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US and Nato withdrawal from Afghanistan...- threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,340 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    but under the Taliban, the World will be threatened with more sept 11th style attacks.

    I don't think so. There were voices 20 years ago like Noam Chomsky who were saying that the Taliban were kinda sick of Al Qaeda and were seeking an out regarding them. They are more interested in their rule in Afghanistan than messing about in outside terrorism. And considering that the leadership is still the same Afghans that were around 20 odd years ago, they might have learned their lesson regarding the support of groups like Al Qaeda/Al Nusra Front etc.

    Frankly I'd be very surprised if they were to be behind any support (verbal notwithstanding) of any group who'd be interested in carrying a 9/11 style attack anywhere.

    On the other hand, they've received outside support from somewhere over the last 20 years. So maybe they have a few favours to owe.



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The Pentagon, Associated Press (and other agenices) have confirmed those reports by now I see.

    So, we are still waiting for reputable sources.



  • Registered Users Posts: 803 ✭✭✭Relax brah




  • Registered Users Posts: 10,191 ✭✭✭✭smurfjed


    Newspapers are now reporting about the rampant corruption and how much donated money disappeared into privileged pockets. Is it any wonder that the average afghani didn’t care to fight for a government that was robbing them. Kinda similar to the Iranians with the Shah.

    it might also be a good time to review ALL of the donated money that goes into that of the world and africa.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,191 ✭✭✭✭smurfjed



    how many Irish people are we talking about and when was the last time such a fleet would have been used ?



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  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 8,538 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The problem is that there's so many ways for terrorists to stage an attack. The twin towers probably being the worst ( so far ) but could it be repeated? Much more difficult, for sure, but impossible? Too many advantages are with the terrorists, and on a much smaller scale the suicide bomber still remains the greatest threat.But for the terrorist,the range of attack possibilities are endless, and its a physical impossibility to cover all the bases.The US always had good intelligence, and still Sept 11th slipped under the radar. What form will the next attack take? I don't know, but for sure we are not finished with them. That the US has the ability to strike any target on Earth if it has to is a given.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,191 ✭✭✭✭smurfjed


    Yep, expensive overkill especially when are more important things for the IDF to spend money on.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,538 ✭✭✭jmreire


    One of the reasons Ahmad Masood was able to drive the Taliban out of 3 locations that they had taken, was because they had the weapons to do so.The had them because they kept gathering them even after the Taliban were driven out post Sep11. always fearing a talib return. The Taliban had already declared control of Panjshir after meeting with the elders and leaders, under certain conditions one of which was no house searches. But then by looking for weapons and people, they broke this rule. And so Mashood attacked. There is currently a mass drive by the Taliban to remove weapons from the general population, for obvious reasons. Even now, genuine support for them is extremely limited, and will get even worse as they show their true colors. Support for Mashood will grow. There's reports on TV and the Press world wide about what might or might not happen with the Taliban.....are they the same as before, or have they really changed? Only time will really tell, but the signs so far are that they are still the same as old. Personally, I'd be taking the word and opinions of Ahmad Mashood and Ismail Khan in Herat seriously.Likewise, as to who they will align with, that remains to be seen.As for the 20 years of support, my candidates are 1 Pakistan, 2 Iran, 3 other. And your point about favours is very valid.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,574 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    But the key question for this thread is has this risk been significantly increased by the Taliban takeover of Aghanistan. It's not clear to me that it has. As said upthread, the Taliban seem to be focused on "Islamism in one country." And there seems good reason to believe the Americans will be able to manage what threat there is by lobbing in a few drones from time to time, as they already do next door in Pakiistan.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,538 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Its wait and see time, no one knows the answer to that question at the momen.But for sure, there will not be any lobbying of shells /missiles while there American / EU citizens there. And as the Taliban's version of Islam, thats exactly what destroyed the Country last time they had control. People died needlessly ( especially women) as the only doctor available was a man.... it was Ins'h Allah. Thousands of Babies died..it was Ins'h Allah. Thousands died when there were food shortages....Ins'h Allah. The water systems failed....Ins'h Allah. If the electric grid failed...Ins'h Allah.And as for the list of things that were forbidden as being un-islamic, thats pretty endless...but basically, if you were not working, you should be praying.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,538 ✭✭✭jmreire


    To the best of my knowledge, ( and its only my personal experience ) It was the Mujahideen who defeated the Russians, supported by Pakistan, with surface to air weapons supplied by the US. The Taliban appeared on the scene after the Russians had left, and the internal war between the warlords was raging. But its more than likely that some Mujahideen members did join the Taliban after that. In my time there, I never heard anyone mentioning the Taliban taking part in the fight against the Russian's, it was Mujhadeen all the way, and this was from some Mujhadeen members that I worked with.



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,340 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    The Taliban sprung out of the Mujahideen and it's founders were Afghan Mujahideen fighters. It was a Sunni Pashtun group supported by money from Saudis initially who mainly drew their ranks from Afghan and Pakistani Mujahideen men, with a mix of others who were in favour of their type of Islam.

    The leaders of the Taliban and the early rank and file were definitely men who fought against the Russians in the 80's and on the back of that they were welcomed by Afghans when they started out from southern Afghanistan. So much so that by the late 80's they had spread across much of the country. By the 90's they controlled it. It was only when they started to implement the harsh realities of their idea of Sharia that some of the Afghan started to question them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Seems the Taliban lost 3 districts around the Panjshir Valley over that last 48hrs ,the tali are threatening to send their special forces group to quell the uprising ,

    Definitely weird hearing the Taliban say our special forces group..



