't just go after the spike in the future, but they may arrive too late to make commercial sense.

    The world will move on quicker than people realize once all restrictions are lifted.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    When you say you're not happy with boosters, are you happier with the alternative of cases rising as in Israel?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭revelman


    For anyone worried about the potential long term effects of the vaccines, I’d recommend reading this very interesting piece in the National Geographic, explaining why most side effects happen within the first few days and at the latest by six weeks. It is very unlikely for anything to emerge after this point.

    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/vaccines-are-highly-unlikely-to-cause-side-effects-long-after-getting-the-shot-



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    I’m just not happy about how quickly the narrative is changing to needing a booster every few months- you’d have been labelled a conspiracy theorist if you’d have predicted this scenario last summer. I’m low risk for covid and like many would be more concerned about indoor dining pass expiring.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Vaccine boosters are quite common. Children in junior infants receive a vaccine booster. Why would you have been labelled a conspiracy theorist? Were you unhappy about children receiving these booster shots before Covid?

    The narrative is changing because the variants that exists are changing and there is no way of telling how effective current vaccines will be against newer variants. Nobody is "happy" about receiving any kind of shot, but people should certainly be happy if trials shows that boosters are effective.

    You're concerned about indoor dining? Are you concerned about the hospitals being overwhelmed?



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    Why would you have been labelled a conspiracy theorist if you had said last summer that in summer 2021 you would need to be vaccinated to eat indoors but there would be no such things as fully vaccinated because boosters would be needed in perpetuity?

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Depends on how you answered the follow up question, "why do you think that?". If you said it was because variants are common in viruses and that you wouldn't be surprised if the first round of vaccines didn't remain effective against variants that existed while the virus was still rampant, I would have considered you a logical person.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    Hindsight is 20/20 I suppose, being an armchair virologist however is very 20/21.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Are you referring to me? I'm not a virologist but I have published papers in medicine and co-authored a book on medicine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    Nope, general statement. Though I do find your posts quire confrontational.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Nice edit.

    If my comments were confrontational, they would in the vein of "no you're wrong and here's why". Instead, I've asked you questions and/or explained my reasoning in almost all of my posts.



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    No need to explain gov. I’ve explained how they come across to me, a random stranger on the internet. Just my opinion, not a topic for debate where you need to try to convince me I’m wrong, no offence intended- just how I see it. There are just so many on here that come across as experts and are all transmit and no receive, perhaps that isn’t u hard to keep up with this new poxy site layout!

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So what do you mean by "I’m just not happy about how quickly the narrative is changing to needing a booster"? Do you mean you're unhappy with the dastardly virus itself for making it necessary? Or are you unhappy with certain people? Which people?



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    it a kin to the rug being pulled….again. just when I was starting to feel positive about the lead countries in the vaccine roll out looking good and hopeful, the reality of this being an on going thing for years dawns. I was probably naive to fall for the ‘cavalry are coming over the hill’ narrative and the vaccines would return us to normal, I’m mad at myself for that, mad at the virus and we’ll just mad. I’d never describe a virus as dastardly though, strange adjective to use from a microscopic pathogen.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So you're primarily unhappy with the fact that you were unlucky to have had a pandemic occur in your lifetime rather than with how the pandemic has been handled?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,295 ✭✭✭✭sligeach


    I transcribed these comments from the radio. The podcast only went up today. I wanted to get it right what he said, so had to wait to hear it again.

    "I'll say just one thing Anton, right straight to you. This vaccine against the Corona virus, the Covid-19 vaccine, that we have available at the moment, is really good at preventing people from dying when they get the disease. I actually, do not, personally, believe that the vaccine should be used as the basic means for ending the pandemic. And so I am not at this stage recommending widespread use of the vaccine amongst children.


    I think that it's quite reasonable in a society, like Irish society, for schools to restart and for the vaccine to be used, primarily for the people who are most likely to get badly ill with Covid, and for us to then keep a very clear watch on society and check to see who is getting sick with the disease, and I think we'll find, that children will continue to do fine, that the older people who are more likely to suffer, people of my age, 72, that we will be protected, because, yes, our vaccines will make it much less likely for us to get ill. So I will not personally, have any problem with returning to school in September. I think that's a good decision and one that I would support." - Dr David Nabarro, Special Envoy to the WHO and Imperial College London professor speaking on The Hard Shoulder yesterday.





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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,295 ✭✭✭✭sligeach


    It's the last question put to Dr Nabarro and it starts around the 9 minute mark.



  • Posts: 18,962 [Deleted User]


    New study published in the Lancet points to Vaccines reducing the risk of getting Long Covid by half

    Breakthrough infections were almost twice as likely to be asymptomatic in the fully vaccinated, the researchers found, and these patients were half as likely to develop long Covid, the debilitating, lingering illness that can persist for months or years after infection.

