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Australian Response

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    None of this has any basis in the real world and you actually can't stop this thing spreading.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,290 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Don't be so defeatist, if we can put a man on the moon we can do anything in the real world



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    The man on the moon nearly took a decade and we'll be well past COVID. Anyway moving on and I'll leave you to your happy musings.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,290 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    My point is that if there was political will then there is no reason we couldn't have had the freedoms and case/death rates of New Zealand the last year



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,899 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    It's absurd to say that Covid zero has been shown to be "basically ineffective". It hasn't worked perfectly but, on any measure it has worked better than other strategies that have been tried - fewer and shorter restrictions on people's lives, fewer infections, fewer deaths, a lower economic cost.

    The only way to oppose it is (a) to disregard covid deaths as wholly irrelevant to a judgment about the efficacy of covid measures, and (b) to claim, as gral6 does, that it involves permanent travel restrictions and, when people point out that you are lying about this, to ignore them, wait for a while and then repeat the lie.

    It's not a very persuasive case, on the whole.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,367 ✭✭✭bikeman1


    There is often a point missed by those in relatively Covid free parts of Oz and NZ. Covid 19 is not going away. We have over 90% of adults vaccinated and there are still cases and still some deaths happening. This will not stop for anytime in the future. Being obsessed with case numbers has to stop. As soon as restrictions are eased again, Delta will find a way in, and then spread around with ease. Then you lockdown again and again. Even with vaccination extremely high, it will always be around.

    Locking yourself off from either the other part of your country and the rest of the world indefinitely is not a good strategy. You have welcomed people from Ireland and the rest of the world to work and contribute to life. Now you are completely cutting them off without good reason at this stage. This will be a never ending cycle. Deaths happen, that's a factor of life.

    If you think it is all doom and gloom here, I've had a great summer. Visited 5 countries in Europe, Partied late at night, visited museums, been at a rugby match, an outdoor festival, had birthday parties, ran in a few organisied runs, got my vaccine promptly and easily for someone my age. Work has been out the door and the economy is going great (nearly too great). C19 very much feels in the rear view mirror for most people living in Ireland that I know of.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,830 ✭✭✭✭AdamD


    I wouldn't be declaring some major victory yet. Its inevitable that those countries will get a sizeable covid wave when they eventually open up



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It's really not. As a model it has when only country remains wedded to it as a way out of this. It also requires locking out the rest of the world and completely ignores the importance of geography and politics needed to do so, even if that works for the natives. Would they go at it again? Probably but nobody else would. Ultimately it depends on the vaccination programmes. If not enough sign up to that it's a long way out of this.


    Personally never been a fan of the use of deaths as a type of oneupmanhip in this and to vindicate one approach over another. We lost a lot of people last year because NHs were exposed and we blew Christmas which led to the disease going out of control, as did much of the rest of Europe. But that's the problem when you live in a fairly crowded continent



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,989 ✭✭✭Noo


    Hence why the plan is for 70% of population to be vaccinated, which going by current rates is only 2 months away (which isnt too far fetched, everyone in my social/work circles have had at least one if not two doses, so I believe it an achievable target at least by end of year anyway).

    Opening before then would just undo all the success from the past 18 months. At least have your population vaccinated BEFORE unleashing the virus, Australia have the luxury of being able to do this. This is the point Peregrinus is constantly making which is constantly ignored. Australia have agreed that covid zero is not sustainable long term, focus is now on vaccination. How on earth can that not be seen as a sensible approach?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Our plan had 32 iterations and changed dates at least half a dozen times. You still don't know what the vaccination rates will be in two months. As I've said before, 50% is very easy and the UK raced ahead of us to that but are now 10% behind having been slow since early summer. Both Israel and the US flatlined on rates as well so you still need to see what path the public will take, ours or a more sluggish and resistant one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,899 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Just to be clear: I have never said that Ireland should have adopted Australian policies or that, if it had, it would have got Australian results. In fact I have said the opposite, several times. Ireland's situation, socially and geographically, is very different from Australia's, and while Ireland can probably learn from the Australian experience the lesson will not be "do what the Australians did and you will get the results that Australia got".

    My only claim is that Australian policies have been the right policies for Australia, and that they have produced - and continue to produce - better results for Australia than other countries have achieved with their policies, and than Australia would likely achieve if it adopted other countries' policies.

    I'm very far from using deaths "as a kind of one-upmanship", but I do maintain they are the most important metric (though not the only metric) for evaluating any Covid strategy. The main thing we want is for people not to die. The suggestion that we should discount Covid deaths, and make choices about Covid strategies without regard to the implications for death rates, is simply depraved.



  • Registered Users Posts: 274 ✭✭Not in Kansas


    Correct me if I'm wrong, but the vaccination target isn't 70% of the full population, but of the eligible population, which is only 56% of Australia's full population.

