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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,962 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Correct, he mentioned the winter readiness plan that would include a comprehensive roll out of flu vaccines with the possibility of boosters for some being part of the overall plan. Nothing to do with lifting the remaining restrictions on the 22nd.

    I did find his original speech full of guff and very little detail. It was only in the follow on press conference that he clarified this. I'm sure a lot of people just watched his announcement and not the full presser. He really should have given a lot more detail and clarity in his original speech as it required a number of follow on questions from journalists to get to the meat and bones.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭lee_baby_simms


    It wouldn’t surprise me to be honest.

    There’s more than a hint of irony when a poster admits to crying during a Micheal Martin speech and then goes on to trivialise the mental health concerns of others.



  • Registered Users Posts: 435 ✭✭godzilla1989


    Ehh?

    hospitalisations are up massively

    From 40 in July when we had 400 cases a day to 340 in August for when we have 1400 cases a day

    380 in hospital at weekend

    Cases matter, more than you know



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,851 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    But majority of them are not vaccinated, so we just got to move on.

    Any cases with people going that are vaccinated are getting released pretty quickly, or picked the virus up in the hospital and are there for something else but still count on the list.


    Time to move on.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,569 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    As much as I disagree with some of Gortanna's posts, you can't dispute (but you appear to be trying to) that the pandemic has had a massive affect on people's mental health, businesses have gone to the wall, the vax pass does create a two-tiered society and there is a constant threat of lockdown. Yes, the government have stated that they don't want to go back into lockdown but they can't rule it out so the threat is there.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,569 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    People suck up everything that the media say and think it's gospel. As you say, "clickbait."

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,616 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    They have been posted multiple times on multiple threads and I'm pretty sure on threads you were responding to and reading (and undoubtedly ignoring), you can also do your own internet searches and find them quite easily (Monica Gandhi is nice enough to collate multiple studies for people).

    If you still can't find them, I'll post them for you, but I would sincerely worry about your sources of information if they elude you still.



  • Registered Users Posts: 435 ✭✭godzilla1989


    Half the people in hospital are fully vaccinated!

    Honestly people need to stop posting rubbish here

    Cases don’t matter, rubbish

    All the people in hospital are unvaccinated, rubbish

    You won’t end up in hospital after being fully vaccinated, lies

    You can’t speed covid if you fully vaccinated, lies

    Vaccines help your body fight infection that’s it

    Key word help!

    If your unhealthy, severely obese, vulnerable help won’t be enough

    Take care to those people, don’t listen the rubbish that your fully protected, you may not be



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,109 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    Is there anything about visitor bans in hospitals being removed?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It's anywhere between this week and the end of the month. Nolan has come out with both scenarios.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Without getting into a debate about it, I think it's just a big unknown. Sure, anecdotally we can say that there are people who've really had a tough time, especially in lockdowns, the constant fear in the media has driven some people (older people especially) a bit potty, having routines disrupted again and again, etc.

    At the same time, there are loads of people who've found much of the change beneficial. No need to be forced to have interactions with co-workers, less or zero commute, more time for hobbies and exercise, more time for family, time to rethink/quit the job they hate and realise they don't actually need it. The realisation that you might actually hate doing something (like foreign holidays) but kept doing it because you felt like you had to. And so on.

    As an animal, we are a social creature, and I would have no doubt that on balance, the quality of everyone's mental health has dipped during this time, in the absence of your every day social interactions. But as that comes back, things will improve.

    We are at the biggest danger point now, as restrictions start to lift. We should make an extra big effort at this stage to go see family and friends, to check in on them. This is the point when people will start to actually feel "alone"; as they see the world move on with their lives while they feel like they're being left behind. Even if you have texted someone every day of the pandemic, but haven't actually seen them face to face, make the effort to reconnect with a coffee or dinner or drinks.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,857 ✭✭✭growleaves


    I don't consider anyone who can't or has come to a decision not to take a vaccine necessarily an 'anti-vaxer'.

    Forcing one-tenth or so of the population into poverty and destruction isn't good and isn't a casual matter. It isn't something that happens outside of colonialism, at least I struggle to think of examples.

    'Who cares' or 'forget them' doesn't really answer my objections.

    It's not practical either.

    It's like when I was talking to a pal and he said we should cut all welfare. I asked him would be happy seeing tent cities of 50,000 homeless people camped out in Stephens Green and other places permanently.

    Note: Before anyone says 'but we're not doing that!' I was originally replying to a poster who said unvax should be banned from most or all employment, and some posters want unvax to be made ineligible for social welfare also.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    94% efficacy against infection is a big statement - doesnt seem to match what most studies are saying. A claim that bold could do with a source.

    Most studies point to 70% or lower efficacy against infection with delta variant. So curious as to where your 94% figure came from



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,438 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    One common problem in here is that people constantly refer to Ireland going back into "Lockdown", when it isn't lockdowns that are the problem, but the far more insidious longer term government restrictions placed on businesses and people. Lockdowns and Restrictions aren't the same thing.

    So people use the term lockdown and confidently state that there won't be any more lockdowns at christmas for example. And I'd agree, there won't be any more lockdowns. But that doesn't mean that theatres won't be capped at some arbitrary numbers limit, that restaurants won't have unfeasible entry requirements, that bars won't have a closing time pulled from thin air. That offices won't fail some made up health and safety requirement if their staff actually go to work, that gyms won't have to lock up their showers, that children won't have to sit beside open windows in the middle of winter. All of those could happen and people would say "there was no lockdown".

