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Is the jnlr a load of nonsense ?

«13

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,872 ✭✭✭StevenToast


    I agree.....they are made up of RTE minions and other vested interests....

    The same people that think Ryan Tubridy deserves an overinflated salary....


    Disgusting

    "Don't piss down my back and tell me it's raining." - Fletcher



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 366 ✭✭Dipole Keith


    It’s all about digital now, listeners online & smart speakers, The JNLR’s are so out of date.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,545 ✭✭✭KaneToad


    Are you saying the research company (IPSOS-MRBI) are faking the research?

    Or using dodgy methodology?

    Or are you confusing your behaviour & the behaviour of your family/friends with the behaviour of the entire country?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 519 ✭✭✭kazoo106


    The best analogy I can think of is

    Rats refusing to jump or even acknowledge the ship is sinking!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,749 ✭✭✭Pelvis Parsley


    It's an absolute nonsense. Every time they come out, there's a deluge of minor injuries caused by over exuberant back patting.

    I never heard of a JLNR that came as a disappointment to anybody.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You don't have to be a conspiracy theorist to think that there is something very very fishy about these figures https://www.irishtimes.com/business/media-and-marketing/live-radio-has-79-share-of-daily-audio-market-jnlr-finds-1.4662398?mode=amp The Idea that the vast majority of the youth spend more time listening to FM radio than to Spotify or YouTube is completely off the wall.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    Whoever is supposed to be lying, it does not help RTE.

    Of the 15 to 24 year olds only 15% of those listening are tuned to RTE. Radio 1 4%, 2FM 10%, Lyric 1%.



  • Posts: 2,827 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Without government bodies advertising the state broadcaster would be sunk. The advertising companies are happy to take their tithe of the revenue that goes to the state broadcaster but private industry are looking to Social Media for maximum impact for their advertising buck. The less and less Advertisers are interested in advertising on the state broadcaster or regional radios the more the taxpayer will have to step in to keep their "shows" on the road.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,545 ✭✭✭KaneToad




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,260 ✭✭✭✭Losty Dublin


    To be quite honest there was a dip in all marketing spending that has affected all media outlets, print and broadcast. The ads that go out on RTÉ regarding Covid19 also go out on Independent stations and although they are paid for, they are charged and treated as public service announcements and bring in a fraction the income of regular ads.

    That aside, RTÉ don't charge a fraction of what they could or should or ought to for their radio ads, nor do they carry as much as ad traffic per hour. Off peak ad traffic is minimal as well.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 913 ✭✭✭radiotrickster


    I'm not too far outside the under 25s bracket and most of my friends listen to the radio in some way, shape or form across the day. It would usually be thrown on in the background in the office wherever I've worked and then people would chat in the morning about what they heard on the radio on the way into work. I don't think that age group are glued to radio but they're still interested and listening.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 71,526 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    RTE do not appear to even attempt to sell and or promotional time to the same extent as independents. For which the independents should be quite happy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,983 ✭✭✭JDxtra


    Ahh, the JNLRs - where everyone's a winner. I've had my doubts about these for some time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,063 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    Always thought they were a pile of utter nonsense and lacking any credibility, other ratings releases are just beggars belief, how for example can it possibly be determined and so quickly a specific number watched a late late episode, Toy Show, All Ireland match etc, there are so many ways to view an event it just seems utterly nonsensical the figures released literally within hours on occasion.

    Alot of the data released seems to be used to justify outlandish salaries in RTE and of course drive advertising rates.

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    The methodology used is there for anyone to see. As far as RTE goes, and from memory, at no time, for any region, for any age group does RTE (all their stations) ever get more than 50% of the listening audience. Also for the available audience no RTE programme hits more than 12%. They would need to make a much bigger effort to falsify the figures, if they want to justify anything.

    https://info.ipsosmrbi.com/assets/files/jnlr/methodology/JNLR%20Methodology%20Report%20Apr'18.pdf



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 67 ✭✭ireallydontknow


    Happy to be corrected on this, but as far as I know JNLR is based on self-reported filling out of forms. Blocks of fifteen minutes and you mark if you listened for eight or more minutes during any block. As well as potentially biasing the subjects, how could that method ever be expected to be accurate?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'd strongly suspect the underlying models are not keeping up with the pace of change of the market and technology.