    As of today, Ireland has 71.4% of our total population vaccinated which should rise to over 75% in the coming weeks judging by the percentage of first doses, and we are still having to proceed with extreme caution. There are tough times ahead for Australia, with very tough decisions to be made about what level of loss is acceptable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,175 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I for one have been wanting to get off this not so lovely island and move to that one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,330 ✭✭✭✭josip




  • Registered Users Posts: 715 ✭✭✭gral6


    Hopefully, 'democratic' Australian government will let to to return home. If you beg them properly. Ask Matt Damon, he might share the secret..



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,175 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I don't aim on returning to Australia; NZ is the intended destination. Obviously one can't get in yet, but I don't really mind as I have a lot of other time consuming pratical things to do first, like unloading properties.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,290 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    I think you are correct, 70% of the eligible population, you are assuming that when Australia get to 70% they'll drop every restriction in the one go, what makes you think that will be the case?



  • Registered Users Posts: 274 ✭✭Not in Kansas


    I don't assume that at all! But if you look at the link in my second to last post, the Doherty modelling (which is the only modelling the national plan is being informed by) is built around many assumptions, most of which the government seem to have chosen to ignore. It's a good read.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    Perhaps you should look at excess deaths rather than so called Covid deaths. Excess deaths in Ireland in 2020 were up by just approx 600 on 2019. I can't remember exact figures, but I posted this info earlier when somebody was spouting sh1te on here.

    Lots of those who died with Covid, were dying anyway. Have overall deaths dropped in Australia in 2020 v 2019?

    EDIT: 31,765 v 31,134

    Post edited by Chivito550 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,899 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Excess deaths in Ireland for 2020 are less than deaths attributable to Covid because the Covid precautions of lockdown, social isolation, etc, as well as averting Covid deaths, also averted many non-Covid deaths - e.g. deaths from flu - that would otherwise have occurred.

    You ask if overall deaths dropped in Australia in 2020? The answer is yes, they did; excess deaths in Australia for 2020 were negative 4,080. This is because relatively few people died of covid in Australia in 2020 (909, to be precise) and the effect of the Covid precautions on flu, etc, deaths was substantially greater than this. (And note that this was achieved with much less in the way of lockdowns, social distancing, masking, etc than Ireland had. Presumably the tougher and longer Irish restrictions would have had a proportionately greater effect on Irish flu, etc, deaths, which would explain a large gap between reported covid deaths and excess deaths.)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,290 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    It looks like they are making progress?

    From rte https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0917/1247293-coronavirus-australia/

    The federal government's reopening plans are predicated on Australia reaching a 70-80% vaccination rate for its adult population.

    The national rate is currently at around 45%, but is expected to pick up speed with just over 70% of people over the age of 16 having received a first dose.

    For anyone who lives there how is the vaccine rollout working? Are there centres everywhere? Are there walk in vaccination centres or do you have to register? Is there much vaccine skepticism?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,899 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Vaccine administration is being handled jointly by the feds and the state governments, so arrangements vary slightly from state to state, and within states they may vary from place to place, and there may be more than one way of getting the vaccine. The availability of walk-in vaccination varies; for example in NSW there are walk-in centres, but they are open to over-18s only, only offer the AZ vaccine, and I think are all located in the Sydney Metro region. So if you can't get to one, or are under 18, or want a vaccine other than AZ, you need to register.

    SFAIK, if you go to a walk-in centre, that's for first dose only. Since they want to deliver the doses at the recommended interval, when you go for your first dose they register you and give you a booking for your second (which you can later change, if you need to). So your second dose is never walk-in.

    It's hard to know how much vaccine scepticism there is. There is plenty of anecdote about vaccine scepticism, but right now the main constraint on getting jabs into arms is limited supply. All the vaccine the authorities are able to supply, people are taking. Presumably there will come a point where vaccines are available but people are refusing them but, until that point comes, we have no real way of knowing how big that issue will be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,989 ✭✭✭Noo


    This weekend Queensland are doing walk in vaccines for Pfizer for anyone. Also note that the vaccination rate is only counting over 16s. Vaccines are available to over 12s. I saw loads of school kids under 16 getting it when I was getting it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,330 ✭✭✭✭josip



    If, as Peregrinus says the main constraint is supply, then won't there be a shortage of vaccines in Queensland this weekend and a number of people who will queue but won't get one?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,989 ✭✭✭Noo


    That was the initial problem earlier in the year, and why the rollout is only really ramping up now. But future supply is good as far as I know.

    Also you can walk into nearly any pharmacy is QLD at anytime and get AstraZeneca.

    Again, what those of us living on ground here in Australia are seeing strongly indicates that vaccine targets will be met.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,330 ✭✭✭✭josip


    If Pfizer is going to be available for walk in this weekend, I can't see there being much demand, if any, for AZ from now on.