    I wouldn't mind a lockdown. A short, sharp defined lockdown where everybody knows where they stand, that can be handled. But it isn't lockdowns that have made a bollocks of this country for the past 18 months.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,962 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Hospital's will have discretion to implement whatever policy they see fit according to Donnelly.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,962 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    If 85/90% of the adult population are fully vaccinated and make up 50% of all hospital admissions then the other 50% are coming from unvaxxed or partially vaxxed representing 10/15% of the adult population. If you can't see the hug benefits of the vaccine then I don't know what else to say. The data is there for all to see. This vaccine isn't 100% effective, none are, but it's an end to this pandemic unless something drastic happens in the future.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,885 ✭✭✭dominatinMC


    So you keep saying. But cases are not translating to hospital admissions as before. Without the vaccines it would be much worse. Yes, there are a lot of Covid cases in hospital, but the hospitals should be able to manage, this is living with Covid. We as a society do not have the bear the brunt anymore.

    The point I am making is this obsession with cases has to stop. The media have pushed this narrative for so long that people can't look beyond "de numbers". The numbers we need to look at are hospital admissions, ICU admissions and deaths - granted they are increasing but not in proportion with cases as before. In fact, I'd argue that these metrics should not even be in the public domain anymore, we never obsessed over flu admissions in the past.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,008 ✭✭✭Quags


    When will they stop announcing daily figures? This is a form of scaremongering also as older people who wish to get back out will see these numbers and think the worse possible scene outside.



  • Registered Users Posts: 38,308 ✭✭✭✭PTH2009




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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,885 ✭✭✭dominatinMC


    The media are the problem

    I could not agree more. This has been the gift that keeps on giving for the media and they show no signs of relenting. With the advent of social media, traditional media was probably on the decline, but they certainly grabbed this opportunity with both hands to produce a conveyor belt of relentless doom porn. They may claim they were doing the public a service, but I think there is a fine line between informing people and frightening them, especially older cohorts who rely on the like of RTE. And the sheer volume of clickbait articles, complete with misleading headlines, selective quotes from scientists/politicians and erroneous data from paper preprints has been embarrassing. Even on Prime Time last night, we had Sarah McInerny grilling Leo over an announcement which should be celebrated, but we know RTE will desperately cling to the last vestiges of this crisis in an attempt to keep the gravy train going.

    Apologies, rant over! 😅



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,616 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Source! for your studies, here's mine (last table, links available in documents below):

    COVID-19 Vaccines | HIV, ID and Global Medicine (ucsf.edu)

    Again, I would be worried about where you're getting your information if you weren't able to find that (or ignoring data that doesn't suit a narrative), you're quickly falling into the willfully ignorant category.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yup. And those sorts of things always disproportionately affect the poor and the young.

    I'm not employed by anyone or at anyone else's mercy for survival money. My partner has a good job and can do it 100% remotely if needs be. I'm not a big pub-goer and prefer dinner parties at home as far as entertainment goes, these days, but if I fancy a meal out I can afford to pay for a hotel room to get around the injection pass requirement (and have done so a couple of times). If things got really bad it would be an inconvenience to emigrate but it wouldn't be a struggle. I am therefore free to base my decision on whether or not to be vaccinated purely on a medical risk/benefit analysis and give (or deny) informed consent.

    People who work for minimum wage or receive welfare, or people who are too young to have accrued much security yet, are in a very different position. And I don't personally think that coerced consent counts as true consent. But I'm old fashioned that way.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,616 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Nature have some of the data in a more easily digestable format, the headline is that the data for delta isn't in yet, so it's unknown what the transmission reduction will be, but that there will be a transmission reduction (my own bet is gt 50% lt 80%, depending on when vaccination occurred), this is compounded by delta having a much higher R0 than other strains sans vaccine, so we could still hit a 90% reduction if the R0 is 10 and it gets reduced to 1 (which is where Ireland is hovering).

    COVID vaccines slash viral spread – but Delta is an unknown (nature.com)



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc



    Some of those are up to 6 months out of date - and have no relevance on the updated strains we are encountering.


    Based on more than 3 million nose and throat swabs taken across Britain, the University of Oxford study found that 90 days after a second shot of the Pfizer or AstraZeneca vaccine, their efficacy in preventing infections had slipped to 75 per cent and 61 per cent respectively.

    That was down from 85 per cent and 68 per cent, respectively, seen two weeks after a second dose. The decline in efficacy was more pronounced among those aged 35 years and older than those below that age.

    CDC's own studies put it at 66% effective against delta infection


    I would be worried about where you're getting your information if you weren't able to find these (or ignoring data that doesn't suit a narrative), you're quickly falling into the willfully ignorant category.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,569 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    It's a 'variant of interest' not a 'variant of concern,' as are four others. Don't worry yourself.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Add to that that nearly all the people most likely to end up in hospital are in the vaxxed group



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,007 ✭✭✭Shelga


    I agree the media are absolutely desperate. They seem sad covid is very nearly over. Current headline on RTE "3000 daily cases by September in NPHET's best case scenario". Load of sh*te. I visit an elderly lady who is terrified every time there is talk of booster shots, reduced efficacy etc. RTE are directly responsible for robbing her of the time she has left, as she's still scared to leave the house despite being double vaccinated for months (she has health conditions which compound this worry).

    Let's not forget that NPHET's "best case scenario" in July predicted 250 deaths, thousands hospitalised, 100 in ICU. In fact, we've seen 50-60% of this, at most, with the numbers decreasing. Their "worst case scenario" was so ludicrous that I won't even mention the figures here.

    Stop publishing every figure NPHET pull out of their collective arses as complete gospel.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    As soon as they see no news value in them so probably for at least another month and a half!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,051 ✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Another one we could have issues with is Lambda, currently just a VOI but researchers have said it's vaccine resistant

    The real question that needs to be asked is HOW vaccine resistant this and any other variant is... We know for example that Delta reduces efficacy of the current vaccines, but only by about 5% so not much to worry about



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