    The one thing I would say though is that the reality of value of advertising on radio or TV will be worked out by advertisers, ad agencies and PR companies quite easily. They do a lot of analysis, especially the bigger ones.

    I know for example on ILRs the cost of placing ads seems pretty cheap at the moment, which would tend to mean the ad spend is going somewhere else. Some of it could also be explained by economic slow downs especially during the lockdowns, but I would be cautious not to overestimate that effect and ignore technology change.

    At the end of the day, the usefulness of ratings systems comes down to what advertisers get back in sales generated.

    If you run a campaign on a radio station, you evaluate its impact on sales or engagement quite easily and if you don't see a conversion rate, you'll be adjusting your advertising plans to use other channels.

    You also get people trying to convince you that there are X impressions per day/hour on certain websites etc, and a lot of the time it really doesn't stack up either intuitively or in terms of what you get back in terms of interest.

    It's inevitable that you're going to see spend on broadcast media drop. There's no way around that as the technology is changing extremely rapidly and I honestly think it's happening a lot faster than the industry itself comprehends.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    The RTE advertising rates are published. They show that higher charges are made for ads during programmes which according to JNLR have the biggest audiences.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, but ultimately the market sets the rate. You can see it across the board. I mean if you look at the plethora of broadcasters on satellite at present, that absolutely has to take a massive cull. You can also see a gradual decline in the quality of advertising on most of them. That same phenomenon will inevitably be playing out on radio and tv here.

    Your rates are ultimately set by what people are willing to spend and value for money will be calculated by the advertisers, not the platform.

    There are definitely still some big ticket shows on RTE radio and tv, particularly around the likes of good speech content like current affairs, that isn't replaceable very easily online, but there's a lot of generic stuff that most definitely is.

    A lot of Irish radio stations are just 'churning out the hits' like it was still 1995 and providing nothing particularly unique.

    The way I see it developing, RTE is potentially in a much better position than most other players in the market because they have the ability to produce complex content. It's the filler stuff, and I would probably include almost every music station in that, that could fizzle away. I think in the next decade or so you're going to see a smaller and more concentrated radio market here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,179 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    The TV ratings are not undertaken like JNLR surveys.

    They are done through set top boxes connected to the TV that lists what is being watched, for how long and by whom. All family members are separately identified and there is even scope to add visitors, if watching programmes. If anyone pops out to make a cup of tea, they are expected to push a button the remote to say when they start and stop viewing. The data can be collected and released so quickly because the boxes call back to base in the middle of the night and report their stats. Supplimentary stats are released later when online or on demand stats are calculated for the main stations that have those facilities.

    The sample number of boxes polled for the info is statistically calculated to account for total population number and geographical spread. Further stats such as age and gender of viewers are calculated from the individual viewer login data - ie age and gender of each family member registered, or any visitor watching.

    I did it for a few years, but gave it up when far more channels and viewing platform options became available and I didn't want the hassle of keeping track of all the options. It was interesting to see the process in action, but a pain to meet the requirements.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,063 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    I had a vague idea how TV ratings done , just wondered how accurate they are

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I think the reason the industry speak so highly of the jnlr system is that it protects the status quo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,260 ✭✭✭✭Losty Dublin


    And with good reason too. It's incredibly detailed, with hundreds of pages of time and number crunching of virtually all quarter hours and all regions. While us laymen may doubt some of it's figures, both radio stations and marketing firms are happy enough with it's portrait of the listenership at any given time.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Red FM and 96fm both claim to be No1 in Cork every jnlr day 🙄🙄🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,545 ✭✭✭KaneToad


    Lots of posters here don't seem to understand how research, and specifically sampling, works.

    It's not guesswork!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,749 ✭✭✭Pelvis Parsley


    This is my point-that they are invariably useless.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,886 ✭✭✭The J Stands for Jay


    Havig read their methodology, it's not far off guesswork.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,749 ✭✭✭Pelvis Parsley


    It's not the JNLRs themselves, although they are invariably pointless, they are no doubt a nice payday for someone.

