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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,357 ✭✭✭corcaigh07




  • Registered Users Posts: 12,962 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Yeah, I'd be taking that figure with a huge pinch of salt. Lot's of "suspected" and "may" in that article. The only definitive number in the entire piece is that nearly 500 people tested positive and were denied entry. Delta is clearly everywhere in England at the moment yet the sky hasn't fallen in. Good signs all round.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Don't Chute!




  • Registered Users Posts: 25 VeryWise


    There is something very strange about the whole acceptance of Philip Nolan as an expert. His forecasts have consistently been way off and biased towards disaster outcomes. These forecast errors have cost billions in prolonged or extra restrictions but he still gets a soft pass from the media. In almost any other walk of life he would have been fired or in public service moved to a less impactful role, but he still trots out and claims numbers are in line with expectations and it goes largely unchallenged.

    until there is a real focus on proper use of proper and relevant data and facts we will make bad decisions and increase divisions between those that are terrified and those that want a full return to normal. You will get a drift in compliance as the restrictions lose credibility for more people but that will just ramp up the appetite for stronger enforcement in others.



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    Do you actually think cancelling the Dublin marathon in October was the correct decision to make ?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,455 ✭✭✭celt262


    I would imagine to go and get a test they must have had some symptoms?



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    They have not been as wrong as often as you imagine but they did miss by quite a bit at times. It may have been not giving enough weight to certain variables. For example in October they didn't account for the effect of a level change kicking in and now just how much vaccination is playing a part and they really should have left those pessimistic numbers off the chart. Even so none of what they do would matter if it weren't for the fact that it is the only input the government has used for decisions since Christmas .



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    A lot of rage getting directed at the GAA because of preferential treatment as regards large attendances . The anger is misdirected in my opinion . The anger should be directed at government for not allowing the entertainment industry and all sectors not to have increased numbers just like the gaa had last weekend .A painful lack of ambition.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Well, it's outdoor, which is considered safer versus largely indoor which is not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    Ok that’s fair but many many concerts are held outdoors and with a requirement to prove vaccination it could surely be done . Likely cases would arise but if everyone is vaccinated that attends how many will get sick ? There needs to be some ambition shown instead of these pathetic pilot events with a few hundred in a field in their pens 6 ft apart .



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  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    There has been concert/festivals up north I believe? I thought I saw a poster give a log of such an event ? Why up there but nothing whatsoever here ? Our vaccination rate has surpassed the north now ? I know their uptake in younger people is inferior to ours so I struggle to see why we in the south aren’t trying to bring back large scale events . I guess we will know more when this government plan comes out at the end of the month



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It was Nolan who said social distancing and mask wearing would be long-term, not Holohan: COVID-19 restrictions will ease but need for mask-wearing will remain - Philip Nolan | Newstalk


    If he believes the vaccines work then why the need for long-term social distancing and mask wearing? And by long-term he must mean permanent because if almost full vaccination isn't enough to get rid of those restrictions then nothing will get rid of them.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Why the need for long-term social distancing and mask wearing post-vaccination of almost the entire population?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But why would social distancing and mask wearing be required long-term once almost the entire population has been vaccinated?



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Herd immunity is a point whereby existing immunity to disease in a population means any new infections will spread slowly enough that eventually they will burn out rather than continuing throughout the entire population - you can introduce new infections into the population but the result will be the same. Basically herd immunity means that the effective R0 of the contagion is below 1.0. That is the only way the herd can protect those with no immunity.

    No, breakthrough cases being 50% would mean there is no reduction whatsoever. Also that figure is dependent on proportion of population vaccinated.

    The stats from US are misleading as they reference unvaccinated infections/deaths etc as total figures across entire pandemic - wheras vaccines have only been available for less than 1yr. There is the added issue that vaccinated people are not told to get tested - so a political decision really that hies the medical reality.

    Targeted studies show the 50% risk reduction in vaccinated people relative to unvaccinated, for the risk of catching covid.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,440 ✭✭✭User1998


    I would imagine a lot of people had no symptoms but took a lateral flow test anyway considering they were just back from a massive festival?

    Anyway I think a few runny noses after a large scale outdoor festival should be considered a success. Sure a lot of people attending will have a runny nose from sniffing coke all weekend, and a lot will be hungover in bed, sick as a dog anyway.