    Vaccines Slash Risk Of Long Covid From Breakthrough Infections, Study Finds

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2021/09/01/vaccines-slash-risks-of-serious-illness-hospitalization-and-long-covid-for-breakthrough-coronavirus-infections-study-confirms/?sh=2affd7286a20


    Well that's another big positive in the vaccines column imo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Sure we do boosters for kids but there's a not unreasonable thought process in some people's minds that we could end up with a series of multiple boosters for this whether we need them or not. Personally more in favour of giving it to those who actually need it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,776 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    The latest report from the HPSC puts the figure at 493 per 100,000 people up to 1 September. Just over a week ago, it was at 532.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Just heard an interesting quote from an infectious disease expert being interviewed “ The description of Covid as a pandemic must now be qualified, it is a pandemic in the unvaccinated, they are now the people getting sick, dying, and spreading the disease”



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  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    That seems to be a false statement given the amount of breakthrough infections, sick and dying amongst the vaccinated too- granted we are told infections in the fully vaccinated are mild but when everybody was unvaccinated that was still the case- most people had mild infections. Couple of months ago we were comparing India to Israel, if we make those comparisons again today it tells a very different story. Would be interested to here the above mentioned infectious disease experts view on that. Seems the more we learn about covid the less we know.

    Personally I feel natural infection is the best type of protection going forward- unfortunately that method leads to big spikes that wipe out the most vulnerable and overwhelm health services.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So, let the virus spread, overwhelm the hospitals and people die is the best way to go.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,156 ✭✭✭✭Lumen




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Actually you posted in response to me. And I did not "make light" of anything despite you claiming three or four times that I did. I did the opposite. I expressed my deep hope that the few vocal vaccine hesitant people I know (thankfully very few) are not going to follow a similar story arc as the picture I posted. This is not making light - it is expressing the hope that a tragedy reported in the media is not one I see repeated in my own life. I hope I trust we all share.

    I also did not make the implication you have put into my mouth either. I literally said no such thing at all. In fact I agree with you about "being cocky". But the only person who was unfortunately cocky was the person who died in the aforementioned tragedy with his "Lab rat" comment. It was a petty throw away judgemental comment that was entirely unwarranted and unbecoming. The man certainly did not deserve to suffer or die for it however. I wish his remaining family and friends all the best.

    I too - like others - would like to see your workings and figures and sources here though. Whatever the source is for your comments I think the most important word in your claim is "present". A word I would hope the source(s) normalize for. Because I do not assume - nor should we - that one presenting group is the same as the other when we evaluate the "proportions" of terminal cases.

    If vaccination reduces viral loads and as such transmission rates and power - and it reduces cases of presentable illness and the veracity of that illness - and it reduces the time it takes the body to fight off infection - the fact that despite all that a Vaccinated person is still "presenting" suggests that their cases are more serious for whatever reason (unknown) than an unvaccinated person "presenting". So if 1000 vaccinated people presented and 1000 unvaccinated people presented - then my guess from the outset would automatically be to assume there would be more deaths in group A for that reason alone. Put another way - if two people presented with identical variants - symptoms - and severity and the only difference is one is vaccinated and other not - then I would not consider it a safe assumption at all to treat the two cases as identical. And if for some magical reason I had to choose which one to treat first - I would be going with the vaccinated one for this reason if I had no other data and had to make a call.

    There is also the idea that at risk people may be prioritized for vaccination too. That will skew the data. Because the aforementioned under 50s who are vaccinated will contain a higher proportion of those risk patients than the aforementioned under 50s who were not vaccinated. Again therefore for this reason too if 1000 vaccinated people presented and 1000 unvaccinated people presented - and I had no other data to work with - then my guess from the outset would automatically be to assume there would be more deaths in group A. Unless your source normalizes for that.

    So basically if the vaccines are doing what the people supporting their use are claiming they are doing - I would actually _ expect _ the statistic you are offering rather than be surprised by it. But there is a lot to normalize for there before the statistics give a true picture so I would need to evaluate your entire source myself before I really comment either way.

    So at the moment looking at the death statistics solely among the "presenting" population would strike me as a red herring statistic from which we can garner little usable or relevant data, conclusions or even mildly interesting talking points. In isolation it is an entirely useless data point. It might become more illuminating with significantly more context and up and down stream data points - but on it's own I see no utility or relevance here.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I do not think it is a "huge coincidence" at all. Things like this certainly look like huge coincidences when you focus in on one single solitary anecdote. But the fact we humans are so easily fooled by single anecdotes is precisely why we have a science of epidemiology. It is the same error in cognition that humans made when they believed that vaccines caused autism based off single anecdotes.

    A certain number of people in a population will develop autism in a given year. A certain number of people in a population with experience a blood clot in any given day. If said population happened to be vaccinated within that time window therefore then the statistical fact is that these things will coincide and that is not "huge" but entirely normal and expected. But if you take any one single anecdote within that data set - then the human mind has a tendency to ascribe undue and deep relevance to it.