    The issue is, every radio station in the country euphemistically pulls the stomach out of themselves every time the results come out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005



    Ipsos MRBI/JNLR 2021/4 Summary Results The latest JNLR/Ipsos MRBI report into radio listening is published today (10th February 2022). It covers the period from May to December 2021. Due to Covid-19 restrictions there was no interviewing conducted in January, February, March and April 2021.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,504 ✭✭✭Glaceon


    I’ve always been curious as to how you can accurately calculate listenership/viewership of a broadcast medium. Personally I don’t think you can. There’s no return path so the device can’t phone home and say “hey, I’m tuned in”, and I’m sure there would be privacy concerns if it were ever tried. I know they use sample audiences but there’s surely limitations to that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,179 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    As previously explained, the JNLR is a statistic sample report, and as such it is highly complex and well regarded within the statistical science realm.

    Is it a perfectly accurate measurement of listenership ? .... of course not. But it does not have to be. It just has to be accepted by those who pay for it to be undertaken. Remember, it was introduced as the single benchmark definition simply because different reports and methodologies will produce different results. The agreed imposition of a single source survey for the radio industry, has its roots in two different listenership surveys undertaken by pirates Radio Nova and Sunshine Radio in the 1980's, where each station used a different major market research company to undertake surveys at the same time, and they each came up with different results. This caused major questions to be asked within the research industry at the time - if two leading research companies, operating in the same market, at the same time, come up with different results, how can the science and their reputations be trusted?

    The JNLR is not a perfect system by any means, but there can only be one listenership report quoted for all stations and therefore it is the industry accepted benchmark. The only people who have to accept the results, are those who pay for the survey to be undertaken. It is accepted as an imperfect system, but the imperfections apply to all participants and each then has to work to achieve results for themselves, working from within that system. In fact, it is due to the survey results being so focused and detailed, that each station can drill down and find some age group, or gender group, or day-part time, they they can prove to dominate the market in. Who cares about these declarations, is different discussion.

    Is recall recording perfectly reliable? - no. Does the recall system favour bigger and longer established stations? - yes. Do smaller and newer stations struggle to establish themselves on the JNLR? - yes. Are there better and more accurate systems available? - arguably. Would changes to the system be accepted by the stations that have long benefited from their positive results under the current system? - absolutely not.

    So to answer the original question - the JNLR is certainly not a load of nonsense : it is a highly complex piece of statistical analysis work. It may not be the best or most accurate way of determining actual listenership - But .... as long as it is accepted as the imperfect benchmark that it is, then it is doing its job, for those who pay for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,757 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    Yeah I agree but ... I would like to see them ... why have they on been published recently.


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 913 ✭✭✭radiotrickster


    Weren’t they last due in April or May? They must surely be due in the next few weeks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,179 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    The JNLR is conducted as multiple lengthy face to face individual participant interviews - Covid restrictions have had a major effect on data gathering.

    Last publication was Feb 10th 2022 - covering May - Dec 2021.

    https://info.ipsosmrbi.com/assets/files/jnlr/user_information/20-101888-JNLR-Feb'22-Press%20Release-Final.pdf



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,757 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    And restrictions were largely removed since and their publication had been suggested for June I think, but moved, its now 8 months later.

    Have you ever taken part in one of these face to face, or even over the telephone, surveys?


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,179 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    There still could be staffing issues in getting people to undertake and process the surveys. There have been many businesses that have yet to resume normal activity levels, because of a shortage of staff. Or maybe the station representative committee has decided that general listenership habits were so drastically affected by the long Covid restricted period that it would be difficult to compare and contrast current results with previous reports, and therefore it might be best to delay the survey so that listener habits revert to a more directly comparable normality? I don't know the exact reason for the delay, but I do know that any, even slight, change to methodology or listener circumstance would cause concern for stations and advert agencies, because of the perceived difficulty in then doing direct comparisons on a 'book by book' basis. The industry overseers do not like any change that they can not plan, control and explain. Covid was/is an exceptional circumstance with exceptional consequences - I am sure there have been significant internal debates in JNLR circles about how results gathered during these exceptional times, should be considered and what relevance they would have.

    I was never interviewed for the JNLR, I was however once a director of a station covered under the process, so I am very familiar with the methodology used. Like with the leaving cert, I still have nightmares about picking up JNLR results books from the MRBI office in Blackrock.