    And also, there are several festivals in the UK where it is inevitable that one or two people will die over the weekend from drug overdoses, it happens every year and usually these people have underlying conditions. If this is accepted as normal but a covid death is not well then the world has truly gone mad



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,051 ✭✭✭Red Silurian



    I have an even better question, it's impossible to give a definitive answer but it's worth thinking about, how many of the 5,000 picked it up at the festival and how many picked it up in the days before and after the festival?



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    As long as social distancing exists things in this country will be anything but normal . You can easily argue that everywhere or at least almost everywhere is open and we are mostly back to normal but that’s complete rubbish . The pub experience now is dismal . Sitting in your corner for hours on end no music no atmosphere home early . It’s strait jacket drinking and it’s a thoroughly soulless experience . We have a requirement to be fully vaccinated for indoor dining . Why then is there a necessity for social distancing ? I know the vaccine doesn’t eliminate spread but when will we be any more protected than we currently are?



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    Staff for indoor dining tend to be younger . The argument for social distancing for indoor dining appeared to be that young unvaccinated staff were left exposed to infection. Many of these will now have been vaccinated and shortly all will be . Why then would there be any need for social distancing for indoor dining /pubs ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,110 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    This is a reality, social distancing means no large weddings, no parties, no social club meetings



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  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    K

    Well exactly . I’m 41 and at this age it’s not quiet as important to me to be out socialising as it was but even I am finding this whole social situation demoralising. If I were young I’d be climbing the walls and likely feeling really hard done by. Look it’s a once in a lifetime pandemic and up until vaccinations this is the way things had to be unfortunately but it’s time to throw off the shackles now are let people enjoy their weekend experiences



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,689 ✭✭✭Economics101


    I haven't been able to get a full CV for Philip Nolan. When he was in his previous job (medical prof at UCD) what was his speciality> Did he research and/or publish in the epidemiological area? Just curious.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,893 ✭✭✭JDxtra


    In future elections, I really hope the younger members of our society - who are current and future voters - remember how they were treated during this pandemic. There was no significant consideration for their well being (mental health, recreational, education, career, financial etc).

    Ridiculous conflicting rules that made no sense and impacted our young the most.

    Now moving towards >90% of adults vaccinated, and still dealing with restrictions. Rules made by people for whom there is no impact. Rubber stamped by a weak, spineless leader and government.

    An absolute disgrace. I'll be glad to see the main political parties, in particular FF, absolutely obliterated. They deserve it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,110 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    Even stuff like how are young people supposed to form relationships? Not specifically referring to nightclubs they were never my thing but unless something gives soon there’s will be a sea of emigration from this country.

    What I do foresee though is when outage countries in the EU abandon these measures MM will have a hard time justifying why Ireland has to be different



  • Registered Users Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    To be fair the Marathon was cancelled by the organisers because they couldn’t be sure of the situation come end of October. They were between a rock and a hard place as going ahead would have meant paying for substantial costs now only to have the possibility of being told to cancel closer the time. They are a not for profit group so the loss of money for a late cancellation could ruin them.

    Comparing the hurling on Sunday with the marathon is apples and oranges though- you could spread the crowd out easily and you don’t have mass gatherings in pubs and sports clubs over the country to watch/celebrate/commiserate.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    What happened at Xmas has crippled MM with fear. It’s understandable. His time in charge will be short and despite all his extreme caution he will probably never be able to shake what happened last winter.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,571 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    Because people who are vaccinated can still pass on the virus. You know this already.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    He also said in that commentary that we need to wait for vaccinations to kick in fully for a lot of people. I'd take that long-term statement as an opinion and one which IMO aims to keep people focused on what we've been doing. It may not be the same opinion at the end of September.



  • Registered Users Posts: 553 ✭✭✭Apothic_Red


    Whatever about the small performers playing guitar in the pub for €100 a night plus pints. Most of the wedding band level of performer all had full time jobs anyway. Restrictions are an impediment to earning additional income.

    The main victim here is the large scale concert promoter, often they had to sell-out to make money. Lifting restrictions but limiting them to 50% capacity doesn't nothing for their industry unless cuts are endured all the way down the chain. From the lighting riggers to the portaloo supplliers to the act themselves. Can't see it being sustainable.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    Yes i understand it was cancelled by the organisers. It appears to have been a very rash decision though. I guess they are just too fearful because of the financial implications you have highlighted . By then everyone that would be participating would be fully vaccinated if they wished to be . Seems mad to me it’s been binned .



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