    They should call time on it and ship to Africa where it will get used.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,899 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    According to the Queensland Government's website, walk-ins are offered at a limited number of vaccination centres only. Their preference is that people would register an interest on the website and then wait to be offered an appointment, which is consistent with the idea that, yeah, supplies are still quite constrained. My guess is that walk-ins are offered as and when they may help to reduce the risk that supplies of vaccine that are about to expire go unused.

    At current vaccination rates QLD is projected to hit the 70%-of-over-16s target around 20 November, and 80% around 10 December. But of course vaccination rates could change between now and then, depending on the federal government's success or lack of it, in securing supplies, and/or the possibility that vaccine resistance could emerge as a significant factor before one or other of those targets is reached. So, really, the targets will be reached when they are reached.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,989 ✭✭✭Noo


    A quick google search will tell you that they are getting donated to regional neighbours, PNG, east timor etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,037 ✭✭✭Slideways


    And moderna is coming from next week I think



  • Registered Users Posts: 715 ✭✭✭gral6


    I've seen footages from last Australian anti-lockdown riots. Appalling.

    A lot of innocent people, who wants to live their life, were beaten, abused and humiliated by Australian police.

    Australia turned into North Korea.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,432 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    Clearly this elderly woman was such a severe threat that the police had to knock her to the ground and stand over her spraying pepper spray in her face. Anything is justified when you consider a certain group to be subhuman plague rats.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,290 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    That picture could be from literally anywhere. Your posts would be funny if they weren’t so pathetic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,037 ✭✭✭Slideways


    The government in Sydney and Melb are trying to get a pandemic under control, mass gatherings are unhelpful and these fücking morons were told what would happen if they turned up. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.


    there was even a demonstration here in Perth, where we don’t even have any restrictions apart from using a QR code when entering a premises. What sort of mouth breathing imbecile comes out to protest in such an environment?



    I suppose if you were living here in Perth you would be out there gral?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    That's what people do in a democracy and just because you vehemently disagree with them doesn't give you an excuse to be so self-righteous. We know, in non Zero COVID parts of the world, this outdoor stuff doesn't really have much effect on cases but vaccination rates will so you might want to focus your considerable energy on encouraging people to get their jabs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Yes they could be, but they are police officers and that is not a good look anywhere. The caption suggests they are in Australia and I suspect the uniform confirms it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,899 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Mmm. The anti-lockdown protests also seem to double as anti-vaccination protests. And anti-5G protests. And the rest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,290 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    How old do you reckon the person on the ground is?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Yeah, we have tiny ones too from time to time and we just ignore them as one should. Too many more important things to be concerned about instead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    That's not important at all. I was looking at the actual police officer and unless it's string that is a very bad look for law enforcement. Don't they teach them how to manage a crowd or how to use de-escalation tactics?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,290 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    But you have zero context how do you know what happened before the photo was taken? That other vaccine denier just claimed it was old woman based on nothing and you just believed it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so



    I'm not sure you need any context to wonder why a police officer is emptying a can of pepper spray into the face of a protester. There have been protests in other countries and very few have descended to this level. It's not the first one of these images to emerge via media reports either and you may argue it's isolated but it's pretty poor law enforcement even then. In the vast majority of countries that type of response would at the very least be reviewed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,208 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    It's clearly from the Daily Mail, as a few seconds of searching confirms. Article has a video, although with only a few seconds of context.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10005641/Policemen-douse-elderly-woman-pepper-spray-Melbournes-anti-lockdown-protests.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    This is a Guardian Australia version of it. Really not the best policing plan judging from some of these videos, but notable that Brisbane seemed to go off peacefully.





  • Registered Users Posts: 1,320 ✭✭✭bloopy


    There was a video floating around social media last night of the encounter between that lady and the police.

    How they brought her to the ground was very much out of line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,567 ✭✭✭Risteard81




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,153 ✭✭✭✭normanoffside




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,432 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    Probably not. They've tried its not Australia (it is) there's no context (there is), we don't know what happened prior (we do, she was forcefully shoved to the ground for no reason other than being there) and she's not old, to cast doubt on the images. They will fall back on the good old "well she should have been at home" line in the end. Police brutality is ok once you disagree with the people being subjected to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,666 ✭✭✭HBC08


    It was the same craic here about 6 months ago.

    The only difference is the cops will react over there.Here the Gards had to use their shields (not pepper spray,batons etc) and they had to come out and explain themselves the next day.

    I'm not a massive fan of Australia in many ways but act like a cùnt over there and you'll be treated like one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,666 ✭✭✭HBC08




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I linked to a Guardian report with videos of the event and it really looks like gangs lining up to take each other on!



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