    Radio related surveys conducted by telephone in those days were certainly not JNLR and more likely to be either other market research agencies doing general consumer related surveys and including a radio station preference question in the mix, or radio stations themselves doing 'tracking calls' to see how they might be getting on generally in terms of public awareness level, within their own franchise area. I am not sure if station conducted tracking surveys are still undertaken these days as with most people now using mobile phones, it would be difficult to get a specific coverage area response from random calls made. In the old days, Dublin based land line calls (for eg) could be looked up in the phone book and called quite easily.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,757 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    Well I have only ever taken one face to face interview at home. Do they have a panel?


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 245 ✭✭patmahe


    Surely at this point most people under 50 are listening to digital music or podcasts as these provide a means of listening to something you are actually interested in, rather than a DJ asking people to text in their funniest 'I stubbed my toe stories'.

    I occasionally listen to the radio on the way to work (20 mins) but usually only if I've accidentally turned off the bluetooth on my phone and can't be bothered sorting it out. Whenever I have listened to the radio I usually regret it, the quality just isn't there anymore. Sounds to me like the JNLR figures are skewed to make things look better than they are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,983 ✭✭✭JDxtra


    Agree, they are very much skewed to make broadcast radio look better than it is.

    I would say the majority of people under 30 don’t listen at all (by choice). Why would they? Everything you could ask for is streaming or podcasts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,179 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    For info & reference :

    JNLR Survey method : https://info.ipsosmrbi.com/assets/files/jnlr/methodology/JNLR%20Methodology%20Report%20Apr'18.pdf

    IAPI statement on why the above method is still considered best for the Irish market : https://iapi.ie/blog/default/jnlr-committee-update

    I am not defending it as a system of accurately recording actual listenership, but the data it collects is scientifically processed and verifiable as per the published methodology. I had many misgivings about it when I worked in radio, but you would need to go to a whole lot more effort than recalling personal anecdotes or quoting general social behavioral preferences, to argue against the JNLR and its findings.

    In my current career I work with young people aged 12 - 25 and my own anecdotal evidence would say that absolutely no one in that age category is listening to the radio - but the biggest regularly undertaken research survey in the country, says otherwise and they have the groundwork generated checked figures to prove it.

    In the end... it still comes back to the same basic fact, it only has to be acceptable to those who pay for it. No one else should get too worried about it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,757 ✭✭✭RoTelly


    In my current career I work with young people aged 12 - 25 and my own anecdotal evidence would say that absolutely no one in that age category is listening to the radio - but the biggest regularly undertaken research survey in the country, says otherwise and they have the groundwork generated checked figures to prove it.

    @Ger Roe Anecdotally what are they listening to? Do they listen to podcasts or is it just music?

    In the end... it still comes back to the same basic fact, it only has to be acceptable to those who pay for it. No one else should get too worried about it.

    People are interested and people are anoraks about this type of thing. For example I am always surprised that the JNLR gets so much attention in the press every six or so months while TAM Ireland's research for TV only gets such attention once year, yet they could provided you with preliminary daily figures if they wanted, and provide monthly details.


    ______

    Just one more thing .... when did they return that car

    Yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,179 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    TV viewer research is done in real time through use of a TV connected set top box and the data is uploaded and processed every night. Preliminary, but quite detailed TV stats can be released in 24hrs (for direct scheduled and viewed programmes), although these days there are added complications in calculating total audience over delayed viewing occurring through recording and streaming - this aspect has to be considered and adjusted later (becoming more of an issue as viewer habits and the range of devices used for viewing changes). The are also issues for TV view stats with illegal streaming - just because someone has seen a programme, it does not mean that they saw it on the station it was carried on, or more critically that they saw the adverts that the advertisers and sponsors paid for during its scheduled broadcast. This is one reason why the product placement in programmes approach has developed in recent years - the only way to prove that whenever and wherever you see the programme, you also see the advert/promotion.