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    And the Taliban all kitted out in the best gear U.S. taxpayer money can buy. It's absolutely nuts.

    Strange Pentagon press conference earlier too, where they appeared to be unaware that the State Dept. had advised Americans not to travel to the airport. Left arm oblivious to right arm type stuff.

    The final absurdity --from today alone-- is that the U.S. gov has announced that it is now going to send passenger planes into Kabul airport, commandeered from major commercial airlines. I pity anyone stuck on an AA flight. They may prefer to stay in Kabul.

    This commercial plane thing is also counterintuitive when you consider that the USAF has an estimated 12 billion military planes at last count.

    WTF is going on? Are they feigning weakness, putting on a theatrical display for domestic consumption, or is a curtain being lifted by force of circumstances to reveal that the greatest military in the history of the world(TM) isn't all it's cracked up to be? Or something else entirely?

    EDIT: Apologies for the stupid questions above. The MIC is making money and that's all that matters.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,791 ✭✭✭2Mad2BeMad


    If its the video of them lads in the gym that's going around, well then they are definitely a special bunch



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    This commercial plane thing is also counterintuitive when you consider that the USAF has an estimated 12 billion military planes at last count.


    WTF is going

    Not all military planes are passenger aircraft, which is what they need more than anything else,makes perfect sense bringing airlines in who's expertise is flying millions of passengers around the world..



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I know it's like an old comedy sketch......


    But they have American equipment - it's like being given a formula 1 car despite only knowing how to cycle a bike



  • Registered Users Posts: 54 ✭✭Luke-m


    In fairness they are not actually doing that. Here is the exact quote "Eighteen aircraft will transfer people to third countries from safe sites outside Afghanistan, the Pentagon said"



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Ah! Thanks. Yes, makes more sense. I still stand by my AA comment though 😃



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,184 ✭✭✭riclad


    This was discussed on rte 1 radio today BOC show the government hardly had power outside the city's the country was run by graft, cronyism, corrupt officials and payoffs to local warlords the taliban were very clever they told local officials don't be on the losing side give up join us or face defeat the aghfan army is not a well trained organised army it had low morale it also relied on us army air support to hold back the taliban in most areas there was no combat the taliban moved in and took control of us army weapons humvees trucks weapons helicopters guns etc the aghfan army disappeared. Local people did not have faith in local government or Politicans as it was viewed as currupt or simple controlled by America the lesson here is you can't build a modern democracy by force or by paying bribes an article in the guardian said if the USA stayed on one more month they could have made the taliban form a government with local Political groups like a coalition once they announced a date for leaving the taliban knew we can. Just wait a few weeks and take over the country

    And Biden rejected a plan by ngos to move local allies like translators a month ago instead we see total chaos as 1000s of people desperate to leave surround the airport in kabul even people with us visas and passports are struggling to reach the airport as they have to pass thru taliban checkpoints and 1000s of people in the area

    This is the first major misstep in Bidens presidency not even have a basic coherent plan for getting American citizens out of the country before the taliban took control of the country



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It didn't matter if said January 2022 the same thing would have happened ,

    At least he's stated the obvious not everyone at Kabul airport is getting on a flight to America or elsewhere , even following social media accounts asking for help to move this person and that person isn't going to help the situation ,

    There is a large element of republicans Vs democrats being played out here and it's going to get messy ,

    Was reading earlier the sas were going outside of Kabul airport and bringing assets and citizens to safety inside the airport , America said stop and they carried on ,

    Sooner or later something is going to kick off



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,538 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The people left behind are really hampering any effort to at least destroy some of the massive armoury they have left behind, but the US cannot do anything about that while they remain. And for defence of the Panjshir and resistance fighters, the Talib airforce needs to be destroyed.



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,760 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    They need to get this finished. Islamic militants probably eyeing up the airport for a suicide bomb attack for all anyone knows.

    There has already been a random firefight between US/German forces and militants.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,191 ✭✭✭✭smurfjed


    The US government formed the CTAF agreement with USAirlines in the 50’s, the airlines get paid each year and must release aircraft to military operations if required, such as now. These aircraft are only operating to the Middle East, the actual military fleet are doing the flights into Kabul. So it’s not as dangerous or reckless as some may think.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,679 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    Irish army ranger wing heading over to Afghanistan apparently. Just announced



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,574 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    The response of the Taliban commander in Kabul on hearing that





  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The ARW will be in good company ,

    I see the Taliban threatened consequences foreign forces are in the country on or Past the 31st of August ,

    Wonder do the Taliban realise what exactly will happen if they try to have a go at Kabul airport ,

    Multiple special forces groups from various countries and their support units ,30 + gunships and f18s providing fast airsupport ,

    Enough firepower in one area to give a standing army a serious bad day



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,194 ✭✭✭scotchy


    Its one thing getting a lift in from the French, but if things go bad it might be another getting out again.

    💙 💛 💙 💛 💙 💛



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  • Registered Users Posts: 544 ✭✭✭agoodpunt


    taliban will use women and children as a buffer

    Hard to believe those who are educated and lived a western life are somehow going to give it all up but expecting any more help from the west is gone.

    They need a strong govt like NHPET and a biased media to scare the shite out of them and make them grateful for the air they breath



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