    That is not to say that vaccines do not cause blood clots. Perhaps they do. But we can not simply make that assumption about any one single case.

    As you say though, condolences to the family and any similar family who loses anyone. I hope their obvious suffering is not compounded by false conclusions or bad data. They have it hard enough without that to contend with too.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,776 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump



    Yet Donnelley said the last day that it was 50/50 vaxxed/unvaxxed in hospitals, so you might as well give out about those who are vaccinated spreading the disease too



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,454 ✭✭✭✭Ha Long Bay


    If close to 90% of the adult population are vaccinated that stat shows how well vaccines work?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,776 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    But those still ending up in hospitals is 50/50 vaxxed/unvaxxed, so blaming the 10% who aren't vaccinated for the cause of this is bullshit!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,760 ✭✭✭el diablo


    Yep, the jabbed are variant factories. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out in the coming months (flu season etc).

    We're all in this psy-op together.🤨



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The 10% not vaxxed are mostly young. The numbers not vaccinated in age groups susceptible to to hospitalisation are minuscule. That they make up 50% of hospitalisations is a powerful testimony of the effectiveness of vaccines.

    It must also be pointed out in the very old and extremely vulnerable, many people are now actually getting the chance to go to hospital whereas previously their chances were so slim they were kept in their care setting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,589 ✭✭✭circular flexing


    If the vaccines didn't work then you would expect the numbers in hospital to reflect that and be 90/10 (or whatever it is). The fact that 10% of the population make up 50% of the hospital admissions is clear evidence that they do work.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    All the variants so far have come out of unvaccinated populations so I'm not sure which idiot convinced you that the the vaccinated are variant factories. That idea has been going around the daft bits of the internet but it's completely made up and aimed only at stupid people. Here is the data of the origins of the main variants and you'll notice that all of them came from unvaccinated populations. The lambda and mu variants aren't on it but those are from Peru and Colombia respectively which are still a long way from even being 50% vaccinated, meaning that they were even less well vaccinated when these variants came about.

    So now you have a choice. You can choose to believe that the vaccinated are variant factories despite the evidence or you can wise up and stop talking shíte.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,760 ✭✭✭el diablo


    So why are countries such as Sweden and Portugal banning travel from the most vaccinated country on the planet (Israel)?

    We're all in this psy-op together.🤨



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    It sure as fcuk isn't because they think that the risk of a variant is higher among Israelis. Also, Israel isn't the most vaccinated country on the planet. Even we are better vaccinated than they are. They did well early on but topped out at a little over 60%, in part thanks to their large antivax population.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,934 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The Israeli data will be skewed now due to some having 3 doses and others 0 doses (even Ireland has a small % on single dose Janssen which makes it hard to compare), they could reach 200 doses per head but still have ~65% population vaccinated.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 435 ✭✭godzilla1989


    The rubbish posted here sometimes :(

    Israel are antivax now, jesus

    They topped out at 65% because they have a very young population

    25% of Israelis are under 12 and get can't a vaccine, did you know that?

    100% - 25% = 75%

    75% - 65% = 10%

    Means they vaccinated 90% of the eligible population

    How is 10% a large antivax population




  • Registered Users Posts: 7,237 ✭✭✭mcmoustache


    I'm not sure which statement is incorrect. Ireland's age structure has us at around 19% under 12 (from the same site) and can't get a vaccine. Plugging those numbers into your algorithm:

    100% - 19% = 81%

    81% - 74% = 7%

    7% < 10%



  • Registered Users Posts: 857 ✭✭✭PintOfView


    What do you make of reports that the vast majority of hospitalisations due to Covid are in the unvaccinated?

    See this CDC article -> https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7034e5.htm?s_cid=mm7034e5_w (from end of August)

    It's a bit of a dense read, but here's one graph from it that paints a clear picture (ie. that the unvaccinated make up the vast majority of hospitalisations).




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,952 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    There are 3 reports today from the US CDC https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

    “Those who were unvaccinated were about 4.5 times more likely to get Covid-19, over 10 times more likely to be hospitalised, and 11 times more likely to die from the disease,” Rochelle Walensky, CDC director, said on Friday.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,776 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    It's 50/50 here according to Donnelly, probably has a lot to do with the fact a lot of American's are overweight



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,952 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,776 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,965 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Is it 50/50 Vaxxed/Unvaxxed hospitalized with covid or 50/50 in hospital, who are covid positive?

    CDC state hospitalized, What does Donnelly state?

    In a 100% vaccinated population, 100% of all admissions, those in hospital and deaths will be vaccinated, doesn't mean the vaccines don't work.



  • Registered Users Posts: 857 ✭✭✭PintOfView


    What makes you think it's just overweight people who are unvaccinated, and so go to hospital?

    Why aren't the overweight vaccinated being hospitalised in the same numbers?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,304 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




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