    Like the JNLR, the primary function of TV viewer stats, is to prove advertising coverage potential. The rate of change in content delivery models and platforms is making it difficult to see how traditional scheduled TV broadcasting, is going to compete... or survive. The fact that traditional broadcast sector giants like the BBC are investing considerable amounts of money and effort into producing online content, on various platforms, indicates where the market is heading. I don't think today's generation, who already don't listen to the radio, are going to engage in schedule based viewing. I have also asked young people what TV programmes they watch and this has produced puzzled responses. They see lots of programmes, but they are hardly ever viewed as scheduled for broadcast and on a TV. 'TV' to today's generation means, Youtube, Netflix, Disney+, Aamzon Prime, etc.... RTE, BBC etc are historic relics.

    With regard to my experience of young people and their current listening habits ... they seem to be mainly consuming music on youtube and streaming platforms. Very disappointing for a music and radio fan, as they only consume material they are already interested in - there is little scope for new music exposure when you are being fed content by prescribed playlists or established interest associated algorithms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 881 ✭✭✭Butson


    Of course the JNLR is nonsense, but so are all media consumption metrics.

    TV - 1,050 Neilsen boxes is just not a real reflection of the population. You are really relying on the participants to be fully on board also. And until streaming services are properly incorporated, forget about it

    Digital - self governing and release their own figures.

    Back to the JNLR, really its for the advertising industry, nothing else. It may be nonsense, but at least it's the same nonsense for everybody.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    After the very detailed arguments and links provided by Ger Roe, I'm surprised that someone can say "of course the JNLR is nonsense".

    Read the Methodology link, and the IAPI link in post #41. This is a small extract from the IAPI link:

    "Having undertaken a full review, at considerable cost, and having explored international best practice in radio audience measurement, the Committee concluded the current Day-After Aided Recall is best practice for the Irish market at this current time.

    While the Committee is satisfied that Day-After Aided Recall is the best approach for radio in Ireland currently, the Committee is open to considering new ways of collecting the data beyond the current in-home approach, providing the integrity of the JNLR sample is maintained. New approaches to data collection will form part of the JNLR Research Tender 2020 – 2022 for which expressions of interest are currently being sought."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 913 ✭✭✭radiotrickster


    I wouldn’t agree about nobody under 25/30 listening to radio. There’s a lot of people out there who aren’t on board with digital audio options. I even know a few people under 30 without social media. They rely on radio for their in car entertainment and stick it on when they’re at home and want music.

    I think it all depends on the demographics of the group you’re talking to. Some groups within that age range won’t have an interest in radio and others will still rely on it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    In the latest "book" published 69% nationally of 15 to 24 year olds listen to some radio on weekdays. Much lower in Dublin, and only 17% listen to a RTE station.

    The system does not record data for under 15's.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,392 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    The methodology of in person face to face interviews is well laid out in links provided above.

    But and it is a but... how does this match actual practice on the ground?

    I live in the same rural area for 30+ years, I've never heard of anyone being approached about such a survey. People calling to the door selling stuff or other cold calls used to be reasonably common 20 years ago, but rare as hen's teeth now. Even at election time.

    I do however receive phone calls about once a month on surveys relating to finance and business. I helpfully answered one of these calls several years ago, even though it wasn't very relevant. Since them I decline as of little relevance. However clearly I'm on some list of businesses in a certain category that the survey need answers for, so they keep trying.

    That's how these surveys largely work, if I was trying to do repeat face to face interviews in an area, inevitably it has to be that interviewers will head for houses where they've had success before.

    And if you keep asking the same people, the same sort of questions.... well no surprise if you get similar answers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    16,850 out of what ever number of 15+ people there are in Ireland. Catering for all demographic and geographic divisions. I never got surveyed, but I think the chances of any one of us small number on the thread being included are remote. I never got a call from any of the organisations which are doing regular political polls either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,500 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    What is "some" radio?

    The last time I properly listened to daily radio was in 2005 when my mammy drove me to school.

    I don't know anyone who regularly listens to the radio.

    I have never heard of anyone who regularly "tunes in" to a particular radio show.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,977 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    Adults Aged 15-24 Table 2: Average Weekday Yesterday Listenership on Page 4. That is what I converted to "some radio", just my choice of words.

    I am seeing a pattern here of people using their own personal experience to decide radio listening figures, and a reluctance to accept the published data.



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